housing market posts
FeedPosted Nov 15th 2010 9:00AM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Competitive Strategy, Home Depot (HD), Lowe's Cos (LOW), KB HOME (KBH), Lennar Corp'A' (LEN), Toll Brothers (TOL), Duke Energy (DUK), Options, Chasing Value™, Housing, Federal Reserve, Recession
"Home Prices Are About to Bottom" was the headline for the Barron's cover story the week of July 14, 2008. The story explained that the housing market should level off in many areas of the country by the end of the year.
I have made some equally unfortunate prognostications in my tenure at BloggingStocks, so my purpose is not to poke fun at Barron's but to point out that here we are, over two years later, and it is still debatable whether the housing market has bottomed out.
Continue reading Chasing Value: "Home Prices Are About to Bottom"
Posted Nov 11th 2010 6:30PM by Gary Shilling (RSS feed)
Filed under: Housing, Financial Crisis

Last spring, many believed that not only was the housing collapse over but that a robust rebound was underway. Investors were crowding into foreclosed house sales and bidding up prices in California, often the bellwether state for new trends. The tax credit of up to $8,000 for new homebuyers that expired in April spurred buyers and promised to kick-start housing activity nationwide.
The Home Affordable Modification Program was trumpeted by the Administration to help 3 million to 4 million homeowners with underwater mortgages by paying lenders to reduce monthly payments to manageable size and then paying homeowners to continue to make those payments.
Continue reading Hopes for Housing -- Squashed
Posted Nov 5th 2010 9:30AM by Mark Fightmaster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports

Home builder Beazer Homes (
BZH) reported a
fourth-quarter loss Friday morning thanks to inventory charges and slumping new orders and home closings. BZH lost 81 cents per share during the most-recent quarter, a far cry from the firm's earnings of 84 cents per share in the same quarter a year ago. BZH's loss from continuing operations was 78 cents per share, far short of the Street's expected loss of 46 cents per share. Quarterly revenue also fell, slipping 25% to $274.8 million. Despite the drop, the revenue topped the consensus estimate for $255.3 million.
For the full fiscal year, BZH lost 57 cents per share ($34 million). Revenue came in at $1 billion. This loss is far better than last year's loss of $4.90 per share ($189.4 million) and revenue of $971.1 million.
Continue reading Beazer Homes Reports 4Q Loss
Posted Jul 20th 2010 2:30PM by Nikhil Hutheesing (RSS feed)
Filed under: Hilary On Stocks, Bargain Stocks

Mortgage insurers such as Radian Group (
RDN) and PMI Group (
PMI) have been suffering from rising mortgage defaults. But the group could be turning the corner. On Tuesday, the largest U.S. mortgage insurer, MGIC Investment Corp. (
MTG), posted a quarterly profit of $24.6 million compared to a loss of nearly $340 million in the year-ago quarter. That good news comes after three years of losses.
MGIC's results should bode well for Radian, which will announce its second quarter results on August 3, and PMI Group, which will release its second quarter results on July 29.
Continue reading Stocks of Mortgage Insurers Rising
Posted May 13th 2010 12:40PM by Jeff Reeves (RSS feed)
Filed under: Lennar Corp'A' (LEN), Housing, Recession
Whether you want to believe it or not, more indicators pop up each week that point to improvements in the housing market. Either we're at the bottom now, or we will be soon.
Of course, I just bought my first ever home in September of 2009 (a short-sale in Montgomery County, Md.) so perhaps I'm biased. But even in the worst markets there are signs of life in housing that should encourage investors and homebuyers alike.
Here are three top signs that the housing market has bottomed out.
Continue reading Three Signs Housing Has Bottomed
Posted Apr 26th 2010 4:40PM by Jeff Reeves (RSS feed)
Filed under: Housing
There's a whole lot of fuss on Wall Street right now about the impact of a first-time homebuyer credit expiring this week. The $8,000 question? Whether the housing market will continue to improve without the payday, or whether we are in for another round of falling home prices and rising foreclosures.
There's no doubt that 2010 so far has been very profitable for housing stocks. But are those profits going to stick, and is the housing market going to continue to improve?
Continue reading Five Reasons the Housing Market Is Improving
Posted Mar 17th 2010 4:40PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Market Matters, KB HOME (KBH), Options, Chasing Value™, Stocks to Buy, Housing

It's time to get serious about home builders again, and today I started building a position in KB Home (
KBH) using options. Since the collapse of the residential real estate market three years ago prognosticators have been debating when the home builders might be worthy of investing your precious coin of the realm.
As is to be expected in these volatile times most were either too optimistic or pessimistic and few got it right. Like many stocks the home builders appear to have bottomed last March. In the case of KB Home shares were available at $10. Today they have been trading between $17.64 and $18.00 per share, up 80%, although it has been a rocky road.
That is a very healthy return, but there is much more upside to come. How would you like to make 43% quick? Yeah me too!
Continue reading Chasing Value: 43% Gain to Build a Position in KB Homes
Posted Jan 27th 2010 8:00AM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Indices, Housing, Recession

Home prices fell yet again in November, losing 0.2% month-over-month (on a not seasonally adjusted basis), following a 0.1% drop in October.
The Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller's home price index reported only five out of 20 metro areas with gains, and from November 2008 to November 2009, home prices are off 5.3%. Need a benchmark? It's late 2003: Six years of appreciation have been obliterated by the financial crisis.
The slide worries analysts who wonder if the housing recovery is strong enough to keep moving forward. A stall on the housing side, of course, could push through the rest of the economy, ultimately putting the squeeze on consumer spending (further) and impeding overall growth.
Continue reading Housing Market Slides, but Some Silver Lining Visible
Next Page >