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DreamWorks Animation: Did It Deserve Wednesday's Selling Pressure?

DreamWorks sell offDreamWorks Animation (DWA), a cartoon studio that competes with Disney (DIS), News Corp. (NWS), and others, saw its stock sold off during Wednesday's market session. Wall Street was not excited by the latest earnings data. But does this mean the company should now be considered a pariah?

The stock closed yesterday at $41.38. This represented a decline of 98 cents, or 2.3%. The shares hit an intraday low of $40.07. Talk about pessimistic. Then again, maybe the pessimism will turn out to be short-term in nature. After all, the one-year chart reflects a bullish tone.

Continue reading DreamWorks Animation: Did It Deserve Wednesday's Selling Pressure?

Did DreamWorks Animation Fumble 'How to Train Your Dragon' Marketing?

While searching through the news, I caught an item highlighted by theflyonthewall. It was a piece on the economic science of advertising a feature movie. And it mentioned DreamWorks Animation's (DWA) How to Train Your Dragon. That film hasn't done as well as management probably expected; it certainly didn't do as well as the market expected, judging by the price action of DWA after the flick's first weekend at bat.

According to Reuters, all the studios are trying to deal with the inflationary aspects related to opening a movie. Whether you're a Disney (DIS) or a Time Warner (TWX), it makes no difference; if you want a big debut weekend for a tent-pole production, you're probably going to put a lot of capital to work (and, by definition, at risk).

Continue reading Did DreamWorks Animation Fumble 'How to Train Your Dragon' Marketing?

Time Warner and Lions Gate Clash at Box Office

What an interesting weekend at the box office. There was a lot to watch for those who invest in the media sector. Let's have a look at what went on.

First, Time Warner Inc. (TWX) scored with Clash of the Titans. I think most observers were expecting this one to reign supreme. According to estimates available at the time of this writing over at Box Office Mojo, Titans made over $60 million in the domestic marketplace. Shareholders are hoping that this will be the start of another good run for the studio. As you'll probably recall, Time Warner was very successful in the celluloid game during 2009.

Continue reading Time Warner and Lions Gate Clash at Box Office

Is Viacom a Trade After Barron's Piece?

Viacom (VIA.B) is getting some attention. According to reports, financial publication Barron's is enthusiastic about the value of the media company's shares. Indeed, Barron's makes a compelling case.

The price of the stock, in terms of the P/E ratio, does look rather inexpensive. When you put the P/E ratio against the technical strength of the shares, there's no way not to be intrigued. Viacom is up by a double-digit percentage on a year-to-date basis, and it isn't far from a 52-week high.

Continue reading Is Viacom a Trade After Barron's Piece?

DreamWorks Animation: Dip an Opportunity?

DreamWorks Animation SKG, Inc. (DWA) is down today. Very down. At the time of this writing, shares of the animation studio were off well over 8%, and volume was pretty huge. The cartoon How to Train Your Dragon is not sitting well with Wall Street.

That's because the movie's opening gross apparently was much less than what analysts wanted to see. According to Box Office Mojo, Dragon, which is distributed by Viacom, Inc. (VIA), pulled in around $43 million at domestic theaters over the three-day weekend, making it the top project. The Walt Disney Company's (DIS) very successful Alice in Wonderland fell to second place.

Continue reading DreamWorks Animation: Dip an Opportunity?

DreamWorks Animation Has High Hopes for 'Dragon'

DreamWorks Animation (DWA) has an animated film coming to the the multiplexes next week. It's called How to Train Your Dragon. I have no idea what it's about (aside from the fact that it obviously involves training dragons). But I do know that a marketing transaction with Walmart (WMT) is making headlines.

According to a press release, Walmart and DreamWorks Animation apparently have come up with a very tightly coordinated plan to promote the project. There will be special sections dedicated to Dragon inside the stores. More than 100 licensed items will be lining the shelves. And some sort of event featuring a Viking vessel in Times Square will see what it can do to get potential ticket buyers interested in the flick.

Continue reading DreamWorks Animation Has High Hopes for 'Dragon'

IMAX Beats Estimates in a Big Way

IMAX (IMAX) issued its Q4 report yesterday. The stock was slightly weak after the market digested the earnings release: it ended the session down 1%. I'm not sure, though, if traders should give up on the stock just yet.

On an adjusted basis, the company behind the big, theatrical 3D format made 20 cents per diluted share. In the previous year's similar quarter, a loss of 22 cents per diluted share was booked. Awesome improvement. As for the analysts, they simply couldn't keep up with the momentum. According to Earnings.com, they were expecting something closer to 6 cents for the income figure.

Continue reading IMAX Beats Estimates in a Big Way

DreamWorks Animation: Risky After Q4 Report?

DreamWorks Animation (DWA) continues to post evidence that its business model of building animated franchises should be a robust driver of solid shareholder value. It isn't without risk, of course; when you're dealing with Hollywood, failure scenarios are a constant threat. For now, though, the company's fourth-quarter results, released Tuesday after the bell, show a studio with future promise.

It's true that the quarter itself didn't show growth. Revenues took a modest dip, and earnings per share dropped 14% to 50 cents. However, estimates indicated a much more pessimistic outlook at 37 cents per share. And for the twelve-month period, growth actually was produced, as net income rose 10% to $1.73 per share.

Continue reading DreamWorks Animation: Risky After Q4 Report?

THQ Reports Adjusted Profit in Q3

THQ (THQI), a video game publisher whose colleagues include Activision Blizzard (ATVI) and Electronic Arts (ERTS), reported very good news this week. For the third quarter, non-GAAP income was 35 cents per share. In the comparable frame, a loss of 14 cents per share was posted.

This obviously represents a vast improvement, although it should be noted that it didn't come on the back of a big sales increase. On a reported basis, the top line was flat, and on a non-GAAP basis, it was down more significantly. This is important to note, because it would have been nice to have read about a revenue expansion, considering the way the gaming industry has been suffering.

Continue reading THQ Reports Adjusted Profit in Q3

Time to buy DreamWorks Animation?

DreamWorks Animation (DWA), a producer of computer-animated movies that competes with Disney (DIS), News Corp. (NWS), and others, closed about a nickel away from the 52-week high on Monday. At $39.20, is the stock getting ahead of itself?

Possibly, but there's much to consider with this situation. Although I don't relish looking at stocks when they've already made a move, you have to give some credit to DreamWorks Animation and its film-franchise business model. Indeed, the company is creating valuable intellectual properties capable of spinning off future sequels for purposes of capturing cash flow. Not only that, but television is set to become a larger part of the business plan.

Continue reading Time to buy DreamWorks Animation?

DreamWorks Animation ready to rise?

DreamWorks Animation (NYSE: DWA) received a nice gift from Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) today. The cartoon studio has been put on the institution's famous Americas Conviction Buy list, according to an article out on Reuters.

Goldman Sachs believes that the company should see a lot of prosperity in the next six months. The stock might even rise as high as $45 per share, if the price target is to be believed. The premium attached to 3-D movie tickets is part of the thesis here. As well as something else, something a lot more powerful: the franchise value of Shrek.

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News Corp.'s 'Ice Age' sequel proves Pixar isn't only game in town?

I read a surprising article over at Boxofficemojo by Brandon Gray. The author highlighted the foreign financial performance of News Corp.'s (NASDAQ: NWS) computer-animated cartoon Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs, the third entry in the popular franchise. Amazingly, Dinosaurs has now grossed $667 million at theaters outside the domestic market.

What's so interesting about that? Well, it means that the project now occupies third place on the all-time foreign chart. Gray says the number-one film on this chart is Titanic, which was a co-production between News Corp. and Viacom (NYSE: VIA). Coming in second is Time Warner's (NYSE: TWX) The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King.

Continue reading News Corp.'s 'Ice Age' sequel proves Pixar isn't only game in town?

DreamWorks Animation's Q2: No growth, but acceptable quarter

DreamWorks Animation (NYSE: DWA), a studio that battles against Disney (NYSE: DIS), News Corp. (NASDAQ: NWS), Time Warner (NYSE: TWX), and Sony (NYSE: SNE) in the highly competitive world of computer-generated cartoons, published its second-quarter earnings earlier in the week. They didn't scream to the world "we're a growth company!", but looks might be deceiving. The company seems to be doing fine, and you most likely would do well to take a long-term approach with this business.

Earnings came in at 30 cents per share. You probably won't like that earnings were 30 cents per share in the year-ago period as well. Agreed: 0% growth doesn't give a shareholder a whole lot to jump up and down about. Thing is, though, that DreamWorks Animation basically wants to hold its own until the next big catalyst. The home-video release of the studio's latest theatrical production, Monsters vs. Aliens, is slated for release in the early fall. So, from that point of view, maybe we can cut the company some slack.

Continue reading DreamWorks Animation's Q2: No growth, but acceptable quarter

Should DreamWorks Animation make more movies?

Recently, DreamWorks Animation (NYSE: DWA) announced that it would be making more movies. According to the press release, the move calls for five movies every two years. The plan would be for one year to have the normal two projects, while the next year would have three releases.

This is an interesting scheme. It has many implications. First, it means that CEO Jeffrey Katzenberg is extremely confident in his company's ability to produce compelling content. Second, it means that he believes that 3D theaters will be more important than ever in the near future. Third, it is a direct attack against Disney's (NYSE: DIS) Pixar asset. DreamWorks Animation is, without a doubt, becoming much more cutthroat in its competitive stance.

Continue reading Should DreamWorks Animation make more movies?

Was 'Wolverine's' box office that great?

It was a great weekend for comic book fans. First, Saturday was Free Comic Book Day. I hope you were able to celebrate (I did!). Second, Marvel's (NYSE: MVL) X-Men Origins: Wolverine, licensed to and distributed by News Corp. (NASDAQ: NWS), opened on Friday.

As expected, it completely annihilated the competition (I would have said clawed the competition, but I'm sure that pun has already been done to death by now) at the domestic box office over the weekend.

Continue reading Was 'Wolverine's' box office that great?

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