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Nike: For now, hold shares

Nike has strong fundamentals, an exceptional brand, and ample opportunities to expand in emerging markets. And yet the stock has meandered for the better part of four months -- straddling the critical 50-day moving average. What's going on here?

More than likely, institutional investors are concerned that Nike, Inc. (NYSE: NKE) will fall prey to consumer pull-back, even though 60% of the company's sales are outside the now 'frugal consumer' U.S.

Continue reading Nike: For now, hold shares

Collective Brands comes up short in the second quarter

Collective Brands (NYSE: PSS), which owns the Payless shoe store, issued its Q2 release after the bell on Wednesday. Earnings per share took a significant dive once you made some adjustments for last year's results. They came in at 29 cents per share, a decrease of over 40%. Net sales went down over 8%.

On the surface, the news isn't good -- and it gets worse. As we all know, every investor has to play the earnings game with Wall Street. Collective Brands lost the good fight. The market was looking for 33 cents per share, according to Earnings.com. Coming in four pennies short is about as comfortable as wearing sneakers two sizes too small. Shares of Collective Brands were punished in the after-hours' session, with investors bidding the stock down by close to 7% at one point, though it later recovered.

Continue reading Collective Brands comes up short in the second quarter

Crocs loses less than expected -- time to celebrate!

After the closing bell sounded yesterday, footwear firm Crocs (NASDAQ: CROX) reported second-quarter earnings, or should we say second-quarter loss -- yet the Street is ready to celebrate.

The foam footwear manufacturer reported a second-quarter loss of $30.3 million, or 36 cents per share. Taking a $34.8 million charge out of the equation, CROX would have lost a mere six cents per share. While these results are worse than those of a year ago, they managed to top Wall Street's expectations for a loss of 21 cents per share.

Continue reading Crocs loses less than expected -- time to celebrate!

Under Armour turns apparel into performance in the second quarter

Solid performance in the earnings spotlight from Under Armour (NYSE: UA), as the company reported a surprising profit of three cents per share. Under Armour's earnings topped the consensus estimate for a loss of two cents per share and matched the company's year-ago results. Quarterly revenue increased to $164.6 million from $156.7 million a year ago.

The results were driven by a 16.5% increase ($112 million) in clothing revenue, which compensated for an 18.4% drop ($37.5 million) in footwear from a year ago. Looking ahead, Under Armour forecast 2009 earnings between 80 and 82 cents per share, better than the consensus estimate for earnings of 79 cents per share. As far as revenue is concerned, the Maryland-based firm expects $810 million compared to $804.9 from the Street.

Continue reading Under Armour turns apparel into performance in the second quarter

Collective Brands sees earnings and sales decline, but beats expectations

Collective Brands (NYSE: PSS), a footwear retailer that competes with companies such as Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) and Kohl's (NYSE: KSS), issued Q1 results on Wednesday after the bell. The business earned 59 cents per diluted share. That represented a decline over last year's results which, on an adjusted basis, calculated out to 66 cents per share.

That's not the only disappointing news. You also have a sales decline, impacted by currency effects (of course), as well as the expiration of a license related to the Tommy Hilfiger brand. Also, same-store sales dipped by 4.8% on a reported basis, and 3.2% after the exclusion of currency translation. As can be seen, you can look at same-store sales any way you'd like, but in the end, they went down, and that is never healthy for a retailer. A retailer always wants to see rising comps.

Continue reading Collective Brands sees earnings and sales decline, but beats expectations

JockStocks: Does a recall reveal a chink in Under Armour's armor?

Earlier this week, Under Armour (NYSE: UA) issued what could be a very painful recall for both its customers and the company itself. The company voluntarily recalled more than 200,000 of its athletic cups on fears that they could break if hit -- which could then cause injury to the athlete. Last time I checked (and it has been years since I have had to use a "cup") these things were actually supposed to protect the most sensitive area of male athletes, right? If these things aren't doing their jobs, get them off the shelves. Millions of men will agree with me (I think). These cups were manufactured in China according to the U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission and noted that UA received (brace yourselves men) "five reports of cups breaking, including an injury involving cuts and bruising." Yipes!

Continue reading JockStocks: Does a recall reveal a chink in Under Armour's armor?

DSW misses in fourth quarter

DSW (NYSE: DSW) issued a pretty short press release detailing its Q4 earnings on Wednesday. Can't blame management about that. There really wasn't much to say, other than the data did not look appealing.

The footwear business reported a loss of 17 cents per share. In the previous year's Q4, there was a profit of 2 cents per share (I'm sure DSW is looking on that time period with bitter nostalgia). Unfortunately, the market was looking for a loss of only 12 cents per share according to this.

Continue reading DSW misses in fourth quarter

Nike stomps estimates, but sales are another matter

Nike, Inc. (NYSE: NKE) issued its Q3 numbers on Wednesday, and they were impressive in that they beat the analysts by quite the wide margin. According to Trey Thoelcke's earnings preview, analysts were looking for the sneaker giant to do $0.79 per share. Well, on an adjusted basis, excluding an impairment effect related to the Umbro asset, Nike delivered $0.99 per share. That represents an 8% jump in the bottom line.

Continue reading Nike stomps estimates, but sales are another matter

The week in preview: Eye on Marvel, KBR, First Solar, Deckers and more

Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expected the parade of earnings declines to continue into the final week of February, with Martha Stewart Living Omnimedia Inc. (NYSE: MSO), Nordstrom Inc. (NYSE: JWN), Home Depot Inc. (NYSE: HD), Wynn Resorts Ltd. (NASDAQ: WYNN), Macy's Inc. (NYSE: M), DreamWorks Animation SKG Inc. (NYSE: DWA), Limited Brands Inc. (NYSE: LTD), Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT), Royal Bank Of Canada (NYSE: RY), Del Monte Foods Co. (NASDAQ: DLM), Kohl's Corp. (NYSE: KSS), Washington Post Co. (NYSE: WPO), Dell Inc. (NASDAQ: DELL), Gap Inc. (NYSE: GPS), Campbell Soup Co. (NYSE: CPB), RadioShack Corp. (NYSE: RSH), and H.J. Heinz Co. (NYSE: HNZ) all expected to post lower earnings for the most recent quarter. Office Depot Inc. (NYSE: ODP), Saks Inc. (NYSE: SKS), and Cooper Tire & Rubber Co. (NYSE: CTB) are expect to have swung to a loss.

Continue reading The week in preview: Eye on Marvel, KBR, First Solar, Deckers and more

Crocs beats Q4 expectations, but don't be fooled ...

Crocs (NASDAQ: CROX) reported earnings for the fourth quarter after the market close on Thursday. The shares were up almost 10% on the news during the after-hours trading session since the footwear company beat expectations by a wide margin. But let me tell you something: I cannot imagine any sane investor wanting to risk his hard-earned capital on this stock. The numbers are just too dismal.

Wall Street was bracing for a loss of $0.56 per share in the fourth quarter. Well, Crocs did much better than that. It lost only $0.40 per share. Great, right? Yeah. Let's look at the top line: it declined by 43%. Does that put the earnings beat in perspective? I sure hope it does. How about the fact that gross margin went down to 44% compared to 56% in the year-ago period -- does that also lend some context?

Continue reading Crocs beats Q4 expectations, but don't be fooled ...

Earnings preview: Is Nike a shoe-in to beat expectations?

Nike (NYSE: NKE) will be reporting numbers for the second quarter on Wednesday, December 17. What should investors be expecting from the famous sneaker company?

Well, according to this earnings source, Wall Street thinks that Nike can deliver somewhere around $0.79 per share. If management hits this number, then we're talking growth of about 11%. Not the most exciting growth rate ever seen, but shareholders learn to appreciate low double-digit growth expansion in bad economic times. And judging by recent history, it seems like a good bet that Nike will, at the very least, meet expectations. The company has beaten the analysts on a pretty consistent basis, so even if the global recession has caught up to Nike, I'd have to assume that they'll at least deliver what's expected of the business (my guess is that we'll see a beat). Back in September, Michael Fowlkes wrote about Nike's beat in Q1.

Shareholders will be looking for clues as to how Nike is handling the tough climate. Margins will be looked at, and the effect of currency exchange rates will be scrutinized. The big question will center on what happens next. Will consumers still want to spend good money on expensive footwear? Nike does have great brand equity, as I noted back in the summer, but you pay up for its products. How attractive can that be with job cuts dominating the news flow? Shareholders should also see how many shares of stock management saw fit to take out of the float. That will indicate a level of confidence in its current business model.

Continue reading Earnings preview: Is Nike a shoe-in to beat expectations?

Nike (NKE) first quarter earnings preview

Wednesday afternoon following the market close, Nike Inc. (NYSE: NKE) will be reporting its fiscal first quarter earnings, and analysts are looking to see the company show earnings for the quarter of 92 cents per share.

The last time that the company reported was back on June 25, when it was able to beat out Wall Street estimates by two pennies, with a reported 98 cents per share for its fiscal fourth quarter, mostly a result of strong international demand, which was able to overcome weak consumer spending that hurt the company at home in the U.S. In fact, to find the last time that the company reported quarterly figures under Wall Street estimates, you would have to go all the way back to its fiscal fourth quarter 2006 when it missed by a penny, with a reported 70 cents per share.

On a year over year basis, should Nike come in with 92 cents per share, it would be a 16.9% drop from the $1.12 that it was able to earn during the first quarter of 2007.

Continue reading Nike (NKE) first quarter earnings preview

Skechers makes a bid for Heelys

Heelys (NASDAQ: HLYS) has looked interesting to me for the past few months. Sure, it's a fad product that's way past its prime but look at the balance sheet: the stock is trading very close to its book value and has $96 million in cash on the balance sheet, compared with a market cap of just over $130 million. The company also has no debt.

Apparently Skechers (NASDAQ: SKX) sees some value here too. In a press release issued after the close of the market yesterday, Skechers announced that, on May 28th of this year, it had made a formal proposal to acquire Heelys. The proposal was rejected without being disclosed to shareholders, and now Skechers is taking the battle to the streets, offering to acquire the entire company for $5.25 per share, a premium of just 8.2% to Tuesday's closing price.

Shares of Heelys traded up to $5.35 after-hours, indicating that investors anticipate that Skechers -- or someone else -- may come through with a more compelling offer.

From a corporate governance and transparency perspective, I think it's disappointing that Heelys didn't disclose the original offer to its shareholders. But given the state of the economy, and its beaten down share price, Heelys can probably make a strong case for staying the course as a stand-alone company, at least for now. If Skechers really wants Heelys, it will up the offer -- the company has to realize that a premium of 8.2% is just not very compelling.

Given the interest in Heelys, you also have to wonder whether fellow fallen angel of footwear fads Crocs (NASDAQ: CROX) could also end up in play soon.

Wolverine (WWW) stepping out

Wolverine World Wide, Inc. (NYSE: WWW), famous for its work boots, posted its 24th straight quarter of record profits. Revenue for 2Q2008 totaled $267.4 million, up 6.8%. EPS increased 17.9% to $0.79. More importantly, sales revenues increased in all global regions. The company's order backlog increased, indicating demand for its products outstrips supply. Inventory levels decreased 7% due to company efforts to control expenses and improve operational efficiencies. Accounts receivables increased 13%, so more money is moving through the pipeline. The company repurchased 200,000 shares of stock. Operating margins were squeezed a bit given the recent run up in raw material costs.

CEO Blake Krueger forecasts a growth rate in the 7.6-11.8% range, truly impressive when so many other retailers are struggling. This growth rate would translate into revenues in the $1.23-$1.26 billion range and EPS in the $1.83-$1.90 range. Inexplicably, the stock dropped 11.5% to $23.50 on the earnings release, despite the fact that 2Q EPS beat estimates by $0.02. The stock began to climb back a bit yesterday to close at $23.33, down from its 52-week high of $31.21, but it is dropping again this morning.

Should your portfolio walk in Nike's shoes?

According to Trey Thoelcke's coverage on earnings reports, Nike (NYSE: NKE), a competitor of Adidas (OTC: ADDDY), beat Wall Street expectations for its Q4 results. Analysts thought that Nike might be good for earnings of $0.96 per share, but the footwear entity booked $0.98 per share, beating estimates by two cents (thankfully, it wasn't the proverbial penny, which definitely gets boring after awhile). Investors didn't seem to be too keen on the results, as the stock sold off in after-hours trading on Wednesday, dropping almost 5%.

Let's take a closer look at the results. For the fourth quarter, the top line increased by 16% - not a bad revenue jump. And that $0.98 earnings per-share figure represented an increase of 14%. The fiscal year actually looked pretty good, too. Revenues increased 14%, and net income expanded by 28% to $3.74 per share. Gross margin expanded, and worldwide futures orders were up 11%. I like all these double-digit numbers, and I like the fact that the company paid out more in dividends this year than last, and I can see that Nike is taking advantage of the weak dollar through its international exposure.

Nike's stock has performed well, over the last five years, but lately it's not been as strong. Investors would certainly be justified in having a cautious stance with a company like Nike considering the current economic climate. Sneakers obviously might not be worth a lot of discretionary income in a time of high energy costs and slow growth. But with numbers like these, I have to say that Nike knows how to leverage its brand equity to full effect. This was a great yearly report, and if the stock pulled back a little further, I would definitely consider it.

Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned here; positions can change at any time.

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Last updated: November 09, 2009: 12:42 AM

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