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Chasing Value: 2011 Stock Picks -- The Journey Begins

Telefonica logoIt's that time of year when I start thinking about my 2011 stock picks, and enough folks have been nudging me that I might as well get on with it. The list will not be finalized until the end of the month. During the interim time I will take readers through a number of possibilities, explaining the rational for my suggestions along the way and adding and subtracting until I get the list down to ten.

Today I will start by reviewing opportunities discussed in another post and determine which of these stocks might provide the best value. The list was originally cast as a globally diversified, large cap, dividend paying and relatively stable group of companies that would likely weather any storm. See: Chasing Value: Bonds, Gold, Stocks and Capital Flight

Continue reading Chasing Value: 2011 Stock Picks -- The Journey Begins

Chasing Value: Bonds, Gold, Stocks and Capital Flight

up arrowIt certainly is presumptuous, perhaps even self serving of me to assume the market is going higher in the face of so much uncertainty.

The reason I hold this belief is that so much money is sitting on the sidelines and much of it is getting restless. It's one thing for those on a fixed income to suffer because the Federal Reserve is keeping interest rates so low, but it is quite another thing to expect $2 trillion dollars of corporate cash to want to live like senior citizens. That cash is a bigger drag on earnings with each passing day.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Bonds, Gold, Stocks and Capital Flight

Chasing Value™: 2009 Results Crushed the S&P 500

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) logoI have always felt that for all the blabbing we do -- or blogging, in my case -- we should try as best we can to be accountable for our good and bad calls. This report is long overdue, but I will post it anyway since all of my past year's picks and results have been made public.

The market was very harsh in the early part of 2009, filling investors fear and trepidation, and sinking to a March 9, 2009 bottom. Perhaps some of the bleeding has stopped, but the economy has not healed as bears and bulls seem to carry the day, or every other day.

Continue reading Chasing Value™: 2009 Results Crushed the S&P 500

Chasing Value: Granny Said, 'It Has Turned into One Big Casino'

Here is a common sentiment about the stock market: "No fun at all. As I have said before, I believe it has turned into one big casino largely divorced from its original goal of providing capital to companies who produce something of value."

There's a lot of truth to what "granny" recently said to me in an e-mail. Fortunately she also noted "FYI Granny's up 5.86% + dividends." That would give her a gain of about 10% in the past ten months since I posted Where should granny put $50,000, suggesting a very conservative portfolio for an uncertain time.

Not only has she earned a very nice return, surpassing her CD account by 9.5% (20 fold), but she was able to do so with a great deal less volatility than the overall market most of us have lived through.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Granny Said, 'It Has Turned into One Big Casino'

Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 Part 8: Making some cuts

Today it's time to do some trimming of the fourteen stocks and four options on the contenders list. This review will prioritize the companies by price-to-book (P/B), price-to-sales (P/S) and return-on-equity (ROE). This does not preclude more possible stocks being added and the final list will not be done until the end of the month.

We will also compare recent stock prices to three-year highs to give us a relative idea where the stock floated in rosier times.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 Part 8: Making some cuts

Earnings highlights: Burger King, Dell, Dollar Tree, J. Crew, Staples, Toll Bros. ...

Here are some highlights from last week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Burger King, Dell, Dollar Tree, J. Crew, Staples, Toll Bros. ...

Diageo's 2010 forecast has investors crying in their beer

This morning, Diageo (NYSE: DEO), the world's largest spirits maker, announced that annual profit increased 7%. The company's net sales for the year increased 15% to 9.3 billion pounds thanks to solid performance in its international segments.

Diageo's sales increased during the past few quarters, thanks to investment in major brands like Johnny Walker, Guinness, and Smirnoff. This investment has helped the company weather the global economic downturn better than most of its major rivals.

Continue reading Diageo's 2010 forecast has investors crying in their beer

Diageo: Toast to growth & income

"Diageo (NYSE: DEO), the world's largest spirits maker, offers solid and safe dividend, as well as the potential for strong capital appreciation," says Louis Basenese.

The senior analyst for the prestigious The Oxford Club suggests, "Moreover, investors can also prepare for a US dollar decline by buying these shares." Here's his bullish outlook.

"Headquartered in London, roughly 70% of the company's sales come from outside the United States. So any dollar dip will increase the value of our ADRs.

"Moreover, management concedes that positive currency tailwinds in the other countries where Diageo sells spirits will help the company easily grow earnings by double digits this year.

Continue reading Diageo: Toast to growth & income

Chasing Value: Chinese buying into Diageo

It was announced today that China's sovereign wealth fund has acquired 1.1% of the worlds largest alcoholic beverages maker Diageo PLC (NYSE: DEO), a deal valued at $365 million.

  • "The move by China Investment Corp, which manages $200bn of the country's $2,132bn in foreign exchange reserves, makes the fund the UK-based groups' ninth-largest investor."

It was only last week I wrote about Diageo, stating: "the kind of stock you might pick if you only owned one stock in the universe"

Continue reading Chasing Value: Chinese buying into Diageo

Serious Money: Five more high yield, safe, diversified stocks -- Part 2

The market may be entering a more volatile period or it may just go sideways for a while. The last few weeks the market has been down. Maybe it is because the rapid rise mid-March through mid-June is forcing people to stop and take a breath, or perhaps it is because investors are having second thoughts about whether the "green shoots" Ben Bernanke spoke of in regards to a healing economy were really just weeds.

All in all, I still believe that there is opportunity in this market and I have been trying to point out how investors can get in with as little risk as possible, while being rewarded for their patience now, and when a recovery ensues ---- whenever that is. To this end, two weeks ago I posted Serious Money: Five high-yield, safe, diversified stocks and decided to follow up with another five I think will produce similar results.

Continue reading Serious Money: Five more high yield, safe, diversified stocks -- Part 2

Serious Money: Three stocks that beat the market

Despite what you here from almost all quarters about the market dropping ten percent or so, in what is deemed a bear market correction of our recent bear market rally, I will continue to buy into this market. Of course I will be selective, and as always be thinking long term. This has helped me substantially over the past ten months beating the market by a huge margin.

Keeping this in mind I examined my watch list for candidates that have been long term winners, and consistently beat the overall market using the Standard & Poors 500 index for comparison. The volatility in the market is certain to produce more buying opportunities.

Continue reading Serious Money: Three stocks that beat the market

Chasing Value: 2009 picks 731% better than S&P -- 2nd quarter review

The second quarter is now behind us and for the most part it was a positive one in terms of the market pushing higher almost 40%. This is the second review of my 2009 stock picks through June 30 (see: Chasing Value: 9 picks for 2009 -- APC, GE, ISRG, WFC and more). There was a lot of talk about green shoots this past quarter as Wall Street was looking for any small bit of optimistic data to support the market.

The federal printing presses continued to run at full speed pushing the dollar lower and oil prices higher. While the feds were printing money to cover their deficits, the States do not have that same luxury and many of them are having trouble balancing their budgets to the tune of billions of dollars.

Continue reading Chasing Value: 2009 picks 731% better than S&P -- 2nd quarter review

Sin stocks are blessed -- Diageo rewarding investors

This should not shock anyone that has followed the market for any length of time or is simply a student of human nature, but Diageo PLC (NYSE: DEO) the largest distiller and distributor of alcoholic beverages in the world is moving up when the market is moving down.

The London Financial Times under the headline Markets are giving the devil his due reports on two new independent US academic studies by Frank Fabozzi, a finance professor at Yale, and Harrison Hong, a Princeton professor, touting the benefits of investing in "sin stocks" associated with alcohol, tobacco and gaming. They surmise that many pension funds, and conservative investors "looking to maintain an aura of respectability." do not invest in these types of companies leaving them to others. These companies also tend to be more highly taxed and regulated, which limits competition somewhat.

Continue reading Sin stocks are blessed -- Diageo rewarding investors

Diageo buys drink mixer Stirrings

Signs of life in the merger and acquisitions industry are so scarce right now that this one will have to do: Diageo (NYSE: DEO) has acquired leading cocktail mixer producer Stirrings for an undisclosed sum. Prior to the deal, Diageo held a 20% stake in the company.

"This is a great opportunity to further grow the Stirrings brand and create more synergies with Diageo's array of leading spirits brands," said Larry Schwartz , President of Diageo USA. "As people entertain more at home, they are looking for an easy way to serve bar-quality cocktails and Stirrings fits squarely within our at-home strategy."

Continue reading Diageo buys drink mixer Stirrings

Food for thought: Best buys in food & beverage

In a difficult economic environment, it is often wise for investors to consider stocks in more defensive and relatively recession-resistant sectors. And one such area is food and beverage stocks.

As the long-standing market maxim goes, consumers can pull back on spending for vacations, remodeling, and new cars, but they still need to eat and drink.

In that light, I turned to nine leading newsletter advisors who serve up their current favorite ideas in the food and beverage sector:

Continue reading Food for thought: Best buys in food & beverage

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DJIA-89.2312,801.23
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Last updated: February 11, 2012: 06:15 AM

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