"MGIC (MTG) is the leading U.S. private mortgage insurer; in fact, the company claims to have founded the mortgage insurance industry in 1957," notes turnaround specialist George Putnam.

The editor of The Turnaround Letter explains, "After many years of relatively steady earnings, MGIC was forced to sharply increase its reserves beginning in 2007 as more homeowners began defaulting on their mortgages.

"As a result, the company posted large losses in each of the last three years, which reduced its capital to a precarious level. Almost all of the other mortgage insurers suffered similar fates, with several competitors being forced out of business.

Continue reading MGIC (MTG): Mortgage Turnaround?

MGIC (MTG): Mortgage Turnaround? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 19 Jan 2011 10:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

"Capstead Mortgage (CMO) borrows for the short term at low cost -- rolling loans among a handful of big banks -- while lending money for the long term at a higher rate," says Andy Obermueller.

The editor of Government-Driven Investing -- which finds stocks positioned to benefit from changes in government policies and regulations -- explains, "Capstead, organized as a real-estate investment trust, keeps the spread for its troubles, and pays out 95% of its net earnings to shareholders. The result is a good defensive stock to help protect your portfolio.

"One of the things the government did to make sure that the housing market didn't crater even more than it had was to step in and guarantee certain mortgages. If the borrower defaulted, Uncle Sam would step in, like a co-signer, and make good on the loan.

Continue reading Capstead Mortgage (CMO): Low Beta, High Yield

Capstead Mortgage (CMO): Low Beta, High Yield originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 28 Jun 2010 13:50:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Chimera (CIM): High Income in Specialty Finance

Chimera (CIM): High Income in Specialty Finance originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 01 Mar 2010 10:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading The Bank of New York Mellon Is Undervalued

The Bank of New York Mellon Is Undervalued originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 14 Jan 2010 17:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

"In this recession, consumers are spending less per purchase on their credit cards -- but that hasn't slowed down the credit card company MasterCard (NYSE: MA)," says Paul Tracy.

In his The StreetAuthority Market Advisor, he points out, "In the second quarter, MasterCard's net income grew by +26%, beating Wall Street's expectations by a significant margin." Here's his review.

"MasterCard makes its money from the fees it charges merchants and the banks that issue its cards. The issuing banks make money by charging consumers interest.

"And as we've seen, the banks can lose money when consumers default on their credit card debt. But MasterCard's fee-based business model has been relatively resilient during the downturn.

Continue reading Charged up over MasterCard

Charged up over MasterCard originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 03 Sep 2009 17:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Technician Leo Fasciocco, who focuses on stocks breaking out of resistance zones, is banking on JPMorgan (NYSE: JPM), as a breakout buy on its rise over $39. Here's the latest from Ticker Tape Digest.

"JPM is one of the dominant financial firms. It has 30 million consumer customers and the world's most prominent corporate, institutional and government clients.

"Recent tape action indicates good institutional buying interest. JPM's long-term chart shows the stock making a bottom around 15 in March. It has since rallied and double in price.

Continue reading JPMorgan (JPM): A breakout buy

JPMorgan (JPM): A breakout buy originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 07 Aug 2009 11:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

American Express Company (NYSE: AXP), a company that competes with Visa Inc. (NYSE: V), MasterCard Incorporated (NYSE: MA), and Discover Financial Services (NYSE: DFS), issued Q2 results earlier in the week. Earnings from continuing operations dropped very steeply to 9 cents per share. How steeply? Well, the per-share profit lost 84% of its value this time around. However, it might make you feel a little better to know that 18 cents can be added back, since that was the net worth of repurchase activity relating to preferred shares from the U.S. Treasury department. Therefore, American Express took in 27 cents per share from continuing activities. According to this Reuters piece, that number met expectations.

The Reuters article also points out that revenues fell by 18% and that net charge-offs increased. Not a great picture. Reading through the press release, an investor might come away with a feeling of dread. Management mentions the not-so-strong spending by its cardmembers and the fact that loan losses are at historic levels.

Continue reading American Express not on my watch list after second-quarter data

American Express not on my watch list after second-quarter data originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 24 Jul 2009 18:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

In his Stellar Stocks Alert, newsletter advisor Richard Schmidt sees long-term opportunity in select brokerage stocks. Here, he looks at Charles Schwab (NASDAQ: SCHW) and E*Trade (NASDAQ: ETFC).

"Some of the strongest financials in the world have lost 60%, 70%, even up to 90% or more of their value in the last year. Shares of Charles Schwab have come down too. But the stock has lost less than 50%, at its worst.

"Most of that has come since October. We had hoped the stock would bottom. But the stock continued to drop through support, meaning the downtrend is still in place. We may eventually see it go down by more than 50%.

Continue reading Brokerage bets: Schwab (SCHW) and E*Trade (ETFC)

Brokerage bets: Schwab (SCHW) and E*Trade (ETFC) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 15 Feb 2009 10:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

This post is part of a special annual report -- Top Stock Picks '09 -- in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked 75 leading newsletter advisors to select their favorite investment for the new year.

"I've followed Gladstone Capital (NASDAQ: GLAD) for many years," says Mark Skousen in Forecasts & Strategies. Here, he chooses the business development company as a top idea for 2009.

"Gladstone is a business development company (BDC) run by the 'father of BDCs,' David Gladstone. Gladstone is a conservative investor who is careful in his lending.

"His investment company, Gladstone Capital, specializes in debt investments in small- and medium-sized companies that seek additional funding, recapitalization, debt reduction, and short-term bridge financing.

"Unlike other BDCs, Gladstone always has been prudent in its lending. It has no exposure to subprime mortgages and no exposure to home building -- but it is being hurt by U.S. recession fears.

"Though the shares are volatile, I think the stock is dirt cheap, having suffered a sharp sell-off due to the deep recession and financial crisis.

"It is off 70% so far this year, which is far too much, in my judgment. With any kind of economic recovery under an Obama administration, I expect Gladstone to be back in good form.

Continue reading Top Stock Picks '09: Gladstone Capital (GLAD)

Top Stock Picks '09: Gladstone Capital (GLAD) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 14 Jan 2009 10:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

This post is part of a special annual report -- Top Stock Picks '09 -- in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked 75 leading newsletter advisors to select their favorite investment for the new year.

A leading expert on Asia, Yiannis Mostrous looks to international bank, Standard Chartered (OTC: SCBFF) as his top pick for 2009. Here's the latest from The Silk Road Investor.

"Standard Chartered has been doing business in Asia, Africa, and the Middle East for more than 100 years.

"It's an international bank focused on retail and corporate banking and treasury activities. Although domiciled in the UK, its biggest single concentration of customers and profits is in Hong Kong.

"More than 40% of its retail income is generated by deposits and related fees. Its income streams are highly diversified, with no consumer or wholesale geography contributing more than 9% of revenues, and its loan/deposit ratio is 85%.

"The bank offers pure exposure to some of the most dynamic areas in the emerging market world and is run in a prudent manner, especially compared to most of its competition.

Continue reading Top Stock Picks '09: Standard Chartered (SCBFF)

Top Stock Picks '09: Standard Chartered (SCBFF) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 13 Jan 2009 12:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

"Annaly Capital (NYSE: NLY) is in the sweet spot," says Steve Sjuggerud in Daily Wealth. He says, "It borrows money at a low interest rate and invests it at a higher rate -- and earns the 'spread'."

"The cost of money is historically low, and it's headed lower. Meanwhile, relative to the cost of money, the return on money is higher than it's ever been.

"The ultimate way trade on this historic discrepancy, for high-returns with very low risk, is through shares of companies like Annaly, which is now s now paying a 16% dividend.

"In the latest-reported quarter, the company borrowed money at 3.5%. (The credit markets have calmed down a bit, so its cost of borrowing should be even lower next quarter.)

"It invests the money in government-guaranteed bonds. You remember how the Treasury bailed out Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac? It wiped out shareholders. But it explicitly guaranteed the bonds.

"In the latest-reported quarter, Annaly earned 5.6% interest on these risk-free bonds. Therefore, it earned a 2.1% spread. If the company uses seven times leverage, a 2.1% spread means a 14.7% return on its money.

"Analysts estimate the company will earn $2.50 per share next year. It pays out essentially all of its earnings in dividends. So that'll be a dividend yield of about 19%. This is ridiculous. An opportunity like this only appears during market turmoil like we're experiencing now.

"This is a historic moment. The difference between the cost of money and the return on money relative to that cost is at the most extreme levels I've seen in my career. Take advantage, and buy stocks like Annaly today."

Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers a daily look at the latest market commentary and favorite stock picks and investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

Annaly Capital (NLY): 'In the sweet spot for historic yields' originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 21 Nov 2008 15:39:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

"The financial sector got a boost after our Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC), a buy recommendation in our model income portfolio, reported better-than-expected earnings," notes Jack Adamo.

The editor of Insiders Plus, explains, " While Wells, like virtually every other bank, is dragging its heels a bit on recognizing losses on bad mortgages, there were elements of the report that were unquestionably great.

"In its latest quarterly report, Wells Fargo reported:

o. Revenues were up 16% year-over-year.
o. Average loans were up 18% year-over-year.
o. Net interest margin was 4.92%, up 23 basis points from Q1
o. Net interest income increased 21% year-over-year.

"The fact that Wells is one of the few banks that is still well-capitalized enough to write loans was a large contributor to its increase in revenues.

Continue reading 'Insider' expert sticks with Wells Fargo (WFC)

'Insider' expert sticks with Wells Fargo (WFC) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 23 Jul 2008 11:12:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

"Longer term, history suggests that Citigroup (NYSE: C) will be one of the best turnaround plays out there -- if we have the intestinal fortitude to stick it out," says Keith Fitz-Gerald in The Money Map Reporter.

"Based on Travelers alone, Citi's breakup value is roughly 30% higher than where it is trading today. Other business lines suggest even more money on the table.

"That is why we want to be net buyers at these levels just like some of the smartest money on the planet, including companies like PIMCO and even investors such as Wilber Ross who are legendary for buying on the cheap.

"That doesn't mean there won't be more down days to come or that we won't hate every day we own Citi, but the financial sector is essential to the economy and being able to buy in for 25 cents on the dollar makes sense for any savvy investor looking to the longer term.

Continue reading Money Map points to Citi (C)

Money Map points to Citi (C) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 28 Mar 2008 13:05:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

"My more conservative idea for 2008 is MasterCard (NYSE: MA)," says relative strength expert Dan Sullivan in The Chartist. "The card for 'everything else' is the credit card of choice for millions of Americans. MasterCard offers credit payment solutions, processes payment transactions, and also provides consulting services to customers and merchants.

"Despite a sluggish housing market, people are still spending, and for MasterCard, that's great news. The credit giant announced that its third quarter earnings leapt 63%, helped by rising spending volume and the sale of part of its stake in a Brazilian credit and debit card network.

"Third quarter earnings were $314 million, or $2.31 per share, compared with $193 million, or $1.42 a share in the year-ago period. Third quarter results included a $70 million gain from the sale of a stake in Redecard S.A. Revenue rose 20.1% to $1.08 billion.

"MasterCard is owned in the Chartist Aggressive Account and recently broke out into record-high territory. This stock has a highly bullish chart pattern and continues to exhibit tremendous relative strength. We think this stock could be a big winner in 2008."

Best Stocks for 2008: Breakout for MasterCard (MA) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 27 Dec 2007 08:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

"My favorite conservative choice for 2008 is Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER)," says Yola Edwards, editor of the technically oriented Yola Edward's Charts.

"The jobs market is holding up very well and the risk of recession in the United States appears unlikely given the Federal Reserve's accommodating monetary policy to stave off recessionary threats and contain the subprime fallout.

"Merrill Lynch suggests that year-end 2008 will be marked by a 2.50% Fed funds rate with further easing to 2% by the first half of 2009.

"Among those hardest hit in the subprime credit crisis was Merrill Lynch & Company, which plunged almost 50% from its January highs of $94 in what appears to be a fourth wave correction. Technically, the recent November weekly lows at $50.50 formed a tweezers bottom and offered the stock support from which it has rallied.

"At a minimum we could expect a 38.2 % rally from the lows suggesting a possible upside target to about $67.50 over the next month. However, over the next year we can anticipate the stock to rally 61.8%, from its recent low, to about $77.38 as it bases and works through the corrective phase."

Best Stocks for 2008: Technical view on Merrill Lynch (MER) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 24 Dec 2007 11:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

"My favorite conservative idea for 2008 is Apollo Investment Co. (NASDAQ: AINV)," says Adrian Day, editor of The Global Analyst.

"The company makes investments of debt and equity to medium-sized businesses, and a Regulated Investment Co. pays out most of its net income in dividends. Like other RICs, the dividends tend to be high and growing, but also like other RICs, it was caught up in the market turbulence of the past few months affecting all finance companies.

"Apollo Investment, the public arm of the eponymous New York private equity firm, came out just over three years ago. It is large ($2.2 billion market cap), financially conservative, and tends to do larger deals than most similar outfits.

"Its average investment is now just over $47 million, and as the fund grows, this should get larger still. It has investments in 67 companies, just over half of which is in sub debt.

Continue reading Best Stocks for 2008: Income potential from Apollo Investment (AINV)

Best Stocks for 2008: Income potential from Apollo Investment (AINV) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 22 Dec 2007 15:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

"Ambac Financial Group (NYSE: ABK) is my top high-risk speculation for 2008," says Kelley Wright, editor of Investment QualityTrends. "The company is the second largest municipal bond insurer and a major player in other types of financial guarantees and investment management services.

"Ambac primarily insures newly issued bonds, which guarantees payment of principal and interest to the bond insured. Of more concern to Wall Street, however, is the Specialized Finance division, which has significant exposure to the structured, asset-backed and mortgage-backed finance markets in the US and abroad.

"ABK shares have fallen dramatically, down as much as 70% year to date. This decline is due to investor concerns that losses on credit derivatives tied to residential mortgages and related obligations will deplete ABK's capital base to the point where the company will have to raise additional (and most likely dilutive) capital to maintain its top-tier financial strength rating.

Continue reading Best Stocks for 2008: Home run or crash for Ambac (ABK)

Best Stocks for 2008: Home run or crash for Ambac (ABK) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 19 Dec 2007 08:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Ted Allrich is the founder of The Online Investor and author of the just released book: Comfort Zone Investing: Build Wealth And Sleep Well At Night. In this weekly column, he'll offer advice to investors who are just getting started.

Financial stocks is a wide net to throw over many industries: credit cards, insurance, mutual funds, banks, savings and loans, stock brokers, mortgage bankers. They all do something a little different but are tied together by one element: money. They use yours to make a profit. There's one other common trait at the moment: sub-prime mortgages. They've hit everyone of these industries, creating havoc and opportunity for investors.

It may be a good time to start buying a few of these downtrodden stocks. The reason: the sub-prime mortgage mess will be over at some point. However, no one knows that point. Merrill Lynch took a write down of more than $8 billion when two weeks before management said it would be closer to $5 billion. Other brokerage firms had similar problems. Banks and insurance companies around the world are getting out of mortgage investments because of their sub-prime losses. There will definitely be more fall out.

Continue reading Comfort Zone Investing: Time to buy financial stocks?

Comfort Zone Investing: Time to buy financial stocks? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 03 Nov 2007 10:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Each year Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, surveys the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is part of his 24th annual Top Picks Report.

Sydney, Australia's Macquarie Infrastructure Company Trust (NYSE: MIC) is the top conservative idea for 2007 from Neil George, editor of Personal Finance, while Macquarie Infrastructure Group (OTC: MCQRF), is his top speculative play.

The advisor explains, "Infrastructure is the foundation of our economy. And whether owned by privateers or the public, we need more and better roads, bigger airports, better power and water systems. And there are companies getting the bids over and over again to make it all happen.

"Sydney, Australia might not come to the forefront of your mind when it comes to our nation's infrastructure, but that's where most of the capital is being pooled together to quietly gobble up deal after deal.

"Parent company, Macquarie Bank, first cut its teeth on financing and investing in several projects in its own back yard for years before taking its deal-making skills on the road.

Continue reading Top Picks 2007: Neil George banks on infrastructure

Top Picks 2007: Neil George banks on infrastructure originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 28 Dec 2006 14:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.