forecast posts
FeedPosted Nov 20th 2009 1:00PM by Brent Archer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major movement, Earnings reports, Forecasts, Bad news, Options, Technical Analysis

ADC Telecommunications (
ADCT -
option chain) stock is trading lower today after
the company posted a fourth-quarter loss last night of $19.8 million, or 20 cents per share, on revenue of $183.9 million. ADCT also forecast a first-quarter adjusted loss of 10 to 0 cents per share on revenue of $250 million to $275 million. Analysts are forecasting a profit of 11 cents per share on revenue of $274 million. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on ADCT.
This morning, ADCT opened at $5.46. So far today the stock has hit a high of $5.93 and a low of $5.35. As of 12:05, ADCT is trading at $5.71, down 93 cents (-14.0%). The chart for ADCT looks bullish and
S&P gives ADCT a positive 5 STARS (out of 5) strong buy ranking.
Continue reading ADC Telecom (ADCT) drops sharply on Q4 loss, Q1 forecast
Posted Nov 11th 2009 6:00PM by Michael Fowlkes (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Forecasts, Good news, Competitive strategy, Employees, Market matters, Applied Materials (AMAT), Technology, Recession

Semiconductor maker Applied Materials (
AMAT) reported
its fiscal fourth quarter numbers this afternoon following the market close, and the company easily outpaced analyst estimates.
Going into this afternoon's earnings report, analysts had been expecting to see the company show earnings of 3 cents per share, but the company surprised to the upside by posting actual Q4 earnings of 13 cents.
Continue reading Applied Materials (AMAT) tops analyst estimates
Posted Nov 9th 2009 1:00PM by Brent Archer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Bad news, China, Options, Technical Analysis
(FUQI - option chain) stock is trading lower today after the Chinese jewelry company reported a third-quarter profit this morning that easily topped analysts' estimates. However, FUQI forecast fourth-quarter EPS of 55 to 60 cents and revenue of $182 to $191 million, compared to analysts' forecasts of 58 cents and $184 million, respectively. Revenues for Q3 about 2% below estimates, which is not a great sign. At this point in the economic cycle, traders are looking for optimistic indicators rather than weak or in-line ones. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on FUQI.
This morning, FUQI opened at $24.90. So far today the stock has hit a high of $25.74 and a low of $21.62. As of 12:00, FUQI is trading at $21.23, down $2.10 (-9.0%). The chart for FUQI looks bearish.
Continue reading Fuqi drops on weak Q3 revenue, in-line Q4 forecast
Posted Nov 6th 2009 12:20PM by Elizabeth Harrow (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Forecasts, Technical Analysis
Shares of The Boston Beer Company (NYSE: SAM) surged to a new 52-week high Friday morning, after the brewmaster reported a third-quarter profit of $10.4 million, or 72 cents per share, on revenue of $108.7 million. The company swung to a loss of 2 cents per share in the third quarter of 2008, but attributed its turnaround to strong shipments and decreased advertising expenses.
The results were better than analysts expected, with consensus estimates calling for Boston Beer to bank a profit of 39 cents per share on $107.5 million. Looking forward, Boston Beer now expects full-year earnings of $1.75 per share to $2.05 per share, a marked increased from its prior forecast for a 2009 profit of $1.40 per share to $1.70 per share.
Continue reading Boston Beer blows away 3Q expectations, hikes 2009 forecast
Posted Nov 4th 2009 6:00PM by Michael Fowlkes (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Forecasts, Good news, Cisco Systems (CSCO), Market matters, Technology, Recession

Following today's market close, technology giant
Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:
CSCO) had its chance to impress Wall Street with
its fiscal first quarter results, and the company did not disappoint.
Going into this afternoon's earnings report, analysts had been expecting to see the company show earnings of 31 cents per share, but the company surprised to the upside by posting actual earnings of 36 cents per share for its fiscal first quarter. For the same period last year the company had earnings of 42 cents per share.
Continue reading Cisco posts strong Q1 earnings
Posted Nov 2nd 2009 1:00PM by Brent Archer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Forecasts, Dean Foods (DF), Options, Technical Analysis
Dean Foods (NYSE: DF - option chain) stock traded lower Monday after the company reported Q3 earnings, posting an adjusted profit of 34 cents per share on revenue of $2.77 billion. While this beat analysts' expectations of 33 cents per share, the revenue targets were $2.94 billion. DF also forecast fourth-quarter EPS of 36 cents, missing analysts' projections of 39 cents. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on DF.
Monday, DF opened at $17.82. In early trading, the stock hit a high of $17.96 and a low of $16.43. As of 11:20, DF was trading at $16.59, down $1.64 (-9.0%). The chart for DF looks neutral and S&P gives DF a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.
Continue reading Dean Foods (DF) issues weak Q4 guidance
Posted Sep 14th 2009 11:40AM by Elizabeth Harrow (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Options, Delta Air Lines (DAL)
Delta Air Lines (NYSE: DAL) was on the upswing Monday after the firm raised its forecast for third-quarter margins. The airline issue now expects operating margin of 3% to 4% for the current quarter, compared to its midsummer outlook of 1% to 3%. Third-quarter fuel prices are now expected to average $2.14 per gallon, down from a prior prediction of $2.17.
The update comes courtesy of a regulatory filing, wherein Delta noted that many of its financial metrics are improving on both a sequential and a year-over-year basis. Load factor for September and October is pegged at 82%, narrowly above last year's level. Meanwhile, revenue per available seat mile is expected to decline in the third quarter, but less so than in the second quarter.
Continue reading Delta Air Lines call volume rises after 3Q update
Posted Aug 25th 2009 12:20PM by Elizabeth Harrow (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Forecasts, Burger King Hldgs (BKC)
Burger King Holdings (NYSE: BKC) is on the upswing today after the fast-food chain topped analysts' earnings expectations. In its fiscal fourth quarter, the burger baron banked a profit of $58.9 million, or 43 cents per share, representing a 16% increase from the year-ago period. Revenue dipped 2% to $629.9 million, while same-store sales fell by 2.4%. By contrast, analysts were looking for a profit of just 33 cents per share on $632 million in revenue.
Looking ahead, the restaurant chain warned that it expects sales to be soft through Christmas. As a result, Burger King declined to issue specific earnings guidance for the current fiscal year. Additionally, the company plans to slow the pace of its new store openings; rather than the 360 new outlets opened in fiscal 2009, Burger King is targeting 250 to 300 openings in fiscal 2010.
Continue reading Burger King rallies post-earnings, but concerns still linger
Posted Aug 6th 2009 12:40PM by Brent Archer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major movement, Forecasts, Good news, Options, Technical Analysis, American Eagle Outfitters (AEO)
American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE:
AEO -
option chain) shares are rising today after
the company updated its Q2 EPS forecast to 16 cents, including a 2-cent tax benefit. AEO had previously forecast EPS of 12 to 15 cents, while analysts are expecting EPS of 14 cents. AEO also announced
July same store sales that declined more than expected, but that news was offset for traders by the revised forecast. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on AEO.
AEO opened this morning at $14.50. So far today the stock has hit a low of $14.40 and a high of $14.95. As of 11:30, AEO is trading at $14.70 up 74 cents (5.3%). The chart for AEO looks neutral and
S&P gives AEO a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.
Continue reading American Eagle (AEO) revises Q2 guidance higher
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