dvd posts
FeedPosted Nov 13th 2009 8:45AM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Netflix, Inc. (NFLX), Blockbuster Inc 'A' (BBI), Comcast Cl'A' (CMCSA), Media World
Blockbuster (BBI) is a terrible company and stock. After perusing the third-quarter report, published Friday after the bell, I don't see any reason to modify such a rough statement.
Sorry about that, but what else can I say about a huge revenue decline and a wider loss coupled with a story that continues to deteriorate? According to the Q3 earnings release, Blockbuster experienced a 21% drop on the top line. On an adjusted basis, the company lost 20 cents per share, compared to 9 cents per share in the comparable period a year ago. Helping to drive this abject performance was a 14% contraction in same-store sales.
Continue reading Blockbuster: A bomb of a quarter
Posted Oct 2nd 2009 9:00AM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Google (GOOG), General Electric (GE), Time Warner (TWX), Netflix, Inc. (NFLX), News Corp'B' (NWS), Media World
Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) is feeling a little heat from studios Time Warner (NYSE: TWX), News Corp. (NASDAQ: NWS), and General Electric's (NYSE: GE) NBC Universal. The major media companies would all like to make more money from Netflix's business model, according to BusinessWeek.
No one is really satisfied these days with the DVD industry. Growth in home video is no longer what it used to be. So content makers perceive a need to engage new strategies to offset the this lack of expansion. It would be nice if those strategies were confined to innovation in movie development and the reduction of project budgets. Instead, trying to negotiate more beneficial deals with distributors such as Netflix will probably be the focus of media execs.
Continue reading Content companies want more money from Netflix
Posted Aug 19th 2009 4:15PM by Zac Bissonnette (RSS feed)
Filed under: Law

Redbox, a division of
Coinstar, Inc. (NASDAQ:
CSTR), has sued Warner Home Video over that company's decision to delay the DVD kiosk rental chain's access to its new releases. That lawsuit follows similar suits against Universal and 20th Century Fox, both of which also have sought to delay Redbox releases to preserve demand for higher margin retail sales.
"Redbox remains committed to providing our customers the new release DVDs they want, where they want and at the low price they want," Redbox President Mitch Lowe said in a statement.
Continue reading Redbox sues Warner Home Video over DVD availability
Posted Jul 3rd 2009 5:00PM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Television, Walt Disney (DIS), Viacom (VIA), Sony Corp ADR (SNE), News Corp'B' (NWS), Media World
Disney (NYSE: DIS) programmed a new movie recently on one of its prime media assets. The film, titled Princess Protection Program, debuted on the Disney Channel and stars a young actress named Selena Gomez. The casting choice was no accident. Because Disney tries to be as synergistic as possible (the company is generally good when it comes to the science of synergy, although there are certainly opportunities for it to be even better), the Mouse made sure to use Gomez since she is the popular star of another Disney Channel program called Wizards of Waverly Place, a project meant to capture at least a little of the Harry Potter magic.
Continue reading Disney Channel does it again with 'Princess' film, but it still has challenges
Posted Jun 18th 2009 8:00AM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Netflix, Inc. (NFLX), Blockbuster Inc 'A' (BBI)
Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX), a DVD-rental business that competes with Blockbuster (NYSE: BBI), was upgraded yesterday by Michael Pachter, an analyst with Wedbush Morgan Securities. He sees good tidings ahead for the company. He believes that Netflix will see higher margins and a healthy stream of earnings. His thesis centers on the fact that the subscriber base is likely to grow and that streaming movies will lower the cost of delivery.
Upgrades are tricky beasts. Ideally, an investor or, more likely, a trader, wants to be in the stock before the upgrade occurs. Buying a company after it's been upgraded requires a lot of due diligence. And you have to get over the fact that you might be buying at a high price.
Continue reading Netflix upgraded: What does this mean for investors?
Posted May 15th 2009 8:50AM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Netflix, Inc. (NFLX), Blockbuster Inc 'A' (BBI), Comcast Cl'A' (CMCSA)
You know you're probably looking at a tough business situation when the first thing you see on an earnings release is a pair of bullet points related to financing strategies that are clearly meant to show the reader that a company is getting its house in order.
Such was the case with Blockbuster (NYSE: BBI) and its Q1 report, which came out Thursday after the bell. Remember, this is the company that, not long ago, received a notice about its woes.
Liquidity is the name of the game these days for Blockbuster. Too bad it isn't the company's business model. As far as that goes, the video-rental chain is still having its difficulties. Revenues dipped 19% to $1.1 billion. On an adjusted basis, net income came out to 19 cents per share versus 21 cents per share in the year-ago period.
Continue reading Blockbuster beats in Q1, but stock is too big a gamble
Posted Apr 24th 2009 8:30AM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Wal-Mart (WMT), Amazon.com (AMZN), Netflix, Inc. (NFLX), Blockbuster Inc 'A' (BBI), Comcast Cl'A' (CMCSA)
Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) did a spectacular job in Q1. The famous DVD-rental-by-mail entity issued its quarterly numbers on Thursday after the bell. On an adjusted basis, Netflix delivered 40 cents per diluted share. That represented bottom-line growth of over 70%. I guess movies truly are resistant to recessions, huh? Revenues advanced over 20%.
According to earnings.com, that 40-cent figure means that management destroyed expectations since Wall Street was looking for somewhere around 31 cents per share. I should point out, however, that I've noticed that some other sources listed the expectations as being a little higher than 31 cents. No matter, Netflix beat the bottom line.
Continue reading Netflix beats in Q1, but investors sold stock after report -- bad sign?
Posted Mar 25th 2009 4:00PM by Beth Gaston Moon (RSS feed)
Filed under: Bad news, Rumors, Consumer experience, Recession

The Consumerist, a website published by the parent of
Consumer Reports, has a potential
lead on an alleged development at
Borders Group (NYSE:
BGP). Forgive all the wishy-washy verbiage; nothing is confirmed yet. An individual identifying him/herself as a Borders employee informed the website that the chain is severely paring down its CD and DVD sections, leaving only top sellers and reducing the prices of those.
Said alleged employee also encourages shoppers to wait for deep-discount sales of remaining digital inventory in the coming weeks.
On one hand (or on many hands), this makes sense. The advent of MP3 technology,
Amazon.com (NASDAQ:
AMZN),
Netflix (NASDAQ:
NFLX), and file-sharing services have seen bigger and better CD/DVD outlets (e.g. Tower Records - SOB!) go belly up, so why wouldn't Borders focus all of its energy on its more popular books line?
Continue reading Will Borders Stop Selling CDs and DVDs?
Posted Mar 24th 2009 11:00AM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Time Warner (TWX), Amazon.com (AMZN), Walt Disney (DIS), Viacom (VIA), Sony Corp ADR (SNE), Media World, Film
I love this news item, and I think shareholders of Time Warner (NYSE: TWX) -- parent company of BloggingStocks -- should, too. Time Warner wants to allow customers the opportunity to buy titles from the media conglomerate's movie catalog via an on-demand DVD protocol. So, if a movie isn't currently available on retail shelves, you could still order it. The title is copied to a disc and sent off to the consumer. No fuss, no mess, no inventory to manage. It's great!
I think on-demand DVD manufacturing needs to be exploited in a bigger way. It isn't new, but you don't really hear about it. Viacom (NYSE: VIA) and Amazon's (NASDAQ: AMZN) on-demand publishing arm, CreateSpace, use it as a way of selling content without carrying inventory. I'd have to believe that if such services were promoted on an extensive basis, they might catch on.
Continue reading Time Warner explores on-demand DVD model -- will it work?
Posted Nov 25th 2008 12:30PM by Brian White (RSS feed)
Filed under: Industry

Hollywood has always loved the DVD. After releasing movies theatrically, the DVD, as a billion-dollar cash generator, has been the film industry's decade-long best friend. That friend may be putting on its coat and about to head for the exit. Global
DVD sales are expected to plunge 7.5% in 2008, meaning there is going to be a revenue problem brewing for some of the movie studios that count on DVD sales and resultant profit as part of their business model.
It's true that the DVD format is an aging medium with the newer advent of Blu-ray, HD-quality movies and television shows that stream from the internet to a PC or a "black box" hooked to that flat-screen set and with other forms of entertainment media taking the place of physical media like DVD. Sales of Blu-ray high-definition discs have partially offset the decline in DVD sales, but they are not growing as fast as DVD is declining, thereby causing a conundrum. Many consumers simply don't see the need to "upgrade" to Blu-ray. Standard DVD is good enough for many. To entice more consumers to buy the devices, Blu-ray needs cheap players (sub $199 pricing) and movies that are priced - at a maximum - 20% over standard DVD movies.
It's all about price for the growth of Blu-ray to supplant standard DVD. Product and picture quality has nothing to do with it, unlike what videophiles would have you believe. A bright light here will be
Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (NYSE:
WMT)'s introduction of a Blu-ray player for under $130 this Friday. More retailers need to follow suit, though, and slash Blu-ray disc player prices, especially in this economic environment. The also need to add more models for consumers to choose from and only then they will respond and begin switching en masse from regular DVD to Blu-ray.
Posted Nov 7th 2008 9:45AM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Netflix, Inc. (NFLX), Blockbuster Inc 'A' (BBI)
Blockbuster (NYSE: BBI), the troubled DVD-rental chain that competes with Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX), reported earnings for the third quarter on Thursday. The top line decreased by a little under 3%, and the net loss per share was $0.08 on an adjusted basis, which was $0.07 better than expected. Okay, I suppose that's kind of cool from a certain angle. In fact, one analyst quoted in the piece had a good take on the company.
I, however, do not have a good take on Blockbuster. I am not bullish in the least. For one thing, it takes a lot to look past a net loss and say that there's something to the earnings story that goes beyond the bottom line. For another thing, the press release indicates that Blockbuster is not doing well in terms of cash flow. Management needed to use $18.2 million for operations during the third quarter, which was slightly more than the amount needed in last year's similar period. And as for free cash flow, that was negative $53.7 million in Q3 2008 versus negative $38.6 million in Q3 2007. This doesn't scream "Buy Blockbuster!", does it?
Another negative aspect to the story is that the gross margin went down by 70 basis points. I will give one bit of credit, however: same-store sales for domestic locations actually increased slightly over 5%, and worldwide comps expanded by almost 2%.
Continue reading Blockbuster's Q3 shows that the stock is appropriately cheap
Posted Oct 21st 2008 9:05AM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Microsoft (MSFT), Walt Disney (DIS), Netflix, Inc. (NFLX), Blockbuster Inc 'A' (BBI)
Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) had something of a flashy third quarter. The online DVD-rental company reported the numbers on Monday after the market closed. Revenues did well, rising 16% to $341.3 million. The bottom line, however, was an even better story. Earnings per diluted share on an adjusted basis rose 38% to 36 cents. How does this compare to Wall Street estimates? Beautifully, as analysts were looking for 34 cents per share. So management was able to deliver two extra pennies. It's cool when a company can go beyond the usual beat-by-a-penny routine, isn't it?
I applaud Netflix for its earnings data, but I can't say I'm a huge fan of its current cash-flow performance. Operating cash flow dipped nearly 6% to approximately $73 million. Free cash flow declined almost 28% to about $26 million. Looking at other numbers, I see that gross subscriber additions increased 18% on a year-over-year basis. Gross margin also improved.
Unfortunately, CEO Reed Hastings believes that the recession will negatively affect subscriber growth rates. Of course it will. At this point, every business, and more importantly to investors and traders, every stock is going to feel the wrath of the economy and the market bears. Sure, Netflix made deals with Disney (NYSE: DIS), Starz and Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) that may help the company offset some of the economic realities out there, but I think the bottom line is that you'll have to be careful about buying Netflix at this point in time.
Continue reading Netflix's earnings picture was a success, but what about the recession?
Posted Jun 2nd 2008 1:15PM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Products and services, General Electric (GE), Time Warner (TWX), Wal-Mart (WMT), Walt Disney (DIS), Sony Corp ADR (SNE), Media World, Marvel Entertainment (MVL)
I read an article out on the AP over the weekend that reflected some thoughts I've been having about the Blu-ray medium. It just doesn't feel like people are that crazy for the format just yet, and it looks like my perception may be right.
The AP piece talks about how the price of the players seems to be too high for consumers. With some going for $399, the value issue is understandable in the context of an economic slowdown. Another good point was brought up: since consumers have been busy upgrading to large-screen TVs, there's just not enough left in some household budgets for adoption of the relatively new technology.
Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT), however, was mentioned as a retailer that is planning to become competitive in terms of price on Blu-ray units. Nevertheless, pundits believe it might be a few years before Blu-ray becomes saturated in homes across America.
As an investor who holds media companies in his portfolio -- Disney (NYSE: DIS), Marvel (NYSE: MVL) and, through General Electric (NYSE: GE), I have exposure to NBC Universal -- I am hoping that the new format becomes ubiquitous as swiftly as possible. Compared to DVD's initial adoption, there is some statistical evidence that the curve is actually proceeding at a faster pace.
Continue reading When will Blu-ray become a major medium?
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