TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says it's 20 years too late, but at least GM won't take down the auto industry anymore.

This new GM, this small GM, the one that doesn't care about share but cares about sales and quality and maintenance, may actually be what we needed about 20 years ago.

We have been worried about General Motors (OTC: GMGMQ) (Cramer's Take) for the last 20 years -- too big, too bloated, worrisome obligations. We still have the last one -- there's a lot of obligation still, much of it borne by us not by "them" -- but the one thing this reorganization will take off the table forever is, "How bad will the inevitable collapse of GM be for the country?" I say that because the one thing that we know after it emerges from bankruptcy Friday is that GM, at last, NO LONGER MATTERS.

Quarterly earnings could be up year-over-year by the fourth quarter. A low threshold for improvement, as a result of last year's Q3 financial meltdown, could set the stage for the appearance of a recovery, but the ride from here to there will be a difficult one.

Data from Bloomberg and S&P suggests that profits for stocks comprising the S&P 500 Index may be down 21% next quarter. It's still a double-digit blow, but a better result than Q2's estimated 34% -- and far ahead of Q1's 60% year-over-year fall in profits. The driver of a recovery, however concealed by low expectations, is likely to be a combination of unemployment and consumer spending. Last month, we saw unemployment reach a 26-year high, putting obvious constraints on purchasing.

Auto sales continued to drop in June, but we are starting to see signs that sales may be beginning to stabilize a bit.

The auto industry is still in deep trouble. It is going to take a while before things get back to normal, but before things can even start to improve, they have to stop worsening, and that's what may be happening.

The Energy Department is set to lend money to Ford (NYSE: F), Tesla, and Nissan (NASDAQ: NSANY), according to the Associated Press. The report cites anonymous sources, with the official announcement set for today in Dearborn, Michigan.

Reportedly, Ford has asked to receive $5 billion in loans by 2011, although the sources were not certain on how much money the automaker would receive. Nissan's requested amount was undisclosed and Tesla has reportedly asked for $450 million. The loan program the automakers are trying to tap into was approved by Congress last year in order to help car companies and suppliers develop green vehicles and components (such as the advanced battery) and help automakers meet the new fuel-efficiency standards of 35 miles per gallon by 2020.

Former Chrysler CEO Lee Iacocca has decided to weigh in on the current situation at his former employer, when interviewed by the Associated Press. Iacocca believes that the automaker needs to get the government out of the business as soon as possible, noting that government intervention is "strong motivation to repay the loan early." Iacocca added that the government "oversight is just too extreme." He reminded readers how Chrysler repaid the previous ten year loan from the government in three.

Chrysler and General Motors (OTC: GMGMQ) are have both received billions of dollars in government loans. Chrysler has recently exited bankruptcy protection, while GM remains in Chapter 11. The Treasury Department's auto task force has already made its presence felt, forcing out both CEOs and is reshaping their boards.

CarMax (NYSE: KMX), an expert in used automobiles and a colleague of AutoNation (NYSE: AN), is up today nearly 14% in early-afternoon trading on spectacular volume. What's driving (pun intended!) the buying action? You guessed it...earnings. Revenues for the first quarter decreased 17%. Adjusting for items, CarMax earned $0.22 per share, and, according to my colleague Melly Alazraki, that figure simply annihilated earnings projections developed by the analysts.

Well, well, well...what to do now, right? CarMax is an interesting company in an interesting time. It sells used cars during a period when new cars aren't selling too well. We all know about the problems at Ford (NYSE: F) and General Motors (OTC: GMGMQ). But that isn't reason enough to put money down on this stock. Especially not after a rally like we're seeing today.

Well, you knew it had to happen since Uncle Sam effectively owns Chrysler and General Motors. The U.S. House of Representatives is trying to pass a bill that would mandate the large automakers honor existing franchise agreements and put off dealer closures. The Dow Jones Newswire article quoted Bailey Wood, a lobbyist for the National Automobile Dealers Association, with the following doozy: "Closing dealerships will not make either Chrysler or GM any more viable, and Congress is realizing that," Wood said.

That the politicians are getting involved in operational decisions is clear evidence of the impending doom for the large auto companies. It's hard enough to exit bankruptcy and restart a business. It's far harder to do so while carrying political agendas on your back.

Ford (NYSE: F) is the last of the "Big" Three standing on its own two feet. Chrysler and General Motors (OTC: GMGMQ) are on crutches supplied by the federal government. While they're both still upright, those crutches are mighty expensive (the government will own 60% of GM when it emerges from bankruptcy).

Speaking of bankruptcy, Chrysler is already on the other side and now a partner with Fiat. That was perhaps the fastest legal action ever seen. Usually bankruptcy takes between 18 months to two years before a new company emerges.

Will GM be worth more than Ford? The answer is yes. Based on yesterday's closing bond prices, since May 28 when the government gave an exchange offer of a 10% equity stake and another 15% in stock warrants, GM's $3 billion of 8.375% bonds maturing in 2033 jumped 72% to 12.25 cents on the dollar yesterday. GM's market value will be about $33.1 billion, compared with Ford's $19.9 billion.

Revenue for GM will probably come in at about $120-$140 billion. Last year the numbers were $146 billion for GM and $146 billion for Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F).

If you compare last month to May 2008, then Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) looks pretty shaky: the American auto maker posted a 24% dip in sales year over year. However, the picture starts to look a lot better once you compare April and May of this year.

All in all, Ford sold 161,197 vehicles last month in the U.S.. Yes, this was 24% off the pace it set last year at this time, but it does mark a pretty impressive 20% jump over its numbers during the previous month, as the company was able to take slight advantage of its competitors' financial woes.

Banks need it. Home builders need it. Car companies need it. More banks need it. "It" is capital. Also known as equity. In reality, it's money. Banks need lots of it.

As we all know, there is a finite amount of everything. There is only so much money available for investing. The large banks have been at the trough and dipped, pulled out billions (names like Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS), Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), Wells Fargo & Co. (NYSE: WFC). That was over the last few weeks. Stock was issued. Money flowed in. Things looked pretty good.

Can a case be made for Ford's shares today? Indeed one can be made, but the stock is not for the squeamish.

Ford (NYSE: F) is facing its biggest hurdles ever: a pronounced U.S. recession, intense competition, excess capacity, pressured margins, declining demand for its pickup trucks, and hardly ideal credit market conditions for potential new vehicle purchasers.

There's a great post on the lean manufacturing blog Evolving Excellence about the auto industry and what it might really take to fix it. Bottom line -- Evolving Excellence says more dealer cuts needed so General Motors Corporation (NYS: GM) and Ford Motor Company (NYS: F) will have to take more inventory write downs and buyout more dealers. Even with these reduced dealer levels, the U.S. automakers still only sell roughly one-half as many cars per dealer as their Japanese counterparts.

What makes a good speculative stock? A great story? A low price? No and no. Stories are fun, but they're no way to invest. A low price doesn't mean anything if there isn't a company with assets or earnings.

My idea of a good speculation is a turnaround situation or a company with high book value selling at a price well below it. Here are five stocks that fit in these two categories.

Giving a clear indication of just how low demand for new autos has fallen, the world's largest car maker, Toyota (NYSE: TM) posted its first annual loss in 59 years this morning.

We all know that the auto industry is in major trouble. We have America's big three all fighting for their lives, and Chrysler has already been forced to file Chapter 11 bankruptcy.