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Options Update: CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust Overall Volatility Elevated as Yen Rallies

CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY) closed up 1.2% in pre-open trading. Overall option implied volatility of 15 is above its 26-week average of 11, according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Red Hat Inc. (RHT) April 44 calls were active on 26K contracts. April and June call 40 call option implied volatility is at 43. This is compared to its 26-week average of 39 according to Track Data, suggesting traders taking positions for larger movement into Q4 results expected to be released on March 23.

Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

The Fed Is Going All In: And So Should You (FXY, FXF, GLD)

On Tuesday, the Federal Reserve released the FOMC statement on interest rates and the outlook for the economy. The statement sent a clear message to the markets that the Fed was prepared to adopt a more accommodative monetary stance if the outlook for the economy continued to deteriorate. Essentially, Ben Bernanke and his merry gang of banksters said that they will print as much money as needed in order to backstop the economic "recovery." The Fed is willing to go "all in" with regard to the debasement of the U.S. Dollar. That is clear.

Investors should do the same. If the financial bubble blowers at the Central Bank want to trash the dollar beyond repair and risk hyperinflation, then investors should stand at the ready to meet them step for step. The outlook right now is fairly straightforward in the near-term. Buy gold. Consider the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD) or the Sprott Physical Gold Trust (PHYS).

Continue reading The Fed Is Going All In: And So Should You (FXY, FXF, GLD)

'Ultimate defensive' global portfolio

Based in London, Nick Vardy is among the leading international stock experts. The editor of The Global Bull Market Alert has created a package of stocks called the "Ultimate Defensive Global Bull Market Alert" Portfolio -- using ETFs to go short on China and the British pound while simultaneously going long on agriculture and the yen.

"UltraShort FTSE/Xinhua China 25 ProShares (ASE: FXP) has been a hero during market weakness. While the market's current focus is on the exposure of Chinese banks to U.S. subprime loans, the real issue in Chinese banks is their own bad loans to state-owned enterprises. China has a long way to fall.

"Short the CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling Trust (NYSE: FXB). With the U.K.'s fundamentals perhaps weaker than the United States, the U.K. currency should continue to weaken over the coming months.

"PowerShares DB Agriculture (NYSE: DBA) invests in some of the most liquid and widely traded agricultural commodities, corn, wheat, soy beans and sugar.

"Buy the Currency Shares Japanese Yen Trust (NYSE: FXY). The yen zigs when the rest of the market zags. A position in the Yen won't knock your socks off in terms of performance. But it will hold up well in times of turmoil and appreciate steadily as the 'carry trade' unwinds.

"A word of warning: This is a 'defensive' global portfolio that will hold up the best during periods of negative market sentiment. But understand that this is also the part of the portfolio that will underperform -- perhaps significantly -- on any 'relief rally' in the markets."

Each day, Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers the latest market commentary and favorite investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

Market hedges: Two liquid stocks you need to own

How frequent are ultra-volatility days -- those during which the market moves 3% or more? More common than one might think.

Tom Dyson in Daily Wealth defines notes that ultra-volatile days -- or UVDs -- have occurred 115 times in the S&P 500 since 1950, or an average of two per year. Between 2002 and 2003, the S&P 500 had 21 UVDs. Over the same period, the Nasdaq experienced even more -- some 51 UVDs.

Says Dyson, "UVDs really aren't that extraordinary. And because they aren't, there's no need to change our investment strategies because of them. These things happen."

In fact, he notes, the only reason the press is making a big deal out of this one is because it had been a long time since we last saw one. The last UVD was in March 2003, nearly four years ago.

Continue reading Market hedges: Two liquid stocks you need to own

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+58.2812,859.51
NASDAQ+22.342,926.22
S&P 500+7.341,349.98

Last updated: February 13, 2012: 12:18 PM

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