foreclosure posts
FeedPosted Oct 20th 2009 3:00PM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Employees, Economic data, Personal finance, Recession
Some of the jobs that have disappeared through this recession are gone forever, it seems. Even when the market turns, and even gains momentum, we could be stuck with a fairly weak employment market for a while. The recovery will take longer than we'd like, putting more distance between now and the top of the next market run. We've lost 7.2 million jobs since December 2007, and the predictions of some economists that we'll get them back by 2014 may actually seem optimistic.
Unemployment is at 9.8%, and it's expected to clear 10% early next year. Then, we have the specter of a jobless recovery with which to contend. "Full employment" is often considered to be an
unemployment rate of 4% to 5%, but it could be a while before we get there. The last downturn, following the
dotcom bust, resulted in a peak unemployment rate of 6.3% in 2003 ... and we're already well past that.
Why is the recovery going to be such a grind? Check out the four major reasons after the jump.
Continue reading Four reasons we're stuck with high unemployment for a while
Posted Jun 16th 2009 6:00PM by Michael Fowlkes (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major movement, Forecasts, Good news, Market matters, Money and Finance Today, Economic data, Housing, Recession, Financial Crisis

It was the largest jump in three months, as new home construction
increased by 17.2% during the last month.
The increase was much higher than analysts had been expecting, and last month we moved up to an annual rate of 532,000 units... well above the 500,000 units that had been forecast.
Continue reading New home construction jumps in May
Posted Feb 27th 2009 1:50PM by Peter Cohan (RSS feed)
Filed under: Housing
Are you in foreclosure proceedings? If so, you can stay in your house longer than you might have thought. All you have to do is tell the bank to hand you a copy of the mortgage contract that proves you are on the hook to pay and specifies the terms of the foreclosure. As long as the bank cannot deliver you that contract, you can stay in the house.
I am not a lawyer; nor am I going to play one here. But if you tell the bank to "produce the note," it must deliver you the paper copy of the contract. And thanks to the way the mortgage market has changed in the last few decades, that simple request could be difficult to fulfill. That's because most mortgages used to get sold to investment banks who packaged them into mortgage-backed securities and sold them to investors around the world.
Continue reading Three words to stall foreclosure: 'Produce the note'
Posted Dec 11th 2008 9:55AM by Peter Cohan (RSS feed)
Filed under: Economic data, Housing, Financial Crisis
The deflation drumbeat continues. As prices drop, businesses produce less and they cut the people doing the producing. With the exception of stocks and oil, it seems that nowhere are prices falling faster than in houses -- slashing $10 trillion in consumer wealth. And the spike in foreclosures adds more supply to the market for houses, just as demand keeps falling.
The foreclosure forecasts and initial unemployment claims figures released today are indeed sobering. The spike in foreclosures is expected to come from Pay Option mortgages, which let borrowers pay less than they owe each month and add that amount into the principal. But the Pay Option resets the rate upward when the new principal rises above 110% of the original amount.
Thanks in part to a 63% -- or $1,053 -- monthly increase in the current $1,672 average payment, foreclosures are expected to rise 125% to 3.6 million by 2010 over the three million that have occurred since 2006. Meanwhile, initial applications for jobless benefits rose to 573,000 in the week ending December 6 -- 9% more than the expected 525,000 -- from 515,000 the week before.
If this is what an Ownership Society is all about, maybe it's time to forget about Ownership and create an Affordership Society where people live within their means instead of borrowing to buy things they can't really afford.
Peter Cohan is president of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter.
Posted Nov 21st 2008 12:40PM by Elizabeth Harrow (RSS feed)
Filed under: Bad news, Federal Natl Mtge (FNM), Housing, Financial Crisis
Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) said today that it received a notice from the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), warning that the mortgage firm could be delisted due to its rock-bottom share price. FRE has been trading below $1 for more than 30 days now, and must notify the exchange by December 2 whether it intends to rectify the problem.
If Freddie does decide to meet the NYSE's listing requirements, it will have until mid-May to address the share-price issue; if not, its common stock and preferred stock are subject to suspension and delisting. In a statement, Freddie Mac said it's "currently working with its conservator, the Federal Housing Finance Agency, to explore options relating to this deficiency and has not yet determined its response."
Earlier this week, Freddie's sister Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) received an identical warning from the NYSE. The troubled siblings hit the headlines for somewhat more respectable reasons earlier this morning, when the pair announced they would temporarily halt foreclosures during the holiday season.
After opening broadly higher this morning, FRE has fallen to a 6% loss at 46 cents per share. Sibling Fannie is faring better today; that stock is up roughly 9% at last check -- though today's gain takes the per-share price only as high as 36 cents.
Elizabeth Harrow is an analyst and financial writer in the research department at Schaeffer's Investment Research. She is featured in the video series Schaeffer's Daily Q&A on SchaeffersResearch.com.
Posted Nov 4th 2008 2:40PM by Sarah Gilbert (RSS feed)
Filed under: Recession

How cutthroat have mortgage lenders been? I'd say on the pirates-and-vikings level, if data from Los Angeles this month is any indication. After a new law went into effect in early July requiring lenders to contact homeowners and attempt to avoid foreclosure
before initiating the process, October foreclosures fell sharply, based on newly-scheduled home auctions (most foreclosures take 90 to 120 days to complete).
The law, however, only requires a 30-day waiting period to attempt to work things out, and does not ask the lenders to provide any proof of the options it considered; only a piece of paper evidencing attempt to contact the homeowner (which, it would seem, could be as limited as a phone message but would probably take the form of a registered letter). There does not seem to be any way to make sure that the intention behind the contact was to find a creative solution to foreclosure and many critics claim that the
effect of the law will only be a 30-day delay.
Indeed, all observers are forecasting a rise in foreclosures for November that is roughly equal to the decline in October. Has anything been gained, other than a few weeks' of respite from homelessness and a momentary decrease in the supply of cheap homes? I doubt it.
Posted Aug 25th 2008 2:03PM by Michael Fowlkes (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Good news, Consumer experience, Economic data, Housing, Recession

In the current housing market, it has been hard to find any sort of silver lining, but we do see a little positive news today, as
existing home sales in July jumped more than expected, mainly due to lower home prices.
During July, sales of existing homes rose by 3.1%. This was well above the 1.6% that Wall Street was hoping to see, but analysts caution against assuming that this is a sign that the market has finally bottomed out. Despite beating Wall Street estimates, we still have to consider the fact that home sales were over 13% lower than the same period a year ago.
While we can view the July sales figures as promising, we must also take a minute to look at home inventories, and here the picture is not so rosy. Here we see that the number of unsold single family homes is running at all time highs. Currently the market is trying to deal with a total of 4.67 million unsold homes. This is the highest level that we have seen since 1968 when the National Association of Realtors started monitoring the data.
Continue reading Existing home sales jump, but are we out of the woods just yet?
Posted Aug 15th 2008 12:44PM by Zac Bissonnette (RSS feed)
Filed under: Trump Entertainment Resorts (TRMP), Housing
Donald Trump, the Clown Prince of Capitalism and Chairman of
Trump Entertainment Resorts (NASDAQ:
TRMP), is back in the news. The Associated Press
reports that he'll be bailing out Ed McMahon, the former Johnny Carson sidekick who defaulted on $4.8 million in loans on his Beverly Hills home.
Trump
told The Los Angeles Times that he didn't know McMahon personally and is motivated by "compassion. . . When I was at the Wharton School of Business I'd watch him every night. How could this happen?"
Holy cow! When I read this story, I thought "Finally! I'll have a chance to do a nice piece on Donald Trump." Wrong. I am actually going to make history here and
bash someone for helping an old man keep his house. First, why Ed McMahon? There are hundreds of thousands of people facing problems with their homes and, rather than quietly helping average Joe's with mortgage payments, Trump goes and spends millions of dollars to help one old rich guy keep his palace -- and then calls
The Los Angeles Times to brag about it. Oh, and he had to remind everyone that he went to Wharton.
This act of charity, like everything Donald does, seems to be motivated by narcissism, grandiosity, and a thirst for publicity.
I'm caving into his desire to have his name all over the place, but I'm also calling BS on this billionaire bailout.
Posted Aug 9th 2008 8:30AM by Daniel Solin (RSS feed)
Filed under: Personal finance
This post is part of a series where personal finance expert Dan Solin looks at money moves that may seem smart in tough economic times, but are actually quite dumb. See all 12.
Is there a silver lining in the horrific number of home foreclosures we read about every day?
While having a home foreclosed must be traumatic for the homeowner, does it present an opportunity for investors and potential home buyers to pick up a bargain?
The answer may depend on the nature of the sale.
The classic scenario is the auction, where a home is literally auctioned off to the highest bidder, often right on the lawn in front of the house.
The basic problem with buying a home at auction is that you have no right to inspect the home and you have to pay the full purchase price by cash or bank check on the spot. There have been situations where buyers found serious problems with homes purchased in this manner, which would have been uncovered by a competent home inspector. Also, while not common, the homeowner may refuse to vacate the house. If so, you may be confronted with delays and significant legal fees to evict him.
Continue reading Dumb Money Move No. 10: Buy a home in foreclosure
Posted Jul 30th 2008 1:27PM by Elizabeth Harrow (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major movement, Bad news, , S and P 500, Housing
In this series, we take a look at the 25 stocks on the S&P 500 Index (SPX) that have turned in the worst performance during the past decade -- what went wrong, and what happens next.
Seattle-based Washington Mutual, Inc. (NYSE: WM) was doing just fine on the charts, thank you, until the entire financial-services sector was upended in 2007 by the twin evils of caustic subprime loans and the ensuing credit crunch.
While it's an honor it would probably just as soon not claim, WaMu is a prime example of an otherwise decent stock that got slammed by a macroeconomic stealth bomb.
What went wrong? At No. 9 on our list of SPX stragglers, WM shed 83% of its value during the 10-year period that concluded on June 30, 2008. Prior to June 2007, the stock was trending higher along support from its 50-month moving average. Double-top resistance near $46 proved difficult to surmount, but WM was holding up respectably ... that is, until the first shock waves of the credit crunch hit in spring 2007.
Following news of massive subprime-related losses at hedge funds owned by Bear Stearns, Wall Street's attention was suddenly riveted to mortgage loans and the banks that carried them on their balance sheets. During WaMu's first-quarter report, chairman and CEO Kerry Killinger attempted to reassure anxious investors with the optimistic statement, "Over the past 12 months, we have taken a number of prudent actions to reduce our exposure to the subprime mortgage industry ... [which] limited our exposure to the mortgage market's downturn and position us well to expand and grow as market conditions improve."
Continue reading Worst 10-year performers: Washington Mutual buried by bad-mortgage baggage
Posted Jul 28th 2008 5:41PM by Elizabeth Harrow (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major movement, Bad news, S and P 500, Housing
In this series, we take a look at the 25 stocks on the S&P 500 Index (SPX) that have turned in the worst performance during the past decade -- what went wrong, and what happens next.
Is it just me, or were Ohio-based regional banks a particular target of the market's wrath during our focus decade? KeyCorp (NYSE: KEY) of Cleveland and Fifth Third Bancorp (NASDAQ: FITB) of Cincinnati have already made cameos on our list of losers -- and I'm not going to give it away, but there's at least one more Buckeye State banker further down the line-up. And, of course, how could we forget Columbus-based Huntington Bancshares (NASDAQ: HBAN)?
What went wrong? At number 14 on our list of SPX laggards, HBAN shed 77% of its value from June 30, 1998 through June 30, 2008. At the end of June 1998, the shares were perched just narrowly atop $25 -- a region that would later switch roles to provide impenetrable resistance from July 2004 through the end of 2006. Now, in the wake of a precipitous price plunge, HBAN is wallowing some 72% below this formerly critical level.
Unlike some other regional banks, HBAN started to feel the pain of subprime-gone-wrong as soon as July 2007. At the time, the bank warned that its second-quarter earnings would fall 11 cents short of analysts' expectations. CEO Thomas Hoaglin admitted, "These results were below our expectations and resulted primarily from difficult and deteriorating residential real estate markets." This admission paved the way for an all-out plunge; from its July 2007 peak to its July 2008 low, the stock shed 81%.
Continue reading Worst 10-year performers: Bad real-estate bets punish Huntington Bancshares
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