douglas mcintyre posts
FeedPosted Mar 3rd 2009 8:20AM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Apple Inc (AAPL), Amazon.com (AMZN)
Live Nation (NYSE: LYV), the big, famous concert promoter that counts Madonna as a member of its roster, reported dismal Q4 results on Monday after the bell. A huge write-down in goodwill related to a bad decline in market capitalization led to a loss per share of $4.33. That was many times more than the year-ago loss of 25 cents per share in the similar period. According to this source, Live Nation lost 89 cents per share on an adjusted basis. Wall Street was thinking that maybe the promoter would lose 22 cents per share. Quite the disparity there, eh?
Looking through the press release, I see that there's a lot going on in terms of acquisitions and adjustments. Overall, I came away less than thrilled with the business. I wasn't taken by the statement of cash flows, and I have to wonder how difficult it will be to close on the Ticketmaster (NASDAQ: TKTM) merger. There's talk of antitrust issues.
Continue reading Live Nation not so lively in Q4
Posted Feb 1st 2009 9:40AM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Yahoo! (YHOO), Pfizer (PFE), Home Depot (HD), McDonald's (MCD), American Express (AXP), Best Buy (BBY), Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY), Colgate-Palmolive (CL), Texas Instruments (TXN), Valero Energy (VLO), Eaton Corp (ETN), Delta Air Lines (DAL)
Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:
Continue reading Earnings highlights: Yahoo!, McDonald's, American Express, Pfizer, Delta and others
Posted Jan 31st 2009 3:10PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Amazon.com (AMZN), AT and T (T), Caterpillar (CAT), Boeing Co (BA), Hershey Co (HSY), Kimberly-Clark (KMB), Sun Microsystems (JAVA), Eastman Kodak (EK), QUALCOMM Inc (QCOM), Tyson Foods'A' (TSN), Freep't McMoRan Copper (FCX)
Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:
Continue reading Earnings highlights: Amazon, Boeing, Caterpillar, Hershey, AT&T and others
Posted Jan 31st 2009 8:40AM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Starbucks (SBUX), Ford Motor (F), 3M Corporation (MMM), Halliburton (HAL), Netflix, Inc. (NFLX), Altria Group (MO), Black and Decker (BDK), ConocoPhillips (COP), Procter and Gamble (PG), Verizon Communications (VZ), duPont(E.I.)deNemours (DD), Amgen Inc (AMGN), Honeywell Intl (HON), Wells Fargo (WFC)
Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:
Continue reading Earnings highlights: Ford, P&G, Wells Fargo, Starbucks, DuPont, Halliburton and others
Posted Jan 24th 2009 2:40PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Google (GOOG), eBay (EBAY), International Business Machines (IBM), Advanced Micro Dev (AMD), Southwest Airlines (LUV), Lockheed Martin (LMT), AMR Corp (AMR), UAL Corp (UAUA)
Continue reading Earnings highlights: eBay, Google, IBM, Southwest, UAL, AMR, Northern Trust and others
Posted Jan 24th 2009 9:40AM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Microsoft (MSFT), Apple Inc (AAPL), General Electric (GE), Johnson and Johnson (JNJ), Sony Corp ADR (SNE), Coach Inc (COH), Harley-Davidson (HOG), United Technologies (UTX), Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (POT)
Continue reading Earnings highlights: Apple, Microsoft, GE, Johnson & Johnson, Harley Davidson and others
Posted Nov 28th 2008 12:00PM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Wal-Mart (WMT), Target Corp. (TGT), Sears Holdings (SHLD)
Sears (NASDAQ: SHLD) is scheduled to report earnings for the third quarter on Tuesday, December 2. The expectation is for a loss of $0.49 per share. I think it's therefore safe to say that the retailer won't be turning a profit.
Sears has been one awful retail story as of late. Actually, just about every retailer has been awful as of late. It's no surprise, of course, considering the economy. But Sears has been experiencing challenges even beyond what can be explained by the economy. The company has been missing estimates, same-store sales haven't been great, and if you take the time to talk to people about Sears, or if you follow the comments of pundits, you'll sometimes note a tone of repulsion when it comes to the big chain.
I haven't been a fan of the shopping experience at Sears either, and it's been a very, very long time since I've stepped into a Kmart. In fact, there isn't a Kmart close to me. Eddie Lampert's enormous task of helping to turn this ship around is not one I envy. Of course, many retailers make the mistake of only focusing on merchandising in the stores and figuring out what should be in the weekly circulars. Don't get me wrong, that's important stuff. But Sears needs to engage a branding campaign to make people feel good about its stores, to feel confident about the shopping environment. When you look at TV ads by Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) and Target (NYSE: TGT), you can't help but marvel at the branding acumen of those retailers. Sears needs to get creative, too.
Continue reading Earnings preview: Will Sears surprise in Q3?
Posted Nov 22nd 2008 3:10PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Dell (DELL), Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), Home Depot (HD), McDonald's (MCD), Nokia Corp. (NOK), Lowe's Cos (LOW), Trina Solar ADS (TSL)
Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:
Continue reading Earnings highlights: Dell, Home Depot, Lowe's, PetSmart, Trina Solar and others
Posted Nov 22nd 2008 11:40AM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, PepsiCo (PEP), Walt Disney (DIS), Target Corp. (TGT), Corning Inc (GLW), Gap Inc (GPS), Intuit Inc (INTU), Limited Brands (LTD), salesforce.com inc (CRM)
Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:
Continue reading Earnings highlights: Target, Heinz, Barnes & Noble, Pepsi, Disney and others
Posted Oct 4th 2008 2:10PM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst reports, Microsoft (MSFT), Apple Inc (AAPL), Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), International Business Machines (IBM), Technology
I think IBM (NYSE: IBM), whose colleagues include Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) and Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ), is a great long-term idea. Unfortunately, it might be a bad short-term idea. According to news from earlier in the week, some analysts are speculating that Big Blue may miss earnings expectations for the third quarter.
The negative catalyst? You guessed it. The terrible economic calamity that is tearing down Wall Street institutions is threatening the iconic technology concern. Not even the Cloverfield monster could do as much damage to Wall Street as what has been done by those mutant-mortgage investment vehicles. Not even close. And the theory now is that IBM may become the victim of its exposure to both customers in the financial sector and to the financing it extends.
However, if you read a rebuttal by my colleague Douglas A, McIntyre, you'll see that he doesn't buy that IBM is going to miss come the next report. He brings up some good points. In fact, he brings up probably the best point there is: IBM hasn't warned yet, and if it needed to, it would have. So the stock sold off during the week in part because of all this debate about Q3. It begs the question: Does this sell-off make IBM a buy?
Continue reading IBM: A great company, but now may not be the time to buy
Posted Jun 21st 2008 1:40PM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Time Warner (TWX), Walt Disney (DIS), Viacom (VIA), Sony Corp ADR (SNE), News Corp'B' (NWS), Film
Steven Spielberg's DreamWorks baby is preparing to leave Viacom (NYSE: VIA). That sounds bad, doesn't it? I mean, Viacom should, in theory, be freaked out about losing the star asset.
Yet, an analyst working at JP Morgan has a different take on things. According to Bloomberg, Imran Khan thinks that DreamWorks may be perceived as an expensive business asset. He pointed out that the expenses associated with DreamWorks helped drive a 22% decline in operating income for Viacom's film division in 2007. He further pointed out that films with more modest budgets will aid in generating better returns and will, in fact, reduce the risk of investing in the movie business.
Khan is absolutely correct on his call. I've been talking about the need to reduce film budgets for a long time now, probably to the point where people are sick of me, so I'm always glad when I read an opinion such as this. Only problem is, will the studios listen? Well, they should. Disney (NYSE: DIS), Time Warner (NYSE: TWX), News Corp. (NYSE: NWS), and Sony (NYSE: SNE) would all benefit from increased financial restraint when it comes to the business plans of their respective film units.
Continue reading An analyst thinks Viacom can afford the loss of DreamWorks
Posted May 16th 2008 10:10AM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Deals, Internet, Viacom (VIA), CBS Corp 'B' (CBS)
So the big news on Thursday was CBS' (NYSE: CBS) hefty $1.8 billion purchase of CNET (NASDAQ: CNET). Douglas McIntyre already explained why this was such a "weird deal" in an excellent article that you can read here. I'd like to expand on that thinking a bit by asking if it should have been Viacom (NYSE: VIA), as opposed to CBS, in the buying seat.
Remember "old Viacom"? Old Viacom was composed of CBS and "new Viacom", the latter being the Viacom of today. I know, confusing, but that's how things are when a big media conglomerate splits in two. Anyway, there was a general mandate given to both companies, one that basically stated the logic of CBS being an entity that focuses on cash flows and dividend increases while new Viacom would focus on acquisitions to promote capital appreciation of the company's stock. Sure enough, the yield on CBS tells the tale perfectly.
So, I have to ask, what gives? I mean, a check of CBS' latest 10K shows that the broadcaster generated $2.2 billion in operational cash flow in 2007. I think paying $1.8 billion for anything, let alone a questionable asset vis a vis CBS' core media competencies, might be too much given CBS' mission to return a lot of value to shareholders over the long-term in the form of dividends.
Continue reading Should Viacom have bought CNET?
Posted Apr 29th 2008 3:48PM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Microsoft (MSFT), Sony Corp ADR (SNE), Best Buy (BBY), Electronic Arts (ERTS), Activision Inc (ATVI)
So Take-Two Interactive (NASDAQ: TTWO) is about to have one heck of a week. Tell me if I'm wrong, but I'm willing to bet everyone reading this knows that today is launch day for Grand Theft Auto IV on the Sony (NYSE: SNE) PlayStation 3 and Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) Xbox 360 consoles. And I'm sure there were many hardcore fans at Best Buy (NASDAQ: BBY) and GameStop (NYSE: GME) today, ready with cold-hard-cash in their hands to snag the software; in fact, this article talks about how some stores were open at midnight to satisfy the pent-up demand (remember, this title was delayed). And Douglas McIntyre discussed the game earlier today as being a potential barometer in terms of consumer confidence.
With all this incredible buzz, with the projection that GTA IV might move close to 10 million discs this year, should you be interested in taking on some Take-Two stock for your investment portfolio? The answer for me is no, Take-Two is not a buy here. Remember that we still have the whole arbitrage game going on with it since Electronic Arts (NASDAQ: ERTS) wants to buy the publisher; also recall that Take-Two is gunning for a higher offer and purposely delayed further negotiations until after the release of GTA IV. I sold my position when the whole buyout offer was made a while ago, and I'm still glad that I did -- for me, the trade was over at that point, and I was happy to simply own my Activision (NASDAQ: ATVI) shares.
Continue reading Should you buy Take-Two based on the Grand Theft Auto IV buzz?
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