france posts
FeedPosted Nov 13th 2009 3:40PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, Good news, Recession

Europe, font of western civilization, is growing again. The euro-zone officially entered a recovery with GDP in the 16-nation zone increasing 0.4% in Q3 compared to the previous quarter, Eurostat, the European Union's official statistics agency,
announced Friday. Europe's economy had contracted for the five previous quarters.
Meanwhile, growth in the 27-nation E.U. (EU27), which includes nations that aren't members of the euro monetary system, increased 0.2% in Q3.
Continue reading Ray of light: Euro-zone GDP increased 0.4% in Q3
Posted Nov 13th 2009 11:00AM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Competitive strategy, China, Russia, McDonald's (MCD)
For McDonald's (MCD), 32,000 restaurants in 100 countries isn't enough. The quick service restaurant announced in a meeting with Wall Street analysts that it will open 1,000 new restaurants next year. Most will be in the United States, China, Australia, Russia, Germany and France. Don't expect to see any in Iceland, though, as the company is closing its three restaurants there and has no plans to return in the near future.
The company is also looking to rehabilitate the interiors and exteriors of another 2,300 locations in 2010 – approximately half of them in Europe. In all, this should cost around $2.4 billion. For 2009, McDonald's expects its capital expenditures to reach $2.1 billion on 900 new restaurant openings. The chain is increasing its rate of new restaurant openings by more than 10% from 2009 to 2010.
Continue reading McDonald's to add another thousand golden arches next year
Posted Mar 2nd 2009 8:00AM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, Eastern Europe, Recession, Financial Crisis

Following the instructions of President John F. Kennedy, "I appreciate candor almost as much as I appreciate good news," we're moving forward with candor, however unpleasant.
Investors take heed: the U.S. recession most likely just got longer.
The European Union, led by Germany, has rejected Eastern Europe's pleas for an aid package of about $228 billion, citing budget concerns in their own Western European countries, Bloomberg News
reported Sunday.
The E.U.'s failure to provide aid and fiscal stimulus to Hungary, the Czech republic, Slovakia, Romania, Bulgaria, Latvia and Poland will hurt both the U.S. and global economies.
Continue reading Eastern Europe aid plea rejection likely to delay Europe, U.S. recoveries
Posted Jan 24th 2009 1:10PM by Zac Bissonnette (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newspapers
On Wedneday I wrote about France's idiotic bailout of the auto industry. But wait! There's more!
Now the French President Nicolas Sarkozy has announced what amounts to a bailout of the country's newspaper industry as well. Here's how it works: The French government is going to help buy every 18-year old a newspaper subscription as a birthday gift. The newspapers will be given away by the publishers while the state "pays for the deliveries." According to the Associated Press, "Sarkozy also announced a ninefold rise in the state's support for newspaper deliveries and a doubling of its annual print advertising outlay amid a swelling industry crisis."
The problem with this whole measure is that vast majority of teens don't want to read a newspaper. They get their news for free on this newfangled device called the internet. Having publishers and the government shell out cash to send them newspapers is a complete waste of time and it diverts resources from what the traditional media really needs to do: adapt to a changing market.
I understand that Sarkozy wants to help the industry buy time. Fine: Why not just cut them a check to invest in moderinzation? Why bog it down with a gimmick like giving newspaper subscriptions to people who don't really want them?
Posted Jan 21st 2009 4:40PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Politics
Prior to President Obama's inauguration, political strategist Dick Morris appeared on conservative commentator
Sean Hannity's new show on FoxNews and said the Obama administration will implement policies such that the U.S. economy "will become like Socialist France."
(Note: Full and fair disclosure - Before offering his policy forecasts for the Obama administration, Morris recognized and applauded the history-making event of the United States inaugurating its first African-American president approximately 150 years after President Lincoln's Emancipation Proclamation.)
Morris also sees U.S. national health careMorris also said he expects President Obama to implement a national, universal health care system, although Morris did specify how much he thought the program would cost, or how it would be funded.
In 2007, French government spending accounting for about 50%, $1.29 trillion of France's $2.56 trillion economy, according to research compiled by the
U.S. Central Intelligence Agency. According to the CIA, France's elected officials remain committed to a capitalism in which they maintain social equity by means of laws, tax policies, and social spending that reduce income disparity and the impact of free markets on public health and welfare. In 2007, total government spending in the U.S. accounted for about 35-40% of U.S. GDP, depending on the methodology used.
Continue reading Dick Morris says under Obama U.S. economy 'will become like Socialist France'
Posted Jan 21st 2009 2:15PM by Zac Bissonnette (RSS feed)
Filed under: Bad news
I've been watching for months trying to find a dumber approach to a bailout than TARP and now I've found one: France.
The French government said yesterday that it will inject as much as €6 billion ($7.86 billion) into its ailing auto industry. But there's a catch. Prime Minister François Fillon
says that (subscription required) "There is no question of the state helping a car manufacturer that decides purely and simply to close one or more production sites in France."
That's right. Any company that closes an unproductive plant won't get any of that government cheese. Any economics professor will tell you that's an incredibly stupid policy. The point of a bailout -- if there is one -- is to buy time for an industry to revitalize itself. Insisting that companies continue to build cars when there are no buyers for them is just bad policy. It's all in the name of preserving jobs but it would be better to free up people who are building stuff no one wants so they can devote their time to something productive. With fewer new cars being sold, demand for mechanics and automotive technicians seems likely to stay strong and possibly rise. Wouldn't it be better to let the factories close and let the market redeploy the workers there?
It's just bad economics, but it has a nice populist ring to it that makes it politically expedient.
Posted Nov 19th 2008 4:45PM by Peter Cohan (RSS feed)
Filed under: Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Morgan Stanley (MS), Financial Crisis
Banks around the world have been raising capital in the last few months. If the market is efficient, then the cost of capital for these banks should tell us something about how risky they are. Based on the relative cost of capital of banks in the U.S. compared to those in France, Germany and Switzerland, the world's riskiest banks are right here in the good old USA. The safest banks? French ones.
How so? Here is the rough (due to different capital structures) after-tax cost of capital for the banks in different countries:
- U.S.: Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) is paying a 17% interest rate and Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE: GS) pays almost 17%
- UK: Barclays pays 16%; HBOS, Lloyds TSB; and Royal Bank of Scotland pay about 12%
- Germany: Commerzbank pays 10%
- Switzerland: UBS's interest rate is relative bargain of 9.9%
- France: BNP Paribas, Societe Generale, and four others pay the lowest rate -- 5% -- for their capital
Maybe there's some sort of trading opportunity to short U.S banks and go long French ones. C'est la vie!
Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College. His eighth book, You Can't Order Change: Lessons From Jim McNerney's Turnaround at Boeing, will be published by Portfolio on December 26, 2008. He has no financial interest in Goldman or Morgan Stanley securities.
Posted Oct 13th 2008 5:09PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, Forecasts, Federal Reserve, Financial Crisis
Gosh. Golly. Gee Whiz.
That was the reaction Monday of traders and economists to the European Union's coordinated decision
to invest a staggering $2.4 trillion in interbank loan guarantees and bank recapitalizations, ft.com reported, to end the global financial crisis.
(Of course, 'gosh, golly' etc. were not exactly the reactions of traders and economists -- this is a family-appropriate financial blog -- but you get the point.)
Europe's decision sparked a global rally in stocks.
The Dow closed up 936.42 points -- the largest one-day point gain in its history -- to 9,387.61.
Europe takes the leadAt minimum, Europe is saying that its economic stake in the current global financial system is so large that it's willing to err on the side of over-committing public funds, economist Peter Dawson said.
"Europe's response is very large, unexpected, and it could prove to be the pivotal move in this crisis," Dawson said. "Europe appears to be saying, 'well the United States is doing what it can do, given its political constraints' now let's do what our political culture allows. Basically, Europe is saying 'the storm of fear starts to lose its strength here.' "
The measures were both sweeping and unprecedented in size and scope, Dawson said. Germany said it offered about $680 billion in loan guarantees and will invest $108 billion in its banking system,
ft.com reported. France said it would provide up to $435 billion in loan guarantees and invest as much as $52 billion. The United Kingdom has committed about $70 billion for investment in key banks, along with a guarantee for banks deposits and interbank lending. The Netherlands, Spain, and other nations announced similar plans.
Continue reading E.U. commits $2.4 trillion and says ball is now in your court, U.S.
Posted Oct 13th 2008 2:18PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, Forecasts, Financial Crisis

One of the world's leading investors is expressing cautious optimism - - underscoring cautious - - regarding the fate of the global financial system.
Billionaire investor George Soros said Monday a pledge by European leaders to guarantee new bank financing is "a positive step" may help stabilize global financial markets,
Bloomberg News reported.
Soros: We're finally getting the leadership we need"In the last 72 hours, I think the European governments got religion and realized that this is a serious problem,'' Soros said at a press conference in Washington,
Bloomberg News reported. "People are looking for some leadership and finally they are getting it." Soros is chairman of the $20 billion Fund Management LLC.
Along with
actions by the major central banks to increase the supply of dollars in the global money supply, Europe's major industrialized nations announced fiscal policies to back bank-to-bank loans and recapitalize banks,
The New York Times reported Monday. Britain said it will invest $73 billion in its banks, Germany is investing up to 500 billion euros or about $680 billion, and France will create an agency to offer state guarantees for banks and to channel money to them.
Further, Soros underscored that the United States government must recapitalize solvent banks,
ft.com reported Monday. The U.S. said it intends to do that, but has not yet released details of its plan. Soros would like the U.S. government's recapitalization to take the form of preferred shares, which would dilute existing shareholders, but with private capital given the right to subscribe on the same terms, if private investors are able to put up more money,
ft.com reported.
Continue reading Soros sees ray of light in bank recapitalization plan
Posted Oct 13th 2008 10:31AM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, Forecasts, Federal Reserve, Financial Crisis
The U.S. Federal Reserve is leading an unprecedented effort by major central banks to push dollars into the global financial system,
the Fed announced Monday, backstopping government fiscal policies to restore confidence,
The European Central Bank, Bank of England, and the Swiss Central Bank, will offer unlimited dollar fund auctions with maturities of seven days, 28 days, and 84 days at a fixed interest rate. The Bank of Japan may offer similar measures,
the Fed said.
The Fed added that "central banks will continue to work together and are prepared to take whatever measures are necessary to provide sufficient liquidity in short-term funding markets."
Dollar falls on increased currency supplyThe dollar fell early Monday against the world's other major currencies on the news, as traders adjusted positions to the increased supply of dollars. The
dollar fell one half cent to $1.3615 versus the
euro, 1.5 cents to $1.7286 versus the
British pound and one-third yen to 100.37 versus
Japan's yen.
Economist Richard Felson told BloggingStocks Monday the major central banks' effort is clear: keep financial markets adequately supplied with dollars amid a world that's hoarding dollars.
"It's one of the paradoxes of this current global financial crisis that despite the fact that the crisis originated in the United States, banks and financial institutions around the world are hoarding dollars. The reason is the dollar is still the world's reserve currency and investors are engaging in a flight to safety. The consequence has been a credit crunch," Felson said. "The central banks' policy should help alleviate that crunch by ensuring that there's adequate dollar liquidity. It's the correct move."
Continue reading Fed, ECB lead effort to increase dollar supply in global markets
Posted Oct 6th 2008 10:43AM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, Bad news, Financial Crisis
So far, there's little indication the financial crisis is subsiding.
The euro and British pound fell against the dollar, and money market rates climbed early Monday in Europe as banks hoarded cash.
The
euro and
British pound fell about 1 cent versus the
dollar to $1.3610 and $1.7568, respectively, early Monday as traders sensed both the European Central Bank and Bank of England, along with national governments, will have to take monetary and policy actions to address the crisis.
The London interbank offered rate, or
LIBOR -- the rate banks charge each other for overnight dollar loan, increased 37 basis points to 2.37%. The Euribor, a similar rate for the euro, rose 1 basis point to 5.35%, an all-time high.
Currency Trader Andrew Resnick told BloggingStocks Monday, currency, credit and stock markets in Europe all indicate the financial crisis will impact many of the economies in the euro zone.
"Germany's decision to guarantee all private German bank accounts kind of spooked the currency market, and drove the euro and pound lower. It's a good, defensive action, but it prompted people to ask 'how deep is the problem in Europe?'" Resnick said. "We're going to need more action to address the crisis from both the European Union and the central banks of Europe to boost liquidity."
Continue reading Europe in need of 'a more aggressive, coordinated effort'
Posted Oct 3rd 2008 12:10PM by Nancy Zambell (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, Apple Inc (AAPL), Nokia Corp. (NOK), Novartis AG ADS (NVS), Stocks to Buy
I am the Global Editor at MoneyShow.com and each week I interview an investing expert. This week, I spoke with Allan Nichols, editor of Morningstar InternationalInvestor, who identifies the pitfalls and opportunities in global market today.
Q. Allan, how can investors protect themselves should the financial crisis in the US result in prolonged bear markets around the world?
A. Studies have shown the majority of returns from the stock market have been concentrated over a relatively few days, so it is important to have some exposure. My experience, though, has shown bear markets last longer than you think. Asset allocation is particularly important and I would increase cash from my bond allocation rather than from my stocks. Now is the time to buy really high-quality stocks at attractive prices, those that have sustainable advantages, or what Morningstar calls "moats."
Morningstar borrowed the concept of a moat from Warren Buffett. Just as a moat around a castle protected the castle from invaders, a company's moat protects the firm from competition. Moats can be generated from being the low-cost producer; having intangible assets, such as patents or other unique intellectual property; and high switching costs that make it uneconomical to change to another product or service. All of these improve a firm's ability to compete as well as earn returns above its cost of capital.
Continue reading Global Q&A: Investing During a Global Crisis
Posted Oct 2nd 2008 10:50AM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, Politics, Financial Crisis
A problem that originated in the New World is re-exposing some long-standing nuanced opinions in the Old World.
France and Germany disagreed over how to prevent the global credit crunch from further hurting European banks. Germany, Europe's largest economy, does not want to set up a bailout / rescue fund that France is seeking. Luxembourg Prime Minister Jean-Claude Junker said the fund, which France argued should be as large as 300 billion euros or about $415 billion, isn't needed.
Economist Richard Felson said the United Kingdom also is against the idea, with Britain arguing that an ad hoc intervention policy would be sufficient for now. "A lot will depend on how the U.S. rescue package, provide it passes the U.S. House, performs in lowering overnight interest rates and restoring confidence," Felson said. "There's the sense in the U.K. that while the crisis extends beyond America's borders, the bulk of the bad-asset fallout will still be U.S.-based."
The
U.S. Senate passed a revised rescue package, 74-25, Wednesday night and the U.S. House is expected to vote on the measure as soon as Friday.
However, the measure had little impact on overnight interest rates, at least initially. The London Interbank Overnight Rate, or LIBOR,
rose for a fourth day, up 6 basis points to 4.21% Wednesday night, as banks continued to hoard cash.
Continue reading Across the pond, the E.U. is talking about a rescue package for Europe
Posted Sep 25th 2008 1:12PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, Forecasts, Brazil, Russia, Middle East, Politics, Recession, Financial Crisis
One might think that with the financial system in the world's largest economy in need of additional liquidity to avert a financial panic, foreign investors would be preparing similar fixes at home and/or standing at the ready to assist the United States, if needed.
Not quite.
Although central banks around the world have coordinated policies and cooperated fully, leaders of foreign governments balked at similar bailout plans, and many foreign sovereign investors also remain on the sidelines,
The Washington Post reported Thursday.While policy makers in Europe and Latin American agree that the global financial system is facing its greatest stress and threat since the period up to and after the
1929 stock market crash, they saw little need - - so far - - for major rescue packages in their own countries,
The Post reported. Further, sovereign wealth funds, likewise, showed little interest in stepping up to the plate.
The world: well-capitalized spectators
Economist David H. Wang said Britain has cooperated fully, France has proposed a special G-8 summit to deal with the financial crisis, and Russia has acted to stabilize its stock and credit markets, but the rest-of-the-world is "watching the events as they unfold."
Wang said three factors are at work in the rest-of-the-world's cautious stance: national interest, a shift in the geopolitical balance of power, and posturing.
"Regrettably, but predictably, much of the world has turned inward and chosen to focus on its own domestic banks and institutions. There's also the belief, in nations like Brazil and in Middle Eastern economies, that they're more-insulated from the crisis, due to expanded non-U.S. trade relationships and the ability to undertake financial transactions and store value in other currencies, such as the euro," Wang said. "They also see the financial crisis in the context of a transition to a multi-polar financial world, from one dominated by the United States."
Continue reading Foreign nations, sovereign investors stay on sidelines, wait for bargains
Posted Sep 22nd 2008 2:55PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, Federal Reserve
Just call it an endorsement of a collective security policy where 'you go first.'
That was how one economist characterized the G-7 group of finance ministers' stance toward the
U.S. Treasury Department's proposed $700 billion intervention to stabilize the financial system.
In a conference call statement, the G-7 - - Germany, the United Kingdom, France, Japan, Italy, Canada, along with the U.S. - - said, "We strongly welcome the extraordinary actions taken by the United States to enhance the stability of financial markets and address credit concerns, especially through its plan to implement a program to remove illiquid assets that are destabilizing financial institutions,"
The Wall Street Journal reported Monday(
subscription required.)
However, none of the other six G-7 members will adopt a program similar to the U.S.'s, German Finance Minister Peer Steinbrueck told reporters in Berlin after the call,
Bloomberg News reported Monday.Economist Peter Dawson told BloggingStocks Monday the G-7's stance is half-hearted, in his interpretation. "In its general statement, the G-7 is on-board with the [U.S] Treasury's program but [German Finance Minister Peer] Steinbrueck's comments are disappointing. Steinbrueck, or another G-7 representative should have followed up with 'and we stand ready to assist the United States and other nations with fiscal measures to support the above goals, if needed, etc.,' " Dawson said. "Right now, the G-7's tone is 'go forth U.S., but we're not getting in the pool right now, the water's too cold.' Given the G-7's complicity in causing the problem and their systemic interest, a more-engaged statement should have been issued regarding fiscal policy options."
Cites AIG's 'interconnectedness' For example, Dawson said the G-7's corporate involvement in
American International Group's (NYSE:
AIG) is evidence item 'A' for stronger G-7 involvement. "G-7 companies, banks, and institutional investors benefited from AIG's credit default swaps and related products, and would be hurt by a systemic failure. Since they are parties to the problem, they should also bear some of the costs of the reforms and bailout," Dawson said. "But right now their stance is 'Go ahead U.S. We back your spending your money, but not ours.' That's an inadequate response from our G-7 associates."
Continue reading G-7: Stabilize markets, U.S., but not with our money
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