After hitting a one-year high of $119.10 in July, the stock hit a one-year low of $80.00 in January. This morning, FDX opened at $88.67. So far today the stock has hit a low of $87.15 and a high of $89.29. As of 11:45, FDX is trading at $87.97, down $2.20 (-2.4%). The chart for FDX looks bearish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a very positive 5 STARS (out of 5) strong buy rating.
For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a July bear-call credit spread above the $100 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 6.4% return in five weeks as long as FDX is below $100 at July expiration. FedEx would have to rise by more than 13% before we would start to lose money.
Recently, FedEx Corporation (NYSE: FDX) ditched the Kinko's brand name for its stores -- and took a $891 million charge against earnings. Instead, the new name will be FedEx Office.
While the Kinko's brand was powerful, it was not enough for the broad services offered by FedEx. What's more, I'm sure FedEx spent millions on coming up with its new branding strategy.
It's a good lesson -- and something to consider for your own business. In other words, does your logo help or perhaps hurt your efforts?
News that FedEx (NYSE: FDX) is taking a huge charge of $891 million to drop the name Kinko's marks both the end of an era, as well as a huge waste of money that will impact shareholders.
According to the story in MarketWatch: "The company called it a "strategic decision" to strike Kinko's from the retail chain's name, and the charge is broken down into a $515 million charge for the use of the trade name, $367 million in goodwill and $9 million in other expenses."
A $515 million charge for use of the trade name? You've got to be kidding. The new name is going to be FedEx Office. That's pretty catchy, huh? I am going to run over there right now to make a photocopy, because it is such great branding. Not.
The company says that Kinko's was primarily a photocopying and faxing service while FedEx office is an entire back-office for small and mid-sized businesses. Unfortunately, with the halting of new store openings and layoffs, it appears that small and mid-sized businesses don't need to outsource their whole back-office to FedEx.
Bye bye Kinko's, it was fun while it lasted.
Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. DISCLOSURE: Writer's fund has has no position in any stock mentioned, as of 6/3/08
I recently attended the Warrillow Conference, which focuses on how to sell to the small business market. And, yes, it's a big opportunity -- with more than 27 million small businesses in the U.S. Some of the big players in the space include MasterCard (NYSE: MA), FedEx (NYSE: FDX), Intuit (NASDAQ: INTU) and so on.
Well, one of the panels at Warrillow had a group of small business owners -- and they talked about what works when trying to sell to them.
Let's take a look:
Wearing many hats: The small business owner does just about everything. In other words, time is a precious commodity. So, when pitching, make sure things are clear and concise. What are the main benefits? The costs?
More importantly, small business owners want something that is plug-and-play and doesn't require a big learning curve.
The assistant: Many small business owners have one. And, an assistant is often a gatekeeper.
In other words, it's actually a good idea to make your pitch to the assistant -- since he or she will likely relay the information to the owner.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: American International Group, Pacific Sunwear, FedEx and Cheniere Energy were today's noteworthy downgrades:
Goldman downgraded American International Group (NYSE: AIG) to Neutral from Buy as they expect market concerns regarding balance sheet pressures and dilutive capital raises to pressure shares.
Citigroup downgraded shares of Pacific Sunwear (NASDAQ: PSUN) to Sell from Buy as they believe Q1 trends are disappointing following the comp results.
Morgan Keegan downgraded FedEx (NYSE: FDX) to Market Perform from Outperform citing the uncertainty related to fuel prices and the economy. RBC
Capital cut Cheniere Energy (NYSE: LNG) to Underperform from Outperform citing the corrected 2007 10K which indicates increased liquidity concerns.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
Oppenheimer cut Navios Maritime (NYSE: NM) to Perform from Outperform.
Credit Suisse lowered TAL International Group (NYSE: TAL) to Neutral from Outperform.
Vital Signs (NASDAQ: VITL) was downgraded at Piper to Neutral from Buy.
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says FedEx exposed three market fictions with its news on Friday.
Sometimes you have to wonder why some stocks just don't stay down after bad news.
Take FedEx (NYSE: FDX) (Cramer's Take). Earlier this year, the stock shed about 10% of its value when it forecast worse-than-expected earnings, citing lower volumes and higher fuel costs. It then proceeded to rally 25% from that dismal forecast even as oil went up dramatically and business in the U.S., particularly retail business, got softer and softer!
Now we get pretty much a simple extension of what the company said last near the end of March, and people are acting surprised and furiously dumping the stock.
FedEx cuts to a couple abiding fictions in this market. The first is that all valuations are cheap, so it is OK to buy them. FedEx has long-term growth of 10% and sells at 14 times earnings, but I question both the growth and the multiple as being too high in a world where energy just won't quit. But that brings us to the second fiction: People have been buying this stock with the idea that oil just has to level off somewhere. Considering it didn't, how could anyone be surprised at this news? And the third fiction? The turn in the economy is right around the corner.
This post is part of our Battle of the Brands feature. Let us know which brand you prefer, and check out other Battle of the Brands posts.
When you need to ship a package, which company first comes to mind? According to last year's Battle of the Brands non-scientific poll, an overwhelming majority said they favored United Parcel Service Inc. (NYSE: UPS) over FedEx Corp. (NYSE: FDX). Higher fuel surcharges, a weak economy, reduced domestic package volume, and a recent push from the U.S. Postal Service have impacted both of these international shipping companies in the past year, but Americans still want the same quality service at a discount price.
Let's take a look at a few changes since last year:
The US Postal Service Tries To Gain Ground
The largest player in the U.S. overnight package delivery business is attempting to increase its market share in the fast-delivery business next month. USPS is barely holding on to its 32% market share in the business, as FedEx and UPS continue to push the envelope at 31% and 25% market share, respectively. For the first time, shippers using Express Mail, Priority Mail, and several other parcel services will be able to get lower rates for large- and medium-volume contracts, according to the agency. Will UPS and FedEx need to cut their prices further to compete with the USPS?
Fred Smith, founder and CEO-for-life of FedEx Corp. (NYSE: FDX), says that the economy is not so healthy. He should know. His company does business in almost any town of any size in almost every country in the world. So, he may have come to his point of view a little late since many experts believe that the economy has been in a recession for at least two months.
According to Reuters, Smith said "The only positive story in the U.S. economy right now is U.S. exports." He also indicated he believes there is a chance things could get better in the second half.
Smith is a good example of the inclination of many U.S. CEOs to soft pedal the fact that the economy is awful. It's as if they hope that not talking about the problem, or saying things are a little better than they seem, will make their troubles go away. It is a "head in the sand" approach that doesn't do companies and their shareholders any good because it means that management is not doing the necessary work to prepare for a tough ride.
But, a CEO who can't be pushed out has that luxury.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
Shares of package delivery company FedEx Corp. (NYSE: FDX) have been dropping this morning, despite the firm posting better-than-expected third-quarter earnings per share. Hurting the stock this morning is the company's fourth-quarter guidance, which came in well below analysts' predictions.
FedEx reported this morning that its profit during the third-quarter slipped 6% to $393 million, or $1.26 a share, hurt by surging crude oil prices and a weak U.S. economy. These numbers are down from $420 million, or $1.35 a share reported in the same period a year ago when the company benefited from a reduction in its effective tax rate. However, the overnight package delivery giant was able to beat analysts' predictions for quarterly earnings of $1.22 a share.
The company posted a 10% rise in its third-quarter revenue to $9.44 billion, up from $8.59 billion a year earlier. Analysts, on average, expected FedEx show revenue of $9.11 billion in the quarter, according to Thomson Financial.
With airline traffic steadily increasing, more and more of us are faced with the same question; How in the world am I going to fit all these things in our luggage? Maybe it is time to start thinking outside of the box, and instead of packing all our things, maybe we should just start to consider sending our belongs ahead of time and stop worrying about packing all of our things?
As I read Joe Brancatelli's (portfolio.com) article discussing airline baggage, I could not help think back to December when my girlfriend had her bags lost for over a week on a trip from Europe back to the states for Christmas. Inside this luggage we had all her clothes, as well as all of my family's Christmas presents. Since she was flying into the states on Christmas Eve, and the airline lost her bags for a week, we had no presents to give out on Christmas, and by the time they showed up, on New Years Eve, the Christmas magic was pretty much lost.
As we examined last week, airline delays last year were near an all time high, but as I mentioned in my article, the one thing that bothers me more than being late, is arriving without my luggage. While lost baggage rates stayed pretty steady last year, with 9 out of 1,000 passengers filing lost baggage claims, there are other reasons why we may should consider shipping instead of packing in the future.
United Parcel Service
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