housing stocks posts
FeedPosted Jan 19th 2011 10:30AM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Stocks to Buy, Housing, Recession
"MGIC (MTG) is the leading U.S. private mortgage insurer; in fact, the company claims to have founded the mortgage insurance industry in 1957," notes turnaround specialist George Putnam.
The editor of The Turnaround Letter explains, "After many years of relatively steady earnings, MGIC was forced to sharply increase its reserves beginning in 2007 as more homeowners began defaulting on their mortgages.
"As a result, the company posted large losses in each of the last three years, which reduced its capital to a precarious level. Almost all of the other mortgage insurers suffered similar fates, with several competitors being forced out of business.
Continue reading MGIC (MTG): Mortgage Turnaround?
Posted Jan 2nd 2011 5:00PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Stocks to Buy, Housing, Best Stocks for 2011
This post is one in a series in which more than 60 newsletter advisors share their Top Stock Picks for 2011. This special report is courtesy of TheStockAdvisors.com.
"Founded in 1938, Owens Corning (OC) -- my top pick for 2011, is a leading manufacturer of building products, including insulation, roofing products, and composite materials," says George Putnam.
The editor of The Turnaround Letter explains, "The stock looks quite cheap, particularly for a company with such a strong business franchise in a temporarily depressed sector.
Continue reading Top Picks 2011: Owens Corning (OC)
Posted Oct 21st 2010 12:30PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Stocks to Buy, Housing
"With the new school year underway, we're adding an attractive REIT to our portfolio that specializes in campus housing: American Campus Communities (ACC)," says Stephen Leeb.
The growth & income specialist and editor of The Complete Investor explains, "The real estate investment trust, which went public in 2004, has been providing housing for college students since 1993, and is now one of the nation's largest developers, owners, and managers of high-quality student housing communities.
"The REIT has grown both through internal development and via acquisitions, most notably its 2008 purchase of the student housing division of GMH Communities Trust for around $1.4 billion.
Continue reading American Campus Communities (ACC): Graduating Gains
Posted Jun 28th 2010 1:50PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Stocks to Buy, Housing, Financial Crisis
"Capstead Mortgage (CMO) borrows for the short term at low cost -- rolling loans among a handful of big banks -- while lending money for the long term at a higher rate," says Andy Obermueller.
The editor of Government-Driven Investing -- which finds stocks positioned to benefit from changes in government policies and regulations -- explains, "Capstead, organized as a real-estate investment trust, keeps the spread for its troubles, and pays out 95% of its net earnings to shareholders. The result is a good defensive stock to help protect your portfolio.
"One of the things the government did to make sure that the housing market didn't crater even more than it had was to step in and guarantee certain mortgages. If the borrower defaulted, Uncle Sam would step in, like a co-signer, and make good on the loan.
Continue reading Capstead Mortgage (CMO): Low Beta, High Yield
Posted Feb 24th 2010 1:30PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Commodities, Stocks to Buy, Housing
"In a world where complex derivatives contracts and other paper assets can evaporate at any time, it's refreshing to own something real and tangible -- and you can't get much more solid than a tree," says value investor
Nathan Slaughter.
In his Half-Priced Stocks, he explains, "Potlatch (PCH) owns plenty of them, with a portfolio of 1.6 million acres spread throughout Arkansas, Idaho, Minnesota and Wisconsin. That forestland produces a steady harvest year in and year out. Timber production has been rising at a healthy +9% annual pace, reaching 4.4 million tons before last year's slowdown
Continue reading Potlatch (PCH): Timber!
Posted Dec 27th 2009 9:00AM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Stocks to Buy, Housing, Recession, Financial Crisis, Annaly Capital Management (NLY), Best Stocks for 2010
This post is part of a special report, Top Picks for 2010, the 27th annual survey in which TheStockAdvisors.com asks the nation's leading advisors for their single favorite stock for the new year. See all 80 stocks listed here.
"Annaly Mortgage Management (NLY) is our favorite investment idea for 2010," says Jack Adamo.
In his Insiders Plus newsletter, he explains, "The company buys only Ginnie Mae, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac bonds, all of which now have explicit U.S. government guarantees."
Continue reading Top Picks for 2010: Annaly Mortgage (NLY)
Posted Mar 13th 2009 11:30AM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Stocks to Buy, Housing, Financial Crisis
"With occupancy rates around 95%, apartment REITs appear to be the one bright spot in the REIT sector," says Asif Suria in The SINLetter; he looks at AvalonBay Communities (NYSE: AVB).
"The company generates nearly half its net operating income from the NY/NJ metro area and New England. California represents an additional 32% of net operating income.
"With a management team that is well respected and leverage that is the lowest of any apartment REIT, AvalonBay has traded at a premium over the last few years and the stock was trading at nearly $150 when I first came across the company in early 2007.
"I continued watching the company over the last two years looking for an opportunity to start a position. With a decline of over 70% from its 2007 high and a yield of 8.1%, this apartment REIT is finally at a level that not only offers a fat yield but also the potential of price appreciation.
Continue reading AvalonBay (AVB): REIT rental returns
Posted Feb 3rd 2009 12:45PM by Douglas McIntyre (RSS feed)
Filed under: Bad News, Economic Data, Stocks to Sell, Housing
Homeowners lost $3.3 trillion in the value of their houses last year. A report from Zillow.com, picked up by Bloomberg, said that national home prices dropped 11.6% compared to 2007.
That makes stocks like Hovnanian (NYSE: HOV) and Beazer (NYSE: BZH) sells, even at current depressed levels. HOV shares are down to $1.64 from a 52-week high of $13.50. Beazer is off from a high of $12.40 to $0.98. The company could even face delisting over the next year if it cannot get its share price up.
There is a temptation to think that home-building stocks are so inexpensive that, if the companies can drop inventory prices enough, they can start to improve sales, even if the margins on each home sold are poor. But it is not that simple.
Continue reading New data: No recovery in home-building stocks
Posted Nov 18th 2008 1:30PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Commodities, Agriculture, Stocks to Buy, Housing
"Seattle-based Plum Creek Timber (NYSE: PCL), the nation's largest private landowner with more than eight million acres, has caught our eye," says Bill Martin.
In his BullMarket.com advisory, he explains, "Earnings have been stunted in recent quarters by the housing slump, but the company sports a strong balance sheet and an asset base that thanks to nature only gets larger and more valuable as time goes by."
"Plum Creek, which operates as a real estate investment trust, reported surprisingly solid Q3 profit. It posted net income of $69 million, or 40 cents per share, for the quarter ended September 30th, compared with a profit of $59 million, or 34 cents per share, for the same period a year ago.
"In the 2007 quarter, fire losses in Montana forced the company to report a $4 million non-cash expense, or two cents per share, related to fire losses experienced in Montana.
"The company's EPS results topped the expectations of Wall Street analysts by a penny a share. Revenue grew to $414 million, up 2% from $407 million last year. The sales results were a bit short of the consensus of $419.8 million.
Continue reading 'Growing' assets: Plum Creek Timber (PCL)
Posted Nov 10th 2008 1:18PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Toll Brothers (TOL), Stocks to Buy, Housing, Recession
"The economic crisis began in the housing sector and will likely end there," says Stephen Leeb. In his top-notch The Complete Investor he takes a contrary look at two homebuilders.
"Though my view may sound contrarian to a fault, a close look at the housing market, especially given recent government actions, suggests a recovery will happen sooner rather than later and be stronger rather than weaker.
"When home prices decline, buyers pull back, afraid of buying too soon. This leads to further declines and further buyer reluctance. No surprise, then, that housing starts have fallen dramatically.
"Meanwhile, consumers, who had been borrowing money based on the value of their homes, found this source of credit drying up, which dealt a further blow to the economy.
"It is a vicious circle indeed. Ultimately, though, it will almost certainly end with more willing lenders and a stronger housing market as the huge amounts of money being flooded into the system start boosting balance sheets of potential lenders.
Continue reading Building value: Contrary call on homebuilders
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