economic data posts
FeedPosted Oct 29th 2010 11:00AM by Mark Fightmaster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Economic Data, Recession
Friday morning got off to a bearish start, a slump that wasn't helped much by the latest release of consumer sentiment data from Reuters and the University of Michigan (of course, this slow start turned positive thanks to the GDP).
Big Boo's report showed that consumer sentiment weakened from 68.2 in September to 67.7 in October. An earlier estimate for October was 67.9, with a MarketWatch poll showing an estimate for 68.5. The biggest problem facing consumers is the loss of jobs, which was the major reason for the drop in sentiment.
Continue reading Consumer Confidence Softens in October
Posted Oct 24th 2010 12:30PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Forecasts, Microsoft (MSFT), ConocoPhillips (COP), Economic Data, Housing, Visa Inc. (V)
The earnings crunch continues this week, and analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters are anticipating lots of strong quarterly reports.
For example, year-over-year earnings growth from big oil Chevron (CVX), ConocoPhillips (COP), ExxonMobil (XOM) and Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A) are expected to be in double digits. The same is true of many other energy and mining concerns reporting this week: Allegheny Technologies (ATI), Alliant Energy (LNT), Arch Coal (ACI), Cliffs Natural Resources (CLF), CMS Energy (CMS), CONSOL Energy (CNX), DPL (DPL), Hess Corp. (HES), Minerals Technologies (MTX), Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD), PPL Corp. (PPL), Southwestern Energy (SWN), Total (TOT), Whiting Petroleum (WLL), Williams Companies (WMB) and Wisconsin Energy (WEC).
Continue reading Week in Preview: The Earnings Crunch Rolls On (MSFT, COP, V)
Posted Oct 10th 2010 12:30PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Forecasts, Google (GOOG), General Electric (GE), Intel (INTC), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Economic Data
The earnings season kicked off last week with better-than-expected results from Alcoa (AA) and Yum! Brands (YUM), while Marriott (MAR) and Pepsico (PEP) met consensus EPS estimates. This week, bellwether companies Intel (INTC), General Electric (GE), Google (GOOG) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM) are scheduled to report their third-quarter results, and analysts polled by Thomson Reuters are looking for earnings growth from all of them.
Santa Clara, Calif.-based Intel announced the acquisition of McAfee and joint ventures with General Electric and Nokia (NOK) during its third quarter. Analysts forecast earnings for that period to come to 50 cents per share, which is up 34.0% from the same period of last year. The number one semiconductor maker's revenue for the three months ended in September is expected to total $11.0 billion, or 17.1% more than a year earlier. Looking ahead to the full year, the forecast thus far is for earnings of $1.94 per share (+44.8%) and $43.3 billion in revenue (+23.4%). The per-share earnings topped analysts' expectations in the past four quarters, by as much as a dime per share.
Continue reading Week in Preview: Earnings Expectations for Intel, GE, Google and JPMorgan
Posted Sep 28th 2010 11:00AM by Mark Fightmaster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Economic Data, Housing
According to the Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller 20-city home price index, home prices increased during July, marking the fourth-straight month. During July, the home price index increased 0.6% compared to June and 3.2% from a year earlier. While this is good news, seven of the cities surveyed saw monthly declines, while gains in a number of the cities were weaker than a month earlier.
There is fear that the home-buying boost provided by the government tax credits is wearing off. If this is the case, we could see weak demand cropping up from the housing sector. The fear is that the record number of foreclosures, job concerns and weak demand from buyers are pointing to weaker home sales in the coming months. Nevertheless, the news will be viewed as positive. That is simply the way that many analysts will cling to good news.
Continue reading Home Prices Increase in July, but Consumer Confidence Slips
Posted Sep 26th 2010 12:30PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Forecasts, Walgreen Co (WAG), Family Dollar Stores (FDO), Economic Data
One of the most prominent quarterly reports scheduled this week, as the quarter winds down, comes from Walgreen (WAG). Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters are looking for the drugstore chain operator to report Tuesday that its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings were about the same as a year ago, or 45 cents per share. Note, though, that Walgreen fell short of earnings expectations in the previous two quarters.
During the three months that ended in August, Deerefield, Ill.-based Walgreen launched a social responsibility website and boosted its dividend. Revenue for that period is expected to total $16.8 billion, which is a 7.3% increase from the same period of last year. And for the full year, analysts forecast EPS of $2.12 (+4.7%) on revenue of $67.4 billion (+6.4%).
Continue reading Week in Preview: Earnings Expectations for Walgreen, Family Dollar, Jabil Circuit
Posted Sep 12th 2010 12:30PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Forecasts, Best Buy (BBY), FedEx Corp (FDX), Oracle Corp (ORCL), Economic Data
Last week, the Fed's Beige Book report confirmed that the economy continues to grow, but at a slower pace than in previous periods. This week will bring plenty of economic data to either support or contrast with the Fed's findings.
- Monday: Federal government budget balance for August
- Tuesday: Business inventory numbers from July, TIPP Economic Optimism Index for September, retail sales data from August
- Wednesday: Industrial production in August, Empire State Manufacturing Survey for September, Import Price Index for August
- Thursday: Producer Price Index for August, Philly Fed Survey for September, the Current Account Balance in the second quarter, jobless claims for last week
- Friday: preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, Consumer Price Index for August, real earnings data for August
Continue reading The Week in Preview: FedEx, Best Buy, Oracle and Lots of Economic Data
Posted Sep 5th 2010 12:30PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Forecasts, Smithfield Foods (SFD), Economic Data, Federal Reserve
The Federal Reserve's next Beige Book report is scheduled to be released this week. This report is a compilation of anecdotal information on current economic conditions from each of the 12 Federal Reserve Bank districts, and it is released eight times a year. The data comes from interviews with business contacts, economists, market experts, and other sources. While the June report showed modest growth across the districts, the July report showed that the economic recovery had slowed, even stalled in some districts.
Other economic data due out this holiday-shortened week include:
Continue reading The Week in Preview: Beige Book, Smithfield Foods, Talbots, Men's Wearhouse
Posted Jul 30th 2010 10:00AM by Mark Fightmaster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Before the Bell, Economic Data
Gross domestic product growth slowed to a 2.4% pace, the slowest in nearly a year, the Commerce Department announced Friday. The reading of this measure of economic activity is too weak to push down unemployment. The quarter saw consumers spend less and retailers limit stock, this combined with the fact that the trade deficit had a larger impact on the economy and we have the formula for some rather unpleasant economic news.
Combine this report with the one indicating that the recession was worse than originally thought and our rosy picture of the economy takes a noticeably gray tint.
Continue reading Second-Quarter GDP Suggests Recovery Is Losing Steam
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