economic crisis posts
FeedPosted Dec 8th 2010 10:00AM by Mark Fightmaster (RSS feed)
Filed under: McDonald's (MCD), Technical Analysis

McDonald's (
MCD) said that its global
comparable sales increased by 4.8% during November. "McDonald's continued strong performance reflects the benefits of our global alignment around the Plan to Win," said CEO
Jim Skinner.
In the U.S., MCD's same-store sales increased 4.9%. The company attributes this performance to strong demand for McCafe beverages and the return of the "iconic" McRib sandwich (yuck).
Overseas sales in Europe increased 4.9% on strong performance in France, Germany, Russia, and the U.K. The focus on McWraps in Germany and four-tiered menu pricing paid off. In the Asia/Pacific, Middle East, and Africa market, sales increased 2.4% as strong performance in Australia and China offset poor performance in Japan.
Continue reading McDonald's Global Same-Store Sales Increase
Posted Oct 19th 2010 12:20PM by Mark Fightmaster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Forecasts, Harley-Davidson (HOG)
I guess you could say that shareholders of Harley-Davidson (HOG) aren't in hog heaven. The motorcycle magnate announced solid third-quarter earnings results, but it disappointed the Street with its motorcycle sales.
Let's start with the good news. Harley-Davidson reported third-quarter net income of 38 cents per share ($88.8 million) or 40 cents per continuing share, far better than last year's same-quarter earnings of 11 cents per share. What's more, these results topped the consensus estimate of 35 cents per share. The company was even able to overcome poor quarterly sales because of it financial services division and cost-cutting efforts.
Continue reading Harley-Davidson Sales Forecast Disappoints the Street
Posted Aug 27th 2010 10:00AM by Mark Fightmaster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Economic Data, Recession
This morning, the Commerce Department announced that the economy grew at a slower pace than previously thought in the April-to-June period. The gross domestic product grew at a 1.6% rate during the period, revised down from an initial estimate of 2.4%, and far slower than the 3.7% pace in the first quarter. Yet Wall Street actually sighed in relief because investors and economists had expected an even worse number.
Despite the euphoria on the Street over the not-as-bad-as-expected numbers, we are still faced with a stark reality as the economy has lost "significant momentum" lately. In fact, most believe that the third quarter will hold similarly weak growth.
Continue reading GDP for Second Quarter Revised Lower, Down to 1.6%
Posted Jul 22nd 2010 10:30AM by Mark Fightmaster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Economic Data

The unmber of initial state unemployment benefits
increased by 37,000 to 464,000 during the past week, the Labor Department reported Thursday. This was above economist expectations for initial claims of 450,000. The four-week average of initial claims also increased, up 1,250 to 456,000. The four-week moving average is considered a better indicator because it shows the overall trend rather than the action in the past week.
Continuing claims dropped by 223,000 to 4.49 million during the past week. Experts attribute the volatility in the number of continuing claims to seasonal adjustment issues. The four-week average of continuing claims also dropped by 21,500 to 4.57 million.
Continue reading Jobless Claims Increase by 37,000
Posted May 19th 2010 10:00AM by Mark Fightmaster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Economic Data

The Labor Department's recently released April consumer inflation figures may cast a bit of a bearish shadow on the Street. Consumer
prices dropped 0.1% last month, on a seasonally adjusted basis. This is the first decline in the consumer price index since March 2009. The impetus for the drop was a decline in energy, housing, auto and apparel prices.
That said, the consumer price index has increased 2.2% in the past year. What's more, the core CPI, which excludes the volatile food and energy prices, was unchanged, pushing the year-over-year increase in core inflation lower to 0.9%. This benchmark is at its lowest since January 1966.
Continue reading Consumer Prices Slip During April
Posted May 7th 2010 11:00AM by Mark Fightmaster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major Movement, Economic Data, Commodities
I don't know if any one out there can say he or she saw yesterday's plunge coming. Was the plummet based solely on a fat-fingered typing mistake? Was it based solely on concerns over the health of the Greek economy? Was it caused by rumors that Germany may pull out of the eurozone? I don't know if we will be able to specify one problem, but one thing is sure in the wake of yesterday's drop -- fear is as prominent as ever on the Street.
On down days in the markets, one generally expects to see a rally in commodities, as they are often deemed a safe haven for investors. This wasn't the case yesterday as crude oil saw its three-day sell off extend itself to a 3.6% loss, bringing the closing price of black gold to $77.11 per barrel (crude is on pace to set its worst week since 2009).
Continue reading Commodities Weren't a Safe Haven on May 6, 2010
Posted Jan 22nd 2010 12:00PM by Mark Fightmaster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Citigroup Inc. (C), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Morgan Stanley (MS), Wells Fargo (WFC), Financial Crisis

Banks have seen a hectic couple of days' of trading, thanks to a bevy of news. I thought it may be good to take a look at some earnings results from a few of the banks, and what it could mean for the economy going forward.
First, let's look at the earnings:
- JPMorgan Chase (JPM): earnings of 74 cents per share; expectations for 60 cents per share
- Citigroup (C): a loss of six cents per share; expectations for a loss of 33 cents per share
- Goldman Sachs (GS): earnings of $8.20 per share; expectations for earnings of $5.20
Continue reading What Do Earnings from the Big Banks Signal for the Economy?
Posted Jan 4th 2010 12:30PM by Mark Fightmaster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Columns, Federal Reserve, Recession
Big Ben Bernanke is letting his opinions be known early in 2010, and he is pointing the finger of blame for the economic crisis right at weak regulation. Bernanke is waiting for confirmation of his second term as Fed chair and he is looking for greater regulatory authority from Congress.
Bernanke told the American Economic Association that "Stronger regulation and supervision aimed at problems with underwriting practices and lenders' risk management would have been a more effective and surgical approach to constraining the housing bubble than a general increase in interest rates." This statement was part of Bernanke's response to accusations that the Fed was a major contributor to the financial crisis. The Fed head believes that the interest rates set by the Federal Reserve from 2002 to 2006 were appropriate.
Continue reading Ben Bernanke: Weak Regulation Caused Economic Crisis
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