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Barrick Gold (ABX): The Best Bet Among Senior Gold Miners

Barrick Gold (ABX) logo"In my view, the best value in gold miners is the senior producers, and the best investment from that class is Barrick Gold (ABX)," says Ian Wyatt.

The editor of Top Stock Insights explains, "This company will benefit over the next few years from its high quality diversified portfolio of assets which includes around 140 million ounces of gold reserve.

"It's not a particularly fast growing company, but it's got the bull market in gold going for it. Additionally, it has a number of projects it can build and most importantly the capital to begin construction.

Continue reading Barrick Gold (ABX): The Best Bet Among Senior Gold Miners

Top Picks for 2010: Eldorado Gold (EGO)

This post is part of a special report, Top Picks for 2010, the 27th annual survey in which TheStockAdvisors.com asks the nation's leading advisors for their single favorite stock for the new year. See all 80 stocks listed here.

"While my primary focus is on the international financial markets, it's the glint of gold that has caught my eye for 2010," says Martin Hutchison.

The contributing editor to both Money Map Report and Money Morning, explains, "Gold -- or mining companies like Eldorado Gold (EGO) -- an especially compelling investment for 2010."

Continue reading Top Picks for 2010: Eldorado Gold (EGO)

Franco Nevada (FNV): A core holding in gold

"We have very few buy recommendations currently; one exception is Franco-Nevada (Toronto: FNV.CA)," says resource expert Adrian Day.

In his The Global Analyst, the advisor explains, "Franco Nevada is one of our all-time favorites; it has top management, a solid balance sheet, and risk-averse business plan.

He continues, "The company previously merged with Newmont, and was reborn in a spin off nearly two years ago. Although the stock has nearly doubled since the IPO, it still represents good value.

Continue reading Franco Nevada (FNV): A core holding in gold

15 favorite ETFs for 2009

For 26 years, at the start of each year, I've conducted an annual survey of newsletter advisors, asking for their favorite investment for the coming year. Until 2 or 3 years ago, their responses were almost always individual stocks and an occasional mutual fund.

Increasingly in recent years, many advisors have found their favorite positions to be exchange traded funds, whereby they can invest in a sector, region, or strategy without the inherent risk of an individual company. Indeed, in this year survey of 75 advisors, fully 1 out of 5 advisors chose ETFs.

ETFs were a popular choice for those seeking global exposure. Mark Salzinger, editor of The Investor's ETF Report, selects the S&P China SPDR (NYSE: GXC) as his favored play. (Read the full article here.)

Nick Vardy sees opportunity in China, but also sees potential in a broader range of emerging global markets. The editor of Global Stock Investor looks to the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (ASE: EEM) as his top idea for 2009. (Read the full article here.)

Carl Delfeld of Chartwell Advisors also wants to own a basket of emerging markets stocks, but only small caps. His pick is the WisdomTree Emerging Market Small Cap (NYSE: DGS). (Read the full article here.)

Jim Lowell takes a similar view -- chosing global small caps -- but adds a further restriction. His recommended ETF limits its holdings to dividend paying stocks. Hence, the top pick in his Marketwatch ETF Trader is the WisdomTree International Small Cap Dividend (NYSE: DLS). (Read the full article here.)

ETFs an also be used to play a specific sector, such as consumer stocks. Leonard Goodall sees upside in companies making the "basics" such as soda, toothpaste and soap. In his No-Load Fund Investor, his top way to play this trend is the Consumer Staples ETF (NYSE: XLP). (Read the full article here.)

In addition to using ETFs to invest in a region, country or sector, these vehicles can also be used to invest in a certain strategy. For example, Tom Bishop, editor of BI Research, chooses the PowerShares Value Line Industry Rotation ETF (NYSE: PYH), which rotates its holdings to only include stocks that earn Value Line's top investment rating. (Read the full article here.)

Doug Fabian, editor of Successful Investing, looks to PowerShares DB Crude (NYSE: DXO), an exchange-traded note. While this leveraged position goes up twice as much as the underlying index when it rises, it also goes down twice as much when the index declines. (Read the full article here.)

Paul Tracy, editor of StreetAuthority Market Advisor takes a similar approach, but rather than speculate on the price of oil and gas, he looks to ProShares Ultra Oil & Gas (NYSE: DIG), which invests in a basket of stocks operating within these sectors. (Read the full article here.)

The most popular choice in this year's survey was ETFs investing in gold. Both Vivian Lewis, editor of Global Investing, recommends the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE: GLD); it's price reflects 1/10th of an ounce of gold. (Read the full article here.)

Mary Anne Aden, editor of The Aden Forecast, also selects the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE: GLD) as her top investment ideas for the coming year. (Read the full article here.)

Mark Leibovit, market timer and editor of VRTrader, holds a long-term bullish view on gold and opts for upside leverage. His top pick is the PowerShares DB Gold Double Long (NYSE: DGP). (Read the full article here.)

Pamela Aden, co-editor for The Aden Forecast, also sees upside potential in gold but prefers to invest in the companies that mine for the precious metal. Her top pick is the Market Vectors Gold Miners (NYSE: GDX). (Read the full article here.)

For greater leverage (and higher risk), Steve Rawls, editor of Tipping Point Stocks, suggests the ProShares Ultra Gold (NYSE: UGL), which moves twice the rate of the underlying London gold price. (Read the full article here.)

Mike Larson, editor of Money & Markets, sees downside risk in financial stocks. But rather than try and select which stock might fall, he opts for a basket of financial players with the ProShares Trust Short Financials (NYSE: SEF). As an "inverse" fund, this moves in the opposite direction of the underlying index. (Read the full article here.)

And for even higher risk and volatility, Michael Shulman, editor of ChangeWave Shorts, looks to the ProShares UltraShort Financials (NYSE: SKF), an inverse double fund. Not only does it move in the opposite direction of financial stocks, but it moves twice as much. (Read the full article here.)

Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers a daily look at the latest market commentary and favorite stock picks and investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

Top Stock Picks '09: Teck Cominco (TCK)

This post is part of a special annual report -- Top Stock Picks '09 -- in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked 75 leading newsletter advisors to select their favorite investment for the new year.

"We own several stocks in our portfolio that are selling for less than their book value and with a P/E ratio of less than 5 -- but the prize among bargains is Teck Cominco (NYSE: TCK), our most promising stock for 2009," says Neil Macneale.

In his 2 for 1 newsletter -- which initially buys stocks when they announce 2-for-1 splits, he says, "It would be hard to argue this company is not literally being given away."

Macneale explains, "I bought this stock for the 2-for-1 portfolio over a year and half ago and its stock price has declined by about 90% since then.

"The Canadian mining company produces copper, zinc, gold, and metallurgical coal. All assets are in North America except for most of its copper operations, located in Peru.

"With a PE ratio bouncing between 1 and 2, and a Price-to-Book ratio at around 0.3, you are getting a well-established (1906), well-run asset play for less than its book value, even if existing plant and reserve values are slashed by over 50%.

Continue reading Top Stock Picks '09: Teck Cominco (TCK)

Hedge Inflation with two gold ETF ideas: GDX and GLD

It seems that everywhere you turn you hear something about the price of gold, from analysts to commercials encouraging you to sell your old jewelry for big bucks. If you're tempted, how about a bit safer investment in the commodity? Let your money work for you -- invest in an Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) that hold shares in several different gold producers, and you can ride the wave of the industry.

Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (AMEX: GDX) is a perfect opportunity to ride this wave with as the fund's goal is to mimic the price and yield performance of the AMEX Gold Miners index, before fees and expenses. This is a nondiversified fund that is comprised of several well known companies whose main operations involve gold and silver mining.

There are two reasons to buy GDX instead of the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE: GLD) or the iShares Comex Gold Trust (NYSE: IAU) both of which are pure gold ETFs (you own a share of gold sitting in a safe). First, the ratio between gold and the value of the gold held by miners has been relatively stable for 30 years. But today, the gold miners are selling at 33% of that historical ratio, so bulls say it's better to buy the miners, not the metal. Second, the biggest expense of a mining company is energy. Oil today hit $54 per barrel, down 63% from a peak of $147. This adds to the profits of the Gold Miners.

Continue reading Hedge Inflation with two gold ETF ideas: GDX and GLD

GoldCorp (GG): 'Our favorite major'

"People want to own more gold when there's a perception of growing global economic and political turmoil," explain resource experts Roger Conrad and Yiannis Mostrous.

In their Vital Resource Investor, the advisor offer their long-term bullish assessment for gold as well their favorite gold mining stock: "Goldcorp (NYSE: GG).

"Every commodity bull market eventually ends when consumers permanently reduce demand with conservation and switch to alternatives, and the producers ultimately over-expand. This, however, only happens over a period of many years.

"To be sure, we've seen demand in the US drop for many vital resources, from copper to energy, as the economy has slowed. Demand from developing nations, however, remains entrenched by necessity, as these suddenly more affluent nations struggle to upgrade their vital infrastructure.

"And although we may see Chinese economic growth slow from its current off-the-chart 10% rate, that country will still face critical needs to build out its cities to meet the millions of new migrants that come every year. And that's a huge call on raw materials.

Continue reading GoldCorp (GG): 'Our favorite major'

Option update: Gold options active as hedgers adjust to $700 gold

Newmont Mining (NYSE: NEM) call volume & implied volatility elevated as gold above $704. NEM, the world's largest non-hedged gold producer, is recently trading up $1.95 to $44.25. Gold is up 1.95% to $704.20 according to Bloomberg. NEM call option volume of 71,210 contracts compares to put volume of 15,428 contracts according to Track Data. NEM September option implied volatility of 36 is above its 26-week average of 29 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price risks.

Barrick Gold (NYSE:ABX) calls active; volatility elevated on hedging as gold above $700. ABX a gold mining company is recently up $2.58 to $35.98. ABX has a market cap of $31 billion. ABX call option volume of 37,967 contracts compares to put volume of 11,279 contracts according to Track Data. ABX September option implied volatility of 38 is above its 26-week average of 29 according to Track Data, suggesting larger risk.

Buenaventura (NYSE::BVN) implied volatility elevated; BVN operates three gold & silver mines in Peru and also has controlling interests in four mining companies as well as a majority interest in several other mining companies in Peru. BVN is recently up $3.83 to $42.42. BVN September option implied volatility of 48 is above its 26-week average of 37 according to Track Data, suggesting larger risk.


Daily options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Goldcorp (GG) not glittering

In times of political and/or financial uncertainty, many investors turn to precious metals as stable investment vehicles. Even in this sector it pays to be choosy. Canadian mining form Goldcorp Inc. (NYSE: GG) is highly regarded in the gold mining industry for its low-cost operations. Goldcorp does run efficient operations in Mexico, Canada, Guatemala, and has some of the lowest mining to market costs of any of its competitors. But the latest earnings report (August 9) reveals some short-term difficulties. Slower than anticipated start-up volumes at several locations in Mexico and engineering problems at a mine in Nevada combined to drive up production costs. Even though gold production was up 63% thus far in 2007, and gold sales are also up, 2Q net earnings were $95.3 million, $30 million less than 1Q 2007 and $40 million less than 2Q 2006. The impact of these problems caused CEO Kevin McArthur to reduce FY production estimates 10%, from 2.5 million ounces of gold to the 2.2-2.3 million ounce range at an average production cost of $150, still a very favorable production cost figure.

In its favor, Goldcorp maintains a tight control on costs and recently sold its interests in several mining operations for $300 million. At the company's Penasquito mine in Mexico, proven and probable reserves of gold, silver, lead and zinc all exceed initial mining survey estimates. Once the Penasquito mine is running at or near capacity, the payout will be very favorable to Goldcorp, barring unforeseen negatives such as political, labor or environmental problems in Mexico. Goldcorp sells all its gold on the open market at spot prices, a strategy which generally works in the company's favor as gold, currently $660.85 per Troy ounce, seems only to go up in price.

For a company with many favorables, the stock bounces around a lot. Goldcorp stock opened the year trading at $27.34, hit a high of $28.84 on Valentine' Day (are gentlemen buying gold rather than flowers and chocolates these days?), then dropped more than 20% to close recently at $22.67, down $0.26.

Top 20 advisors: Adrian Day views Vista Gold

Last December, over 100 stocks were featured in our Top Picks for 2007 report. Now, at mid-year, we turn to the 20 advisors whose picks showed the strongest gains to get an update on their previous picks, as well as a new favorite stock for the second half of the year.

Adrian Day, editor of the Global Analyst, chose Virginia Mines Inc. (TSE: VGQ) as his favorite stock for 2007, which rose 31% as of 6/1/07. Here's Adrian's original recommendation on Virginia Mines and his current opinion on the stock.

His new favorite for the rest of 2007 is -- like Virginia -- a "gold company with a difference." His new pick is Vista Gold Corp. (ASE: VGZ). He explains, "During the early 2000s, when the price of gold was weak, Vista acquired known gold resources, but ones that were uneconomic at the time.

"This enabled it to build reserves inexpensively, and rather than mining them when the price was low, it held on to the gold in the ground, building value as the price of bullion appreciated.

"Now Vista has 12 properties around the world in various stages of development, some economic at today's higher price. Together, it has over 13 million ounces of resource (proven, probable, and indicated), valued at just over $20 per ounce in the ground -- very cheap.

"In addition to the considerable exploration potential at many of its properties, it also has $20 million in cash. With strong leverage to rising gold prices, we would buy Vista as an option on gold, but one without an expiration date."

See all 20 stocks the advisors picked for the second half of 2007.

No fool's gold in Yamana's earnings report

Yamana Gold Inc. (NYSE: AUY) recently released FY 2006 earnings as well as an update on its latest mining operation. Overall, the news is very positive. Yamana Gold operates mines in Honduras, Argentina, Nicaragua and Brazil, including its flagship Chapada mine in Goias, Brazil.

Processing operations at Chapada commenced in November 2006, ahead of schedule. The ore processed thus far has been above estimate in terms of amount and higher in grade. Copper in concentrate is 27.7-28.4% in grade. Gold is 26.3-29.1 grams per ton. At these numbers, Yamana expects to produce 180,000-200,000 ounces of gold and 130-145,000,000 pounds of copper in FY 2007, both above estimates.

Because the Chapada mine came into production earlier than scheduled, Yamana already received its first payment of almost $27 million for the first concentrate shipment. Larger concentrate shipments for both copper and gold will be shipped by the end of 1Q 2007. Presently, spot market prices for both gold and copper remain favorable for Yamana.

Continue reading No fool's gold in Yamana's earnings report

Top Picks 2007: Curtis Hesler mines for gold at Yamana

Each year Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, surveys the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is part of his 24th annual Top Picks Report.

Yamana Gold (ASE: AUY) is a favorite speculative pick for 2007 from Curtis Hesler, editor of The Professional Timing Service.

He explains, "I believe that gold made a significant breakout in early December, officially ending the correction begun in May. The correction resulted in a triangle formation with the lows all about $560 and the highs successively lower.

"The last time gold formed a triangle like the recent May to November pattern was in 1979. When prices broke out of the triangle pattern in the fall of 1979, gold went straight from $400 to about $875 by January 1980. We are likely setting up for a similar run now, and the dollar is confirming this.

"A doubling of today's price does not require a stretch of the imagination. The gold-to-oil ratio is currently about 10, but it is rising. If it hits the long term average of 16, gold would be $1,000 with crude at $63. If crude were to go back over $70, and the ratio were 16 the price of gold would be $1,120.

Continue reading Top Picks 2007: Curtis Hesler mines for gold at Yamana

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 11, 2012: 02:08 PM

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