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DreamWorks Animation Drops After Earnings: Buying Opportunity?

DreamWorks Animation (DWA) was trading lower this afternoon in response to the company's latest earnings report which was released yesterday after the bell. At the time of this writing, the stock was down 2.4% to $27.43. That might sound bad, but it's actually a higher price than the intraday low of $26.71 (for further perspective, consider that the 52-week low for the shares is $26.61).

According to the Associated Press, the cartoon studio made an adjusted 47 cents per share. Oh man, know what the overall estimate was? Try 75 cents per share. Huge disparity. Honestly, I'm shocked the stock didn't drop beyond the 52-week low today based on such performance.

Continue reading DreamWorks Animation Drops After Earnings: Buying Opportunity?

Time Warner's Latest 'Potter' Doesn't Surprise

I don't think anyone can be shocked by the latest results from the movie world. The fact that Time Warner Inc.'s (TWX) Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 captured the top spot was a predestined event. And the fact that it made the most money of any Potter film in its debut, as many news reports have mentioned, is also, frankly, not a surprise.

According to Box Office Mojo, Hallows Part 1 grossed $125 million at domestic theaters. This data set shows how that figure compares to the opening performance of the other entries in the series. It's impressive, certainly, but again, considering that the Potter projects have almost reached a conclusion (presumably, anyway), it seems fitting that there's a lot of excitement surrounding the release.

Continue reading Time Warner's Latest 'Potter' Doesn't Surprise

DreamWorks Animation's 'Megamind' Retains Top Spot

MegamindDreamWorks Animation's (DWA) Megamind movie didn't have such a great debut last weekend, in my opinion. This weekend, however, I have to give it at least some credit: It once again captured the top spot at domestic theaters. Box Office Mojo says that the project made $29 million from Friday through Sunday, bringing the total gross so far to nearly $89 million.

Don't expect me to jump up and down for joy, though -- and I highly doubt shareholders of the studio are happy that the film didn't at least crack the $100 million mark by this point.

Continue reading DreamWorks Animation's 'Megamind' Retains Top Spot

A Look at Three Stocks: ATVI, DWA, INTC

There are always interesting stories in the marketplace. Today, I'm going to briefly comment on the price movements of three that I am watching.

Activision Blizzard (ATVI) is currently down 3% to $11.52, with significant volume backing the sell-off. Down, is that right, you ask? Yes, I'm afraid it is. I know: Call of Duty: Black Ops is doing excellent business. Millions of copies have been sold, and hundreds of millions of dollars have been grossed. Unfortunately, when it comes to trading on such news, the best bet is to sell out on any anticipatory rise that manifests itself before the event finally occurs.

Continue reading A Look at Three Stocks: ATVI, DWA, INTC

Market Down on DreamWorks Animation After 'Megamind' Debut

I'm sure execs at DreamWorks Animation (DWA) know it's tough to be a publicly-traded content company that is more directly tied to the film business than a huge conglomerate is; if they didn't, they know it today. No matter how great management thinks the next project is, moviegoers may simply not send it into the stratosphere in terms of the first-weekend gross.

Such is the case with DreamWorks Animation's latest project, Megamind. At first glance, it seems like an awesome hit. According to estimates over at Box Office Mojo, the cartoon came in first place at domestic theaters over the three-day period, beating out other new films from Time Warner (TWX) and Lions Gate Entertainment (LGF).

Continue reading Market Down on DreamWorks Animation After 'Megamind' Debut

DreamWorks Animation's Q3: Buy on the Numbers?

DreamWorks Animation (DWA) reported third-quarter earnings earlier in the week. It's one of those fun stocks that investors like to check out (I like checking it out, at least). I'm sure a lot of market participants would love to find an excuse to add the stock to a trading portfolio, mostly because the idea that it will be purchased by some bigger entity is perhaps too big to ignore.

At the time of this writing, shares were exchanging hands at a quote of $35.23, which meant that they were down less than 1%. The 52-week low is $26.61 while the 52-week high is $44.77. As the one-year chart shows, the technical story is not as attractive as the computer-generated images produced by the company.

Continue reading DreamWorks Animation's Q3: Buy on the Numbers?

DreamWorks Animation: Time for a Buy Out?

DreamWorks DWA logoHere's a very interesting item from Theflyonthewall concerning DreamWorks Animation (DWA). It appears that the cartoon concern possibly isn't so fond of being a standalone entity any longer. Instead, it might want to be purchased by another media player. Comcast (CMCSA) was mentioned as a potential suitor.

There's some confusion, however, over this topic; it's not clear whether Jeffrey Katzenberg, the CEO of DreamWorks Animation, approached Comcast or Comcast approached Katzenberg.

Continue reading DreamWorks Animation: Time for a Buy Out?

Four Risky Stocks for the Fourth: ANF, BBY, DWA, NWS

Independence Day picksIt's the Fourth of July. Time to declare your independence from fear. Specifically, the fear of holding risk in your portfolio. Ergo, I list four stocks here that investors should perhaps keep on a watch list. The choice is yours, but maybe you might find something of interest in these four.

Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF): This stock is most definitely a risk, make no mistake about it. Being a retailer based on fashion, how can it not be in the current climate? Yet, back in May, the company's first-quarter numbers didn't seem so bad (although they didn't comprise the best data set I've ever seen, either). And the one-year chart shows that Friday's closing price of $31.11 is getting close to recent support levels.

Continue reading Four Risky Stocks for the Fourth: ANF, BBY, DWA, NWS

'Shrek' Surprises in Third Weekend

Shrek 4 posterDreamWorks Animation's (DWA) Shrek Forever After is an overall disappointment (in my opinion, at least) because of its relatively weak opening theatrical gross, but I am impressed by its third-weekend performance. According to early estimates at Box Office Mojo, the cartoon, distributed by Viacom (VIA), is in the top spot yet again. It took in $25 million at domestic theaters, and its total gross so far stands at over $180 million.

Surprisingly, Get Him to the Greek, from General Electric's (GE) Universal Pictures, made only $17 million. That was good for second place, but I thought it would have easily done over $20 million. Universal has to be at least a little down on this debut, but I knew the project's relatively low budget, which is reportedly $40 million, would offer some room for spinning. This Reuters article quotes an exec doing just that.

Continue reading 'Shrek' Surprises in Third Weekend

Disney's 'Prince' Turns Out to Be a Frog

Last week, I said DreamWorks Animation (DWA) bombed with Shrek Forever After. This week, it's the Mouse's turn to fail miserably. Disney (DIS) was supposed to have a blockbuster on its corporate hands in Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time, a project that was produced by Jerry Bruckheimer, the same man who turned Pirates of the Caribbean into a major film franchise.

After looking at the Friday-through-Sunday estimates, I can see that the company has nothing on its corporate hands, unfortunately. According to early numbers from Box Office Mojo available at the time of this writing, Persia settled for third place with $30 million.

Continue reading Disney's 'Prince' Turns Out to Be a Frog

DreamWorks Animation Bombs with 'Shrek'

Shrek 4 posterJeffrey Katzenberg, CEO of DreamWorks Animation (DWA), must be feeling just awful. The new Shrek bombed. There's no way to spin the statistic (although I can't wait to see how the company tries). According to early estimates at Box Office Mojo, Shrek Forever After grossed $71 million at domestic theaters over the three-day weekend. Why is this so bad? It was number one, after all.

To begin with, big tent-pole pictures are in trouble if they don't score over $100 million in their debut spots. It's simply the way it is. Beyond that, you have to check out what the first Shrek made back in 2001 during its opening: that flick captured $42.3 million. You mean to tell me the fourth in the series couldn't make at least double what the original did? If it had to bomb, it could have bombed a little less severely, don't you think?

Continue reading DreamWorks Animation Bombs with 'Shrek'

Thoughts from the Week: Stocks I've Been Wrong On

Well, it's time to own up to some mistakes. I've been wrong on a few stocks. Sure, the market has been volatile, and perhaps my ideas will eventually bear fruit, but it doesn't matter. When you're timing is off, it's off. And I've got to admit it.

Where shall I begin? Let's go with Disney (DIS). I've been bullish on Disney. Like many of the analysts on Wall Street, I became infatuated with the prospects for the Mouse's studio operations. A little too infatuated, I think. I kept throwing around this $40 personal price target. My rationale? Perhaps it turned out to be too simplistic; I basically said that, because Iron Man 2, Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time and Toy Story 3 were all ready to reign supreme at the box office, traders would become excited and more than willing to fulfill the promise of the one-year chart and keep the technicals moving in a positive direction.

Continue reading Thoughts from the Week: Stocks I've Been Wrong On

Analyst Calls: MA, FRO, NITE, RDS.A, CCL, DWA, VLCM, WEN, C, PG, ENOC ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • Janney Montgomery upgraded MasterCard (MA) to buy from neutral. The firm has a $250 price target on the stock.
  • Lazard upgraded Frontline (FRO) to hold from sell following the better than expected Q1 report.
  • Knight Capital (NITE) was upgraded at BMO Capital to outperform from market perform. The firm cites valuation and improved fundamentals for the downgrade. The firm has an $18 price target on the stock.
  • Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A) was upgraded to overweight from equal weight at Barclays.
  • Carnival (CCL) was upgraded to neutral from sell at Goldman.
  • Computer Sciences (CSC) was upgraded to buy from hold at Stifel Nicolaus.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: MA, FRO, NITE, RDS.A, CCL, DWA, VLCM, WEN, C, PG, ENOC ...

Iron Man 2: A Hero Again for Disney

Iron Man 2 top movie for second weekend Disney's (DIS) Iron Man 2 did it again. According to early estimates from the Associated Press (which could change once final numbers are issued, like they did last time around), the superhero flick, which is distributed by Viacom (VIA), captured $53 million over the weekend at domestic theaters, making it the top feature once again.

The new Robin Hood picture, starring Russell Crowe and brought to multiplexes by General Electric's (GE) Universal Pictures, came in second with what I thought was a weak $37 million.

Continue reading Iron Man 2: A Hero Again for Disney

'Iron Man 2' Tops at Theaters: What About Disney Stock?

Disney (DIS) purchased Marvel Entertainment last year, and the first release since that corporate marriage was consummated, Iron Man 2, opened this past weekend at domestic theaters. The project dominated the screens, as it was expected to do. According to estimates at Box Office Mojo, the movie, which is distributed by Viacom (VIA), brought in about $133 million.

The rest of the weekend's features all made less than $10 million; talk about an unfair fight. Time Warner's (TWX) A Nightmare on Elm Street came in second with $9 million. DreamWorks Animation's (DWA) How to Train Your Dragon, also distributed by Viacom, was third, grossing over $6 million. News Corp.'s (NWS) Date Night took up the fourth spot, while CBS (CBS) Films and The Back-Up Plan did enough business to secure position number five.

Continue reading 'Iron Man 2' Tops at Theaters: What About Disney Stock?

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DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 12, 2012: 12:16 PM

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