This series started with five major defense contractors and six major oil companies that are worthy considerations to help your portfolio survive a global crisis (see Chasing Value: You Must Own Defense and Oil for Safety). After the first review, one stock was eliminated from consideration: Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR). The reason is in the first story.

Today we continue our analysis by examining price-to-book (P/B), price-to-cash-flow (P/CF), and dividend yield. Each stock is ranked by sector and metric from best to worst. In the end we hope to narrow down our choices for candidates that might be added to Chasing Value: 2011 Stock Picks -- The Journey Begins.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Defense and Oil -- Part 2

Chasing Value: Defense and Oil -- Part 2 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 15 Dec 2010 12:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Oshkosh Corp.: Pull-Back Is Buy Opportunity

Oshkosh Corp.: Pull-Back Is Buy Opportunity originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 05 Jan 2010 16:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

To highlight defense names in the face of the current spending priorities feels like soaking in gasoline and walking around smoking a cigarette. With that visual as a backdrop, it is also fair to say that Obama is probably just as focused on protecting the motherland as Bush was, and, much as he may dislike it, that will force continued if not increased spending in certain areas of defense. The one name I have been drooling over for years and which is finally coming together in many respects is L-3 Communication (NYSE: LLL).

Continue reading L-3 Communication: A stock to watch in the defense sector

L-3 Communication: A stock to watch in the defense sector originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 05 Mar 2009 15:05:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The most sweeping fiscal stimulus in a generation is about to be signed into law by President Obama. It amounts to $787 billion and includes tax incentives, infrastructure projects, renewable energy developments, and payment to state and local authorities.

However, investors appear to be skeptical as indicated by the performance of the markets today for a variety of reasons:

• Some estimate that as much as 75% of the spending will not reach the economy until 2010.
• There are questions as to how many jobs in the United States will actually be created.
• People are uncertain as to how productive the spending bill will be and how much is actually just wasteful "pork."

Continue reading The fiscal stimulus plan: Where is the missing element that solved the Great Depression?

The fiscal stimulus plan: Where is the missing element that solved the Great Depression? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 17 Feb 2009 16:39:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Lockheed Martin rises on strong earnings

Lockheed Martin rises on strong earnings originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 22 Jan 2009 16:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

This post is part of a series in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked financial experts to name their top stock pick if McCain or if Obama wins the election.

"If John McCain becomes president, look to Elbit Systems (NASDAQ: ESLT); this company is one of Israel's top defense companies," explains high-technology and science-focused sector stock specialist Gregg Early in his The Real Nanotech Investor.

"Elbit is well respected throughout the world for its skilled work in a variety of defense sectors. It has significant operations in North America, Europe and, of course, the Middle East and the sub-continent of Asia.

"Its big growth sectors now are UAVs for defense/intelligence work and hardware and software upgrades for aircraft and helicopters, the latter being a core to the company's business for years.

"With the global economy slowing down, many nations prefer to hang on to their aging equipment rather than buy new, expensive fleets, train pilots and retrain all the service and maintenance workers.

"This company is already growing but a President McCain, who's a former military man and who sees the strategic value of our close ties with Israel as a fulcrum in the Middle East, would likely find key companies in the region to reward as an example of what cooperation with the U.S. can do. And defense is the best place to start."

Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers a daily look at the latest market commentary and favorite stock picks and investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

McCain stock: Israel's Elbit (ESLT) aids in defense originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 04 Oct 2008 16:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Boeing (NYSE: BA) lost its bid for the new Air Force tanker to Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC). The aircraft builder was able to get the process re-opened and now has a shot at getting the business that was awarded to Northrop.

Winning another chance at the big contract is not enough. According to The Wall Street Journal, "Boeing Co. said it is inclined to bail out of its effort to win a $40 billion contract to build aerial refueling tankers for the U.S. Air Force unless the Pentagon agrees to give it a total of six months to submit a new bid."

Boeing claims that it will take a long time to figure out how to configure one of its airplanes to haul the amount of jet fuel required by the Air Force.

The request is bogus. Boeing has been through the bidding process for the tanker once before. The idea that the company did not understand the specifications is remarkable.

Boeing may be trying to gain time to shave some of its costs off the project so that it can bring the price of its bid down. It should have done that in the first round. There is no reason it should get that additional time.

It is no wonder Northrop got the original approval, and it is likely to get it again in this round.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Boeing (BA) to take its ball and go home originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 22 Aug 2008 09:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Finmeccanica buys DRS as foreign firms seek U.S. defense contracts originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 13 May 2008 13:03:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Defense contractor Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT) posted strong earnings this morning for its first quarter of $1.75 per share, well ahead of the $1.63 analysts had been expecting.

Looking at the quarter's revenue figures, we see a nice year-over-year jump, climbing to

Continue reading Lockheed Martin (LMT) falls despite strong earnings

Lockheed Martin (LMT) falls despite strong earnings originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 22 Apr 2008 10:22:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The news today the Israeli defense company Elbit Systems (NASDAQ: ESLT) signed a $40 million deal with the Royal Netherlands Army (RNLA) is not just the latest in a string of new deals for Elbit, but could help the company penetrate the NATO countries as well.

Elbit Systems will supply systems to the RNLA's ground forces that will include enhanced tactical computers (ETCs), incorporating tactical communication devices, and data communication software. The systems will be installed in more then 1,800 of the RNLA's vehicles, including tanks, armoured vehicles, and others. The project involves extensive cooperation with the Netherlands MoD's C2 Support Centre.

Commenting on the deal, Bezhalel Machlis, Corporate VP & General Manager Land Systems & C4I Division, Elbit Systems said: "Winning the tender to supply Battlefield Management Systems to the Netherlands MoD constitutes another step in establishing our position as leader in the C4I fast growing and developing market. Elbit Systems' BMS systems are in use today by over 20 militaries worldwide and we view this contract awarded by the Netherlands MoD, a leading country in NATO, as a springboard to potential future business in this market."

Elbit has been signing deals all over the place, but if they can crack NATO member countries defense budgets, this stock will soar higher.

Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. DISCLOSURE: Writer has a position and is long ESLT. He has no positions in any other stock mentioned as of 1/27/08

Elbit Systems: Dutch win could be NATO springboard originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 27 Jan 2008 10:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

In the midst of all the bad news it's hard to imagine the stock market ending the year higher than it started. However, that is entirely possible and probably much better than a 50/50 bet. If you want to play it safe consider buying into an index fund or exchange traded funds (ETFs) instead of banking on individual stocks.

For broad coverage you cannot beat the Vanguard Total Stock Market or the Total International Stock funds with the lowest fees and longest history in this area. I think it has also been generally accepted investing strategy over the last few decades that in bearish markets there is a run to quality and "guns and butter" stocks. If you were to follow this old adage you would be considering three sectors, healthcare, defense and consumer staples.

Mutual funds and ETFs (with less history) are less volatile and offer greater diversification than most investors could achieve, and at much lower cost. If you dollar cost average over the next few months you should also be able to smooth out some bumps in the current market.

When the political machine goes to work to juice the economy the market has most often responded positively. That does not mean it's smart for the country, but since when is a politicians first thought about the country.

Continue reading Never fear, 2008 will end higher -- think index funds and ETFs

Never fear, 2008 will end higher -- think index funds and ETFs originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 18 Jan 2008 18:42:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The Israeli company Commtouch (NASDAQ: CTCH), a leading provider of email defense systems, announced today that all proposals presented to shareholders on its proxy statement for the annual meeting of shareholders held on December 14, 2007 were overwhelmingly approved, including the reverse stock split (by over 92% of the voting shares).

I guess the question is whether this is good, bad, or insignificant news? While in some cases reverse splits signal that a company is at the end of the line, in Commtouch's case that is not the case. The company continues to execute its business model well, and as more and more defense is needed to stop spammers, Commtouch should continue to grow. The company made this move in order to reduce the number of shares, as well as get the share price up over $5, where it would be open to more institutional interest.

It seems that this is a positive move and the fact that over 90% of the votes were in favor is a good sign. But what's really important is that it continues to sign deals and execute. If it does that, the stock will take care of itself.

Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. Disclosure: Writer owns stock and is long CTCH. He has no position in any stock mentioned as of 12/13707.

Commtouch: Reverse split a non-event originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 17 Dec 2007 15:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

With former Miami Dolphins coach Don Shula, re-visiting the New England Patriots spying scandal and bringing up the issue whether an asterisk should be added if they successfully run the table and go undefeated, I found it interesting that a very successful Israeli defense company's subsidiary was also found guilty of espionage.The Patriots were guilty of spying against the NY Jets and having seen the Jets play, I can't imagine that the spying made any difference whatsoever. The same can't be said of Elbit Systems (NASDAQ: ESLT) subsidiary Kollsman Inc.

Kollsman Inc., was found guilty of misappropriation of trade secrets relating to commercial air data computers. The jury ruled in favor of the plaintiff Innovative Solutions & Support Inc. (NASDAQ: ISSC) and found that IS&S had suffered damages of just over $4.4 million in lost profits and $1.6 million in defendants' net profits, for a total of over $6 million. The verdict also opens up the possibility of imposition of exemplary damages and other costs against the defendants based on willful conduct.

Continue reading Elbit Systems and Bill Belichick: Both guilty of espionage

Elbit Systems and Bill Belichick: Both guilty of espionage originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 09 Nov 2007 11:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading As Russia's economy strengthens, so does its viewpoint

As Russia's economy strengthens, so does its viewpoint originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 29 Oct 2007 15:57:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Lockheed stock has shot up over the past three months, hitting a one-year high of $113.74 earlier this month. LMT opened this morning at $106.16. So far today the stock has hit a low of $106.15 and a high of $108.90. As of 11:05, LMT is trading at $108.70, up $1.73 (1.6%). The chart for LMT looks bullish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) buy rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a January bull-put credit spread below the $90 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 8.7% return in just 3 months as long as LMT is above $90 at January expiration. Lockheed would have to fall by more than 17% before we would start to lose money.

Continue reading Lockheed Martin, defense stocks on a roll

Lockheed Martin, defense stocks on a roll originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 24 Oct 2007 12:38:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Let me introduce my Yankee Doodle Dandy portfolio, a compilation of red, white and blue stocks for investors to consider as they celebrate our nation's independence.

Regardless of your views on the Iraq war, there's no denying that defense stocks including Lockheed Martin Corp. (NYSE: LMT), Northrop Grumman Co. (NYSE: NOC), Raytheon Co. (NYSE: RTN) and General Dynamics Corp. (NYSE: GD) are reasonably valued. This is especially noteworthy considering that defense spending will need to be maintained at pretty high levels for years to come in order to replace equipment that's been worn out from combat. President Bush is proposing to spend a record $439 billion in fiscal 2007 on defense and another $42.7 billion on homeland security.

Lockheed, the maker of the F-16, seems especially cheap, trading at a forward multiple of 14.6. Its shares have only gained 4.6% this year even though the company reported better-than-expected first-quarter results and raised earnings guidance. Missile and defense electronics company Raytheon, up less than 3%, is in the same situation.

Investors often overlook the huge businesses that Lockheed and Raytheon have in areas outside of defense, including computer systems and air-traffic control. The managements of both companies also have vastly improved over the past few years. Northrop and General Dynamics have always been pretty well run.

Boeing Co. (NYSE:BA), notably the second-largest defense contractor, also looks worth snapping up. Its stock is up less than 3% this year, which is surprising considering how well it's rebounded against European rival Airbus. The company trades at a forward multiple of 17.7.

Continue reading My Yankee Doodle Dandy portfolio

My Yankee Doodle Dandy portfolio originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 04 Jul 2007 07:15:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Don't confuse cheap stocks with bargains.

Remember that shares may be inexpensive for a good reason -- for instance, because the company is going down the drain. Savvy investors know that things are rarely as awesome or horrendous as the market sentiment may indicate, of course. There is a point when every single shred of potential bad news is factored into a stock price on even the most unlucky of companies.

Remember, things can always get worse before they get better. With that in mind, here's a review of some stocks that my colleagues and I think have values that are compelling.

Names that I've liked include Home Depot Inc. (NYSE:HD) and, for the truly adventurous, Ford Motor Co. (NYSE:F). My colleagues have singled out General Electric Co. (NYSE:GE), Dell Inc. (NASDAQ:DELL), Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT) and Halliburton Co. (NYSE:HAL) for your consideration.

Let me add a few others.

American International Group Inc. (NYSE:AIG) reported results Thursday that missed analysts' forecasts because of one-time charges and announced a $5 billion buyback. The stock climbed a mere 3 percent on the news. It will probably climb higher. Wall Street analysts expect it to hit $79.63, about $10 above where it's currently trading.

Other insurance stocks including Allstate Corp. (NYSE:ALL) and Ace Ltd. (NYSE:ACE) also look cheap. Allstate is trading at a forward price-to-earnings multiple of about 9. Ace is about 8, while AIG's is 11.

Continue reading When bargain hunting, be very picky

When bargain hunting, be very picky originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 02 Mar 2007 16:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Lockheed Martin Corp. (NYSE:LMT) and Northrop Grumman Corp. (NYSE:NOC) today posted solid fourth quarter results today, helped by the huge increases in defense spending from the War in Iraq and Afghanistan. Both companies also raised their earnings guidance.

Lockheed's profit was $729 million, or $1.68 per share, versus $568 million, or $1.29 a year earlier, the Bethesda, Maryland-based company said in its earnings release. Sales rose 6 percent to $10.84 billion. Analysts had been expecting profit of $1.46 and sales of $10.77 billion, Thomson Financial said.

The company raised its profit forecast for the year to $5.80 to $6 per share, from its previous guidance in October to reflect improved performance in its aeronautics business. Revenue is seen at $40.25 billion to $41.25 billion. Analysts had expected profit of $5.87 on revenue of $41.6 billion.

``We've had very consistent program performance and execution,'' Lockheed CFO Christopher Kubasik told Bloomberg News. ``One thing we're striving for is perfect execution on all 3,000 of our programs. When you meet your deadlines and deliver products and services on time and on budget, you see the contribution to the bottom line.''

Northrop's profit rose to $453 million, or $1.28 per share, compared with $331 million, or 92 cents, the Los Angeles-based company said. Revenue jumped to $8.02 billion from $7.67 billion. Profit from continuing operations was $1.29, beating Wall Street expectations for profit of $1.26, according to Thomson Financial.

The company's guidance for 2007 was $4.80 to $5.05 per share on sales of $31 billion to $32 billion. Analysts had expected profit of $4.85 on sales of $31.8 billion.

Lockheed Martin, Northrop post big profits originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 25 Jan 2007 09:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.