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Oil gets hammered: Crude drops to $67.00 per barrel

The unemployment numbers just came out and showed that the U.S. economy lost 467,000 jobs last month. That was the trigger for the oil traders. Within a few minutes oil dropped $2.02 per barrel to $67.19 at 9:07 EDT.

Adding fuel to the decline was the report that gasoline stockpiles rose by 2.9 million barrels, but crude dropped 3.7 million barrels.

Continue reading Oil gets hammered: Crude drops to $67.00 per barrel

Why did China raise fuel prices to record levels?

Why did China raise its gasoline and diesel prices? Beijing has a pricing policy that uses a 22-day moving average of crude oil. With the price of crude oil trading at around $71 per barrel, China felt it necessary to raise the price of gasoline and diesel fuel 9% and 10%, respectively. This will raise the price of a gallon of gasoline to $3.00 per gallon, compared with the U.S. price of $2.66 a week ago, according to Reuters news service.

With economies around the world gaining ground this quarter, it follows that demand for crude oil is also increasing. So far we've seen a doubling of oil prices since last February. The main concern is, given the pace of recovery, is there a point where demand for crude oil and gasoline will taper off. If so, we may be looking at an intermediate top in oil prices. However, if world economies continue to improve, crude oil could move to $75 to $80 per barrel.

Continue reading Why did China raise fuel prices to record levels?

Have you gassed up lately? Prices are up by 15 cents per gallon

Have you gassed up lately? Did you notice that prices have surged? Its going to eat up the cost of your morning coffee and maybe your donut too.

Gas prices have risen recently on average about 15 cents per gallon. In one week in New Bern, N.C., prices increased from $1.58 per gallon to $1.68 per gallon.

Clerks and station owners working at the New Bern stations said the prices have been going up because of increased demand over the past several months. Higher gas prices were also fueled by higher crude oil prices, which are rising due to the crisis in the Middle East.

Tancred Lidderdale, an oil industry economist with the Energy Information Administration, expects the U.S. gas price to be $2.03 per gallon this year, with this year being the lowest annual average since 2004.

Where do you think gas prices will go this year?

Saving $1 billion a day on gasoline

OPEC may end up offering the U.S. a larger bailout that the federal government. Data on what Americans spend on gas show that because of the fall in prices at the pump, U.S. drivers are saving $1 billion a day.

According to The Detroit Free Press, "Americans are paying $1 billion less per day for gasoline now compared with mid-July, when the national average price was more than $4 per gallon."

That makes OPEC and other oil-producing countries better friends to the consumer than the federal government is. The new administration is planning to spend about $700 billion over two years to try to increase jobs and stimulate the U.S. economy. The savings on gas over two years, assuming that prices stay where they are, is almost $730 billion.

The gasoline savings do not take into account what American businesses like airlines and petrochemical companies lay out for oil-related products. Trucks that run on diesel also cost much less to operate.

On the back of an envelope, the benefit of cheaper oil is well over $1 trillion over a 24-month period. Perhaps America should have sent Saudi Arabia, Iran, and Venezuela a Christmas card.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

The week in preview: Looking for good news

With the increasingly regular announcements of layoffs and plant closings, it's clear that the recession is deepening. One clue to the economy's future direction that investors may be watching for is the upcoming earnings release of FedEx Corp. (NYSE: FDX). The world's largest delivery service has been considered an economic bellwether, and it just may have benefited recently from lower fuel prices and the announced departure of rival DHL from the U.S. package market.

For the company's fiscal second-quarter 2009 report, analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters on average expect to see earnings of $1.57 per share, about 2% higher than in the year-ago period, and 21.7% higher than in the previous quarter. That's about the same as the $1.58 per share FedEx forecast in preliminary results last week. Analysts expect revenues for the quarter ended November 30 to total $9.8 billion, 3.9% more than a year ago. The Memphis-based company has only fallen short of earnings expectations in one of the past five quarters, and exactly matched estimates back in the first quarter.

As part of its expansion plans, FedEx broke ground on a new Portland hub in October, and said that a new facility in China will be fully operational in the first half of 2009. The company continues to make service improvements, and declared a quarterly dividend in November. But in its preliminary results, FedEx lowered its full-year forecast, citing continued weakness in the economy.

Continue reading The week in preview: Looking for good news

Best & Worst in Money 2008: Money story of the year

This post is part of AOL Money & Finance's Best & Worst in Money 2008 feature.

The year 2008 brought the word "greed" to new levels with major companies going bankrupt thanks to the greed of their top execs, who were more worried about lining their own pockets than about the interests of their customers and shareholders. This greed also helped to fuel the housing bubble that burst and sent home prices falling in what seems like an unending downward spiral. As the financial news continues to worsen, it's hard to pick the biggest money story of the year. We've pulled together our top four picks, and it's up to you to vote on the biggest money story of the year.

Here are our top four picks in alphabetical order:

Collapse of Wall Street
The world hasn't seen so many Wall Street firms go bust since the Great Depression, and we seem to be teetering on the edge of another worldwide depression. Top Wall Street execs pocketed millions, and in some cases, billions of dollars thanks to sales of complex financial instruments that it appears no one truly understood (or if they did understand their toxic natures they perpetrated a huge fraud on the investors who bought them). Now these same executives pocket millions in golden parachutes as they leave the firms they destroyed. And, while they enjoy their millions, investors, customers and employees of these now defunct or badly bruised firms face destroyed careers and/or portfolios.

Continue reading Best & Worst in Money 2008: Money story of the year

Best & Worst in Money 2008: Most unexpected brand castoff

This post is part of AOL Money & Finance's Best & Worst in Money 2008 feature.

There have always been brand decisions that seem to come out of left field. Some make you wonder what they were thinking, while others make you wonder what took so long. The year 2008 was no exception.

It came as something of a surprise when in June Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM) announced that it would sell off many of its retail gasoline stations to local owners. While Exxon continued to post record quarterly earnings, and fuel prices spiked to all-time highs earlier this year, gasoline retailers in fact have faced razor-thin margins and fierce competition. It would take a significant boost in prices to make gas stations profitable, a notion that didn't seem to worthwhile back in June. Wonder what they think of that decision now that gasoline prices have fallen to a multiyear low?

I recall when Kinko's, the photocopying and faxing service provider with the catchy name, seemed to explode out of nowhere. And it seemed a little sad when FedEx Corp. (NYSE: FDX) gobbled up the successful upstart. But it was probably inevitable that the Kinko's name would be phazed out. It took quite a while, but FedEx finally announced eariler this year that it would just that. The newly christened FedEx Office (not so catchy, is it?) wants to shed itself of the image of a photocopying and faxing place to that of a back-office services provider for small to mid sized businesses. But will that turn out to be worth the $891 million they estimate the name change would cost? Time will tell.

Continue reading Best & Worst in Money 2008: Most unexpected brand castoff

Best & Worst in Money 2008: Best silver lining to the recession

This post is part of AOL Money & Finance's Best & Worst in Money 2008 feature.

Chicken Little's warning came as good news to astronomers hoping for a better view of the sky. In the same way, not all results of the economic morass of 2008 have been disastrous, at least in the short term. Which of these bits of silver lining do you think shone most brightly this year?

Sales, sales, sales

You've no doubt witnessed the deeper discounts available during the 2008 holiday seasons as retailers, spooked by a drop in consumer spending, are trimming prices to the bone, sometimes beyond, just to keep the cash flowing. The car industry in particular has been caught between the hammer of consumer fear and the anvil of tight credit, so if you're in need of a new car, you'll find dealers, stuck with lots full of new models, ready to cut unheard-of deals.

Cheaper homes

As Lita Epstein reported here recently, houses have declined in value for seven straight quarters, which is bad news, as we've learned, for subprime mortgage holders. For those with good credit, or cash, shopping for a new house the market correction has been a godsend. Since the prices have tumbled furthest in some of the most desirable areas of the country, those retirees who don't need to sell their present home to fund a move to the sunny climes of California, Arizona, or Florida will find some great bargains. In Mountain Home, California, for example, an estimated 90% of all mortgages are upside-down, and upside for buyers shopping in a down market.

Continue reading Best & Worst in Money 2008: Best silver lining to the recession

Now European car companies want a bailout

The car manufacturers of Europe will ask for $55 billion in loan guarantees to upgrade their factories to build more fuel-efficient cars. The proposed arrangement looks a lot like the one just put together by the U.S. government and the Big Three American automakers.

According to The Wall Street Journal (subscription required), "Fiat suggested the request to European auto executives at a board meeting of ACEA, the European Auto Makers Association on Friday."

Perhaps Japanese, Chinese, and Korean car companies can call for similar help, and the value of auto loan guarantees around the world can approach $200 billion.

While governments try to bear the burden of a worldwide financial meltdown, more and more struggling industries will ask for assistance. The airline industry may be next; it's being badly hurt by high fuel prices. Food companies may want aid because of rising commodities costs. Refiners are being hurt by high oil prices and may need a hand as well.

So, the question becomes, will governments decide which industries make it?

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

A return to $4 gas

A significant part of the nation's refinery capacity was off-line after Hurricane Ike moved though the Texas coast line. It now appears that some of those plants may not be operating again for several weeks.

According to Bloomberg, "Almost 20 percent of the nation's oil refining capacity was shut after Hurricane Ike slammed into the Gulf Coast, limiting fuel deliveries and prompting analysts to predict gasoline prices may again reach $4 a gallon."

If the estimates are correct, consumers, the car industry, and airlines could be in for another round of pain. It has been almost universally believed that with crude falling to $100, gas prices would drop closer to $3, which would help an economic recovery in the U.S. A new period of $4 gas would shatter that.

One of the effects of the hope for lower fuel costs was that airline and auto stocks have come off of their lows. Some of the stocks have doubled in less than three months.. For example, AMR Corp. (NYSE: AMR), parent of American Airlines, is now over $10, up from a 52-week low of $4.

The early part of the week may set a trend for share prices in the two sectors. If refineries stay closed for two or three months, some of these stocks may lose half of their value again.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

With 60 million airline seat cut, only the rich will fly

By the end of the year, global airlines will have cut 7% of their passenger capacity. According to The Guardian, "Experts predicted even deeper cuts in 2009 as part of a prolonged retrenchment of an industry that has expanded rapidly in recent years."

On the face of it, none of that is news. Airlines are losing billion of dollars due to oil prices, which are almost double what they were a year ago.

If worldwide seat capacity is eventually lowered 10% to 15% in an attempt by airlines to keep themselves out of bankruptcy, two things are almost certain to happen. Planes will become full instead of flying at 60% or 70% of capacity. Fares will almost certain rise as quickly as the price of oil did. These trends should help airlines rescue their earnings.

The trends may make is significantly more difficult for middle-class consumers to fly. This part of the population is already squeezed by falling home prices, high commodities costs, and the possibility that lay-offs in a number of industries will accelerate.

Some people may not make it home for the holidays.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Earnings highlights: Exxon, Starbucks, Viacom, Comcast, Sirius, Kraft and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

For more highlights from this week, see: General Motors, Motorola, Disney, Sony, Visa, CBS and others

Upcoming quarterly reports include Archer Daniels Midland (NYSE: ADM), Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG), Jack-in-the-Box (NYSE: JBX), Cisco (NASDAQ: CSCO), News Corp. (NYSE: NWS), Whole Foods (NASDAQ: WFMI), Sprint Nextel (NYSE: S), Time Warner (NYSE: TWX), Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE), and Blockbuster (NYSE: BBI).

Visit AOL Money & Finance for more earnings coverage.

Ford to bring in small car from Europe

It may be too late for Ford (NYSE: F) to get back some of its market share in the U.S. It may have waited too long to offer a wide variety of small cars with good gas mileage.

But, the company refuses to give up the ghost, at least for now. According to The Wall Street Journal, Ford "is preparing plans to retool some U.S. plants to produce small passenger cars that the company has been making and selling mainly in Europe."

By using products that are already fully developed, Ford will cut its time to market with cars designed for an environment with high gas prices.

Making the plant changes necessary to manufacture the car will take over a year-and-a-half. Because the new product is not a hybrid, it does not help Ford offer direct competition to the best cars from Toyota (NYSE: TM).

Ford has a band-aide, but it will not work on a wound that is gushing blood.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Airlines ditching long distance flights to combat fuel prices

Fuel prices seem to be the number one concern on just about everyone's mind lately, and it seems like things are not going to be getting better any time soon. As prices have risen to record levels, many of us have decided to cut back on our driving, especially on long trips in order to save a little on our fuel prices. Well, the airlines are no different, and there's an interesting report today in The Wall Street Journal showing how airlines are cutting back on long flights in order to save a little on fuel consumption.

It is a pretty nasty cycle we are seeing with the airlines. The higher fuel costs have led to higher tickets prices and extra fees. These higher prices have led to less air traffic, and that has led to an even greater need to find more ways to cover rising costs. Definitely a tough situation.

The new way they are starting to combat the high costs of flying is by cutting back, or postponing long international flights, in particular flights that are in excess of 12 hours.

Continue reading Airlines ditching long distance flights to combat fuel prices

Raising gas prices in the U.S.

China decided to raise the prices of gas and diesel by 18% last week. The theory is that this will cut into demand and help drive down the global price of oil. It will also save China money. The central government underwrites that cost of fuel by buying crude at high prices and selling the refined products below market.

Keeping fuel costs low is part of what allows the GDP in China to keep growing quickly. The country needs to move goods from the interior of the country ,where they are made, to the port cities for shipping. China's export success has some base in a low cost of shipping.

The China plan might work in the U.S., although it would risk harming many of the lower and middle class. The federal government has the opportunity to raise the taxes on gas and diesel enough to move the price of a gallon of "regular" to over $6. That would certainly cut consumption.

Or, the government can do nothing because gas may get to $6 all on its own.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

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Last updated: November 23, 2009: 04:51 AM

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