forecast posts
FeedPosted Mar 23rd 2011 5:30PM by Brent Archer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major Movement, Earnings Reports, Forecasts, Good news, Options, Technical Analysis

Jabil Circuit (
JBL) shares are rising today after
the company reported earnings last night, posting a fiscal-Q2 profit of $55.4 million, or 25 cents per share. Excluding one-time items, JBL earned 54 cents per share on revenue of $3.9 billion. Analysts had forecast a profit of 51 cents per share on revenue of $3.91 billion. JBL also forecast Q3 earnings of 55 to 59 cents per share on revenue of $4.1 to $4.2 billion. Analysts are looking for a profit of 54 cents per share on revenue of $4.04 billion. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on JBL.
JBL opened this morning at $20.42. So far today the stock has hit a low of $20.10 and a high of $21.30. As of 12:30, JBL is trading at $21.00 up 2.07 (10.9%). The chart for JBL looks neutral and
S&P gives JBL a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.
Continue reading Jabil Circuit Reports Strong Q2 Earnings & Q3 Forecast
Posted Mar 21st 2011 2:30PM by Brent Archer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major Movement, Earnings Reports, Forecasts, Tiffany and Co (TIF), Options, Technical Analysis
Tiffany & Co. (TIF - option chain) shares are rising after the company reported Q4 2010 earnings Monday morning, posting a profit of $181.22 million, or $1.41 per share. Excluding one-time items, Tiffany earned $1.44 per share on revenue of $1.10 billion, while analysts had forecast a profit of $1.39 per share on revenue of $1.10 billion.
Tiffany cut its Q1 earnings forecast to 57 cents per share, down from a previous forecast of 62 cents per share, due to an anticipated decline in sales in Japan in the wake of the recent earthquake. However, that is still above analysts' forecasts of 55 cents per share, which is a good sign for the stock. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on TIF.
Continue reading Tiffany & Co. Posts Strong Q4 Earnings, Q1 Forecast
Posted Mar 9th 2011 9:30AM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: Middle East, Oil
The Department of Energy has had to up its forecast its forecast for oil prices for 2011 and 2012 from last month. The updated forecast takes into account the loss of one million barrels per day from the Libyan conflict, The Wall Street Journal reported.
Last month, the DOE's Energy Information Administration's (EIA) estimate for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was $91 per barrel for 2011. Now, EIA forecasts WTI crude to average $102 per barrel in 2011 and $104 per barrel in 2012. The EIA qualified its forecast with this statement: "There is significant uncertainty surrounding this forecast."
Continue reading DOE Raises Forecasts for Oil and Gasoline Prices
Posted Mar 7th 2011 2:00PM by Brent Archer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major Movement, Earnings Reports, Forecasts, Bad News, Ciena Corp (CIEN), Options, Technical Analysis

Ciena (
CIEN -
option chain) stock is trading lower today after
the company reported Q1 2011 earnings this morning, posting a loss of $79.06 million, or 84 cents per share. Excluding one-time items, CIEN lost 14 cents per share on revenue of $433.31 million, while analysts had forecast a loss of 16 cents per share on revenue of $421.91 million. CIEN also forecast Q2 revenue of $415 to $435 million, below analysts' forecasts of $438.5 million. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on CIEN.
This morning, CIEN opened at $27.60. So far today the stock has hit a high of $28.38 and a low of $25.49. As of 12:10, CIEN is trading at $25.25, down $3.56 (-12.4%). The chart for CIEN looks neutral and
S&P gives CIEN a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.
Continue reading Ciena Tumbles on Weak Q2 Forecast
Posted Feb 10th 2011 1:20PM by Brent Archer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major Movement, Earnings Reports, Forecasts, Good news, Whole Foods Market (WFMI), Options, Technical Analysis

Whole Foods Market (
WFMI -
option chain) shares are rising today after the company reported earnings last night, posting a fiscal-
Q1 profit of $88.7 million, or 51 cents per share, on revenue of $3 billion. Analysts had forecast a profit of 45 cents per share on revenue of $2.98 billion. The company also lifted its 2011 earnings forecast to a range of $1.76 to $1.80 per share, up from a previous range of $1.66 to $1.71 per share. Analysts are expecting 2011 earnings of $1.71 per share. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on WFMI.
WFMI opened this morning at $58.77. So far today the stock has hit a low of $58.49 and a high of $60.94. As of 12:05, WFMI is trading at $60.56 up 6.56 (12.7%). The chart for WFMI looks bullish and
S&P gives WFMI a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) buy ranking.
Continue reading Whole Foods Soars on Q1 Earnings and Raised Forecast
Posted Jan 26th 2011 12:00PM by Elizabeth Harrow (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major Movement, Earnings Reports, Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades, Forecasts, Options, Technical Analysis, Juniper Networks (JNPR)
Juniper Networks (JNPR) is on the upswing, with the stock catching a 6% boost Wednesday morning on the heels of a well-received fourth-quarter earnings report. Juniper reported a quarterly profit of $190.2 million, or 35 cents per share, substantially improved from its year-ago results of $22.9 million, or 4 cents per share. Excluding items, earnings improved to 42 cents from 32 cents per share on a year-over-year basis.
Meanwhile, revenue for the quarter increased 26% to $1.19 billion. Gross margin retreated slightly, falling to 66.6% from 67.1%.
Continue reading Juniper Networks Jumps Higher After Q4 Earnings Beat
Posted Jan 19th 2011 1:30PM by Brent Archer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Bad News, American Express (AXP), Options, Technical Analysis

American Express (
AXP -
option chain) stock is trading lower today after
the company announced it expects to report fiscal-Q4 earnings of 94 cents per share, excluding one-time items.
Analysts have forecast a profit of 95 cents per share. AXP also said it will record one-time charges totaling $113 million, related to restructuring and other changes. AXP will report full quarterly results on Monday, January 24. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on AXP.
This morning, AXP opened at $45.20. So far today the stock has hit a high of $45.70 and a low of $44.80. As of 12:15, AXP is trading at $45.17, down $1.20 (-2.6%). The chart for AXP looks bullish and
S&P gives AXP a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) buy ranking.
Continue reading American Express Drops on Weak Q2 Guidance
Posted Jan 10th 2011 1:30PM by Brent Archer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major Movement, Earnings Reports, Forecasts, Good news, China, Options, Technical Analysis

Mindray Medical (
MR -
option chain) shares are rising today after the Chinese medical devices company announced
preliminary 2010 results, saying it now expects fiscal-2010 revenues to come in at $703 million, up from a previous forecast of $700 million.
Analysts have forecast 2010 revenue of $703.56 million. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on MR.
MR opened this morning at $28.05. So far today the stock has hit a low of $28.02 and a high of $29.04. As of 12:15, MR is trading at $28.25 up $1.20 (4.4%). The chart for MR looks neutral and
S&P gives MR a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.
Continue reading Mindray Medical Announces Strong Preliminary Earnings Results
Posted Jan 5th 2011 1:30PM by Brent Archer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major Movement, Earnings Reports, Forecasts, Bad News, Family Dollar Stores (FDO), Options, Technical Analysis
Family Dollar Stores (FDO - option chain) stock is trading lower today after the company reported Q1 earnings this morning, posting a profit of $74.32 million, or 58 cents per share, on revenue of $2.00 billion. Analysts had forecast a profit of 61 cents per share on revenue of $1.98 billion. FDO also forecast Q2 earnings of 92 to 97 cents per share, below analysts' forecasts of $1.00 per share. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on FDO.
This morning, FDO opened at $45.18. So far today the stock has hit a high of $46.19 and a low of $44.85. As of 12:30, FDO is trading at $45.27, down $4.04 (-8.2%). The chart for FDO looks bullish and S&P gives FDO a positive 5 STARS (out of 5) strong buy ranking.
Continue reading Family Dollar Misses Q1 Earnings, Issues Weak Q2 Forecast
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