- Research In Motion (RIMM) to buy from sell and Gap (GPS) to hold from sell at Citigroup.
- Archer Daniels (ADM) and Airgas (ARG) to buy from hold at Jefferies.
- NCR Corp. (NCR) to conviction buy from neutral at Goldman.
- Valero Energy (VLO) to top pick from sector perform and Western Refining (WNR) to outperform from underperform at RBC Capital.
- Fred's (FRED) to overweight from neutral at JP Morgan.
- Marsh & McLennan (MMC), Willis Group (WSH) and Brown & Brown (BRO) to equal weight from underweight at Barclays.
- Host Hotels (HST) to outperform from neutral at RW Baird.
- La-Z-Boy (LZB) to strong buy from market perform at Raymond James.
hoc posts
FeedAnalyst Calls: ADM, BBY, ETN, FDO, HNZ, GPS, MAR, NCR, RIMM, VLO ...
Continue reading Analyst Calls: ADM, BBY, ETN, FDO, HNZ, GPS, MAR, NCR, RIMM, VLO ...
Analyst Calls: ADSK, ATK, BCS, GENZ, H, ROCK, SFD, UL, VIA ...
- Credit Suisse upgraded Alliant Techsystems (ATK) to outperform from neutral following the company's increased FY11 guidance. The firm has an $85 target on the stock.
- FBR Capital upgraded Hyatt Hotels (H) to market perform from underperform following the company's Q2 results. The firm raised its target for shares to $44 from $38.
- BB&T upgraded to Smithfield Foods (SFD) to buy from hold, citing tighter supplies, strong pork prices and improving export demand. The firm has a $19 target on the stock.
- Holly (HOC) was upgraded to outperform from market perform at BMO Capital.
- Cogent Communications (CCOI) was upgraded to outperform from neutral at Cowen.
- Catalyst Health (CHSI) was upgraded to overweight from equal weight at First Analysis.
Continue reading Analyst Calls: ADSK, ATK, BCS, GENZ, H, ROCK, SFD, UL, VIA ...
Analyst Calls: CVC, DWA, ED, EW, LULU, MWW, NRGY, PPL, TYN, UL ...
- Stifel views shares of DreamWorks (DWA) as oversold and believes investors are too pessimistic on recent films. The firm upgraded shares to buy from hold and has a $35 target on the stock.
- JPMorgan upgraded Consolidated Edison (ED) to neutral from underweight based on EPS visibility. The firm raised its price target to $45 from $37.
- Soleil upgraded PPL Corp. (PPL) to buy from hold following the 90M share secondary last night that was priced at $24. The firm sees improving earnings visibility and a removal of the equity overhang for the upgrade. The firm has a $29 price target on the stock.
- Unilever (UL) was upgraded to neutral from underperform at Credit Suisse.
- Holly (HOC) was upgraded to buy from neutral at BofA/Merrill.
- Bebe Stores (BEBE) was upgraded to neutral from underperform at Cowen.
- Oppenheimer upgraded Monster Worldwide (MWW) to outperform from perform.
Continue reading Analyst Calls: CVC, DWA, ED, EW, LULU, MWW, NRGY, PPL, TYN, UL ...
Analyst Calls: BP, EV, JBHT, SY, TIF, UPS, XOM, ZION ...
- Piper Jaffray upgraded UPS (UPS) to overweight from neutral with a $79 price target following the company's better-than-expected Q1 results.
- SunTrust believs Zions Bancorp's (ZION) tangible book value is around $20/share, making any future capital raise not as dilutive as the firm previously expected. The firm upgraded shares to buy from neutral and has a $26 target on the stock.
- FBR Capital upgraded J.B. Hunt (JBHT) to outperform from market perform following the company's better-than-expected Q1 results. The firm raised its target price for shares to $43 from $40.
- American Superconductor (AMSC) was upgraded to buy from hold at Deutsche Bank.
- BP (BP) was upgraded to outperform from neutral at Credit Suisse.
- Global Payments (GPN) was upgraded to outperform from market perform at Wells Fargo.
Continue reading Analyst Calls: BP, EV, JBHT, SY, TIF, UPS, XOM, ZION ...
Holly Corp. (HOC): A 'potential double'
"Holly Corp. (HOC), an independent petroleum refiner gave a solid 'Buy' signal a little over two months ago and appears poised to continue moving a lot higher," suggests Mike Turner, editor of the newly-launched advisory service, Mastering the Markets.
"Holly Corp. is my top-ranked 'Doubler' -- my list of stocks with the potential to double in price. With regard to HOC's fundamentals, I like the following:
"First, Holly has delivered impressive year-over-year earnings growth of +34.8%. I also look at multi-year (3 to 5 years) average earnings growth, as this tells me if a particular company has long-term staying power. In this case, HOC has delivered exceptional five-year average earnings growth of +25.7%.
Analyst downgrades: GS, LEH and AMTD
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Goldman Sachs, Lehman and TD AmeriTrade were today's noteworthy downgrades:- UBS downgraded Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) to Neutral from Buy. The firm believes liquidity problems and de-leveraging in the capital markets will get worst before they get better; UBS also downgraded Bank of New York (NYSE: BK), State Street (NYSE: STT) and Invesco (NYSE: IVZ) to Neutral from Buy.
- Following Bear Stearns' (NYSE: BSC) downfall, UBS also downgraded Lehman Brothers (NYSE: LEH) to Neutral from Buy and said the company could be the "next on the list" for the confidence/liquidity crisis by some investors.
- TD AmeriTrade (NASDAQ: AMTD) was downgraded to Neutral from buy at UBS and to Market Perform from Outperform at Friedman Billings. Friedman Billings downgraded TD Ameritrade citing slowing client activity as well as margin compression.
Analyst upgrades: Lukoil, ENI SpA and Meritage
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Lukoil, ENI SpA and Meritage were today's noteworthy upgrades:- Citigroup upgraded shares of Lukoil (OTC: LUKOY) to Buy from Hold on valuation, as they believe the company's oil production, refineries and gas stations outside of Russia are not priced into shares.
- ABN Amro raised ENI SpA (NYSE: E) to Hold from Sell after a meeting with management.
- Meritage (NYSE: MTH) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS on strong results.
- Morgan Stanley upgraded Corporate Executive (NASDAQ: EXBD) to Equal Weight from Underweight.
- Trico Marine Services (NASDAQ: TRMA) was upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Lehman.
- Holly Corp. (NYSE: HOC) was raised to Outperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital.
Analyst upgrades: Heartland Payment, Holly Corp., Buckeye Technologies
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Heartland Payment, Holly Corp and Buckeye Technologies were today's noteworthy upgrades:- Heartland Payment (NYSE: HPY) was upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Baird on valuation.
- Holly Corp. (NYSE: HOC) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS on valuation.
- UBS also upgraded Buckeye Technologies (NYSE: BKI) to Buy from Sell on valuation and stabilizing fundamentals.
- TAM SA (NYSE: TAM) was upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley.
- Bear Stearns raised MasterCard (NYSE: MA) to Outperform from Peer Perform.
- Keefe Bruyette upgraded Hancock Holding (NASDAQ: HBHC) to Outperform from Market Perform.
Analyst upgrades: U.S refiners, RIGL and JBLU
MOST NOTEWORTHY: U.S. refiners, Rigel Pharma and JetBlue were today's noteworthy upgrades:- Goldman upgraded the U.S. Refiners to Attractive from Neutral, citing valuations; the firm raised its rating on CVR Energy (NYSE:CVI) and Holly Corp (NYSE:HOC) to Buy from Neutral.
- Lehman upgraded shares of Rigel Pharma (NASDAQ:RIGL) to Overweight from Equal Weight following the company's positive R788 data.
- Bear Stearns said the Lufthansa (DLAKY) investment gives JetBlue (NASDAQ:JBLU) some breathing room to execute on its turnaround but notes the company's long-term strategy remains in question. Bear raised its rating on JetBlue to Peer Perform from Underperform.
- UBS upgraded Disney (NYSE:DIS) to Buy from Neutral.
- Wachovia upgraded Jack in the Box (NYSE:JBX) to Outperform from Market Perform.
- Jefferies upgraded United Online (NASDAQ:UNTD) to Buy from Hold.
Analyst initiations: VNR, FUQI and ULTA
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Vanguard National Resources, Fuqi and Ulta Salon were today's noteworthy initiations: - Vanguard National (NYSE: VNR) was initiated at Jefferies with a Buy rating and $19 target, citing the company's yield premium to other MLPs, and at Wachovia with an Outperform rating on valuation and yield.
- Merriman believes Fuqi (NASDAQ: FUQI) strong brand and established wholesale distribution will drive increasing market share of China's jewelry market. The firm started shares with a Buy rating.
- William Blair resumed coverage of Ulta Salon (NASDAQ: ULTA) with an Outperform rating, as they believed the company's modest current market share and unique offering brings considerable opportunities to take further share from traditional department stores.
- Goldman initiated Akzo Nobel (OTC: AKZOY) with a Buy rating and Holly Corp. (NYSE: HOC) with a Neutral rating and $63 target.
- CVR Energy (NYSE: CVI) was started with a Neutral rating and $27 target at Goldman and with a Buy rating and $27 target at Citigroup.
Big block buyers bet on oil services
The Block Traders' Oil & Gold Monitor is a unique newsletter that focuses on big block trading activity by institutional buyers. Through a sophisticated analysis of market maker hedge positions, editor Peter Way determines forecasted gains for specific sectors and stocks. Here, he looks at some current market maker favorites in the oil & gas industry.
Peter Way explains, "The reality for crude oil price expectations are reflected by hedging on some $85 billion of crude oil future contracts. Every month in 2008 sees enough likelihood of prices at $80 and above to cause a brisk business in insurance at those levels. In short, the crude oil price picture is one of stability to strength from high levels. As with any natural resource, it's always safer to bet on shortage than oversupply."
Looking at big market maker activity in individual stocks and stocks, the advisor adds, "The value buildup in Exploration & Production companies is clearly already under way and is likely to continue. Expect to see E&P companies acquired by the major integrated companies. Expect to see Oilfield Services companies kept very busy as supply continuity issues grow more severe."
Block Traders: Exploring for oil explorers
In his Block Traders Oil & Gold Monitor, advisor Peter Way follows hedge fund and block traders to find stocks with the best prospects.
He explains, "When we look at the guys hedging trades in crude oil futures, it tells us they see far more upside for crude than downside."
Meanwhile, he adds, it looks like the oilpatch stocks should continue in a favorable environment. He notes that many attractive investment prospects are to be found in the smaller independent oil exploration and production (E&P) stocks.
The advisor explains, "These are typically companies that have their own reserves in the ground, and benefit from the industry's supply/demand imbalance situation like the majors. They may acquire each other or be acquired by major producers as the need for and value of reserves becomes even more obvious and pressing in the future."
Among those that appear to have better potential, he believes, are Holly Corp. (NYSE: HOC), along with Tesoro (NYSE: TSO). He observes that both are benefiting from a long-term inadequacy of refining capacity in the US.
Peter Way adds, "Their current value is not in reserves, but in a fattening of profit margins in the process chain from upstream operations (reserves and extraction) to downstream (refining and distribution)."
Overall, he notes, "Given the worldwide energy reserves shortage and the high crude and natural gas prices it engenders, this fattening is not likely to be a temporary condition."
Each day, Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com features the latest investment ideas and market commentary from the financial newsletter community.
Block traders target oil exploration and production stocks
In his Block Trader Oil & Gas, Peter Way follows the big hedge funds and market makers to find out what they are doing. Here's a look at his top oil plays.
He observes, "The hedgers at the NYMEX are protecting their crude oil positions in ways that indicate they see continuing upward pressure on prices."
Based on this hedging activity, he states, "The outlook for the next 12 expiration months that the by major players at the crude oil table suggest little lasting price weakness, and a general level prevailing above $70 over the remainder of the year."
What are the best stocks to buy to bet on the trend for firm oil prices? To decide, Peter Way looks at the buying patterns of market makers -- the big boys on the trading floor.
From their positions, he notes, "Among the large oil producers, China's CNOOC, Ltd. (NYSE: CEO), Canadian Natural Resources, Ltd. (NYSE: CNQ), and Suncor Energy (NYSE: SU) all combine historically strong odds and payoffs."
In addition, he notes positive market maker activity among oil exploration & production stocks. He explains, "With significant quantities of low-cost reserves already found, and prospects for additional finds tied up, these companies inevitably will get acquired by bigger producers whose customer demands exceed their yearly reserve findings."
For many, he says, it's just a matter of time. Notable stocks in the stock, he adds, are Holly Corp. (NYSE: HOC), Carrizo Oil & Gas (NASDAQ: CRZO), Range Resources (NYSE: RRC), Southwest Energy (NYSE: SWN), Ultra Petroleum (NYSE: UPL), and Talisman Energy (NYSE: TLM).
For more stock picks from the leading financial newsletter advisors, visit Steven Halpern's free daily website, TheStockAdvisors.com.
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