Micron Technology (NYSE:
MU), the well-known DRAM manufacturer that has been expanding into new areas,
reported results last night that simply will not get anyone excited.
What was interesting is how much DRAM growth has slowed during the past ten years, with management forecasting bit consumption of just 5% to 20%, not high for an industry that showed bit growth closer to 50% during much of its existence. Since this is an industry that always shows price declines -- expecting a 10% drop in DRAM pricing in the current quarter -- this slowdown in volume growth is not good.
Hoping to offset a structural slow down in DRAM growth, MU has expanded into the image sensor and NAND flash memory business, two more commodity-chip products. Micron's strategy appears to be to invest in businesses that do not earn their cost of capital.
However, with that said, Micron is selling for 1.2x book value, which is at the lower end of its historical trading range. Also, the seasonally strong demand for these commodity products last into November. As
blogged yesterday, it is still worth a trade into November, when chip demand will moderate.