hedge fund posts

Feed

Newspaper wrap-up: Fnac in talks to sell iPhone in France

MAJOR PAPERS:
  • The Wall Street Journal's "Heard on the Street" reported that VCG Special Opportunities Master Fund, a $58M asset hedge fund which is owned by an investment firm that also owns a Puerto Rican investment bank, is separately suing Citigroup Incorporated (NYSE: C) and Wachovia Corporation (NYSE: WB) for requiring it to pay money from "credit default swaps" as the value of mortgage backed bonds fell.
OTHER PAPERS:
  • In an attempt to cut back its growth plans due to higher fuel costs, AirTran Holdings Inc (NYSE: AAI) CEO Bob Fornaro said the Orlando-based airline will sell two jets next month. The Orlando Sentinel reported that record fuel costs could also impact AirTran's negotiations with its pilots union.
  • Fnac is in talks with Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL) to sell the iPhone in France, Le Figaro reported. The head of PPR SA's Fnac Chain, Denis Olivennes, said France Telecom's (NYSE: FTE) exclusivity rights for the iPhone in France are "inadmissible."
WEB SITES:
  • Bloomberg reported that the head of Dubai International Capital, Sameer al-Ansari, said that as losses increase from the subprime mortgage market turmoil, Citigroup may need additional capital from outside investors.

Newspaper wrap-up: American Capital Strategies tied to Baxter's Heparin generic problems

MAJOR PAPERS:
  • The Wall Street Journal reported that the focus of reports of four deaths and 350 allergic reactions to Baxter International Inc's (NYSE: BAX) generic version of the blood thinner drug Heparin, and the ingredients supplied by a Chinese manufacturer, also includes Wisconsin-based Scientific Protein Laboratories, a co-owner of the Chinese manufacturing plant, and majority owned by American Capital Strategies Ltd (NASDAQ: ACAS), a Maryland buyout firm.
  • Citigroup Incorporated (NYSE: C) has suspended investors at its CSO Partners hedge fund from withdrawing their money after they attempted to pull more than 30% of the fund's nearly $500M in assets, the Wall Street Journal reported.
  • AT&T Inc (NYSE: T) is seeking more revenue from India as it tries to expand its consumer mobile phone operations outside the U.S, the Financial Times reported.
OTHER PAPERS:
  • According to the New York Times, the FDA broke its own rules by approving for sale Baxter International's Heparin without first inspecting a Chinese plant where the drug's key ingredient is made.

Fishing for returns... and coming up empty

Experienced fishermen know that sometimes the fishing is good -- and sometimes, it ain't.

Bloomberg reports on Mark Fishman, a famed bond trader previously with SAC Capital. His main fund, Sailfish Capital Partners LLC, has lost about half its assets since July because of soured investments and clients pulling money, according to two investors, cited in the article.

Fishman, 47, Sailfish's investment chief, left SAC in March 2005. After losing more than 12% in August, clients pulled about $400 million from Fishman's Multi-Strat fund this month alone, cutting assets to $980 million. Bloomberg cites increased mortgage defaults and credit markets seizing up as two reasons hampering performance at Sailfish.

I wrote recently about former Fed Chairman, Alan Greenspan, joining up with a leading hedge fund. Maybe Alan's looking to catch a few bond-trading fish to join him.

Zack Miller is the Managing Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com and a former equity analyst for a leading multinational hedge fund.

Newspaper wrap-up: Apple in talks with DoCoMo for iPhone in Japan

MAJOR PAPERS:
  • Looking to enter the Japanese market, sources familiar with the matter said that Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL) CEO Steve Jobs recently met with NTT DoCoMo Inc (NYSE: DCM) to discuss a deal to offer its iPhone, the Wall Street Journal reported.
  • Nike Inc (NYSE: NKE) is in talks with Mike Ashley to try and persuade the entrepreneur to not block its £285M takeover offer for Umbro, the Financial Times reported.
OTHER PAPERS:
WEB SITES:
  • According to two people familiar with the fund, The Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE: GS) is looking to start Goldman Sachs Investment Partners, its newest stock hedge fund, with as much as $10B, Bloomberg reported.

Is it time to jump into financial stocks?

Historically, when the Fed has started cutting rates, investing in financial stocks has proven profitable for investors. Will the same hold true in today's easing cycle? Probably not.

The Bear Stearns (NYSE: BSC) model for its mortgage business might point to problems ahead for the financial industry in general. The financial services industry has done an outstanding job during the past twenty years developing new products and marketing them to institutions who specialize in buying these new instruments -- primarily hedge funds. With mortgage hedge funds, publicly traded vehicles such as mortgage REITs and other investors now shutting their doors to these products, who gets stuck with them? You guessed it! The investment firms and large commercial banks.

Now let's go to $300 billion of private equity debt that needs to be placed. Who is buying that up? While some institutions are, much of it is staying on the books of the investment firms and banks. Will funds be formed to invest in this debt? Yes, but it will take time.

Continue reading Is it time to jump into financial stocks?

Sears' (SHLD) Lampert pressured by activist investor William Ackman

Sears Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ: SHLD) the hedge fund ... err, retail chain headed by hedge fund star Eddie Lampert, may see renewed pressure to sell off some it its valuable real estate soon. Notable activist investor William Ackman will see to it, as his fund, Pershing Square Capital Management, has acquired five million shares of the retailer. Mr. Ackman, who battled Lampert last year for control over Sears Canada, is set to have another celebrity deathmatch with him again soon, I'd suspect.

It's no surprise to anyone that Lampert's real mission with Sears Holdings is not the operational efficiency (or even profit) of the retail side of things; that's just a side mission probably talked about a few minutes at each board meeting. What Lampert did with Sears was to make it a holding company -- but the truth is, he owns so much of it that Ackman's potential advances may be akin to ascending a steep hill with slippery shoes on his feet. The New York Post even says that Ackman's buy-in was for "a long term investment" more than any moves to get Sears on the property-unloading trail.

Still, Ackman's purchase makes him the fourth-largest SHLD shareholder, and it's hard to imagine him wanting those shares for some kind of "long term investment" -- it just doesn't suit Ackman's profile at all. He's said before that the combined value of Sears' real estate is valued more than Lampert's $22 billion figure, and that difference provides a nice "cushion" should the retail end of things continue to falter. Sears' retail operations are going nowhere these days since there appears to be little direction to that end of the business. I submit that Ackman wants to break it all up and sell some real estate, Gekko-style. That, or he does not deserve the title 'activist investor.'

Option update: Goldman (GS), Morgan (MS), Bear (BSC) & Lehman (LEH) EPS, Risk Outlook

Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) volatility Elevated into EPS, Risk Exposure & Outlook. GS is expected to report EPS on 9/20. Wachovia Corp.(NYSE:WB) say's "Lack of mortgage and Chinese exposure distinguish GS." GS September option implied volatility is at 50; October is at 45; above its 26-week average of 35 according to Track Data, suggesting larger risk.

Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) MS is expected to report EPS on 9/19. MS September option implied volatility is at 48; October is at 41; above its 26-week average of 33 according to Track Data, suggesting larger risk.

Bear Stearns (NYSE: BSC) is expected to report EPS on 9/20. Aquarian Investments holds a 6.97% stake in BSC for investment purposes. BSC Chairman & CEO James Cayne is 72. BSC Chairman of Executive committee Alan Greenberg is 79. WB say's BSC "shares are currently 1.2x book value compared to its historical average of 1.6x." BSC September option implied volatility is at 71; October is at 63; is above its 26-week average of 43 according to Track Data, suggesting large price movement.

Lehman Brothers (NYSE: LEH) is expected to report 3rd quarter EPS on 9/18. WCHV say's LEH's "Q3 started strong but ended real weak." LEH September option implied volatility is at 76; October is at 62; above its 26-week average of 40 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price risk.


Judgment day for hedge fund managers

Hedge fund managers are all afraid of one day each month -- the 15th. For the normal American this day doesn't signify much. But for fund managers this is the last day when hedge fund investors can redeem (withdraw) their money from hedge funds.

According to a New York Times article, credit funds and quantitative funds are expected to be the ones hardest hit by redemptions. The reason for this is simple to understand: many credit funds had subprime exposure and were hit hard due to drastic repricing in the subprime market and quantitative funds, notorious for group thinking, were hit hard when volatility spiked and funds were forced to begin closing their positions creating a death spiral in their positions.

Experts expect "hot money" such as funds of hedge funds based in Switzerland to be the first to withdraw money and move into less-leveraged funds according to the Financial Times.

In response to these fears, some managers are even prohibiting redemptions from their funds because it would force the funds to sell their positions at a steep discount. One such fund is Sentinel Management Group as the Associated Press reported here.

Today could be a make or break day for many hedge fund managers, especially those with a concentrated investor base.

Poor performers to explain themselves

The Wall Street Journal is reporting [subscription required] that poorly-performing 'quant fund' managers will be forced to explain their recent poor performance to investors in their funds beginning this week. Despite normally remaining quite secretive and under-the-radar, many of these fund managers are being forced to hold conference calls in order to save the reputation of the firms they work for.

All of the negative news from investment bank-owned hedge funds such as that from Bear Stearns (NYSE: BSC), Barclays (NYSE: BCS) , and Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) points to significant risks in the asset management business. When times are good, profits and positive news from the hedge fund businesses inside these investment banks is plentiful. But when times begin turning bad, as they seem to be now, the risk of destroying a firm's reputation is quietly intertwined with any signs of poor performance.

Investors need to now be extra careful before investing in the financials. Derivatives exposure, topping private equity activity, hedge fund risks, and subprime vulnerability are all uncertainties and potential sources of destruction that need to be remembered before purchasing these stocks.

Quantitative hedge funds take their hits

Barron's [subscription required] revealed some scary statistics about this week's carnage. The smartest of the smart are finding that their computer models are telling them to do the wrong things at the moment of maximum peril. As a result, The Goldman Sachs Group's (NYSE: GS) $8 billion Global Alpha hedge fund is down 26% so far this year and the $26 billion Renaissance Institutional Equities Fund -- run by the $1.7 billion (2006 compensation) man, James Simons -- has fallen 8.7% so far this month.

What is going on? The computer models that run these funds don't model what is happening now -- a simultaneous dash to liquidate by all their peers. Statistical factor-based quantitative models -- which weight dozens of valuation, growth, and momentum variables to create long/short portfolios -- have attracted many competitors.

Their models broke in recent weeks as volatility surged, leverage was cut back, heavily shorted stocks went up and statistically cheaper shares cracked. One anonymous manager said "There is this unknown risk, when there are enough people doing what you do, that when some of them have to unwind and they start unwinding -- you are just going to get crushed. And that's not in the model anywhere."

Continue reading Quantitative hedge funds take their hits

Ex-Amaranth trader whines that investigation hurts his new fund

According to today's Wall Street Journal, "Brian Hunter, whose bad bets triggered the collapse of hedge fund Amaranth Advisors LLC, says a federal investigation into his possible involvement in an alleged multibillion-dollar manipulation of the natural-gas markets is hurting the start-up of his new fund venture."

The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission has been investigating the firm and Hunter while he tries to launch his new fund, Solengo Capital Advisers.

DealBreaker sums up Hunter's whining pretty well: "Yes, Brian, up until now, everything was going swimmingly for Huntengo. Until this. Yes, yes, THIS is the thing that will ruin Huntego's reputation. Not that bit of bad luck at Amaranth, not the less-than-stellar reference from Nick Maounis, or that TAKE NO PRISONERS lawsuit launched against a blog, no, no, it's THIS. Do you hear yourself talk? Carney might kill you tonight."

In other news, Michael Vick is upset that his new puppy-training class isn't doing well because of negative publicity in the media. Jeff Skilling says his pesky orange jumpsuit is interfering with his efforts to revive Enron.

More bad news to come for brokerage firms

Our forecast predicting tough times ahead for the brokerage stocks is proving true, with most of the firms' stock prices declining nicely over the past month. However, there is probably more to come and no need to do any bottom fishing quite yet.

Bear Stearns Companies Inc.'s (NYSE: BSC) affiliated hedge fund, the book value of which was wiped out in three months, will not go away quickly as the lawsuits begin. Bear will claim all the transactions were arm's length, the claimants will say otherwise. From an investment perspective, it doesn't matter who is correct, it will simply take a long time.

While Bear was setting up conveniently structured hedge funds to invest in mortgages and other leveraged vehicles, other large brokerage firms began buying up mortgage origination businesses as the mortgage market was topping. These mortgage transactions were most likely done to conceal a rapidly slowing business in 2005 and 2006 or cover up losses that might have begun piling up. Look for this to lead to another leg down for brokerage stocks.

As the details come out, the Bear Stearns affiliated hedge fund had $925 million in capital at the end of March which was invested in $30 billion of debt instruments, not too much room for a mistake. If Bear was doing it, I will bet you other firms were also.

We have been blogging most of the year to be careful investing in brokerage stocks. From Merrill Lynch & Co Inc.'s (NYSE: MER) top executives dumping huge amounts of stock earlier in the year to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS) generating huge profit growth from proprietary trading with not much growth in its transaction businesses, this is one sector to continue to avoid.

Hedge fund clones: Who are they for?

The Wall Street Journal is reporting on the development of the hedge fund clone concept being created by big Wall Street firms. These clones basically try to earn the returns of hedge funds without paying the normal 2/20 fee structure.

For those unfamiliar with it, 2/20 refers to an annual "management fee" of 2% and a performance ("incentive") fee of 20%. When compared to any index fund, and even mutual funds, these fees seem ridiculous. However, there are many funds in the hedge fund industry that do in fact justify these fees.

The goal of these funds is basically to mirror the hedge fund index, or a group of hedge funds pooled together to be more diversified than investing in a single hedge fund. While this strategy has its benefits in reducing volatility and the chance of a blow-up, it also has its downsides. According to my friend James Altucher, fund of funds manager and president of StockPickr.com:

"Hedge fund clones are fine because they are all mediocre (i.e., like the average hedge fund). The real reason to go into hedge funds is to find the next SAC."

Basically, the returns of the "clones" will not match the returns of the best and brightest hedge funds on the street, such as SAC, Moore, or Tudor.

While this seems like an interesting proposition, the minimum investments remain very high at this point so the concept doesn't really bring much to the table for investors who are not accredited. As the WSJ said, this seems like another investment for the yacht-club set.

Lehman Brothers, brokerages get insult and injury

Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LEH) opened at $71.40. So far today the stock has hit a low of $70.69 and a high of $72.38. As of 11:00, LEH is trading at $71.07, down $1.99 (-2.7%).

After hitting a one year high of $86.18 in February, the stock has slipped to trade in the mid- to low-$70's over the past few months. A Punk Ziegel analyst cut his ratings on the top 5 US brokerage firms to sell after news came of a second hedge fund implosion at Bear Stearns (NYSE: BSC). Lehman, Bear Stearns, Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS), Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE: GS), and Merrill Lynch & Co. (NYSE: MER) all received downgrades, and shares across the financial sector are suffering. Recent technical indicators for LEH have been bearish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) buy rating.

For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an October bear-call credit spread above the $90 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk and leverage returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 4.2% return in just 3 months as long as LEH is below $90 at October expiration. LEH would have to rise by 25% before we would start to lose money.

LEH has never been above $90 and has shown resistance around $74 recently. This trade could be risky if the company's earnings (due out in mid-September) surprise to the upside, but even if that happens, this stock could have trouble getting over $85, where it topped out in January.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in LEH, BSC, GS, MS, or MER.

Newspaper wrap-up 7-18-07: Bear Stearns calls its two subprime hedge funds worthless

MAJOR PAPERS:
OTHER PAPERS:
  • Kohlberg Kravis Roberts is planning to offer $24M to acquire Macy's Inc (NYSE: M), according to Women's Wear Daily (subscription required).
  • The U.K. Times reported that Barclays plc (NYSE: BCS) has deided against raising its bid for ABN Amro Holdings (NYSE: ABN).
  • Honda Motor Co. (NYSE: HMC) is increasing its production capacity in North America and in other places, in order to meet growing demand for its fuel-efficient cars and to maintain momentum for global growth, reported the Associated Press.

< Previous Page | Next Page >

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-74.9212,454.83
NASDAQ-1.852,837.53
S&P 500-2.861,317.82

Last updated: May 28, 2012: 03:40 PM

Hot Stocks

General Electric

19.20-0.05(-0.26)

Alcoa

8.630.00(0.00)

Apple Inc

562.29-3.03(-0.54)

Google Inc 'A'

591.53-12.13(-2.01)

Bank of America

7.15+0.01(+0.14)

Wal-Mart Stores

65.31+0.24(+0.37)

Exxon Mobil Corp

82.08-0.53(-0.64)

Ford

10.60+0.01(+0.09)

Citigroup

26.47-0.19(-0.71)

IBM

194.30-1.79(-0.91)

Yahoo

15.36+0.01(+0.07)

Starbucks

54.56-0.20(-0.37)

Microsoft

29.06-0.01(-0.03)

Home Depot

49.44-0.27(-0.54)

DailyFinance Headlines

AOL Business News

BioHealth Investor Headlines

Sponsored Links

My Portfolios

Track your stocks here!

Find out why more people track their portfolios on AOL Money & Finance then anywhere else.

BloggingStocks Partners

More from AOL Money & Finance

Page Loaded in 1338234044966 ms.