Continue reading Closing Bell: The grinch comes early (INTC, HOTT, MVIS, ETFC, SHLD)

Closing Bell: The grinch comes early (INTC, HOTT, MVIS, ETFC, SHLD) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 19 Nov 2009 16:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

What would happen if a brilliant hedge fund manager took over a retailer and ran it with a rigid focus on financial metrics, putting aside all that soft stuff about branding and marketing?

Take a look at Sears Holdings (NASDAQ: SHLD), and you have your answer. While macroeconomic trends haven't exactly been the company's friend, the stock has plunged from close to $200 per share in early 2007 to its current price of $66 per share. Just a few months ago it was trading in he mid-$20s.

Continue reading Eddie Lampert's Sears experiment looking like a failure

Eddie Lampert's Sears experiment looking like a failure originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 23 Aug 2009 15:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The Wall Street Journal reports (subscription required) that short-sellers are having an impossible time locating shares of Sears Holdings (NASDAQ: SHLD) to borrow. Chairman Eddie Lampert controls about half of the company's stock through his hedge fund, making the shares difficult to borrow. For investors who are able to locate the stock, borrowing costs are running somewhere between 30% and 40% per year.

Given the difficulty short sellers are having, it seems likely that shares of the company are trading at a higher price than they would were the stock more liquid.

On the other hand, 29% of the company's float is currently sold short at those steep interest rates, indicating that a big chunk of investors are incredibly confident that Sears shares have a lot farther to fall.

Sears is an impossible short originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 08 Feb 2009 11:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

This post is part of our feature on Money Losers of 2008. See all 20.

There's no doubt about it -- times are tough. People are struggling to find work and to pay the bills as the value of their homes and savings dwindle. The poor get poorer, and the rich get richer.

Or do they? It's all relative, of course, but world's billionaires have been taking some big hits too. We take a look at Sheldon Adelson, Kirk Kerkorian, and Lakshmi Mittal in their own separate posts, but here are some other billionaires who have lost billions this year (courtesy of Forbes and Business Sheet).

• Brothers Anil and Mukesh Ambani of India's private conglomerate Reliance lost $32.5 billion and $28.2 billion, respectively.
• Warren Buffett, the Sage of Omaha, lost $16.5 billion. Shares of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE: BRK.A) are down about 32% since the beginning of the year.
• Microsoft (NYSE: MSFT) founders Bill Gates and Paul Allen lost $12.3 billion and $2.6 billion, respectively, while CEO Steve Balmer lost $6.5 billion. Shares of Microsoft are down 46% since the beginning of the year.
• Larry Page and Sergey Brin, cofounders of Google Inc. (NYSE: GOOG), lost $11.9 billion and $11.7 billion, respectively, and CEO Eric Schmidt lost $3.8 billion. The share price of Google has fallen 55% since the beginning of the year.
• Larry Ellison, CEO of Oracle Corp. (NASDAQ: ORCL), lost $8.2 billion. Shares of Oracle are down 21% since the beginning of the year.
• Media maven Sumner Redstone lost $7.2 billion. Shares of his private investment firm National Amusements fell 70% this year.

Continue reading Money losers of 2008: Billionaires who lost billions this year

Money losers of 2008: Billionaires who lost billions this year originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 24 Dec 2008 12:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The recent store changes have not worked, and neither will the financial engineering. This company is on its way down, and a visit to a local store showed me why.

Sears used to be the General Motors (NYSE: GM) of retailers -- an apt analogy when both were all-American giants, and just as apt today as both struggle. Sears had completely lost its way when vulture investor, Eddie Lampert, bought the company in late 2004 and combined it with Kmart. Wall Street analysts went nuts, pushing the stock price to $192 a share.

Today, Wall Street has lowered that price to near $40.

Continue reading Sears: The GM of retailers

Sears: The GM of retailers originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 08 Dec 2008 15:50:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

This post is part of AOL Money & Finance's Best & Worst in Money 2008 feature.

There have been big hopes for all the nominees in this category at one time or another, but they've also suffered from questionable management moves of various sorts. So what's to root for in any of these companies?

Circuit City was founded in 1949; back then it was known as Wards Company. The big-box format and Circuit City name came as the result of a series of retail experiments, and became official in 1984. The company was listed on the New York Stock Exchange in the same year. In 1991, the company established a bank to operate its private-label credit card, and later offered a co-branded Visa. Big-box used car retailer CarMax (NYSE: KMX) was also owned by Circuit City at one point. In 2005, the company's board rejected a buyout offer; the company was worth a reported $1 billion then. The next year, Philip J. Schoonover became chairman, and ... well, the rest is history. Circuit City is now in Chapter 11.

Citigroup (NYSE: C) was formed in 1998 from one of the largest mergers in history: banking giant Citicorp and financial conglomerate Travelers Group. The company holds over 200 million customer accounts in more than 100 countries, and includes the investment services brands Smith Barney and Primerica. The company owns prominent, renowned buildings in Manhattan and Chicago, and also won naming rights to the new ball park of the New York Mets. But it was the subprime mortgage crisis that was Citigroup's undoing, resulting in the need for the recent federal bailout.

Continue reading Best & Worst in Money 2008: Struggling company we're rooting for most

Best & Worst in Money 2008: Struggling company we're rooting for most originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 05 Dec 2008 10:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Sears (NASDAQ: SHLD) is scheduled to report earnings for the third quarter on Tuesday, December 2. The expectation is for a loss of $0.49 per share. I think it's therefore safe to say that the retailer won't be turning a profit.

Sears has been one awful retail story as of late. Actually, just about every retailer has been awful as of late. It's no surprise, of course, considering the economy. But Sears has been experiencing challenges even beyond what can be explained by the economy. The company has been missing estimates, same-store sales haven't been great, and if you take the time to talk to people about Sears, or if you follow the comments of pundits, you'll sometimes note a tone of repulsion when it comes to the big chain.

I haven't been a fan of the shopping experience at Sears either, and it's been a very, very long time since I've stepped into a Kmart. In fact, there isn't a Kmart close to me. Eddie Lampert's enormous task of helping to turn this ship around is not one I envy. Of course, many retailers make the mistake of only focusing on merchandising in the stores and figuring out what should be in the weekly circulars. Don't get me wrong, that's important stuff. But Sears needs to engage a branding campaign to make people feel good about its stores, to feel confident about the shopping environment. When you look at TV ads by Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) and Target (NYSE: TGT), you can't help but marvel at the branding acumen of those retailers. Sears needs to get creative, too.

Continue reading Earnings preview: Will Sears surprise in Q3?

Earnings preview: Will Sears surprise in Q3? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 28 Nov 2008 12:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

As we begin the trek to grandmother's house, it's worth reflecting on what we have to be thankful for. The answer? When it comes to money, most of us have a lot less than we did a year ago. But for those of you who have your health and your families to comfort you, it will cost much less to buy the gasoline to visit than it would have in July. And as you're driving to visit those families -- consider how much less you lost in the last year than the world's 10 biggest losers.

According to the web site, The Business Sheet, those unfortunate people suffered a mind-boggling $176 billion in lost stock market value in the last 12 months. It turns out that 52% of the losses were suffered by three executives based in India. Here they are:

• Anil Ambani - $32.5 billion. Ambani heads Reliance Communications that invested $500 million in Dreamworks earlier this year.
• Lakshmi Mittal - $30.5 billion. Mittal heads ArcelorMittal which has suffered from a decline in the price of steel.
• Mukesh Ambani -$28.2 billion is Anil's brother and controls Reliance Industries, a petrochemical manufacturer.

• Sheldon Adelson -$30 billion. I did consulting work for Adelson about 22 years ago and he is quite a character. His Las Vegas Sands (NYSE: LVS) casino is suffering from the economic slowdown and he's had some trouble with debt.
• Warren Buffett -$13.6 billion. As I posted, Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A) has had some problems this year.

Continue reading The world's 10 biggest losers

The world's 10 biggest losers originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 26 Nov 2008 17:05:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Sears (SHLD) sees another dismal quarter; Lampert sinking fast originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 29 Aug 2008 11:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

This past week, Sears Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ: SHLD) announced the addition of two new senior executives to replace the departing heads of its business segments. The former head of Motorola's (NYSE: MOT) mobile devices business, Stu Reed, will become senior vice president of Sears's home services unit. His predecessor was Mark Good. Former Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG) senior executive Guenther Trieb will take charge of the Kenmore, Craftsman, and Diehard brands.

Hoffman Estates, Ill.-based Sears also announced the impending departure of Chief Marketing Officer Maureen McGuire. Senior vice president Richard Gerstein, also of the marketing team, will serve as chief marketing officer of Kmart and Sears.

Earlier this year Chairman Eddie Lampert split the company into five business units. But, the company reported in May its largest quarterly loss since the merger of Kmart and Sears in 2005. The company is scheduled to report second quarter results this week. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial on average expect a profit of 33 cents per share, up from a loss of 53 cents in the previous quarter, but still down from net income of $1.14 in the same quarter a year ago. Also, Sears has tended to offer negative surprises in the most recent quarterly reports. Analysts rate Sears as underperforming.

Shares closed Friday at $88.43, which is down 13.4% since the beginning of the year and down 38.4% from a year ago.

Executive shakeup at Sears ahead of Q2 report originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 24 Aug 2008 14:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Eddie Lampert buys into KB Home (KBH), Centex (CTX) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 12 Jun 2008 14:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Sears Holdings (NASDAQ: SHLD) really blew its earnings numbers. According to Briefing.com, Sears' Q1 adjusted earnings missed by 68 cents. Nope, no beating by the proverbial penny here, folks. Sears was expected to report an adjusted profit closer to 15 cents per share; instead, not the 53 cent loss booked by the retailer. Man, that's bad. Wall Street also expected a better top-line performance. But Sears couldn't come through on that count, either. Net sales for the quarter declined almost 6% to a little more than $11 billion.

But wait, there's more bad news. Same-store sales at Sears took a turn for the worse, diving almost 10%! Comps at Kmart decreased 7%! The gross margin went down! Want more, or is that enough? The Sears story is not a good one. What's going on here? Well, the release does say something about a bad economy, but that isn't a worthwhile excuse. Sears simply needs to apply itself and get traffic into its stores. Use some thinking-outside-of-the-box marketing campaigns to reignite the brand's fire.

Continue reading Sears Holdings and its huge miss = stay away!

Sears Holdings and its huge miss = stay away! originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 30 May 2008 11:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

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• Top 10 Analyst Calls (ALU, CHS, LONG, IFX, JNPR, MAR, MFA, NSC, SNDA, VVUS)

Continue reading Closing Bell: stocks run on GDP, retail, and lower oil

Closing Bell: stocks run on GDP, retail, and lower oil originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 29 May 2008 16:57:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Sears' ex-CEO to receive million-dollar compensation package through 2010 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 28 Mar 2008 15:04:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Super-investor Eddie Lampert has cut his stake in Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) by 31%, leaving him with a position of 19.1 million shares valued at a little under $500 million. It is likely that Mr. Lampert sold the shares at a substantial loss.

Lampert's large presence in the stock was a source of confidence for battered bulls who watched the stock decline through subprime write-downs and a managerial shake-up. Long considered to be one of the great value investors, Lampert's latest 13-F filed with the SEC shows stakes in Acxiom Corp. (NASDAQ: ACXM), AutoNation Inc. (NYSE: AN), AutoZone Inc. (NYSE: AZO), Citigroup, Home Depot Inc. (NYSE: HD), and, of course, Sears Holdings Corp. (NYSE: SHLD).

Lampert's decision to cut his stake in Citi has to make investors nervous. He's ridden the stock down for months, and it hasn't exactly been rebounding.

Last year was tough for Lampert, with Sears' stalled turnaround bringing him poor returns and the worst publicity of his career.

Lampert giving up on Citigroup? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 17 Feb 2008 11:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The last cash balance that Sears announced was lower than most analysts expected. If the company needs to spend money to improve its stores or increase inventory in products it thinks will sell well, it could draw down the cash level even further.

For Lampert, the bad news keeps getting worse. Sears stock has staged a mini-rally over the last two weeks, moving from below $85 to $103. News about cash problems could push the shares back down.

Lampert made the classic error of thinking that with Sears and K-Mart 1+1=3. In reality, he took two weak companies and saved some money in a merger. The problem was that the companies got even weaker.

Who says that hedge fund managers don't make good corporate chiefs?

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

A cash-flow problem at Sears (SHLD)? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 08 Feb 2008 09:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Aylwin B. Lewis will step down as CEO of Sears Holdings (NASDAQ: SHLD), paying for the sins of his boss, hedge-fund billionaire Eddie Lampert. Lampert put together the Sears chain with K-Mart and found that one plus one equals zero when the brands are so poor that people would rather shop at Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT).

Shares in Sears are down from a 52-week high of $195 to under $100. They will probably fall much further. Lampert has said he will make operating units more free to handle decisions at the brand level. He brought in new management to run the company's e-commerce unit.

In a statement quoted at MarketWatch, Lampert said ,"We are entering a new phase in Sears' evolution as a multi-channel retailer, as reflected by the new operational structure we recently announced, and the board has determined that now is the right time to put in place new leadership to take the company forward."

In other words, "we have no idea what we are doing, so we will try a new horse."

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Sears brooms CEO, Lampert washes hands originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 28 Jan 2008 06:17:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Quoted in a piece in the Sunday New York Times, Bruce Greenwald (author of the terrific Value Investing: From Graham to Buffett and Beyond) sums up Eddie Lampert's problems at Sears Holdings (NYSE: SHLD) beautifully: "He did really well on Autozone. Most of his stocks are retail stocks, and he has done really well with them. So he decided he was a genius at retail, and it didn't occur to him he could be wrong about it. He believed his own press."

I would argue that the problem might even run deeper than that: Lampert wanted to be seen, and to see himself, as more than just a great investor. He wanted to become a great manager.

It's somewhat similar to former all-star slugger Jose Canseco, who decided he wanted to try pitching. He promptly injured his arm and missed the rest of the season. His attempt at pitching hurt him as a hitter.

Lampert's fall from grace has been steep and rapid. We used to talk about how shares of Sears were trading at a "Lampert premium," based on the idea that his investment prowess would lead to great returns on capital for the struggling retailer.

Now, with Herb Greenberg recently having named him the worst CEO of 2007, shares of Sears are trading at a Lampert discount and are, according to many, currently valued at well below the company's break-up value. There may be value to be had in Sears, but Lampert's struggles provide an important lesson for investors: great investors aren't necessarily great managers, but, like Carl Icahn did with TWA, they might not be able to help themselves from giving it a try.

Did hubris get the best of Sears' Eddie Lampert? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 27 Jan 2008 11:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

I wrote a couple weeks ago about a very serious issue with Sears.com's privacy policy. It seemed that Sears Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: SHLD) had a major issue with their online offering. Sears has finally taken the issue seriously and disabled the bug in their how-to-figure-out-how-much-your-next-door-neighbor-paid-for-his-plasma-TV search function on the Sears website.

This morning, WSJ.com reports (subscription required) that an ex-Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) executive is being appointed head of Sears' newly formed online division, one of five such divisions the retailer is forming as part of a turnaround. The article says that James Barr, a 12-year Microsoft executive and general manager of MSN Shopping and Marketplaces, will take over the online unit effective Feb. 2 as a senior vice president of Sears Holdings.

Barr joins former Walmart.com executive, Neil Day, the newly-named Chief Technology Officer for the Sears.com group.

These changes are being made by Chairman Eddie Lampert as he tries to boost sales and stave off further profit losses.

It appears one of my personal favorites, LandsEnd's, LandsEnd.com, will not be part of this unit, which will include Kmart.com and Sears.com.

Zack Miller is the Managing Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com and a former equity analyst for a leading multinational hedge fund. Author holds no positions in stocks mentioned above.

Sears getting sear-ious about online? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 27 Jan 2008 11:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

I like Eddie Lampert and I like those Sears stores. I like Craftsman tools and I (sort of) also like the Kmart part of Sears Holdings (NYSE: SHLD).

For those who might be confused as to what Eddie is doing with his potential company "break up," he's taking a distressed operation and laying it directly at the feet of the rubes who have screwed it up. It's a tactic that I myself would employ. Eddie Lampert is the somewhat silent watchful type, observant to a fault. He's a "big picture" thinker in the classic style. He plans and plots and weighs. Yeah, that's the ticket.

You see, Eddie "Golden Boy" Lampert isn't the kind of fellow who'll just blindly clear the decks of seasoned personnel in an effort to generate profit. If such were the case, we'd have seen way more of those pink slips flying long before now. I believe that by fracturing the company structure and by giving more divisional independence, he is now setting the stage for some timely and precise head-chopping down the road.

Eddie Lampert, worst CEO of 2007? Not in my book, not by a long shot. Yes, perhaps if you measure things strictly in growth dollars, Sears Holdings looks pretty ugly right now, but there's far more to the retail game than just rapid growth. Give the man some time to reveal his hand, one carefully picked card at a time. Besides, Eddie Lampert doesn't hold much regard for judgment by share price alone, and frankly my friends, neither do I.

Get off Eddie Lampert's back already, will ya? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 19 Jan 2008 17:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.