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Novartis (NVS): Big Pharma's best pipeline

"The pipelines of most Big Pharmas are bone dry; last year, the FDA approved the lowest number of new drugs (19) since 1983," notes Louis Basenese, editor of The Oxford Club.

"But opportunity always lurks in the wreckage, and one Big Pharma, in particular, is being unfairly punished." Here's his bullish outlook on Novartis (NYSE: NVS).

"Unlike others in the sector, Novartis doesn't suffer from an empty pipeline. It's launched more drugs globally than any other firm in the past seven years. It has more than 100 projects in phase II (or later) trials. And it expects to file at least six new drug applications this year alone.

"Plus, its products cover all bases, from vaccines to specialized drugs to generics to eye-care products, even animal health items. And most are enjoying rapidly expanding sales.

"Moreover, the company maintains a fortress-like financial position that includes a $10.8 billion cash horde. Management keeps raising the dividend, for 11 years and counting. And it recently announced a massive $9 billion stock-repurchase plan, too. Hardly the hallmarks of a sickly stock.

Continue reading Novartis (NVS): Big Pharma's best pipeline

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ): A 'triple-A' rated play

"Our portfolio has been notably light on pharmaceuticals and consumer products; we're rectifying that by buying Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)," says Gregory Dorsey in Leeb's Income Performance Letter.

"Getting a handle on exactly what the 122 year-old company markets is no easy task, given the broad scope of its product line-up. And to say that J&J has been a resounding success on the corporate
stage would be an understatement.

"Through its more than 250 operating businesses, the parent company lays claim to being, among other things: the world's premier consumer health company, the largest medical devices and diagnostics company, the third-largest biologics company and the sixth-largest pharmaceuticals company.

"While acquisitions have played an important role in making the company what it is today, J&J has also achieved these milestones through internal growth. It boasts 75 consecutive years of rising sales.

Continue reading Johnson & Johnson (JNJ): A 'triple-A' rated play

Turnaround time for drug stocks? 10 top picks

"You can invest for all the right reasons and still get the wrong result," notes long-standing turnaround stock expert George Putnam, referring to the poor performance of the pharmaceutical sector in recent years.

Here, in his industry-leading The Turnaround Letter, he offers a fascinating review of 10 leading drug stocks which he now believes offer a combination of growth potential at "pretty cheap" valuations. Here is his overview.

"In 2000 and 2001, when the Internet boom was becoming a bust, many smart investors turned away from technology stocks and put their money into drug stocks. How could you go wrong with the big pharmaceutical companies?

"Demand for their products was growing as the population aged. These companies had huge research
and development programs that seemed to keep cranking out new blockbuster drugs. And most of them had great balance sheets, with many paying handsome dividends.

"Much of this reasoning has been borne out in the intervening years. Many large drug manufacturers have rung up substantial revenue gains over the last decade. So what's happened to the big drug stocks? With few exceptions they have gone sideways or down – in some cases down a lot.

Continue reading Turnaround time for drug stocks? 10 top picks

Pfizer (PFE): 'Still a favorite'

"Although Pfizer (NYSE: PFE) recently posted an 18% drop in its first-quarter earnings, I remain a long-term bull on the shares," notes Nilus Mattive in the income and growth oriented Dividend Superstars.

"Results were hurt by tougher generic competition for the company's blood-pressure drug Norvasc and allergy treatment Zyrtec. Pfizer pulled in $0.41 a share in the quarter, but would have earned $0.61 excluding costs associated with two acquisitions.

"A lot of investors are treating the poor earnings as a death knell for the company, especially since Lipitor - PFE's biggest product - will also lose patent protection in 2010. However, I've watched countless drug stocks go through these cycles before, and I continue to believe it's smarter to buy when things look the worst.

"This is still the world's largest drug company ... it still delivers big, fat dividend checks ... and it is making strong moves to reorganize its operations and focus on new drug development. For all those reasons, I remain positive on the shares."

Each day, Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers the latest market commentary and favorite investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

Merck, Schering-Plough earnings show big pharma isn't dead

Now that Merck & Co. (NYSE: MRK) and Schering-Plough Corp. (NYSE: SGP) both posted better-than-expected second quarter earnings, will investors show some love to big pharma?

Shares of Merck are down about 5% over the past three months while Schering-Plough has eeked out a mere 2.5% gain. Perhaps investors are worried about Merck's Vioxx legal battles, which so far it has largely won, and the controversy surrounding its cervical cancer vaccine Gardisal. Schering-Plough's $14.4 billion acquisition of Akzo Nobel's Oreganon unit may also be concerning some people. Maybe people think that if Pfizer Inc. (NYSE: PFE) is up the creek, all big drug companies are in the same boat.

Regardless, both companies posted impressive numbers that should quell the concerns of investors. Their stocks remain pretty cheap. Merck trades at a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 17, slightly cheaper than Schering-Plough's 20.

Merck, based in Whitehouse Station, New Jersey, reported net income of $1.65 billion or 77 cents, up from $1.5 billion, or 69 cents a year earlier. Revenue jumped 5.9% to $6.1 billion fueled by demand for blockbusters such as the high-cholestoral treatment Vytorin which it makes in a joint venture with Schering Ploug. Excluding some costs, Merck earned 82 cents, beating the 72 cent-average estimate of analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial. The revenue figure also beat the $5.77 billion, analysts had expected.

Vytorin also boosted results at Kenilworth, NJ-based Schering Plough. Net income climbed to $539 million, or 34 cents a share, more than doubling from $259 million, or 16 cents. Revenue jumped 14% to $3.2 billion. Excluding some costs, profit was 41 cents, beating the conesensus forecasts of 35 cents. Revenue also beat expectations of $3.07 billion.

Top Picks 2007: McCamant bets on "fallen angel" biotech strategy

Each year Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, surveys the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is part of his 24th annual Top Picks Report.

Cardium Therapeutics (OTCBB: CDTP) is the top conservative idea for 2007 from John McCamant, editor of The Medical Technology Stock Letter. He explains, "Cardium is an innovative medical technology company with two gene therapy-based drug candidates in development and an approved medical device.

"Its drug candidates and medical device are designed to harness the capacity of the human body to heal, protect, and repair. While CDTP intends to develop some products internally, they have initially focused on acquiring 'fallen angel' opportunities that have unrealized value and potential for significant growth.

"The management team has been together for over 10 years and their skill set uniquely positions them to acquire undervalued companies or assets. The key to their 'fallen angel' strategy is the ability of management to efficiently evaluate the most interesting drug candidates or devices.

Continue reading Top Picks 2007: McCamant bets on "fallen angel" biotech strategy

Top Picks 2007: Bill Martin "finds profits" at Gilead

Each year Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, surveys the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is part of his 24th annual Top Picks Report.

Gilead Sciences, Inc. (NASDAQ: GILD) is a favorite speculative idea for 2007 from Bill Martin, editor of FindProfit. The advisor explains, "Gilead is best known as a biopharmaceutical company with a leading HIV treatment franchise (Viread, Truvada, and Emtriva).

"Gilead is also a player in the fungal infection area, with treatments for chronic hepatitis B and influenza. Gilead's Tamiflu product is licensed to Roche, which produces and markets the product. The company has had a wonderful growth run in recent years, and now commands a $30 billion market cap.

"Trading just above 25 times 2007 earnings estimates, the stock is obviously not a bargain on the surface, but we believe that the stock remains a compelling investment opportunity, with several key drivers in hand.

"Foremost, Gilead's HIV franchise is truly best-in-class, and recent advances (including unique 'one-pill-a-day' regimes) and international expansion should power the company to double-digit growth in the coming years. Also two recent acquisitions (Myogen for $2.5 billion and Corus for $330 million) have materially improved GILD's pipeline, which was previously looking somewhat barren in the medium term.

Continue reading Top Picks 2007: Bill Martin "finds profits" at Gilead

Top Picks 2007: Ken Kam revisits Elan and Tysabri

Each year Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, surveys the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is part of his 24th annual Top Picks Report.

Elan Pharmaceuticals (NYSE: ELN) is the top speculative stock for 2007 from Ken Kam. The editor of Marketocracy's Marketscope, explains, "Last year, I also chose Elan as my top pick because I thought their multiple sclerosis drug, Tysabri, would be approved for sale again.

"It was, but it didn't happen until July. Further, the FDA then required additional testing. This slowed down the sales that I had expected and led to disappointing sales in the third quarter. However, I think this delay was a speed bump, not a brick wall. Thus, the growth I thought would occur in 2006 I now think we'll see in 2007.

"Over the next 12 months, I think Elan's price will move up as Tysabri sales accelerate in the U.S. and Europe. In addition, Elan just filed today for approval to use Tysabri to treat patients with Crohn's disease -- a patient population that may ultimately double Tysabri's sales potential.

Continue reading Top Picks 2007: Ken Kam revisits Elan and Tysabri

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Last updated: May 28, 2012: 05:13 AM

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