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Market highlights for next week: April sales results coming out

Monday, May 5
  • Happy Cinco de Mayo!
  • Day one of the two-day FDA Anesthetic/Life Support Drugs & Drug Safety/Risk Management Advisory Committees meeting: Purdue Pharma's NDA for Oxycontin.
  • Anadarko Petroleum (NYSE:APC) to report Q1 earnings; conference call Tuesday at 10:00am.
Tuesday, May 6
  • Day two of the two-day FDA Anesthetic/Life Support Drugs & Drug Safety/Risk Mgmt Advisory Committees meeting: Cephalon's (NASDAQ:CEPH) sNDA for Fentora.
  • Molson Coors (NYSE:TAP) to report Q1 earnings; conference call at 12:00pm.
  • Walt Disney Company (NYSE:DIS) to report Q2 earnings; conference call at 4:30pm.
Wednesday, May 7
Thursday, May 8
Friday, May 9

Market highlights for next week: Alcoa to report earnings

Monday, April 7
  • PDUFA date for Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. (NYSE: BMY)'s supplemental Biologics License Application for Orencia for the treatment of Juvenile Rheumatoid Arthritis.
  • Alcoa Inc. (NYSE: AA) to report Q1 earnings; conference call at 5pm.
Tuesday, April 8
  • Chattem Inc. (NASDAQ: CHTT) to report Q1 earnings; conference call at 9:00am.
  • FOMC to release minutes of the March 18th meeting at 2:00pm.
  • Embraer-Empr Bras Aeronautica (ADR) (NYSE: ERJ) conference call to announce new midsize & midlight executive jet concepts at 6:00pm.

Continue reading Market highlights for next week: Alcoa to report earnings

Market highlights for next week: Texas Instruments to hold mid-quarter update

Monday, March 10

Tuesday, March 11

Wednesday, March 12

  • FDA Oncologic Drugs Advisory Committee Meeting on Schering-Plough Corp.'s (NYSE: SGP) sBLA for Pegintronfor treatment of melanoma at 8:00 am.
  • Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) to host analyst/investor meeting at 8:30 am.
  • Hot Topic (NASDAQ: HOTT) to report Q4 earnings; conference call at 4:30 pm.

Continue reading Market highlights for next week: Texas Instruments to hold mid-quarter update

Analyst downgrades: ERIC, CC and HOTT

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Ericsson, Circuit City and Hot Topic were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Societe Generale downgraded shares of Ericsson (NASDAQ: ERIC) to Hold from Buy after the company lowered its Q4 guidance. Goldman Sachs downgraded shares to Neutral from Buy on the company's lowered Q4 revenue outlook and the growing probability that the wireless infrastructure market will decline again in 2008.
  • Circuit City (NYSE: CC)'s rating was lowered to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan, as they believe the company's high cost turnaround will require a strategic partner or acquirer, which may not happen until after 2H08 and this year's holiday season.
  • Citigroup downgraded shares of Hot Topic (NASDAQ: HOTT) to Hold from Buy to reflect their pushed out expectations for an earnings recovery.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:

Market highlights for next week: Yahoo CEO to testify before Congress

Monday, November 5
Tuesday, November 6
  • Merrill Lynch to host conference call discussing Focus Media's (NASDAQ: FMCN) secondary offering at 11am.
  • Yahoo (NASDAQ: YHOO) CEO Jerry Yang, Senior VP Michael Callahan & General Counsel to testify before the House Foreign Affairs Committee on how their company gave false information to Congress relating to their role in a human rights case in China which resulted in a journalist being sent to jail for 10 years.
Wednesday, November 7
Thursday, November 8
Friday, November 9

Market highlights for next week: YUM, AA, COST, PEP to report

Monday October 8
  • PDUFA date for Theravance Inc's (NASDAQ: THRX) Telavancin for complicated skin and soft tissue infections caused by gram-positive bacteria
Tuesday October 9
Wednesday October 10
Thursday October 11
Friday October 12

Market highlights for next week: Ford (F) to report monthly sales

Monday September 3
  • Markets closed for Labor Day holiday.
Tuesday September 4
Wednesday September 5
Thursday September 6
Friday September 7
  • I did not see anything to compelling going on today, please leave a note in the comments section if you think I missed something.

Big share buyback at Hot Topic (HOTT)

Hot Topic Inc (NASDAQ: HOTT), the trendy retailer with a downward trending stock price, announced last night that it is buying back $40 million of stock, roughly 11% of the company's value.

As we blogged in early July, the retailer is way off from its $30 high and is now selling for $8.15. The sagging stock price has attracted SAC Capital, which accumulated 5.1% of Hot Topic stock, or 2.3 million shares.

We blogged about the merits of bottom fishing in this retailer, but proved a bit early as investors dumped retail stocks on weak economic data and concerns about the subprime market hit the headlines. Hot Topic also got hit due to Take-Two Interactive Software Inc (NASDAQ: TTWO) delaying the launch of Grand Theft Auto 4, as the introduction of new game consoles is thought to have boosted Hot Topic's results in the past.

Hot Topic has a clean balance sheet and a second concept, Torrid, which provides plus-size fashion-forward apparel and accessories that target young women principally between the ages of 15 and 29, that is doing alright.

Last night's announcement can be credited to SAC Capital. SAC likes the management of overcapitalized balance sheet to put any excess money to work quickly. The combination of a large share repurchase in addition to a potential turn around of the Hot Topic concept could drive this stock considerably higher in 2008.

Market highlights for next week: Sprint Nextel (S), Cisco (CSCO) to report

Monday August 6
Tuesday August 7
Wednesday August 8
Thursday August 9
Friday August 10

Analyst downgrades 7-31-07: GT, PTR, RSH and UL

MOST NOTEWORTHY: RadioShack (RSH), Weyerhauser (WY), Goodyear Tire (GT), Hot Topic (HOTT) and Unilever (UL, UN) were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Citigroup downgraded RadioShack (NYSE: RSH) to Sell from Hold on valuation as they believe shares have priced in a more aggressive top-line recovery than the company can deliver over the next 12 months and that margin improvement is likely to slow.
  • Merrill downgraded Weyerhauser (NYSE: WY) to Neutral from Buy based on the tighter credit environment and the impact on a potential containerboard divestiture or merger.
  • Matrix downgraded shares of Goodyear Tire (NYSE: GT) to Sell from Hold to reflect rising oil prices and negative fundamental trends.
  • AG Edwards downgraded Hot Topic (NASDAQ: HOTT) to Sell from Hold to reflect negative performance momentum and a lack of back-to-school prospects.
  • Credit Suisse downgraded Unilever (NYSE: UN, UL) to Underperform from Neutral as their analysis suggests the company continues to lose market share...
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • Bear Stearns downgraded Kyphon (NASDAQ: KYPH) to Peer Perform from Outperform.
  • Jarden (NYSE: JAH) was cut to Neutral from Buy at Goldman.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Hot Topic's sales better than expected

Hot Topic Inc. (NASDAQ: HOTT) reported better than expected same store sales last night, down only 4% versus a consensus decline of 6.7%.

The company, which sells alternative music and pop culture apparel and merchandise to teens, has cut back on promotional activity with inventories becoming more lean, a positive for future quarter performance. Further, its new story formats continue to do well and trends at Torrid remain solid.

We blogged earlier in the week that Hot Topic may be setting the foundation for a meaningful turnaround later this year and going into 2008. The stock is way off from its $30 high and is now at $11. SAC Capital has accumulated 5.1% of Hot Topic stock, or 2.3 million shares, up from the 245K shares it had disclosed at the end of the first quarter.

Hot Topic, with movies like the Transformers and a new generation of video game consoles and games coming to market, will have ample supply of trendy new products to sell and support a nice turnaround. The stock is up 49 cents in trading today.

Hot Topic could be primed for a turnaround

Hot Topic Inc (NASDAQ: HOTT), the specialty retailer that operates the Hot Topic and Torrid concepts, might be worth a look. The stock is way off from its $30 high and is now selling for $11, and its poor operating performance could be bottoming.

While same-store sales continued to slide in May, down 6.1%, margins for the retailer are beginning to improve. Also, SAC Capital has racked up 5.1% of Hot Topic stock, or 2.3 million shares up from the 245K shares it had disclosed at the end of the first quarter.

With bad inventory out the door and movies like the Transformers and a whole new generation of video game consoles and games coming to market, this trendy retailer stock could be ready for a nice turnaround.

Market highlights for next week: Monthly sales numbers coming

Monday July 9
Tuesday July 10
  • Electronic Entertainment Expo, or E3, to be held from July 10-July 13 in Santa Monica, California.
  • The Home Depot Inc (NYSE: HD) to release a 2007 Sales Update at 9am.
  • Sealy Corporation (NYSE: ZZ) to report Q2 earnings; conference call at 5pm.

Continue reading Market highlights for next week: Monthly sales numbers coming

The Wal-Mart Weekly: A lot of quantity, but a lack of selection

Welcome to the 17th installment of The Wal-Mart Weekly, a weekly column dedicated to bringing you insight, wit, facts, results, opinions and just a bit of everything else when it comes down to a very hot topic these days: Wal-Mart.

Last week I mused on how Wal-Mart Stores (NYSE: WMT) supplies basic customer service to its customers -- or a lack of it. From waiting in lines when there are many empty checkout lanes to blocking aisles with pallets during daytime shopping hours, is the retailer turning off customers by not creating a pleasant atmosphere that is conducive to shopping?

This week, we'll be making the rounds on how the various Wal-Mart departments combine into a cohesive shopping experience, but do not threaten some competitors at all. Why? Well, have you ever thought that Wal-Mart would be seen as lacking in product selection? It does, from this corner, and I'll give you insight on why Wal-Mart will never be able to unseat some retailers at the same time it continues to grow its sales. Read on.

Continue reading The Wal-Mart Weekly: A lot of quantity, but a lack of selection

What's left for the specialty retailers this year?

Will players in the specialty retail field bring up solid March sales results this week? Who knows, but analysts expect this and, you know, analysts are always right (well, not exactly). At issue here is the expected strength of March sales in the specialty retail sector, reflecting a sales shift from April due to an earlier Easter. Who may suffer here? Specialty retailers of clothing, that's who.

OK, so what does that mean for April sales and beyond? A sour entry into late spring, perhaps? Who's in the cross-hairs of analysts in this sector? Try retailers like Talbot's (NYSE: TLB), Chico's FAS (NYSE: CHS), and Limited Brands (NYSE: LTD). Throw on that pile companies like Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF), which may have seen lower sales due to bottoms (yeah, the "pants" kind) during this season shift that's happened in the last few weeks.

And the good news? While retailers like Pacific Sunwear (NASDAQ: PSUN), Hot Topic (NASDAQ: HOTT) and American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE: AEO) may have an above-average spring, sales are expected to slump over the summer season. Adjust positions accordingly I guess? Heh -- seasonality is the name of the game in clothing and much of specialty retail. The companies that can predict and adjust product lines as fast as possible are the winners.

Disclosure: I own HOTT shares as of 4-11-07.

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Last updated: May 28, 2012: 10:00 AM

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