Finisar (NASDAQ:FNSR) trades like water. On a good day, ten million shares in the optical equipment maker change hands. The optics business should be strong. With companies like Verizon (NYSE:VZ) building out big fiber networks, there ought to be plenty of business to go around.
That brings Wall Street to the case at hand. Finisar revenue rose only 16% in its most recently reported quarter to $108 million. The firm can't give out complete financials until its options back-dating probe is behind it.
Finisar made matters worse by guiding for $104 million to $110 million in revenue in the current quarter. Reuters says investors are looking for $116 million.
Shareholders had to be hoping for better. Over the last year, Finisar shares are down about 35%. Other companies in the industry like JDS Uniphase (NASDAQ:JDSU) are guiding for better days ahead.
And, perhaps that is the problem. Companies like JDSU are beating Finisar in the horse race to supply capacity to provide infrastructure for rising internet traffic.
The internet traffic boom will not last forever. Video streaming is already in the market with huge bandwidth hogs like Google's (NASDAQ:GOOG) YouTube.
For Finisar, if not now, when?
Shares should be down today, or it is a victory of hope over reason.
Douglas A. McIntyre is a partner at 24/7 Wall St.