Let's go back to the financial crisis and the practices that brought this country to its knees. Banks developed a fancy scheme whereby they absolved themselves of all risk from the loans they made. They simply wrapped them up in a bundle and sold them to someone else. What they were doing is essentially packaging and reselling "junk."

When the news of how bad things were became known, the markets froze and collapsed. No one knew who had which securities, and if they did, they didn't know their true value.

Continue reading Banks Lobby Against Risk Retention on the Loans They Make

Banks Lobby Against Risk Retention on the Loans They Make originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 02 Apr 2011 11:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Non-farm payrolls came in higher than analysts' forecasts and the unemployment rate fell to 8.8%. That good news sent the Dow Jones Industrial Average to a new 2011 high. At midday the Dow was up 78 points to 12,397 -- as reported by the Wall Street Journal.

Except for a brief sell-off to the 11,500 level, the market has moved quickly to regain lost ground and is now at new highs. Last week the USDA's crop report was bullish for grains. It's not surprising that Caterpillar (CAT) led the charge, up 1.7%. But there are always some losers. Office Depot (ODP) fell 11% after reporting a fourth quarter loss and Krispy Kreme Doughnuts (KKD), which also had a fourth quarter loss, fell 17%.

Continue reading Dow Hits New 2011 High: What's Next?

Dow Hits New 2011 High: What's Next? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 01 Apr 2011 17:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Oil Closes at Two-and-a-Half Year High

Oil Closes at Two-and-a-Half Year High originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 31 Mar 2011 18:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Just when we thought the banking crisis was finished, we get another jolt. The U.S. Federal Reserve denied Bank of American (BAC) permission to raise its dividend.

If you recall, Bank of America is still struggling to absorb toxic assets it acquired with its purchase of Countrywide Mortgage. It has been on a slow climb back to fiscal health. At the end of 2010 the company was still bleeding, with a net loss of $1.2 billion.

Continue reading Fed Says No to Bank of America Dividend Increase

Fed Says No to Bank of America Dividend Increase originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 23 Mar 2011 12:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets again this week to review economic conditions and set monetary policy. On whether the Fed should end quantitative easing or extend it, Atlanta Fed chairman Dennis Lockhart recently said that the Fed should remain flexible given the rising energy prices, which could be a sign of coming inflation. Either at this meeting or the next, the Fed could signal that interest rates will rise as a hedge against inflation.

Inflation will also be the focus when the Department of Labor releases the Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) this week. Back in January the core PPI (which excludes energy and food costs) had its biggest jump in two years, and the core CPI had its largest uptick in more than year, the second month in a row in which consumer prices jumped.

Continue reading Week in Preview: Inflation, the FOMC and Nike Earnings

Week in Preview: Inflation, the FOMC and Nike Earnings originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 13 Mar 2011 12:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The markets were full of contradictions last week. Take for example the turmoil in the Middle East. In past crises, investors flocked to the U.S. dollar. But not this time. The U.S. dollar futures contract fell to 76.41 last week.

Another contradiction: the U.S. jobs report was the best in two years, with 192,000 new jobs added. The stock market should have rallied strongly. Instead the Dow fell 88 points. The crises in Libya and elsewhere overshadowed the favorable jobs picture.

Continue reading Euro Trades Above $1.40 on Expectation of Higher Rates

Euro Trades Above $1.40 on Expectation of Higher Rates originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 07 Mar 2011 07:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The U.S. dollar is coming under increasing pressure on several fronts. First and foremost is oil. Oil closed at $102 per barrel Wednesday for the first time in over two years. Oil has been driven upwards by the turmoil in the Middle East. The Libyan situation is getting worse with both sides vowing to fight on. There is unrest throughout the Arab region. The great fear for the West is that oil flows may be disrupted. The U.S. dollar usually moves inversely to oil. Today the March futures closed at 76.689, down .394

Continue reading U.S. Dollar Is Getting Hammered

U.S. Dollar Is Getting Hammered originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 03 Mar 2011 09:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Pimco's Bill Gross: Watch Out for the End of QE2

Pimco's Bill Gross: Watch Out for the End of QE2 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 02 Mar 2011 14:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Bernanke Finally Admits to Inflation Gain from Commodity Prices

Bernanke Finally Admits to Inflation Gain from Commodity Prices originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 01 Mar 2011 17:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

This week we turn the calendar page, and that change brings with it a raft of economic data. Scheduled for release on Monday are pending home sales and personal income numbers for January, as well as the Chicago PMI and car and truck sales data for February.

On Tuesday, look for the ISM Manufacturing Index for February and construction spending numbers for January. That's followed on Wednesday by the week's first employment data: the Challenger Job-Cuts announcement and the ADP employment report for February. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will deliver his semiannual monetary policy testimony before Congress on both days.

Continue reading Week in Preview: Unemployment Rate, Retail Earnings, Bernanke Testimony

Week in Preview: Unemployment Rate, Retail Earnings, Bernanke Testimony originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 27 Feb 2011 12:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The most recent datapoint of significance for investors has to be the U.S. Federal Reserve's revised summary of economic projections.

The Fed now sees a stronger U.S. economy in 2011, with the world's largest and most technologically advanced economy expected to grow 3.4% to 3.9%, up from the 3.0% to 3.6% November projection.

The Fed also expects the U.S. economy to grow 3.5% to 4.4% in 2012 and 3.7% to 4.6% in 2013, compared to the November estimates of 3.6% to 4.5% and 3.5% to 4.6%, respectively.

Continue reading Ray of Light: Fed Sees Adequate U.S. GDP Growth for 2011-2013

Ray of Light: Fed Sees Adequate U.S. GDP Growth for 2011-2013 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 26 Feb 2011 12:50:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Back in the late 1970s, the Hunt brothers from Texas tried to corner the silver market. That drove prices to $48 an ounce. Now, 31 years later, silver is shooting higher again. The March silver futures contract closed at $32.296 per ounce, up 72 cents.

Since gold is expensive, investors are turning to silver to hedge against inflation. Many fear that the Federal Reserve will not be able to control the spike in commodity prices. The Fed is buying $600 billion of treasuries and keeping interest rates near zero.

Continue reading Silver Near a 31-Year High

Silver Near a 31-Year High originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 19 Feb 2011 12:50:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The past week's data-point-of-consequence for investors was delivered by none other than the head of the world's most powerful central bank. U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke underscored the nation's need to raise the debt ceiling.

Speaking at a National Press Club luncheon in Washington Thursday, Bernanke said delays in raising the debt ceiling limit, currently $14.3 trillion, could have "catastrophic" consequences, Reuters reported.

Continue reading Bernanke: Failure to Raise Debt Ceiling Could Be 'Catastrophic'

Bernanke: Failure to Raise Debt Ceiling Could Be 'Catastrophic' originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 06 Feb 2011 10:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Is Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke stoking inflation? Of course he is. Anyone with common sense knows that if you give $600 billion cash to the banks with no qualifications -- as he did with the second round of quantitative easing -- they will use it to speculate in the markets. JPMorgan Chase (JPM) just bought $1 billion of copper.

Bernanke's fatal mistake was that he placed no restrictions on what the banks would do with his $600 billion. If you opened the banks' books, you can bet that they've invested in commodities, currencies and foreign equities and bonds.

Continue reading Bernanke Denies Causing Inflation

Bernanke Denies Causing Inflation originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 04 Feb 2011 13:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The Dow broke 12,000 today. What's next? Again we have those who say the glass is half full and those who say it is half empty.

Traders believe that the glass is half full. Dow 12,000 is only a number, although a psychological number. Round numbers catch the public's attention. There will be sellers screaming 'get me out' if they have recouped their losses. The market probably will absorb the half empty guys and march upward. That may not be a straight line, but the momentum is strong enough to push higher.

Continue reading Dow 12,000 -- What's Next?

Dow 12,000 -- What's Next? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 26 Jan 2011 16:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

With earnings season in full swing, the FOMC meeting on interest rates, the GDP estimate, and housing numbers due out, the coming week is shaping up to be a busy one. So here's a peek at what's on the economic calendar.

Monday

Quarterly reports from American Express (AXP) and McDonald's (MCD) will highlight Monday. Amgen (AMGN), CSX (CSX), Halliburton (HAL) and Texas Instruments (TXN) are also expected to report strong earnings results.

Continue reading Week in Preview: GDP, FOMC Meeting, Housing Data and Lots of Earnings

Week in Preview: GDP, FOMC Meeting, Housing Data and Lots of Earnings originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 23 Jan 2011 12:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

One economic data point that sort of slipped under the radar recently concerned the U.S. Federal Reserve's $78.4 billion payment to the U.S. Treasury in 2010, up about 65% from $47.4 billion in 2009.

And the reason for the revenue surge? Experienced investors or others who have reviewed the Fed's report will realize that much of it stems from income from the Fed's purchase of mortgage securities and Treasury securities in connection with the quantitative easing, part 2 program, or QE2.

Under QE2, the Fed will purchase up to $600 billion in assets from November 2010 to June 2011 -- this coming after the Fed purchased $1.7 trillion in assets through March 2010.

Continue reading Tell-Tale Stat: Fed Paid $78.4 Billion to U.S. Treasury in 2010

Tell-Tale Stat: Fed Paid $78.4 Billion to U.S. Treasury in 2010 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 21 Jan 2011 15:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Is the glass half full of half empty? This is a perennial debate.

Those who are bearish say the market has gone too far to the upside; investors are shrugging off the latest debt scare in Europe; we have rising global interest rates; there's a potential meltdown in the municipal bond market; earnings may disappoint; the VIX is too low; and on and on we go.

For the bulls, the S&P 500 has traded above its 50-day moving average for 94 consecutive sessions, according to Birinyi Associates. This is the first time this has happened in five years. Many analysts consider stock valuations to be at relatively low levels. The glass for them is still half full.

Continue reading Are You a Stock Market Bull or Bear?

Are You a Stock Market Bull or Bear? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 18 Jan 2011 10:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

U.S. stock futures are higher this morning as investors await the Federal Reserve's report on present economic conditions. Portuguese government debt sold bonds worth €1.25 billion ($1.62 billion) in an auction. Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 56 points to 11,672.00 and S&P 500 futures gained 6.90 points to 1,277.30. Nasdaq 100 futures rose 11.75 points to 2,297.25.

U.S. stocks closed higher yesterday, with the blue-chip Dow index gaining 34.43 points, or 0.30%.

U.S. data on December import prices will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET. The Fed is scheduled to release its Beige Book on present economic conditions at 2 p.m. ET.

Continue reading U.S. Stock Futures Up After Portuguese Government Debt Auction

U.S. Stock Futures Up After Portuguese Government Debt Auction originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 12 Jan 2011 08:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The Federal Reserve has embarked on a controversial new program of buying $600 billion of U.S. Treasuries to keep interest rates low and spur the economy.

There is some disagreement among some members of the Fed concerning the risks of this new program. Some fear that the economy is growing too rapidly, fueling unwanted levels of inflation, as reported by CNNMoney.

Continue reading Fed Members Differ on Economic Outlook

Fed Members Differ on Economic Outlook originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 05 Jan 2011 12:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.