I took the train from Central London to Gatwick Airport to catch my plane home to the U.S. I have done this over 200 times in the past 16 years and I can almost do the steps with my eyes closed. As I was leaving the train at Gatwick Airport to make my way to the warmth and gratitude of the Northwest Airlines ticket clerk, I saw an older guy waiting to board the train with what appeared to be a 5- or 6-year-old boy; I figured it was a grandchild.

I brushed past this gentleman, took three steps when I felt I had been hit by a bolt of lightening. That's Jimmy Page! It was Jimmy Page, founder and lead guitarist of what many feel was the finest rock band of all time -- Led Zeppelin. I looked back as he very gently lifted his grandson onto the train and took his seat. I figured, if not now, when?

I hopped back on and gently asked him "Are you Jimmy Page?" He stood up and respectfully said yes while shaking my hand. I was speechless. Am I a 51-year-old groupie? The train had 15 minutes before leaving to go back to Central London. I asked Jimmy if I could chat with him for a few moments. He said, "Yes, of course, please sit down. I do not get the opportunity to chat with fans very often," probably thinking -- yeah, a fan this old!!

First question I asked was, "Why don't you guys reunite and tour? Put the great John Bonham's son Jason on the drums! " Jimmy said he would love to tour, but that lead singer Robert Plant was not interested at the moment. Ever the gentleman, Jimmy said, "You know, I am over 60 years of age, and the rest are approaching 60. We need to do this soon!"

Continue reading Tribute to Georges Yared: Jimmy Page, Led Zeppelin and Listerine

Tribute to Georges Yared: Jimmy Page, Led Zeppelin and Listerine originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 09 Sep 2008 15:15:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Because a long, holiday weekend can be a great time to pause and reflect -- to take a step back and look at the bigger picture -- here are some highlights from BloggingStocks a year ago today: May 25, 2007.

• Consumers and investors alike were eager for the launch date of Apple Inc.'s (NASDAQ: AAPL) ballyhooed iPhone.
• Coca-Cola Co. (NYSE: KO) announced its acquistion of Vitaminwater.
• Online retail shopping was on the upswing.
• Dell Inc. (NASDAQ: DELL) planned to begin offering its products at Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT).
• Declining new home sales in April signalled more weakness in the housing market.
• Home Depot's (NYSE: HD) new CEO began the 2007 annual meeting with an apology.
• Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) denied rumors about its interest in acquiring Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO).
• BloggingStocks speculated about the blue chips of 2017.
• Georges Yared reflected on the state of the market conditions and prospects for the future: Part 1 and Part 2.

And two years ago, May 25, 2006:

• Microsoft admitted that there would be delays in the relase of its Vista operating system.
• Ken Lay and Jeff Skilling were found guilty of defrauding Enron investors.

A year ago today on BloggingStocks originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 25 May 2008 14:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

• Analogic Corp. (NASDAQ: ALOG) beat estimates and announced an acquisition.
• AnnTaylor Stores Corp. (NYSE: ANN) swung to a loss in the fourth quarter on restructuring costs.
• Big Lots Inc. (NYSE: BIG) beat fourth-quarter earinings estimates and offered revised guidance.
• Bon-Ton Stores Inc. (NASDAQ: BONT) posted disappointing fourth-quarter and full-year results.
• Carrols Restaurant Group (NASDAQ: TAST) posted solid results on same-store sales for certain chains.
• Ferrellgas Partners (NYSE: FGP) saw profit fall in what should have been its strongest quarter.
• Foot Locker Inc. (NYSE: FL) fourth-quarter profit fell on weaker same-store sales.
• Humana Inc. (NYSE: HUM) cut its first-quarter and full-year forecasts on higher expenses.
• Imax Corp. (NASDAQ: IMAX) widened its losses for the fourth quarter and the full year.
• Jones Soda Co. (NASDAQ: JSDA) swung to a loss due to costs related to distributing in product in cans.
• K-Tron International Inc. (NASDAQ: KTII) said fourth-quarter and full-year earnings soared.
• Liz Claiborne Inc. (NYSE: LIZ) posted disappointing fourth-quarter and full-year results.
• Six Flags Inc. (NYSE: SIX) narrowed its fourth-quarter and full-year losses.
• Texas Instruments Inc. (NYSE: TXN) lowered its forecast on fewer orders from a key client.
• United Parcel Service (NYSE: UPS) warned it may miss first quarter estimates due to the slowing economy.
• Vail Resorts Inc. (NYSE: MTN) second-quarter profit slipped due to lack of snow early in the season.

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Humana, Texas Instruments, UPS, Liz Clairborne, and others

Earnings highlights: Humana, Texas Instruments, UPS, Liz Clairborne, and others originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 15 Mar 2008 15:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Here are a few highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

• America's Car-Mart Inc. (NASDAQ: CRMT) beat estimates by closing underperforming branches.
• Aristotle Corp. (NASDAQ: ARTL) fourth-quarter revenue edged up while earnings slipped.
• Blackstone Group (NYSE: BX) fourth-quarter profit plunged on bond insurance related write-downs.
• Boston Beer Co. Inc. (NYSE: SAM) fourth-quarter profit more than doubled as drinkers switch to craft beers.
• CAI International Inc. (NYSE: CAP) beat expectations fourth quarter and raised its guidance.
• Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT) offered encouraging guidance for the full year and long term.
• Consolidated Communications Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: CNSL) beat estimates for the fourth quarter.
• Flow International Corp. (NASDAQ: FLOW) beat expectations, sending shares up sharply.
• Gehl Co. (NASDAQ: GEHL) fourth-quarter profit fell but beat expectations due to international growth.
• J. Crew Group Inc. (NYSE: JCG) raised its full-year outlook, sending shares higher.
• Kroger Co. (NYSE: KR) beat fourth-quarter expectations though profit slumped due to inflation.
• Maidenform Brands Inc. (NYSE: MFB) beat fourth quarter estimates due to sourcing initiatives.
• Smart Balance Inc. (NASDAQ: SMBL) nearly doubled its fourth-quarter loss despite strong revenue growth.
• Take-Two Interactive Software Inc. (NASDAQ: TTWO) posted a narrower-than-expected first-quarter loss.
• WellPoint Inc. (NYSE: WLP) cut its first-quarter and full-year forecasts on higher expenses.

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Blackstone, Caterpillar, Kroger, WellPoint, Boston Beer, and others

Earnings highlights: Blackstone, Caterpillar, Kroger, WellPoint, Boston Beer, and others originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 15 Mar 2008 11:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Last week Forbes released its annual list of the fastest growing tech stocks, and it shouldn't be much of a surprise that Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) topped the list, with nearly $15 billion in sales, representing five-year sales growth of 155%, and 30% EPS growth. To make the list, companies had to have significant sales growth over the past year and five years, as well as a good earnings forecast for the next three to five years. Companies with significant legal problems or corporate governance issues were excluded.

Rounding out the top five were Salesforce.com (NYSE: CRM), Ceradyne Inc. (NASDAQ: CRDN), Euronet Worldwide Inc. (NASDAQ: EEFT), and FalconStor Software Inc. (NASDAQ: FALC). Some other familiar names that made the list this year include Red Hat Inc. (NYSE: RHT), L-3 Communications (NYSE: LLL), Adobe Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: ADBE), and Cognizant Technology Solutions (NASDAQ: CTSH). Cognizant has been on Forbes list since its inauguration six years ago. For the full list, see the Forbes article.

Also of interest was the Forbes Fast 15, companies that didn't make the list mentioned above, but which Forbes thought were worth keeping an eye on for their potential. Engineering software maker Ansys Inc. (NASDAQ: ANSS), semiconductor maker Atheros Communications Inc. (NASDAQ: ATHR), Brubaker BioSciences Corp. (NASDAQ: BRKR), and scoreboard maker Daktronics Inc. (NASDAQ: DAKT) top that list. For the full list, see the Forbes article.

So if, like Aaron Katsman, Georges Yared, and Jim Cramer, you are bullish on tech stocks, then there's plenty on the Forbes lists worth taking a look at.

Google tops Forbes list of fastest growing tech stocks originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 27 Jan 2008 13:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The earnings crunch is in full swing, and here are a few of the highlights of this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

• AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T) only met earnings expectations despite strong holiday iPhone sales.
• Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) earnings plunged 95% due to mortgage-related write-downs.
• Delta Air Lines Inc. (NYSE: DAL) narrowed its fourth quarter loss and beat expectations.
• eBay Inc. (NADSAQ: EBAY) beat low expectations, but the CEO is to step down in March.
• EI DuPont de Nemours & Co. (NYSE: DD) beat earnings expectations even thought profits fell 37%.
• E*Trade Financial Corp. (NASDAQ: ETFC), posted a bigger-than-estimated fourth quarter loss.
• Fifth Third Bancorp. (NASDAQ: FITB) missed estimates on acquistion costs and a one-time charge.
• Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) missed low expectations, prompting further domestic cost reductions.
• Harley-Davidson Inc. (NYSE: HOG) profit declined on weak domestic sales.
• Hershey Co. (NYSE: HSY) profit sank due to rising costs, competition, and management shakeups.
• Honeywell Internationl Inc. (NYSE: HON) only met estimates, despite growth in all business segments.
• Kimberly-Clark Corp. (NYSE: KMB) profit slipped bet met expectations, due to increased paper costs.
• Lennar Corp. (NYSE: LEN) reported a record quarterly loss due to the housing slump.
• Motorola Inc. (NYSE: MOT) profit plunged due to loss of market share, and it forcasts a first quarter loss.
• National City Corp. (NYSE: NCC) posted a bigger-than-expected loss, but shares rose anyway.
• Pfizer Inc. (NYSE: PFE) profit plunged, but beat estimates, due to increased competition for generics.
• UAL Corp. (NASDAQ: UAUA) narrowed its loss despite rising fuel prices and holiday cancellations.
• Wachovia Corp. (NYSE: WB) earnings plunged 98% due to home loan write-downs.
• WellPoint Inc. (NYSE: WLP) met earnings expectations and reaffirmed its 2008 outlook.

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Bank of America, eBay, Ford, Motorola, Pfizer, and others

Earnings highlights: Bank of America, eBay, Ford, Motorola, Pfizer, and others originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 26 Jan 2008 15:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The earnings crunch is in full swing, and here are a few of the highlights of this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

• Abbott Laboratories (NYSE: ABT) swung to a profit on the strength of drug sales.
• AK Steel Holding Corp. (NYSE: AKS) swung to a fourth-quarter profit and easily beat estimates.
• Aladdin Knowledge Systems Ltd. (NASDAQ: ALDN) posted solid results and raised its forecast.
• Amdocs Ltd. (NYSE: DOX) reported a record quarter and reaffirmed its guidance.
• Amgen Inc. (NASDAQ: AMGN) beat exectations, but concerns remain about FDA scrutiny.
• Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) easily beat expectations and offered revised guidance (see live blog, transcript).
• Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT) posted a solid quarter on strong international growth.
• Coach Inc. (NYSE: COH) beat estimates on strong direct-to-customer and same-store sales.
• ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) posted a strong fourth quarter due to rising oil prices.
• CSX Corp. (NYSE: CSX) beat expectations as increased productivity offset increased fuel costs.
• Eaton Corp. (NYSE: ETN) posted solid fourth quarter results due to growth overseas.
• Equity LifeStyle Properties Inc. (NYSE: ELS) beat expectations in the fourth quarter and offered guidance.
• Franklin Resources Inc. (NYSE: BEN) reported solid results and increased its quarterly dividend.
• Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) posted a solid fourth quarter and affirmed its 2008 guidance.
• Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) posted strong results due in part to demand for Vista.
• Nintendo Co. (OTC: NTDOY) profit soared on demand for the Wii, and the company raised is sales outlook.
• Nokia Corp. (NYSE: NOK) reported a strong fourth quarter and increased market share in handset sales.

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Apple, Microsoft, Texas Instruments, Southwest, Caterpillar, and others

Earnings highlights: Apple, Microsoft, Texas Instruments, Southwest, Caterpillar, and others originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 26 Jan 2008 08:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Here are a few highlights of this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

• Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NYSE: AMD) had a lackluster quarter due in part to the acquistion of ATI.
• AMR Corp. (NYSE: AMR) posted a larger than expected loss due to rising fuel costs.
• Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) shares are hunkered down post-MacWorld but ahead of the Q1 report.
• Genentech Inc. (NYSE: DNA) beat earnings estimates, though its growth is slowing.
• General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM) forecasts earnings growth on cost-cutting and overseas sales.
• IBM (NYSE: IBM) had an impressive fourth quarter and expects a good 2008 (see transcript).
• Intel Corp.'s (NASDAQ: INTC) solid results failed to impress investors (see transcript).
• Johnson Controls Inc. (NYSE: JCI) posted a solid first quarter, with growth in all divisions.
• New Oriental Educational & Technology Group Inc. (NYSE: EDU) posted disappointing results.
• Novartis AG (NYSE: NVS) profits fell on restructuring costs and increased competition for generics.
• Sony Ericsson beat estimates and is gaining market share in the global cell phone market.
• TJX Companies Inc. (NYSE: TJX) revised its fourth quarter outlook after strong December sales.
• Vignette Corp. (NASDAQ: VIGN) raised its fourth quarter revenue guidance, which buoyed shares.
• Williams-Sonoma Inc. (NYSE: WSM) lowered its guidance on weak holiday sales.

See additional earnings highlights. Also, Jim Cramer ponders the ennui of the new earnings season. Georges Yared is bullish on tech stocks, and big tech executives are bullish as well. Jonathan Berr looks ahead to upcoming big tech reports.

Other upcoming results to watch for include Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN), eBay Inc. (NASDAQ: EBAY), Motorola Inc. (NYSE: MOT), Qualcomm Inc. (NASDAQ: QCOM), Nokia Corp. (NYSE: NOK), AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T), E*Trade Corp. (NASDAQ: ETFN), and Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT).

Visit AOL Money & Finance for more earnings coverage.

Earnings highlights: Intel, IBM, GM, Apple, AMD, and others originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 19 Jan 2008 11:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading StockWatch: Between the Bells with Georges Yared

StockWatch: Between the Bells with Georges Yared originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 16 Nov 2007 15:25:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The holiday season may have just begun, but the earnings season continues. Here are some highlights of this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

• Burger King Holdings (NYSE: BKC) had a solid quarter thanks to breakfasts and media tie-ins.
• Cisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO) beat expectations and reaffirmed its full-year forecast.
• Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) reported smaller-than-expected losses, sending share prices up.
• General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM) posted bigger-than-expected losses and disclosed huge charges.
• Marvel Entertainment Inc. (NYSE: MVL) had a super quarter and raised its guidance.
• News Corp. (NYSE: NWS) beat estimates, in part due to The Simpsons Movie and cable news.
• Nortel Networks Corp. (NYSE: NT) swung to a profit but missed revenue estimates.
• Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ: NVDA) beat Wall Street estimates but offered no outlook.
• Orbotech Ltd.'s (NASDAQ: ORBK) earnings took a hit, but the CEO has hopes for 2008.
• Playboy Enterprises Inc. (NYSE: PLA) had better-than-expected profits, helped by international TV revenue.
• Priceline.com (NASDAQ: PCLN) beat estimates, spurred by increased bookings, especially in Europe.

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Time Warner, GM, Toyota, Ford, Cisco, and others

Earnings highlights: Time Warner, GM, Toyota, Ford, Cisco, and others originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 10 Nov 2007 13:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The earnings crunch continues to roll along, and here are a some highlights of this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

• Aetna Inc. (NYSE: AET) beat expectations and raised its full-year guidance.
• Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) beat estimates by a penny and offered a poor outlook.
• American Express Co. (NYSE: AXP) delivered a positive surprise, with profits up 10%.
• Amgen Inc. (NASDAQ: AMGN) beat estimates, but revenue was flat.
• Anheuser-Busch Cos. (NYSE: BUD) beat expectations on strength of international sales and partner brands.
• Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) blew past expectations. See our conference call live blog.
• Avery Dennison Corp.'s (NYSE: AVY) net sales up, EPS down, both due to the Paxar acquisition.
• Baidu.com Inc. (NASDAQ: BIDU) beat expectations, but wariness about its growth potential lingers.
• Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA) beat expectations but lowered its guidance.
• Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE: BMY) beat expectations on the strength of Plavix sales.
• CNH Global's (NYSE: CNH) profit nearly doubled, beating estimates by 15%.
• Coach Inc. (NYSE: COH) beat estimates by a penny, but offered a conservative outlook for the holidays.
• Comcast Corp. (NASDAQ: CMCSA) met EPS expectations but cut its cash flow forecast.
• Countrywide Financial Corp. (NYSE: CFC) reported a $1.2 billion loss, but predicts a profit in the next quarter.

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Apple (AAPL), Merrill Lynch (MER), UAL (UAUA), and many others

Earnings highlights: Apple (AAPL), Merrill Lynch (MER), UAL (UAUA), and many others originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 27 Oct 2007 11:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Another earnings season crunch is under way, and here are a some highlights of this past week's earnings coverage here at BloggingStocks:

• Advanced Micro Devices (NYSE: AMD) reported losses 9 cents greater than Wall Street estimates.
• Altria Group Inc.'s (NYSE: MO) profits were down, but the company raised its full-year earnings guidance.
• Bank of America Corp. (NYSE: BAC) fell short of expectations, profits down 32%.
• Boston Scientific Corp. (NYSE: BSX) almost tripled Wall Street's earnings estimates.
• Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) had warned to expect a disappointing results, and earnings per share fell 57%.
• Coca-Cola Co. (NYSE: KO) beat estimates, sending the share price to a 52-week high.
• Domino's Pizza Inc. (NASDAQ: DPZ) fell short of expectations, profits falling 55%.
• eBay Inc.'s (NASDAQ: EBAY) otherwise good results were hurt by Skype-related losses.
• Gannett Inc.'s (NYSE: GCI), earnings beat expectations but revenue fell short.
• Genetech Inc. (NYSE: DNA) beat estimates by a penny, but analysts' concerns linger.
• Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) had a spectacular third quarter. See our live blog of the conference call.

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Tech stocks strong, financials weak

Earnings highlights: Tech stocks strong, financials weak originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 20 Oct 2007 12:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

When BloggingStocks contributor Georges Yared recently took a look at lenders that could rise up out of the recent subprime-related credit mess, he focused on Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC), and US Bancorp (NYSE: USB) as strong contenders.

Well, the European markets have been struggling with many of the same credit concerns as in the U.S. Morningstar (NASDAQ: MORN) has gone looking for investment opportunities in European markets, and found such contenders as Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU), France Telecom (NYSE: FTE), and Cadbury Schweppes (NYSE: CSG). However, like Mr. Yared, Morningstar analysts found themselves focusing on a pair of wide-moat lenders that had been unfairly punished by reactions to the current problems.

Continue reading Morningstar finds strength in European lenders

Morningstar finds strength in European lenders originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 28 Aug 2007 15:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

In May and June, I wrote a series on what I think could be the top 25 stocks for the NEXT 25 years. It was a fun exercise and a lot of work. Since the series finished in mid-June, we've been knocked down from 25 stocks to 22 stocks: Opsware (NASDAQ: OPSW), Kyphon (NASDAQ: KYPH) and Color Kinetics (NASDAQ: CLRK) are all being acquired for significant premiums by obviously much larger companies.

We have another on our list that, although it's not being acquired, the stock has doubled in value these past 2 1/2 months. Blue Coat Systems (NASDAQ: BCSI) was written up on June 8. The stock was trading at $44, but it's now at $84.80. Blue Coat reported an absolutely explosive July quarter. Revenues came in at $62.4 million versus Street consensus of $58 million, representing a 71% year-over-year increase and a 15% up-sequentially from the April quarter.

The wide-area-network (WAN) optimization product set is gaining mainstream momentum. The even better news for Blue Coat Systems is that it is about to embark on an excellent new product cycle. The company saw bookings, pipeline and deferred revenues all go up substantially this past quarter and provide tremendous visibility going forward.

Continue reading Top 25 Stocks for the NEXT 25 Years: Blue Coat Systems (BCSI) -- update

Top 25 Stocks for the NEXT 25 Years: Blue Coat Systems (BCSI) -- update originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 28 Aug 2007 11:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

I had the pleasure this morning of participating on a conference call with five British portfolio managers. Not surprisingly, the discussion, over tea of course, was about the state of the U.S. stock market. Combined, these five gentlemen manage about $16 billion in U.S. stock funds. Once the crumpets were finished and before the second cup of tea was poured, we began the dissection of what's happening in the U.S. It's always good to have perspective from across the "Pond."

To the man, all five believe the U.S. is still a "bit on the cheap side" in terms of valuations. Consistent growth pockets exist, especially in the technology sector. The portfolio managers were enthused about Cisco Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO), Apple Inc. ( NASDAQ: AAPL) (although Duncan was aggravated because his 6-year-old son dropped his iPod into the bathtub last night), Hewlett Packard (NYSE: HPQ) and Oracle Corp. (NASDAQ: ORCL). All four of these companies have a high degree of revenue and earnings momentum and of course, strong international sales.

When the subject turned to the U.S. financials, we had some differences. The differences had to do with timing and if there is more bad news to come. The five agreed with me that the big five American banks have a diverse enough stream of revenues and earnings so that any more mortgage issues that come up would be a minor hit to their earnings expectations. The big five are Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), Wells Fargo & Co. (NYSE: WFC), Citigroup (NYSE: C), JP Morgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) and Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM). Three of the five felt that all are in a very secure earnings position, but possibly Washington Mutual could still see some "dodgier times." Two of the five portfolio managers felt that the general earnings expectations for the 3rd and 4th quarters could encounter a slight miss.

Continue reading Morning tea: British portfolio managers' view of U.S. market

Morning tea: British portfolio managers' view of U.S. market originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 21 Aug 2007 15:55:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Many analysts and traders will cite fundamentals or technicals to explain why the market might or might not rally from this level. In the end, it all comes down to sentiment and market dynamics.

In these volatile times, traders are known for rapidly switching from euphoric optimism to gloomy pessimism. For evidence of this you simply need to watch Cramer for several weeks in a row. I've found that in any given longer-term period, Cramer has a huge tendency to "flip-flop" on his opinions of companies, industries, and the overall market. But he's not to blame -- nearly all of Wall Street's short-term players are like this.

Truth is, the most recent downturn in the market (excluding Thursday and Friday) was much more than noise, and I firmly believe that the Fed cutting rates saved the market, at least over the short term (futures were pointing way down for Friday before the Fed raised).

However, I think the market has to rally if Monday is an up day. Why? Because Wall Street players, which had been so powerfully negative on the market over the last few weeks, will have to shift their position on the markets and increasing their "net-long" exposure. In doing so, they will likely be forced to cover some shorts and add to some longs -- increasing demand for stocks. I believe that this factor was a primary cause of the rocketing market on Friday and, from who I've spoken to, many funds have no adequately adjusted their net-long exposure and are waiting for a "confirmation move" on Monday.

Continue reading The basis for a rally is in place

The basis for a rally is in place originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 19 Aug 2007 16:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

I don't think I can count how many times I have heard in my career "you can always count on Coca-Cola, no matter what condition the economy is in." It's as true today as ever. With the markets reacting in a volatile manner, globally, Coca-Cola Co. (NYSE: KO) is as solid as a rock. This $125 billion market capitalization company is only $2 off of its 52-week high of $56.71. The dividend yield is a solid 2.5% and Coca-Cola has a nice history of raising the payout.

Coca-Cola is one of the world's most recognizable brands. Coca-Cola was a global company before most of us knew what "globalization" meant. It is one of the United States most important exports. Besides the flagship product of Coke, the company also markets consumer favorites like Diet Coke, Fanta and Sprite. Latley, the company has expanded its product offerings to include bottled water as health-conscious consumers have gravitated to this sector of the beverage industry. Coke has successfully diversified its revenue and earnings base by expanding to this valuable part of the industry.

The amazing aspect to the Coca-Cola story is how professional portfolio managers view this company. The revenue and earnings growth rates are only about 10%, but yet Coca-Cola sports a hefty price-earnings multiple of 24 times. Portfolio managers have such confidence in the quarterly performance of Coca-Cola and the absolute consistency of its numbers that many refer to Coca-Cola as "the sleep well stock." This means they do not have to worry quarter-in and quarter-out about Coca-Cola achieving stated expectations: it's virtually automatic.

Continue reading Volatile Markets: Coca-Cola (KO) is the Real Thing

Volatile Markets: Coca-Cola (KO) is the Real Thing originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 16 Aug 2007 12:35:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT) has become the discount retailer of choice as demonstrated by the actual key metric --same store sales. Target has beaten its principal rival Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT) 46 of the last 47 months in the head-to-head match up of same store sales.

Bottom line is Target is capturing and maintaining market share gains. The good news is Target's story has more growth prospects in front of it. Target is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota and was established back in 1902. The company was a division of Dayton's, an upscale retailer that had its core presence in the Northwest. Target stores were the after-thought. Target emerged in the 1990's as THE growth vehicle for Dayton's and eventually, the company was re-named Target and the Dayton stores are now part of Macy's. Things do indeed change!!

With a store base of 1,684 spread over 47 states, Target has the room to more than double the base over the next decade. In comparison, Wal-Mart has more than 4,000 stores in the United States alone. Target stores present a more pleasant shopping experience for the customer and have a fresher offering of products. Bottom line is people enjoy shopping at Target and the same store sales numbers completely reflect that fact. The fashions, cosmetics, linens, housewares, sporting goods, etc. are as up-to-date and fashionable even when compared to full-price retail concepts.

Continue reading Volatile Markets: Target (TGT) is the retailer of choice

Volatile Markets: Target (TGT) is the retailer of choice originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 16 Aug 2007 10:57:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Is it possible for the Phoenix to rise out of these over-leveraged, overrated, financial ashes? Can the stock market reverse direction without the Federal Reserve Board taking action and reducing interest rates?

We're all so smart, but at any given moment we might have to don the dunce cap. I am eating humble pie with the rest of you -- worse I'm losing money on a few things (or would be if I sold something) so this is all very real. However, to my fellow long term investors it is all just a blip on the huge screen of investment perspective over time.

Not too long ago I was reading some Cramer stuff regarding how this market would be rising higher through the second half of the year. It used to be that he had plenty of good advice amid his periodic rants, now you have to listen very, very carefully to glean some insight because the ranting and raving have completely dominated and over taken him at times. To the infrequent observer you might think he has lost contol of his senses or even worse. He certainly has no shame.

One of my more knowledgable collegues Georges Yared posted Three reasons the Dow will reach 15,000 by year-end -- and six stocks to buy about a month ago. I do recommend you read the post and there is much to be learned, however, of all the thoughts enumerated the following seems to be the most relevant (and wrong) in today's market.

• "Mortgage market should stabilize: The US markets were trying to decipher the sub-prime mortgage mess back in April, and here in June they are still trying. The issue has not gone away, but the major banks appear to be handling the problem."

Well, the major banks DO NOT seem to be handling the problem. I think the problem is bigger than many of them. And Georges and I have underestimated the fear that has beset the market which promted me to write: Sunday Funnies: Last one out is a rotten egg! As far as the Dow Jones Industrial Average reaching 15,000 by the end of the year, that appears, for now, to be a bit of a stretch.

Those of you who are new to BloggingStocks can check out my other stories and read Chasing Value or Serious Money to find more potential opportunities and verify my track record as well -- INCLUDING ANY BAD CALLS.

Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the principal for design and research at an architecture & planning firm.

Dow 15,000 by end of the year - yeah, we're all so smart! originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 15 Aug 2007 18:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Confusing potential with value originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 13 Aug 2007 20:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.