It was another positive day for oil prices despite weekly inventory numbers showing rises in both gasoline and oil products. Oil prices, which have been in a strong upward trend lately continued to show strength today by trading up $0.45 to $71.86.The market was given contradictory numbers today from the Energy Department which showed that gasoline inventories climbed by 1.8 million barrels and gasoline inventories rose 3.1 million barrels last week. Analysts had been expecting to see rises, but nowhere need the size that was actually reported. Ahead of today's report, traders were expecting to see gasoline and oil inventories each rise by 300,000 barrels, so today's announced inventory growths were a surprise to say the least.
So if inventories are growing faster than expected why were prices rising today? That's a fair question, and the answer to that question is one of the basic reasons why we have been seeing prices rise all along: American refinery output. As we all know by now, U.S. refineries have been struggling this year to maintain solid output capacity and last week was no different.
In order for refineries to keep up with normal demand, analysts estimate that they need to be running steadily above 90% capacity potential. Last week refineries were able to pick up the pace a little bit, but not nearly what analysts had been hoping to see. Capacity rose to 90%, which was just slightly above the 89.4% we saw the previous week. This was enough to bring the bulls back into the market again today to push prices higher.
Another factor weighing on traders' minds is the current situation that is taking place in Nigeria. Rebels in the country ended a month long truce and openly attacked a Shell oil rig in the country which once again raised concerns over the possibility of future supply disruptions in the area.
Michael Fowlkes has worked as a stock trader for seven years and spent the last two years working as an analyst for the online investment advisory service Investor's Observer.

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