defensivestocks posts

Feed

Boeing (BA) to take its ball and go home

Boeing (NYSE: BA) lost its bid for the new Air Force tanker to Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC). The aircraft builder was able to get the process re-opened and now has a shot at getting the business that was awarded to Northrop.

Winning another chance at the big contract is not enough. According to The Wall Street Journal, "Boeing Co. said it is inclined to bail out of its effort to win a $40 billion contract to build aerial refueling tankers for the U.S. Air Force unless the Pentagon agrees to give it a total of six months to submit a new bid."

Boeing claims that it will take a long time to figure out how to configure one of its airplanes to haul the amount of jet fuel required by the Air Force.

The request is bogus. Boeing has been through the bidding process for the tanker once before. The idea that the company did not understand the specifications is remarkable.

Boeing may be trying to gain time to shave some of its costs off the project so that it can bring the price of its bid down. It should have done that in the first round. There is no reason it should get that additional time.

It is no wonder Northrop got the original approval, and it is likely to get it again in this round.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

PepsiCo not backing down from its previous guidance

PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP), major rival of Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO), is letting the investing world know that it's doing fine. In one of the shortest press releases I've ever read, management at the beverage maker let shareholders in on the fact that it intends to reiterate guidance at The Deutsche Bank Global Consumer and Food Retail Conference that takes place next week in Paris. PepsiCo believes it's still good for $3.72 per share in earnings for the fiscal year.

When the world seems to be heading for the dark pits of economic hell, it's nice to know that PepsiCo expects to be able to stay the course and deliver on an earlier forecast. After all, with all this talk of inflation, one would have to wonder how companies like PepsiCo and Coke can possibly remain stable given the difficult input-cost environment. The big question on my mind is how high these two companies might rise during the summer, since they are considered defensive plays. They didn't seem defensive at all on Wednesday during the Dow's 200-point bleed, but my gut is telling me they might be good short-term plays.

They certainly are excellent long-term plays, and while I own Coke, I'll concede that right now, in terms of P/E ratios and dividend yields, an investor wouldn't go wrong with either. And, yes, I'll further concede that one gets an added bonus with PepsiCo since it owns the strong Frito-Lay salty-snack business. But with both stocks down over the last six months (As of this writing, PepsiCo is down more than 11% for the six-month period while Coke is down more than 9%), and with problems in the markets, they might be interesting ideas right now. Again, though, the effect of input costs must be part of your due diligence before buying.

Disclosure: I own shares of Coke; positions can change at any time.

Diageo (DEO): Toast to spirits

"Diageo (NYSE: DEO) is the world's biggest spirits company with operations in over 180 countries," notes Alexander Green. The contributing editor to The Money Map Report explains, "Diageo is a non-cyclical, recession-proof
stock we can count on to deliver solid results no matter which way the global economy heads."

The advisor explains, "The company's brands are some of the oldest and most successful: Smirnoff vodka, Guinness stout, Bailey's Original Irish Cream, J&B and Johnnie Walker Scotch whiskies, Jose Cuervo tequila, Captain Morgan rum and Tanqueray gin – among others.

"For the first six months of fiscal year 2008, the company beat expectations. Sales rose by 5.7%. Earnings advanced almost twice as fast, hitting $2 billion. And dissecting the results further reveals continued strength in international and emerging markets, with operating profits up 20%.

Continue reading Diageo (DEO): Toast to spirits

Kimberly-Clark's Q1 earnings: Perfect for defensive investing

Kimberly-Clark (NYSE: KMB) reported for the first quarter today. Net sales increased almost 10% to $4.8 billion. Adjusted earnings per share increased 5% to $1.08. That's a rather small jump, granted, but you know something, it was enough to keep the stock in the green (at the time of this writing, at least) instead of in the red on a day when the major market averages -- and just about all of the stocks in my personal portfolios -- are bathing in the evil crimson color of doom. And according to Briefing.com, Kimberly-Clark played the beat-the-expectations game and won by the proverbial penny! Shareholders should be pleased.

A non-pleasing item to be found in the release centers on cash from operations -- it decreased by about $100 million to $426 million due to changes in working capital. That doesn't concern me so much right now, though, since Kimberly-Clark will probably do well over the coming years in terms of cash generation. The company, by the way, has been repurchasing stock, so management seems pleased with the shares as a potential investment idea.

Kimberly-Clark, which is a consumer-products business in the league of entities such as Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG), Energizer (NYSE: ENR), Colgate-Palmolive (NYSE: CL), and Unilever (NYSE: UL), could be a value right now based on its P/E ratio and dividend yield. Out of the stocks mentioned here, I like P&G the best, but I do respect Kimberly-Clark -- in fact, it was mentioned recently in an article by Steven Halpern that centered on an analyst's picks for quality and yield.

Disclosure: I don't own shares in any of the companies mentioned; positions can change at any time.

Kraft has to raise prices, but people have to eat!

Kraft Foods, Inc. (NYSE: KFT) is in a bit of a pickle. As the following article makes clear, the company knows it has to raise prices. There's just no choice in the matter. Commodity input costs are on the rise, and something has to give. But the problem is, consumers not only have to pay more for Kraft foodstuffs, they have to ante up more of the green stuff for everything else too -- fuel for the car, heating oil for the home, you know the drill.

If you're a Kraft shareholder, should this concern you? What about if you own other consumer-oriented stocks based on the supermarket shelves that are feeling the inflationary pinch, companies such as General Mills, Inc. (NYSE: GIS) -- which reported earnings today -- or Kellogg Company (NYSE: K), or maybe even beverage businesses like The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE: KO) or PepsiCo, Inc. (NYSE: PEP)? Well, it should, of course. Inflation is no fun, and with the price of oil hitting new highs recently, a trend that seems very much intact, consumers will be strapped. In fact, Kraft is now trying to make up for lower volumes by raising the cost of its goods; this isn't ideal, perhaps, but Rick Searer, who is the president of Kraft North America, brings up an almost humorous point -- "consumers have to eat." I have yet to meet one that doesn't, come to think of it!

But I think the consumer companies are relatively sophisticated with their data-analysis protocols and are, perhaps, a bit more nimble in terms of deducing what shoppers want to buy for purposes of stocking their pantries. At least, I would hope they are -- we've been hearing about better data-mining techniques for years. Kraft obviously will promote a wait-and-see attitude in terms of the consumer and her reaction to the recession, but I don't think shareholders should be overly worried at this point. A lot of these defensive names have international exposure and stand to benefit from the falling dollar, for one thing. For another, we all have to eat! And since the defensive names generally have dividend yields, they tend to be safer bets during a recession; don't think they can't fall, though, because they can. One just hopes they don't fall as much as, say, your typical financial entity or a broad market index.

Disclosure: I own shares of Coca-Cola; positions can change at any time.

Contrarian bites into Hershey (HSY)

"It's time to go value investing," says contrarian Eric Roseman, adding, "It's time to sink your teeth into America's oldest confectionary company" -- The Hershey Corporation (NYSE: HSY).

The editor of the industry-leading Commodity Trend Alert explains, "We love chocolate and want to own a great brand name that is likely to be acquired or partially acquired by a competitor at this low price." Here is his review.

"There's nothing more satisfying than a candy bar -- well, almost. I get even more excited about finding a great company or, in this case, a chocolate franchise selling at a distressed price, paying a nice dividend and home to shareholder activists seeking to boost their return on equity.

"We have regularly sought to identify distressed or contrarian blue chip stocks since 2001. The bottom line has to be deep-value and a strong catalyst for change as corporate earnings perform a 360-degree turn.

"Over the last two years, Hershey's common stock has been a real dog. HSY has shed almost half of its value since 2006, as investors grow frustrated with its board, ownership structure, faltering sales and a rudderless earnings strategy.

Continue reading Contrarian bites into Hershey (HSY)

Investors: Running for recessionary cover since the peak

Recently, Merrill Lynch's chief North American economist David Rosenberg (and a few others) have taken the plunge saying that a recession is now underway in the United States. But that doesn't mean they were necessarily first to make the call.

If you look at how various sectors have performed since the S&P 500 index hit a closing peak of 1565.15 on October 9, it seems like investors, collectively speaking at least, were ahead of the forecasters.

From the point the market reversed and began the descent that has continued into 2008, some of the best performing groups have been those that are generally seen as "defensive," including utilities, consumer staples and health care.

Continue reading Investors: Running for recessionary cover since the peak

Goldman recession forecast can't be ignored

On Wall Street, there are forecasts...and then there are forecasts that investors/readers ignore only at their peril.

Put investment banking giant Goldman Sachs decidedly in the later category.

On Wednesday, Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) said the U.S economy is probably slipping into a recession, and also predicted that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut its benchmark interest rate, the Fed funds rate, substantially, to 2.5% from 4.25% by third quarter, Bloomberg News reported.

Goldman, which projects an anemic 0.8% growth rate for the U.S. economy for all of 2008, also said it expects the Fed to lower its key interest rate to 3% by the middle of 2008, Bloomberg News reported.

To counteract the effects of the housing's sector's correction and other drags on the U.S. economy, including high energy prices, the Fed has cut benchmark interest rates three times since September.. The Fed Funds rate, the rate banks charge each other, now stands at 4.25%, and the discount rate, the rate the Fed charges banks for short-term loans, is at 4.50%. The Fed also set up a special term auction facility to help banks maintain short-term liquidity.

Continue reading Goldman recession forecast can't be ignored

Kroger is the defensive play that's right down the street

The market's choppy / consolidating pattern continues, suggesting the need for a defensive play or two (or perhaps more) as the new year begins. Further, there are few defensive plays better than a grocery store chain, and in this category Kroger is worth a review.

The Kroger Co. (NYSE: KR) is the nation's largest grocery chain, boasting more than 2,400 stores, with the typical format being food/drug store combination stores.

Analysts see modest sales growth in 2008 of 4-7% but margins should widen, due to Kroger's ability to pass on product cost increases, and a more-modest advertising budget.

In general, analysts also sense that Kroger is in-tune with competitive pressures in the grocery chain segment - - improving customer service levels and the overall shopping experience. Further, look for KR's private label items to play a larger role in revenue, particularly as some consumers switch down to generic brands in 2008 to reduce their food costs. The Reuters FY 2008/FY 2009 EPS consensus estimates for KR are $1.69 to $1.89.

Continue reading Kroger is the defensive play that's right down the street

Avon starts to connect with homes, globally

Don't think of Avon (NYSE: AVP) as that traditional door-to-door cosmetics company. Avon has entered the globalization and digital age.

Avon is in the midst of a restructuring aimed at increasing efficiency and widening the company's sales venues, and so far, so good.

Direct selling (5.3 million representatives) continues to be Avon's base, but catalogs, mall kiosks, a day spa, and a web site create a diverse retail presence.

Avon has also reduced its costs by moving manufacturing to lower-cost regions in the world, and via sales force productivity increases. Meanwhile, the company has amped-up its product base (cosmetics, fragrances, toiletries, jewelry, apparel, and home furnishings) as part of it plan to attract younger customers and to expand its global operations footprint.

Further, analysts are keeping an eye on marketing costs, which always increase in any brand expansion plan. Provided that expenses don't get out of hand, margins should improve in 2008 - a major reason why the stock's appeal is increasing in Wall Street circles. The Reuters F2007/F2008 EPS consensus estimates for Avon are $1.50/$2.08.

The First Call mean rating for the stock is: Buy. [16 firms.] Mean 2008 target: $46.70. [high: $55, low: $39.]

Stock Analysis: Avon is a moderate-risk stock not suitable for low-risk investors. Investors with an investment horizon longer than 1 year should be rewarded by Avon's shares. Sell / Stop Loss if you were to purchase shares in this company: $26.

Defensive stocks: Aetna's steady earnings

Given the current choppy, consolidating market conditions, adding a few defensive plays is a prudent tack. Among insurers, Aetna Inc. (NYSE: AET) is worth a review.

Aetna's wide product offerings and comprehensive coverage is an operational strength, as is its geographic footprint. These factors, along with cost controls, should enable Aetna to maintain solid earnings growth in 2007-2009. The Reuters F2007/F2008 EPS estimates for AET are $3.43/$3.89.

What should one not expect from Aetna? Ill-conceived, poorly-researched endeavors. Aetna is a deliberate, move-forward-cautiously operation with a corporate culture that reflects many of the values of the land of steady habits, its home state of Connecticut. Aetna's shares rose $2.08 to $54.98 in Thursday afternoon trading.

Continue reading Defensive stocks: Aetna's steady earnings

ConocoPhilips (COP): oil company as defensive play

With the stock market in a choppy/consolidation mode (or perhaps worse), it's a good time to consider defensive/consumer plays. Over the next two weeks we'll review several battle-tested blue chips which fit the aforementioned bill, and that may warrant inclusion into your portfolio.

In choppy markets combined with elevated oil prices, the integrated oil sector has appeal, and among these ConocoPhilips (NYSE: COP) is worth a review.

Conoco, with proven reserves of 35 billion barrels of oil, has the oil assets, upstream production and -- equally important -- downstream refining capacity to benefit from both oil's current high price and its likely, continued upward price arc. Contributions from its Burlington Resources acquisition should maintain double digit oil production increase for years, but COP's 12 U.S. refineries represent the most compelling fundamental statistic for the next 3-5 years ahead. COP has a $3 billion plan in place to expand the company's ability to refine heavy sour crude oils.

Continue reading ConocoPhilips (COP): oil company as defensive play

Defensive stocks in a crummy market

What happens when the stock market gets ugly and people start panicking? Once the logic prevails, investors gravitate toward defensive stocks. These are generally the ones you eat, drink, and smoke, or the drugs you need as well as the personal care products you use. Here are four of the top picks from my 17 defensive stocks, which are performing far better than the market today. These stocks have the lowest P/E ratios and the most stable income streams (in alphabetical order):
  • Altria (NYSE: MO) ($67.83; -$0.44; -0.6%) has a 14 P/E ratio and a 4.4% dividend yield. This was also one of Cramer's TOP 2007 PICKS, but for different reasons.
  • Anheuser-Busch (NYSE: BUD) ($49.92; +$0.20; +0.4%)as the beer drinkers play -- don't people drink more beer when they are stressed? The 18.9 P/E and the 2.7% dividend yield are better than most beverage plays.
  • ConAgra Foods (NYSE: CAG) ($25.53; -$0.04; -0.15%) has a 16+ P/E and its 2.8% dividend yield is higher than most food suppliers.
  • Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) ($61.76; +$0.10; +0.2%) as one of the more beaten up drug and medical names, plus the personal care products angle. The 17 P/E and the 2.7% dividend yield aren't going to kill you.
We are now in the perfect storm for a rate cut after the jobs numbers this morning posted the first drop in four years. Why does the phrase "Be careful what you wish for ..." keep ringing in my ears for all those who wished for a employment poor report so it would compel the Fed into a rate cut. Probably because the DJIA is down over 200 points today -- all of a sudden the weak data is too weak for comfort levels.

There are always other choices in smaller cap names, but investor mentality tends to go for the strength in numbers. Small caps may also not be familiar enough and so most tend to flock to the go-to names that are more established, hence defensive.

Jon C. Ogg produces the Special Situation Investing Nesletter and he does not own securities in the companies he covers.

Cramer gets defensive with Reynolds American (RAI), Altria (MO)

.Tonight on CNBC's MAD MONEY, Jim Cramer tauted Reynolds American (NYSE:RAI) as a high dividend stock with a safe yield that out pays US treasury yields. Even with the 5.5% yield he thinks this dividend is not at risk like some other high yield stocks. He sounded like he even likes it better than Altria (NYSE:MO) as the smokeless tobacco is doing well.

I have noted before about defensive stocks being the way to go and those companies' products are the ones you eat, drink, smoke, and use for critical personal hygiene (toilet paper, tooth paste, deodorant... you get the idea). We noted the sector back on our own list we titled "Defensive Stocks For A Crummy Market" recently, although we had others. Defensive investing is what investors will flock to when they have to own stocks but want to be a bit more conservative than chasing the "New Four Horsemen of Tech" or want to go for less aggressive picks than say his TOP NINE STOCKS for 2007.

Jon Ogg is a partner at 24/7 Wall St. and publisher of Special Situation Investing Newsletter. He does not own securities in the companies he covers.

Dow down 400 -- don't worry, you can be aggressive or defensive!

If you look at a 400+ point drop, it's usually scary. But longer-term investors get to make their picks and entry points on such days. We would look at the CBOE Volatility Index for an inference today and here is a full article from earlier with more details and exact reference to past VIX levels if you like to delve into the minutia that technical traders look into. The DJIA is now down over 400 points, and very few can accurately pick a bottom or a top. Calling for any exact level for a bottom or top is something that very few can do with success. It's finding your comfort zone and trying to get in a trend that is usually what is the most rewarding for investors.

Remember, there is always the "GO DEFENSIVE STRATEGY" in stock buying. If you will recall, we gave a list of many defensive stocks and even hit a list of second-line defensive stocks for a crummy market. If you want to be an aggressive buyer of individual stocks and say, "Damn the torpedoes, full speed ahead!" then you can probably always go back to Cramer's New Four Horsemen of Tech or can even go look at his top 9 picks for 2007.

Of the 30 DJIA components, six were in positive territory this morning. As of now, Proctor & Gamble (NYSE: PG) is the only one in positive territory. When was the last time you saw Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) down over 6% in a day? Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) and Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) shares are down roughly 3% today, but has the outlook for PCs and software really changed in the last week or so? With shares of McDonald's (NYSE: MCD) down almost 4%, you'd think the market is worried that they have subprime woes or super risky derivatives posing risk. Along with other financials Citigroup (NYSE: C) shares are down big with more than a 4% drop. Bear Stearns (NYSE: BSC) is down over 6.5% to a new year low, although it isn't a DJIA component.

Jon Ogg can be reached at jonogg@247wallst.com; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.

< Previous Page

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-74.9212,454.83
NASDAQ-1.852,837.53
S&P 500-2.861,317.82

Last updated: May 28, 2012: 09:07 AM

Hot Stocks

General Electric

19.20-0.05(-0.26)

Alcoa

8.630.00(0.00)

Apple Inc

562.29-3.03(-0.54)

Google Inc 'A'

591.53-12.13(-2.01)

Bank of America

7.15+0.01(+0.14)

Wal-Mart Stores

65.31+0.24(+0.37)

Exxon Mobil Corp

82.08-0.53(-0.64)

Ford

10.60+0.01(+0.09)

Citigroup

26.47-0.19(-0.71)

IBM

194.30-1.79(-0.91)

Yahoo

15.36+0.01(+0.07)

Starbucks

54.56-0.20(-0.37)

Microsoft

29.06-0.01(-0.03)

Home Depot

49.44-0.27(-0.54)

DailyFinance Headlines

AOL Business News

BioHealth Investor Headlines

Sponsored Links

My Portfolios

Track your stocks here!

Find out why more people track their portfolios on AOL Money & Finance then anywhere else.

BloggingStocks Partners

More from AOL Money & Finance

Page Loaded in 1338210453853 ms.