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Comfort Zone Investing: Can You Feel the Pendulum Swinging?

a golfer swinging - economic pendulum - comfort zone investingEconomies go in cycles. They push to their breaking points, then move in the opposite direction. We saw it clearly in the '90s when there was no end to up (except there was and we abruptly hit it in 2000). In 2008, it felt like there was no end to down. But we now know there is. Things are picking up, and there are numbers to prove it.

Don't be the last to figure out we're in an economic recovery. Sitting on the sidelines, waiting for one more chance to buy a stock at the bargain price you saw in March of 2009 isn't going to happen. Times have changed. The U.S. economy is on the mend.

Continue reading Comfort Zone Investing: Can You Feel the Pendulum Swinging?

Analyst Calls: AA, AMD, AMR, AZN, CIT, GSK, HPQ, M, NVDA, PCX, SPWRA ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) to buy from neutral at UBS.
  • Fluor (FLR) to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan.
  • Macy's (M) to outperform from neutral at Credit Suisse.
  • Canadian Solar (CSIQ), JA Solar (JASO) and HeartWare (HTWR) to buy from hold at Auriga.
  • Ashford Hospitality (AHT) to outperform from market perform at FBR Capital.
  • RenaissanceRe (RNR) to buy from neutral at Janney Capital.
  • DCT Industrial (DCT) to market perform from underperform at Wells Fargo.
  • Coeur d'Alene Mines (CDE) and Silver Standard (SSRI) to buy from hold at Deutsche Bank.
  • Weatherford (WFT), Hercules (HERO), GulfMark Offshore (GLF), Tidewater (TDW) and GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) to buy from hold, and Diamond Offshore (DO) to hold from underperform, at Jefferies.
  • Ritchie Bros. (RBA) to buy from neutral at BofA/Merrill.
  • AstraZeneca (AZN) to buy from hold at Citigroup.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: AA, AMD, AMR, AZN, CIT, GSK, HPQ, M, NVDA, PCX, SPWRA ...

Eli Lilly Likely to Remain Limp

Eli Lilly logoAlthough short-term news may seem bright for Eli Lilly & Co. (LLY), the broader picture for the company looks flat. Having dropped from an average share price in the $53 range over two years ago, to a current average share value hovering near $35, investors are signaling that the long range forecast for Lilly is unexciting at best.

It appears that Lilly shall be buoyed in the near term by the recent FDA approval of testosterone replacement therapy Axiron for sale in the U.S. Lilly purchased rights to Axiron from Australian firm, Acrux for an initial payment of $50 million plus $3 million based on the transfer of manufacturing assets.

Continue reading Eli Lilly Likely to Remain Limp

Human Genome Sciences Drops Ahead of FDA Meeting

Human Genome Sciences (HGSI - option chain) stock is trading lower today after briefing materials for an FDA advisory panel were released that questioned whether the benefits of Benlysta, a proposed lupus treatment from HGSI and GlaxoSmithKline (GSK), outweighed its risks. The panel will potentially vote next week on whether it thinks Benlysta should be approved, but its early skepticism might not be a good sign for HGSI and GSK and speculation surrounding the event has driven option prices through the sky. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on HGSI.

Continue reading Human Genome Sciences Drops Ahead of FDA Meeting

Analyst Calls: BKS, GE, GSK, ITW, MMM, MXIM, NETL, NOK, RAI, RDC, TYC ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • Citigroup assumed coverage of Illinois Tool Works (ITW) and upgraded shares to buy from hold with a $52 price target. Citi cites valuation and the company's successful execution for the rating change.
  • UBS upgraded Rowan Companies (RDC) to buy from neutral based on better-than-expected dayrates in the high specification jack-up market. The firm raised its price target to $42 from $28.
  • UBS also upgraded NetLogic (NETL) to buy from neutral and keeps a $33.50 target on the stock. The firm upgraded shares based on valuation and solid long-term outlook.
  • AvalonBay (AVB) and BRE Properties (BRE) were upgraded to neutral from underperform at Macquarie.
  • Covance (CVD) was upgraded to equal weight from underweight at Morgan Stanley.
  • Reynolds American (RAI) was upgraded to neutral from underperform at BofA/Merrill.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: BKS, GE, GSK, ITW, MMM, MXIM, NETL, NOK, RAI, RDC, TYC ...

Analyst Calls: ACOR, CHKM, CPB, ENV, GDOT, GR, GSK, MFE, NOK, OXY, PXD, SI ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • FBR Capital upgraded Pioneer Natural (PXD) to outperform from market perform and raised its price target for shares to $85 from $60. The firm upgraded shares on expectations that returns from the company's Spraberry field will increase materially.
  • Baird upgraded Acroda Therapeutics (ACOR) to outperform from neutral based on valuation and a new survey that indicates a strong uptake for Ampyra and improvements on the reimbursement front. The firm has a $40 target on the stock.
  • Morgan Stanley upgraded Nokia (NOK) to overweight from underweight based on checks that indicate strong orders and less than expected discounting for its upcoming N8 smartphone.
  • GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) and British American Tobacco (BTI) were upgraded to buy from neutral at BofA/Merrill.
  • Quality Systems (QSII) was upgraded to outperform from market perform at William Blair.
  • Siemens (SI) was upgraded to buy from neutral at UBS.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: ACOR, CHKM, CPB, ENV, GDOT, GR, GSK, MFE, NOK, OXY, PXD, SI ...

GlaxoSmithKline Gets Good News from FDA Regarding Epilepsy Drug

GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) logoGlaxoSmithKline (GSK - option chain) shares are rising today after the company said an FDA advisory panel unanimously backed its epilepsy drug, ezogabine. GSK codeveloped the drug with Valeant Pharmaceuticals (VRX). If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on AMGN.

GSK opened this morning at $37.17. So far today the stock has hit a low of $37.00 and a high of $37.39. As of 12:15, GSK is trading at $37.22 up 0.76 (2.1%). The chart for GSK looks neutral and S&P gives GSK a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.

Continue reading GlaxoSmithKline Gets Good News from FDA Regarding Epilepsy Drug

Options Update: BP Overall Volatility Decreases

BP (BP) closed up $1.79 Monday to $38.65. The company reported a $17 billion loss Tuesday morning and announced it has replaced CEO Tony Hayward with Bob Dudley. Overall option implied volatility of 51 is below a level of 78 from June 28, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Genzyme (GENZ) closed up $4.86 to $67.38. Sanofi-Aventis (SNY), GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) may be interested in making a play for GENZ, reports the Wall Street Journal. Overall option implied volatility of 40 is above GENZ 26-week average of 31, according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
.

GlaxoSmithKline Rises on FDA's Avandia Decision

GSK logoGlaxoSmithKline (GSK - option chain) shares are rising today after the FDA Advisory Committee voted in favor of keeping GSK's diabetes drug Avandia on the market, despite concerns that the drug could increase the risk of cardiovascular disease. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on GSK.

GSK opened this morning at $37.06. So far today the stock has hit a low of $36.77 and a high of $37.16. As of 12:10, GSK is trading at $37.06 up 0.71 (2.0%). The chart for GSK looks neutral and S&P gives GSK a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.

Continue reading GlaxoSmithKline Rises on FDA's Avandia Decision

Closing Bell: A Rally Fizzles (BP, CSCO, GSK, INTC, KBH, NOC, TM)

You do not get too many instances where stocks rally for six straight days. This unofficial verdict was up on the day for a seventh day, but this was a sloppy rally today that literally came down to the closing bell. Earnings season got off to a good start, but weak retail data and a lowered 2010 economic recovery target out of the FOMC Minutes took away the gains that were in place earlier today. The good news is that the fears of a double dip recession seem to have been overdone.

Here were today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow 10,366.72 +3.70 (0.04%)
S&P 500 1,095.17 -0.17 (-0.02%)
Nasdaq 2,249.84 +7.81 (0.35%)

Top Analyst Calls

Continue reading Closing Bell: A Rally Fizzles (BP, CSCO, GSK, INTC, KBH, NOC, TM)

Short Sellers Piling on Forest Laboratories

Short sellers are starting to pile on Forest Laboratories (FRX), and the drug manufacturer may not be able to sustain the bearish weight. Short interest on Forest has jumped 410.4%, or 14,253,017 shares -- rising from a previous short-interest level of 3,473,213 shares to the current level of 17,726,230 shares -- during the past few weeks.

Based on the average trading volume for Forest, it will take short sellers 4 days to cover their short positions if they wanted to completely reverse their trades. Seeing a jump in short interest like this is a clear indication there is a growing number of traders out there who believe Forest is going to be moving lower in the near future. In fact, it shows they believe it enough to put their money where their mouth is.

Continue reading Short Sellers Piling on Forest Laboratories

Wall Street Ignoring Big Pharma -- Should You?

In its weekend edition, Barron's Andrew Bary wonders whether Big Pharma's punishment on Wall Street has gone too far. The sector has fallen out of favor with Wall Street and now has one of the lowest price/earnings ratios of any major sector of the stock market, Bary writes.

Investors are staying away from the large pharmaceutical companies ahead of their looming patent cliff, when blockbuster drugs like Lipitor, Plavix and Singulair lose patent protection and lose most of the sales from these drugs to generics. Investors also fear the companies don't have enough new drugs in the pipeline to make up for the lost sales, which could mean big hits to earnings.

But when the Street writes off one of the world's most important industries and with valuations at all-time lows, investors ought to take notice, Bary says. Especially when the average dividend yield of the big drugmakers is 4.8%.

Continue reading Wall Street Ignoring Big Pharma -- Should You?

Analyst Calls: BMY, FSLR, GSK, LGF, MHS, PVH, SAI, SU, WAG, X ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • Barclays upgraded GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) to overweight from equal weight and said investor concerns regarding Advair and Avandia are overdone.
  • Leerink upgraded Bristol-Myers (BMY) to outperform from market perform, citing management's pipeline execution. Shares were also upgraded at Citigroup this morning to buy from hold.
  • Goldman upgraded Medco Health (MHS) to buy from neutral and raised its price target on shares to $76 from $67. The firm cites valuation and expectations that earnings will accelerate in 2H10 driven by a stronger generic outlook.
  • U.S. Steel (X) was upgraded to neutral from sell at UBS.
  • Blyth (BTH) was upgraded to hold from underperform at Jefferies.
  • IPC The Hospitalist Co. (IPCM) was upgraded to buy from hold at Deutsche Bank.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: BMY, FSLR, GSK, LGF, MHS, PVH, SAI, SU, WAG, X ...

Analyst Calls: AZO, CCL, CSIQ, DE, GSK, JPM, NILE, RCL, RL, THC, VQ ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • UBS upgraded JPMorgan (JPM) to buy from neutral and has a $50 price target on the stock. The firm cites valuation for the upgrade.
  • Morgan Joseph upgraded Deere (DE) to buy from hold, citing strong U.S. demand for combines and tractors, favorable fundamentals in Brazil, and expectations for improved domestic construction-equipment demand. The firm has a $75 price target on the stock.
  • Wells Fargo upgraded Venoco (VQ) to outperform from market perform to reflect increased confidence in the company's Monterey Shale potential.
  • GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) was upgraded to buy from hold at Jefferies.
  • Tenet Healthcare (THC) was upgraded to positive from neutral at Susquehanna.
  • Agnico-Eagle (AEM) was upgraded to outperform from sector perform at RBC Capital.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: AZO, CCL, CSIQ, DE, GSK, JPM, NILE, RCL, RL, THC, VQ ...

GlaxoSmithKline Hurt by Generic Valtrex Approval

GlaxoSmithKline GSK logoGlaxoSmithKline (GSK - option chain) stock is trading lower Wednesday after competitor Mylan (MYL) received approval to start selling a generic form of GSK's herpes drug Valtrex. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on GSK.

Wednesday morning, GSK opened at $32.62. So far today the stock has hit a high of $32.91 and a low of $32.52. As of 11:30, GSK is trading at $32.58, down $0.34 (-1.0%). The chart for GSK looks neutral and S&P gives GSK a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.

Continue reading GlaxoSmithKline Hurt by Generic Valtrex Approval

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 10, 2012: 09:25 PM

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