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Priceline.com earnings preview: A sweet deal in Q3?

Priceline.com Inc. (PCLN), which was recently added to the S&P 500, is scheduled to discuss its third-quarter 2009 financial results in a conference call Monday, November 9, at 4:30 PM ET. You can catch the live webcast of the call on the company's website.

During the three months that ended in September, Priceline announced a partnership with Ticketmaster (TKTM) and launched a rewards Visa card. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect this leading online travel services provider to report that earnings for that period jumped 18.2% from a year ago to $2.92 per share. And revenue for the quarter is expected to be 23.6% higher to $693.9 million.

Continue reading Priceline.com earnings preview: A sweet deal in Q3?

Options Update: Expedia volatility flat at 53 into EPS; shares near 22-month high

Expedia (NASDAQ: EXPE) closed at $26.36. EXPE is scheduled to discuss Q3 EPS on October 29. EXPE November option implied volatility of 53; December is at 49; near its 26-week average of 53 according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

Priceline.com (NASDAQ: PCLN) closed at $177.14. PCLN will be added to the NASDAQ-100 Index effective at the start of trading on October 29. PCLN is expected to report Q3 EPS in early November. PCLN November option implied volatility is at 43, December and January is at 40; below its 26-week average of 45, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Expedia (EXPE): Travel firm books gains

"Vacationers and professionals finally appear to be hitting the road, and many are relying on Expedia (NASDAQ: EXPE) to handle the details," says Nathan Slaughter in Half-Priced Stocks.

The value investor explains, "Expedia's travel sites processed 15.3 million transactions during the second quarter, 18% above the same period last year. Howevver, the gross dollar amount of those bookings dipped slightly to $5.6 billion/

"Whenever you have more trips bringing in less money, it's a pretty good indication that prices are way down.

Continue reading Expedia (EXPE): Travel firm books gains

Priceline surprises analysts with recession-resistant Q2

Priceline.com (NASDAQ: PCLN), a web-based booking business that fights it out with Expedia (NASDAQ: EXPE), was red-hot during yesterday's session. Shares closed higher by 14%. Volume rocked. The Q2 numbers were strong, and the market rewarded the results without hesitation.

Revenues increased 17%. According to TheStreet.com, adjusted profit of $2.02 per share walloped estimates. Wall Street was only booked for $1.79 per share. The analysts really missed this one. It's understandable, though. Whether we're close to the end of a recession or not is debatable, and I'm sure they wanted to be conservative with the models.

Continue reading Priceline surprises analysts with recession-resistant Q2

Major brands buying up Facebook ads

Facebook is making the biggest ad splash since Google, according to an article in the Financial Times.

More than four-fifths of the largest advertisers in the United States have turned to the social networking platform to promote their wares -- after several years of fearing these types of communities. The lure of Facebook must have been too much to resist, with 340 million monthly unique visitors. Now, it's not unusual to see the likes of Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ), Nike (NYSE: NKE), and AT&T (NYSE: ATT) advertising in this world.

Continue reading Major brands buying up Facebook ads

Take a trip with Expedia (EXPE)

"Expedia (NASDAQ: EXPE) has taken flight over the past two months, soaring more than 165% off their early-March low," says Paul Tracy.

The editor of Street Authority Market Advisor explains, "Despite a sharp slowdown in leisure and business travel, overall travel volume booked through Expedia's sites (which include Hotels.com and Hotwire.com) remains impressive.

"Over the past three months, Expedia's travel sites have booked $5.2 billion (retail value) worth of travel expenditures. That gross booking figure is down about 11% over last year, but represents a considerable 30% improvement over the prior quarter.

Continue reading Take a trip with Expedia (EXPE)

Online travel to become cheaper in market share play

Desperate times call for desperate measures benefit consumers. As online travel agencies slug it out in the hunt for market share, many are starting to cut booking fees -- ironically, in stark contrast to what the airlines themselves are doing. While the airlines are looking to squeeze every last ounce of revenue from each passenger mile, the websites that put people in seats are hungry for any competitive advantage they can find.

Orbitz Worldwide (NYSE: OWW) has permanently kicked its airline booking fees on both domestic and international flights. Travelocity is following suit, to a limited extent, at least, by continuing to wave booking fees ... a measure that Expedia Inc (NASDAQ: EXPE) is taking, as well. What started as promotions are fast becoming the norm.

Continue reading Online travel to become cheaper in market share play

Priceline beats expectations in Q1 -- can you still book the stock?

Priceline.com (NASDAQ: PCLN), an online booking concern that competes with Expedia (NASDAQ: EXPE), reported Q1 earnings on Monday. The stats were all right, I have to say.

Revenues increased over 14%. According to this article, earnings on an adjusted basis came to $1.09 per share. Analysts were looking for 93 cents per share. Year-ago adjusted income was 76 cents per share, according to the press release. Priceline not only expanded its bottom-line income, but it increased its net cash from operations. That figure went up by a nice 71%. Gross travel bookings as a whole jumped by over 10%. They did even better in the U.S. market.

Continue reading Priceline beats expectations in Q1 -- can you still book the stock?

Google slows acquisitions down to nothing

Google, Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) Has slowed down its acquisition juggernaut in the last six months. No small or medium companies have been purchased as the company hoards cash to add to its $16 billion pile. Does Google really need anything right now? Not really -- the advertising slowdown has affected it but the company is not hurting. If anything, more restrictive ad dollars are flowing into the internet due to its highly-targeted nature. Google commands this market with an iron fist.

Continue reading Google slows acquisitions down to nothing

Closing bell: End of bank rally brings the show down (AIG, EXPE, GM, MGM, XRX)

After days of rallying, the market decided that bank stocks had gone much too far. With no first quarter earnings out, the fact is that the current quarter could still be tough. Financial shares could still reset lower. The market reacted accordingly.

The unofficial numbers for the day broke out like this:

Dow 7,278.38 -122.42 (-1.65%)
S&P 500 768.54 -15.50 (-1.98%)
Nasdaq 1,457.27 -26.21 (-1.77%)

TOP ANALYST CALLS

Continue reading Closing bell: End of bank rally brings the show down (AIG, EXPE, GM, MGM, XRX)

Earnings highlights: Walmart, Comcast, CVS, Sprint, Hormel, Priceline and more

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Walmart, Comcast, CVS, Sprint, Hormel, Priceline and more

Expedia misses expectations on its latest earnings trip

Expedia (NASDAQ: EXPE) did not have a good week. The online travel site, which competes with Priceline.com (NASDAQ: PCLN) for attention, reported abysmal earnings for the fourth quarter this past Thursday. The company suffered a huge loss of $9.60 per share. That's right, $9.60 per share! Kind of rocks your world, doesn't it? And not in a good way. I mean, Expedia's share price closed at $7.74 on Friday.

As you can imagine, there was an accounting issue going on (not that it should make shareholders feel any better, mind you). Expedia took a huge goodwill write-down related to the significant drop in the market capitalization of the business. We're talking $3 billion. Wow. Of course, management adjusted the earnings to represent what Expedia would have made without the charge. That would be $0.22 per share. Unfortunately, that missed expectations by two pennies.

Continue reading Expedia misses expectations on its latest earnings trip

The week in preview: A glimmer at the end of the tunnel?

Among all the negative economic data that came out last week was a positive surprise: retail sales were higher in January. A fluke or a glimmer at the end of the tunnel? That may depend on whether we see any positive surprises arising from items on this week's economic calendar:

Continue reading The week in preview: A glimmer at the end of the tunnel?

Priceline.com (PCLN) pulled lower by analyst commentary

PCLN logoPriceline.com (NASDAQ: PCLN) shares are falling today after an analyst at Citi Investment Research reiterated his hold rating on PCLN and dropped his price target to $142, citing weakness in European travel. Citi also removed competitor Expedia (NASDAQ: EXPE) from its Top Picks Live list, cut the price target on EXPE as well. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on PCLN.

After hitting a one-year low of $59.50 in August, the stock hit a one-year high of $144.34 in May. This morning, PCLN opened at $119.78. So far today the stock has hit a low of $114.38 and a high of $121.95. As of 12:10, PCLN is trading at $117.95, down $7.18 (-5.7%). The chart for PCLN looks neutral and improving, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 Stars (out of 5) Hold rating.

For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an August bear-call credit spread above the $155 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 5.3% return in seven weeks as long as PCLN is below $155 at August expiration. PCLN would have to rise by more than 32% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

PCLN hasn't been above $145 at all in the past year and has shown resistance around $132 recently. This trade could be risky if the company's earnings (due out in early August) are a positive surprise, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by resistance PCLN might find around $140, where it topped out in May.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.

DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in PCLN or EXPE.

Expedia (EXPE) should see improving margins

EXPE logoExpedia Inc. (NASDAQ: EXPE) shares are trading relatively flat today even though an analyst at Thomas Weisel Partners said in a note to investors that online travel sites like EXPE and Orbitz (NYSE: OWW) have quietly boosted booking fees for flights on major airlines, which is likely to improve margins at the online travel companies. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on EXPE.

After hitting a one-year high of $35.28 in October, the stock hit a one-year low of $20.18 in March. EXPE opened this morning at $24.85. So far today the stock has hit a low of $24.85 and a high of $25.38. As of 12:15, EXPE is trading at $25.17, up 0.04 (0.2%). The chart for EXPE looks neutral and improving, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 Stars (out of 5) Hold rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a July bull-put credit spread below the $20 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 8.7% return in just three and a half months as long as EXPE is above $20 at July expiration. Expedia would have to fall by more than 20% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

EXPE hasn't been below at all in the past year and has shown support around $21 recently. This trade could be risky if the company's earnings (due out in early May) disappoint, but even if that happens, that position could be protected by support the stock might find just above $20, where it bottomed out a few weeks ago.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.

DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in EXPE or OWW.

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Last updated: November 10, 2009: 12:29 AM

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