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Chubb Continues to Chug Along

The stock of insurer Chubb Corp (CB), first discussed here on May 29, 2009 at a price of $39.65, continues to move higher, in incremental fashion, and I obviously still like the business model at this juncture.

Look for Chubb to post a small rise in premiums in 2011, bolstered by solid operational characteristics. Chubb boasts a strong personal insurance brand, a diversified business (personal lines, commercial insurance, specialty insurance), and a stronger balance sheet than many competitors. The aforementioned should translate in continued market share gains for CB in 2011. Further, pricing is showing signs of bottoming/firming. Investment income will also likely rise slightly in 2011.

Continue reading Chubb Continues to Chug Along

Lincoln Financial Stabilizes After a Summer Slump

Lincoln Financial logoFinancial services play Lincoln National Corp. (LNC), first discussed here on June 18, 2009, at a price of $15.92, appears to have survived a summer bear-hug plunge.

Look for Lincoln's life insurance revenue to increase 6% to 8% in 2010, accompanied by sales growth in its annuities product line.

Further, product modifications to its defined contribution business should lead to more-encouraging results in 2010, but the to-date, subpar U.S. economic recovery will likely continue to dent the unit's revenue.

Continue reading Lincoln Financial Stabilizes After a Summer Slump

One Stock to Play the Financial Industry's Comeback

There are many financial industry stocks that some investors think could be good plays for a rebounding market, such as JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM), Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS).

But Hilary Kramer, editor of GameChangerStocks.com, says that if you can only buy one stock in this sector, it should be in shares of private equity firm Fortress Investment Group (FIG).

Continue reading One Stock to Play the Financial Industry's Comeback

Financial Crisis Didn't Push Bankers from Industry, LinkedIn Reports

The financial crisis, employment market and social media explosion have converged, providing a new level of clarity into what is happening in the world around us. Where was ground zero for this financial catastrophe? Well, according to the LinkedIn blog, five companies have shown the most action: Barclays (BCS), Credit Suisse (CS), Citigroup (C), Bank of America (BAC) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM). Interestingly, Goldman Sachs (GS), among the biggest winners now that we're pulling out from the recession, didn't see as much play.

Continue reading Financial Crisis Didn't Push Bankers from Industry, LinkedIn Reports

Premium income down 18% in UK insurance market

UK insurance companies saw worldwide premium income plunge 18% in 2008 to GBP215.3 billion, according to International Financial Services London, an independent research organization. Its Insurance 2009 report says that 2009 will be a fairly tough year, as well, with premium bouncing back in 2010. Long-term premiums were the challenge last year, as they account for 80% of UK insurance business. The financial crisis and an increase for long-term protection converged on insurance rates, pushing prices lower. Premium income in this corner of the market fell almost 25% to GBP168.1 billion in 2008.

The expectation, last year, that damage to insurers' balance sheets and an increase in claims -- particularly for financial services liability coverage -- didn't materialize, as carriers had enough capital on hand to absorb the losses sustained on both sides of the balance sheet. As a result, insurance pricing has been kept under control.

Continue reading Premium income down 18% in UK insurance market

CEO departures slow down, temporarily at least

CEO turnover is starting to stabilize, suggesting that recession-impacted companies have been through the worst of the corner-office shuffling. The number of top dogs leaving their posts by November 2009 fell almost 18% compared to the same 11 months last year, according to a report supplied to BloggingStocks by outplacement consulting firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas. Only 94 CEOs left their posts last month, a slight up-tick from October's 89, but 10% lower than the 104 recorded in November 2008.

Through the end of November, 1,122 CEOs have moved on, a decline of 17.6% year-over-year. Last year, 1,361 departures were seen by this point. If the trend continues, CEO turnover could reach its lowest level since 2004, when only 663 occurred.

The health care industry experienced the most changes, with 22 CEOs leaving their posts, bringing the total to 181 for the sector this year, topping all industries. The government and non-profit sector comes next with 148 this year, 18 in November. The financial services industry lost 116 CEOs, with only 10 happening last month.

Continue reading CEO departures slow down, temporarily at least

Huntington Bancshares stock falls with newest stock offer

Shares of Huntington Bancshares Inc. (NASDAQ: HBAN) fell Friday afternoon after three days of gains as investors reacted negatively to news that the company planned to sell $400 million worth of common stock. At mid-afternoon Friday, shares of the Columbus, Ohio-based bank were down more than 2% to $4.41 a share.

On Friday, Huntington said it priced the shares at $4.20 a share, selling 95.2 million shares totaling some $400 million in gross proceeds. Deal underwriters have an 30-day option to buy another 14.3 million shares, the company said in a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Continue reading Huntington Bancshares stock falls with newest stock offer

U.K. economy has worst quarter since 1958

Early estimates of a contraction in the U.K. economy were not enough. First quarter 2009 estimates were revisited, showing a 2.4% fall in gross domestic product from the last quarter of 2008 to 2009. This downward revision made the first three months of the year the worst since people wore skinny ties, hated communism, and bore nicknames like "Buzz."

In the second quarter of 1958, U.K. GDP plummeted 2.6%, though the 2.4% threshold matches the depths hit in 1979. The original 2009 Q1 estimate was -1.9%, according to the Office for National Statistics in London.

Continue reading U.K. economy has worst quarter since 1958

Brokerage bets: Schwab (SCHW) and E*Trade (ETFC)

In his Stellar Stocks Alert, newsletter advisor Richard Schmidt sees long-term opportunity in select brokerage stocks. Here, he looks at Charles Schwab (NASDAQ: SCHW) and E*Trade (NASDAQ: ETFC).

"Some of the strongest financials in the world have lost 60%, 70%, even up to 90% or more of their value in the last year. Shares of Charles Schwab have come down too. But the stock has lost less than 50%, at its worst.

"Most of that has come since October. We had hoped the stock would bottom. But the stock continued to drop through support, meaning the downtrend is still in place. We may eventually see it go down by more than 50%.

Continue reading Brokerage bets: Schwab (SCHW) and E*Trade (ETFC)

July 'herd mentality' may result in worst hedge fund month in 5 years

It looks like the economic slowdown that has chopped (or eliminated) returns in many asset classes is set to hit another sector, and a rarefied one at that: the hedge fund sector.

Hedge funds may post their worst monthly performance result in five years in July, after trade calculations on financial stocks and crude oil backfired, according to data provided by Hedge Fund Research Inc., Bloomberg News reported Monday.

Hedge Fund Research Inc.'s Global Hedge Fund Index was down 3.16% in July as of July 24 -- on pace to record its largest monthly decline since 2003. The index is also down 4.16% for the year.

Continue reading July 'herd mentality' may result in worst hedge fund month in 5 years

Private sector payrolls rise 40k in May, ADP says

Non-farm, private employment increased by 40,000 in May on a seasonally-adjusted basis, ADP announced Wednesday in the ADP National Employment Report. (pdf)

Meanwhile, the April 2008 estimated change in employment was revised up 3,000 to a gain of 13,000 jobs, ADP (NYSE: ADP) said.

The service sector of the economy added 77,000 jobs, while employment in the goods-producing sector declined 37,000 - - its 18th consecutive monthly decline.

Most of the decline in employment during May was accounted for by job losses at large companies, which registered an 18,000-job decline. Meanwhile, small businesses added 61,000 jobs and medium-sized business cut 3,000 jobs.

Conditions in two economic sectors hard hit by the slumping housing sector - - construction and financial activities - - continued to deteriorate. Construction employment fell 13,000 - - its 18th consecutive monthly decline - - bringing the total decline in construction jobs since the peak in August 2006 to 298,000. Employment in financial activities declined 5,000, its third straight monthly decline.

Economic Analysis: In general, a surprisingly upbeat ADP job report. The 40,000 job gain wasn't nearly enough to keep unemployment from rising, but at least it wasn't a decline. However, economists caution that one should not read too much into the monthly ADP job report, due to its limited scope (private sector payrolls). The more-telling indicator is the U.S. Labor Department's monthly payroll statistic, and May 2008's data will be released Friday at 8:30 a.m. EDT. That report is expected to show a 60,000-job decline, according to a Bloomberg News survey of economists.

Citigroup gets an upgrade ... seriously?

Research firm Punk, Ziegel & Co is putting a "buy" rating on Citigroup (NYSE: C). The research firm feels that the bank is the best proxy for investing in the global investment industry and that its write-downs are secondary. Quoted by MarketWatch, the firm said "The stock allows one to invest in the world's financial growth better than any other company. Others perform in one part of the financial sector or operate in one portion of the world."

That comment may be akin to saying that if you are going to drown in quicksand, you might as well find the best quicksand available. Citigroup is hardly a strong investment and the fact that its business operations are global and that it operates in many sectors has nothing to do with whether the bank can do well over the next year.

Citigroup is being scuttled by huge write-offs in its mortgage-related investment portfolio. Earnings from other divisions in the company are not likely to offset this and the bank may have to raise more capital. The resulting dilution could certainly drive the price of the company's stock down. There have also been comments from Wall Street that the big bank may have to cut its dividend. That is likely to make it much less attractive to a certain category of "yield-minded" investor.

Citi shares could be hit by more write-offs and the need to bring in a large sum of new capital.

That hardly makes it a "buy."

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Bloodied stock market rebounds then stumbles again

The stock market is like some punch drunk boxer who gets up after being knocked out only to be pounded yet again.

After rebounding for a milisecond, the Dow Jones industrial average ended the day below 13,000, down 170. The same investors who thought earlier in the day that the world wasn't going to end apparently have changed their minds yet again.

Remember that flicker of optimism earlier thiis afternoon.

Hester Capital Management's Craig Hester told Bloomberg News that, "The market to us looks very oversold and I think it's beginning to create some value in stocks."

Apparently, he wasn't alone.

Investors gobbled up shares of financial companies including Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C), Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS) and Merrill Lynch & Co. (NYSE: MER) that had been beaten to a pulp over the past few days. Even Bear Stearns Cos. (NYSE: BSC), which had been especially hard hit, rose for a while. Of course, they all fell by the close of trading.

Continue reading Bloodied stock market rebounds then stumbles again

Merrill Lynch: Not all broker earnings are dead

Merrill Lynch & Co. (NYSE:MER) posted earnings above and beyond Wall Street expectations, proving the company's many naysers wrong.

The financial services giant posted earnings per share of $2.24 on revenue of $9.7 billion, easiily surpassing analysts' estimates of EPS of $2.02 EPS and $9.25 billion in revenue.

A few weeks ago, brokerage stocks were being crushed when Bear Stearns (NYSE:BSC) was facing sharp hedge fund markdowns from toxic mortgage losses. Bloomberg has an article pointing to some $11 billion that the Wall Street firms are having to eat because of a credit crunch on some of the private equity deals.

Chairman & CEO, Stan O'Neal, noted in the release that revenue diversification made the strong performance possible despite uneven market conditions in what he described as "at times, a hostile market environment." That is referring to the current mortgage and debt markets that have been punishing big Wall Street firms..

The firm did not offer any formal guidance since brokerage firms are subject to conditions in the stock and bond markets. Super-leveraged debt instruments and derivatives help brokers live by the sword and die by the sword. So, as long as the markets remain healthy overall, then Merrill and its main competitors among so-called bulge bracket firms should be fine.

Merrill Lynch shares had traded over $89.00 in early trading, but shares are nearly back to flat at $87.45 on the day.

Jon Ogg is a partner at 24/7 Wall St.; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.

Two words for the future: financial services

From the international-news-that-could-very-well-be-pertinent-to-your-financial-future department, Sweden has announced that it plans to abolish its decades-old wealth tax.

Does that sound moot? At first glance, perhaps. After all, Sweden is far away, and Swedish tax policy is not directly relevant to U.S. taxpayers.

However, a more critical look reveals that Sweden's move underscores an ongoing global trend toward privatization, markets and investment, and away from policies that restrict capital inflows, investment, and, more generally, commerce.

U.S. readers are familiar with investment conditions stateside in the last two decades, during which federal income taxes have been reduced and the nation has pursued a more business-friendly regulatory policy.

But what some readers may not be readily aware of is that the lower-tax/encourage-commerce trend has also been a feature of economic policy in Europe and Asia. To be sure, Europe's income-tax rates, in general, remain higher than those in the U.S., and many states in those regions have more-extensive social welfare states than the U.S., but the move toward investment, commerce and markets is clear, and Sweden's wealth-tax abolishment is further evidence.

Continue reading Two words for the future: financial services

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 12, 2012: 11:03 AM

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