CSX (NYSE: CSX), a railway company whose colleagues include Burlington Northern Santa Fe (NYSE: BNI), Norfolk Southern Corp. (NYSE: NSC) and Union Pacific Corp. (NYSE: UNP), issued its Q1 report on Tuesday after the bell. As one might imagine, there was a drop in both sales and net income. The top line declined by 17%. The bottom line, on an adjusted basis (taking into account an item from last year's similar quarter), dropped 23% to $0.62 per share.

The economy is still taking its toll, obviously. Volumes were down during the quarter. However, the market sometimes cares about only one thing: beating expectations. CSX actually beat the analyst expectations of $0.51 per share. This significant difference led traders to push shares of CSX higher by 6.5% during Tuesday's after-hours session.

From the sound of selected analysts' research, you'd think that the U.S. economy would never recover. To be sure, there's much work ahead, particularly on the toxic asset removal and credit market fronts, but if you think the U.S. stock market's steady rise in March is a sign that financial institutions are starting to position themselves ahead of the typical investor, you're correct. And with the aforementioned in mind, Union Pacific (NYSE: UNP) is worth an evaluation.

Union Pacific is the leading rail freight carrier in the United States, transporting coal, chemicals, industrial products and freight over an enormous track network: 32,000 miles of route track in 23 states in the western U.S.

The pirates of Somalia, in making world trade a bit more of a high risk venture, have finally placed their own unsavory hobby in jeopardy. Bloomberg reports that NATO is currently reassessing its operations in the insecure waters off the coast of Somalia. "This hijacking could really change the picture and we could see much more proactive rules of engagement,'' said Hans Tino Hansen, managing director of Risk Intelligence, a maritime security consultant based in Vedbaek, Denmark.

Already, there are at least 15 warships in the region, forming a multinational coalition armed with the intent of calming those pirate churned waters. In the last ten days, India, Russia, Britain and Germany have each engaged pirates in battle. The report from Bloomberg indicates that more warships are on the way to the Gulf of Aden. When considering what is hoped to be a decisive end to cargo ship hijackings by maritime pirates in the region, I say we must use every available means to make those waters safe for world commerce. I don't know about you, but I have always considered the taking of a sea-going vessel to be an overt act of war.

The whole world is eagerly watching to see how this saga shall finally play out. One thing is for sure, the clock is ticking down towards the demise of pirate profitability off the shores of Somalia. At this time, we might take pause to remember the indomitable words of Popeye the Sailor Man, who often uttered this statement when forced to take drastic and decisive action against obviously abusive behavior:

"That's all I can stands, and I can't stands no more."

On April 3, the American Association of Railroads released its monthly freight movement report for March 2008. The numbers again reflect weak consumer spending, with no relief in sight for the wilted home building industry. Carload volume, which does not include semi trailers or shipping containers, dropped 0.1% compared with March 2007 figures. Intermodal traffic volume consisting of shipping containers and truck trailers loaded on flat cars dropped 5.6% compared with one year ago.

Spurred by the weaker dollar, carload commodities for export are maintaining respectable volume, with carloads of grain increasing 13.9% and carloads of coal increasing 5.9%. However, the AAR press release indicates that of the 19 major commodity categories tracked by the AAR, 12 saw carload declines in March. Carloads of motor vehicles and equipment declined considerably, with a 19.4% drop in loading compared to 2007. Infrastructure and construction staples of crushed stone, sand and gravel showed a carload decline of 13.4% compared with a year ago. Lumber and wood products loadings remain in decline. AAR Senior Vice President John T. Gray gives perspective to the numbers by stating simply: "Recent disappointing economic news helps explain why rail traffic is not more robust."

The report of February rail freight movements was released Thursday March 6, by The Association of American Railroads. Again this month the report reveals some mentionable trends. The report on the AAR website indicates a gain in rail freight volume of 2.8 percent, for the first nine weeks of 2008. An estimated 296.1 billion ton-miles total volume was reported for the period.

There are declines showing in inter-modal traffic. Trailer and container loading is down 3.4 percent for the first two months of 2008. This means that a higher volume of freight is moving by rail, yet less of it is getting to the rails via truck. I could speculate that railroads shall continue to become increasingly more cost effective for volume shipment of freight. Watch for new possibilities with direct-from-rail distribution centers. Watch for rapid growth and development in the RFID sector.

YRC Worldwide (Nasdaq: YRCW) is the largest U.S. operator of motor carriers that offer less-than-truckload freight services.

Just because a sector is down doesn't mean that there aren't opportunities within the business category. Trucking transport has been a sector under pressure, and with the above in mind, YRC Worldwide is worth a review.

Analysts expect road freight sector conditions to improve gradually in 2008, with a slight revenue increase for YRCW, on mild tonnage gains and some pricing power. Margins should also improve in 2008.

Longer term, analysts expect YRCW to improve operational performance via ongoing efforts to rightsize its fleet and eliminate operational overlaps. The Reuters F2008/F2009 EPS consensus estimates for YRCW are $1.64/$2.42.

To be sure, YRCW's stock carries considerable risk, but the argument here is that improved operations and a pull-back in average oil prices for 2008 to the 'low' $75-80-level will provide enough tailwind to improve bottom-line results. Those facts, combined with a p/e of 8 make the YRCW risk/return favorable.

The risks? A U.S. recession would (obviously) hurt YRCW's results. Analysts also have an eye on the company's pension costs.

The First Call mean rating for YRCW is: Hold. [13 firms.] Mean 2008 target: $18.00. [high: $25, low: $15.]

Stock Analysis: YRC Worldwide is a moderate-risk stock not suitable for low-risk investors. Investors with an investment horizon longer than 2 years should be rewarded from YRCW's shares. Sell / Stop Loss if you were to purchase shares in this company: $8.

Disclosure: Lazzaro has no positions in stocks. In addition to private real estate holdings, he owns corporate and municipal bonds, and cash certificates of deposit.

Judging by the most recently available statistics from the American Association of Railroads, the trade and productivity numbers currently coming out of Washington appear to be a bunch of bunk. Will someone please tell Ben Bernanke that cold hard facts will supplant pipe dreams any day?

Rail freight numbers for the week ended June 9 continue to trend downward and are consistent with trending for the year so far. By now, industrial surpluses and inventories should have been reduced to the point that manufacturing would be demanding an increased influx of raw materials, but such is not the case. Plainly put, consumer demand and domestic manufacturing are down, and it shows plainly in reduced freight numbers. The breakdown for the week ending June 9 is as follows:

• Intermodal freight (truck trailers or shipping containers): Down 3.2 percent from last year.
• Carload freight (not including intermodal): Down 5.6 percent.
• 4.0 percent fewer carloads originated from the West and 7.8 percent fewer originated from the East.
• Total cumulative rail freight volume for the first 23 weeks of 2007 was an estimated 754.9 billion ton-miles, down 3.1 percent from last year.

Canadian and Mexican railroad reports show similar trending, though not as significantly as the American declines. The single remarkable exception is the Mexican railroad, Kansas City Southern de Mexico (KCSM), which has reported intermodal volume of 4,878 trailers or containers, up 18.4 percent from the 23rd week of 2006. That significant increase, my friends, is reflective of manufactured goods they're shipping up to us.

Bear these numbers in mind the next time you get your statistical hogwash from Washington. They can tell you that more people are working and they can tell you that companies are manufacturing more stuff, but the true facts come out when the train cars get loaded (or don't).

China Venture News reports that China's state-owned shipping firm, COSCO, is initiating an IPO of 1.78 billion shares which is scheduled for the Shanghai Stock Exchange on June 26. The report states that sales of shares online began June 18, 2007. The report further states that price per share should be starting between "7.60 yuan and 8.48 yuan per share." According to the report, "Analysts expect the price to go to 15 yuan a share early in trading."

Cosco plans on using the money raised for renwewing and/or increasing its shipping fleet and has also earmarked the funds for expanding port facilities. Cosco is currently China's single largest state owned shipping operation.

It's a simple riddle and the answer is simple also. You'll probably kick yourself if you didn't think of it.

Riddle: Why would Warren Buffett want to play with trains?

Answer: Because he sees money in them.

Burlington Northern & Santa Fe (NYSE: BNI), Union Pacific Railroad (NYSE: UNP)

I'll keep this short and sweet because I just got off a twelve-hour shift and I have about six hours to sleep before I get back up and start all over again. Don't pity me, those are just the facts. If I don't average 50 hours a week, the credit union will come and swipe the Chevy truck off of my driveway!

Here are some of the things that I think Warren Buffett likes about the trains:

1.) Railroads are currently in a mildly depressed state business wise yet they are presenting very strong projections for the mid to long term.

2.) I believe that the American Railroad Association and members of the current Congress have a mutually held belief that railroads may expect to be well treated by government through the next presidential administration.

3.) Continuing upward pressure of fuel costs make rail transport increasingly more competitive with the trucking fleet and shall prompt more wholesale purchasing within our own continent.

4.) The rail industry has recently reported its safest year in history and it may expect reduced liability costs both within its own workforce and involving contact with the public sector.

I like trains also. As proof of that you may check out my past blog posts regarding them. While it is true that I didn't come right out and tell you to invest in the railroads, I did hope that you'd look into them.

Association of American Railroads welcomes the 110th Congress

Burlington Northern explores some explosive options for avalance control

The economy is firm but changing: Listen to the railroads.

A brief look at railroad freight traffic numbers offers some tell-tale signs as to where our economy is heading. I like to review railroad loading statistics because they can give you a crystal-ball edge in guessing where the big money is leaning in the volatile economic food chain. Basically, right now the numbers are firm year over year, but the freight demographics are what I find interesting.

According to the Association of American Railroads: Total rail freight volume is up 8.9% as compared to 2006, but while container volume is up about 14%, trailer volume is down 6.2%. That indicates that for the year so far, the railroads are probably moving more imported product than domestic product.

While total carload freight (not including inter-modal) was down nearly 1% this week as compared to the same week last year, total ton-miles increased 0.3%, indicating that less freight is moving but it is traveling more miles. That is clearly due to the decreasing inventories of manufactured product, which should bode well for manufacturers in the second and third quarters. That's assuming that consumer spending maintains current levels.

Nonmetallic mineral shipments have increased nearly 20% by volume over last year. This shows strength in base chemicals, base raw materials, glass, concrete, asphalt, industrial construction, and infrastructural improvements. Metallic ore shipments are down over 50%; I believe that shows weakness most especially in steel, tin, aluminum, and copper. Lumber and wood product shipments declined nearly 25% -- no reprieve for the home building market there! Petroleum product shipments are up 9.2% year over year, and coal shipments have increased 3.1%. Here's a tip, it looks like road building and resurfacing will be a big gainer this summer!

Okay, so my title is a bit misleading. No, I don't mean a bigger trade deficit is a good thing. What I'm getting at here is that bigger thinking could help lead us down a better road. Beginning with the introduction of transistors in 1947 and then progressing from transistors to integrated circuits and on through to today's computer chips, the trend in electronics manufacturing has been to make things smaller and smaller. While this shrinking of electronics has been an overall good thing, the concept has crept into nearly every class of consumer merchandise. This has made the manufacturing, shipping and importation of foreign manufactured items that much more lucrative.

In the 1970's we were faced with much screaming and yelling about how crude oil was going to run out in 20 years. There was a world wide mad dash to do something to prevent that from happening. The mantra for auto makers became "if it's not a compact car it'll be a subcompact car." People didn't like those cars much but they were sold to us as fun and practical. At .95 cents a gallon for gas, people were eager to use less oil in order to help save the world. Chromium steel was replaced with ugly black and gray plastic. Roofs were lowered to eliminate glass. Tires had their sidewall area reduced and tire widths began to narrow. Japan began to salivate as the proposition of exporting cars to America became lighter, leaner and cheaper. .

(photo courtesy of: www.njscuba.net/ )