MOST NOTEWORTHY: Progressive, Netflix and Public Service Enterprise Group were today's noteworthy upgrades:
Wachovia upgraded Progressive (NYSE: PGR) to Market Perform from Underperform based on modest signs of improvement in underwriting trends.
Lehman upgraded Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) to Overweight from Equal Weight based on strong core trends and a potential announcement of digital service partners into its May 28 investor day.
Credit Suisse upgraded Public Service Enterprise Group (NYSE: PEG) to Outperform from Neutral based on earnings growth through utility investment, valuation, upside from U.S. CO2 policy.
OTHER UPGRADES:
Precision Drilling (NYSE: PDS) was raised to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital.
Hertz Global (NYSE: HTZ) was upgraded at Soleil to Buy from Hold.
Calyon upgraded Foundation Coal (NYSE: FCL) and Arch Coal (ACI) to Add from Neutral.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Jabil Circuit, Aircastle, Genesis Lease and P.F. Chang's were today's noteworthy downgrades:
JP Morgan downgraded shares of Jabil Circuit (NYSE: JBL) to Underweight from Overweight following the lower-than-expected guidance, as they believe the company is seeing end market weakness in most of its markets. Shares were also downgraded at Thomas Weisel to Market Weight from Overweight and at Credit Suisse to Neutral from Outperform following the disappointing guidance.
JP Morgan also downgraded shares of Aircastle (NYSE: AYR) and Genesis Lease (GLS) to Neutral from Overweight to reflect the continued credit and equity market challenges faced by both companies.
Friedman Billings downgraded shares of P.F. Chang's (NASDAQ: PFCB) to Underperform from Market Perform as they believe 2008 will be a challenging year for all casual dining restaurant companies and that the valuation is expensive at current levels.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Novartis AG (NVS), Intel (INTC), Total S.A. (TOT), Syniverse Holdings, Inc (SVR) and Kindred Healthcare (KND) were today's noteworthy downgrades:
Merrill cut Novartis (NYSE: NVS) to Neutral from Buy based on a lack of near-term catalysts. Credit Suisse downgraded shares of the company to Underperform from Neutral on expectations of slowing sales growth in 2H07.
JMP Securities downgraded Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) to Market Perform from Outperform based on valuation and lower estimates.
JP Morgan cut Total S.A. (NYSE: TOT) to Neutral from Overweight on valuation.
Syniverse (NYSE: SVR) was cut to Strong Sell from Sell at Matrix USA as competition in North America is creating a cut in Network Services and Number Portability Services revenue.
Kindred Healthcare (NYSE: KND) was cut to Underperform from Market Perform at Wachovia based on valuation...
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
DaVita (NYSE: DVA) was downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: The more noteworthy downgrades today included eFunds Corp (EFD), Halliburton Co (HAL), Coventry Health Care, Inc (CVH), Fording Canadian Coal Trust (FDG) and US Steel Corp (X):
Citigroup downgraded shares of eFunds Corp (NYSE: EFD) to Sell from Hold to reflect an unfavorable risk/reward as they see little upside if the company sells itself and significant downside due to recent operational issues if the company is not sold.
Goldman cut Halliburton Co (NYSE: HAL) to Neutral from Buy based on valuation.
Bear Stearns cut Coventry Health (NYSE: CVH) to Peer Perform from Outperform based on valuation.
UBS cut US Steel Group (NYSE: X) to Reduce from Neutral based on valuation.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
Goldman downgraded the coal sector, citing the potential for fundamentals to disappoint. The firm downgraded Arch Coal (NYSE: ACI) to Sell from Buy, Foundation Coal Holdings (NYSE: FCL) to Sell from Neutral, and Alpha Natural Resources (NYSE: ANR) to Neutral from Buy.
Matrix cut CBRL Group (NASDAQ: CBRL) to Sell from Hold.
Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) -- options active at flat implied volatility; C rallies on Lampert position. C is recently up $1.91 to $54.69. ESL Investments, a hedge fund run by Edward Lampert, holds a 10.9 million stake in C. C call option volume of 46,723 contracts compares to put volume of 12,012 contracts. C June option implied volatility of 18 is near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional risks.
Foundation Coal Holdings (NYSE: FCL) -- puts active as FCL sells off on Concerns. FCL, a coal producer with 14 mines, sold 73.9 million tons of coal in 2006. FCL is recently down $1.47 to $41.13 on rumors circulating FCL will receive a lawsuit from the Federal Government for violations of the Clean Water Act. FCL call option volume of 153 contracts compares to put volume of 3,856 contracts. FCL June option implied volatility of 39 is near its 26-week average of 38; however above a level of 32 from earlier in the week according to Track Data, suggesting the options are pricing in larger risks.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: First Data Corp (FDC), Molson Coors Brewing Co (TAP), MetLife, Inc (MET), GSI Commerce, Inc (GSIC) and Foundation Coal Holdings, Inc (FCL) were some of today's noteworthy downgrades:
Citigroup cut First Data Corp (NYSE: FDC) to Hold from Buy and AG Edwards cut the Colorado-based Computer Services company to Hold from Buy, following the acquisition by KKR; AG Edwards also removed First Data from its Focus Portfolio.
Bernstein downgraded Molson Coors Brewing Co (NYSE: TAP) to Market Perform from Outperform based on valuation.
Goldman Sachs removed MetLife Inc (NYSE: MET) from its Conviction Buy List.
Bear Stearns cut GSI Commerce (NASDAQ: GSIC) to Underperform from Outperform based on valuation.
Jefferies downgraded Novell, Inc (NASDAQ: NOVL) to Hold from Buy on valuation after yesterday's "April Fool's-inspired" rally as the firm believes upside from the initial Microsoft-(MSFT) driven SLES deals and restructuring are priced in.
Stifel downgraded Pearson PLC (NYSE: PSO) to Hold from Buy on valuation.
Benchmark downgraded ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) to Sell from Hold on valuation.
Buckingham downgraded Diebold Inc (NYSE: DBD) to Neutral from Accumulate on valuation.
CIBC downgraded Ipsco Inc (NYSE: IPS) to Sector Performer from Outperform based on valuation.