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Currency Tensions Rise as Nothing Happens at IMF Meeting

A weekend meeting of global finance ministers was sponsored by the International Monetary Fund to deal with the growing currency imbalances in world economies. The two big players -- the U.S. and China -- instead of reaching a consensus, ended farther apart with each side digging in and pushing back against the other.

Zhou Xiaochuan, China's central bank governor told the Financial Times: "The continuation of relatively low interest rates and unconventional monetary policies by major reserve currency issuers have created stark challenges for emerging market countries in the conduct of monetary policy."

Continue reading Currency Tensions Rise as Nothing Happens at IMF Meeting

IMF: Global Financial System Hinders Economic Recovery

IMFAccording to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the global financial system may be the biggest hindrance to a worldwide economic recovery. The IMF used its global financial stability report to make this announcement, one that suggests there isn't a lot of stability thanks mainly to the global financial system.

The IMF estimated that the writedowns attributed to the credit crisis were $2.2 trillion, lower than the $2.3 trillion originally projected in April.

Continue reading IMF: Global Financial System Hinders Economic Recovery

Week in Preview: New Earnings Season, Employment Data and More

earnings expectationsAlcoa (AA), Marriott (MAR) and Yum! Brands (YUM) kick off the new earnings season this week. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters are looking for moderate year-over-year earnings and revenue growth in the third quarter from each of these dividend payers.

Note that Marriott and Yum! Brands have exceeded consensus estimates in recent quarters and have First Call consensus buy recommendations as well. They are also trading near their 52-week highs, while Alcoa shares are closer to the 52-week low despite a 22% rise in the past three months.

Continue reading Week in Preview: New Earnings Season, Employment Data and More

Will Greece Be Able to Pay Back Its Debt?

Greek and EU flagsWill Greece be able to pay an estimated €340 billion or $431 billion in debt in 2013, post intervention, up from the current €270 billion or $342 billion today?

The calculation here is that Greece, which is presently dependent on International Monetary Fund assistance to meet its obligations, will be able to do it, but it will be a close call.

Investors presently demand about 10.6% from Greece to borrow money for 10 years, while fellow eurozone nation Germany, obviously in a magnitude better fiscal position, pays 3.35%. In contrast, the United States pays just 2.56%.

Continue reading Will Greece Be Able to Pay Back Its Debt?

Soros: Euro Is a 'Patently Flawed Construct'

Without giving much detail, George Soros says "The euro is a patently flawed construct."

Let's elaborate on this point. The greatest flaw in the euro is that it's a currency without a country. Instead you have a group of 16 countries that have agreed to use the euro as legal tender. This means that 16 separate political systems have agreed in principle to follow the rules of engagement, to use a military term. Those rules state that each country must keep its debt level to 3% of GDP.

Continue reading Soros: Euro Is a 'Patently Flawed Construct'

Ray of Light: IMF Says Greece's Deficit-Cutting Plan On-Track

Thursday's good new data point comes from the International Monetary Fund, which said Greece's budget deficit reduction plan and economic overhaul appears to be on-track.

The IMF termed fiscal developments as "positive with central government revenue coming in closely as expected" and with expenditures under control.

The group also said pension reform has advanced and an agreement has been reached on many key parameters as outlined in the memorandum or understanding. Structural reforms are also progressing, including in the areas of local administration, privatization, labor market, and tax administration.

Continue reading Ray of Light: IMF Says Greece's Deficit-Cutting Plan On-Track

IMF's Stauss-Kahn Says EU Debt Crisis Has Been Contained

Thursday's positive economic data point comes from International Monetary Fund Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn, who views the European debt crisis as contained, and is still bullish regarding the global economic recovery.

Debt levels are a risk to growth, mainly in Europe, but authorities in the region "are now really committed to solve it" and "the problem has been contained" Strauss-Kahn said, Bloomberg News reported.

Continue reading IMF's Stauss-Kahn Says EU Debt Crisis Has Been Contained

IMF: Global Outlook Remains 'Unusually Uncertain'

While world economies once ran rather smoothly, the financial meltdown of 2008 changed all that. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) gave an assessment of how world economies are now functioning. Deputy Managing Director, Naoyuki Shinohara, in a summary statement said: "The global outlook remains unusually uncertain and downside risks have risen significantly."

With regards to the advanced economies, she used the term "subdued" recovery. Policy makers have exhausted their stimulus programs and have limited ways to sustain growth. In other words, they have used up their bullets. Europe is in disarray with the leaders wanting to cut deficits and scrap stimulus programs.

Continue reading IMF: Global Outlook Remains 'Unusually Uncertain'

IMF's Lipsky: Now Comes the Hard Part -- Budget Cuts

One of the world's leading economists is applauding Europe's leaders and other leaders for their unprecedented action to stabilize Europe's public finances, but is also cautioning that much real work remains.

Economist John Lipksy, first deputy director of the International Monetary Fund, told Bloomberg News Tuesday Europe's decision to commit up to $1 trillion in loans and guarantees to help debt-plagued countries transition to sustainable fiscal budgets, "is an important step" but added, "Now let's see what happens in other countries that need to undertake adjustment programs."

Continue reading IMF's Lipsky: Now Comes the Hard Part -- Budget Cuts

EU and IMF Form €720 Billion Rescue Fund

The EU and the IMF have agreed on a €720 billion loan guarantee fund to stabilize the eurozone. The plan was formulated over the weekend to calm markets throughout the world and stabilize the euro.

As part of the plan, the European Central Bank stands ready to buy eurozone government debt if needed.

Of the €720 billion, €440 billion would be provided by eurozone members and a further €60 billion supported by EU members through the expansion of balance of payments facility. The remaining €220 million would provided by the IMF.

Continue reading EU and IMF Form €720 Billion Rescue Fund

Greek Demonstrations Cause Chaos

Greek workers and shopkeepers are disrupting basic services. Air traffic controllers and teachers walked off the job, closing flights and schools.

Some 18,000 persons are participating in the nationwide strike. They are protesting the austere measures imposed on them by the European Union and IMF bailout package. Protesters are carrying placards saying: "IMF OUT." The bailout package carries wage cuts for public workers, a three-year freeze on pensions, a second increase on sales taxes, and higher taxes on tobacco and alcohol.

Continue reading Greek Demonstrations Cause Chaos

Roubini: Rising Sovereign Debt Will Lead to Defaults

Nouriel RoubiniFinancial guru, Nouriel Roubini foresees rising sovereign debt leading to defaults.

Roubini predicted the U.S. financial collapse at least a year before it happened. Now he is predicting sovereign defaults for European Union (EU) nations.

Continue reading Roubini: Rising Sovereign Debt Will Lead to Defaults

The European Banking Crisis: An Overview

When the financial meltdown struck in the United States in 2008, the contagion quickly spread throughout the world, including the European Union (EU). However, unlike the Federal Reserve, which has unilateral authority to act on behalf of the United States, the EU has no such authority.

The EU barely survived 2008 and 2009. Then this year, Greece had difficulty refinancing its sovereign debt. Again, unlike the United States, where the debt came from financial institutions, in Greece the debt is government debt.

Continue reading The European Banking Crisis: An Overview

One 'Trump Card' Left Should EU, IMF Talks Disappoint Again

ECB European Central Bank logoThursday's events in Europe provided some encouragement, if not universal calm, regarding the Greek debt saga, including the promise that Europe and the International Monetary Fund will now move relatively swiftly to put together a suitable package that will assist the Mediterranean nation's transition to fiscal solvency.

But even if Europe again show signs of "snatching defeat from the jaws of victory," investors should not anticipate a sudden return to the barter system, globally.

Continue reading One 'Trump Card' Left Should EU, IMF Talks Disappoint Again

Aid Package to Greece Now Priority After Contagion Fear Rises

A day after signaling rigorous scrutiny of Greece's austerity plan, German Chancellor Angela Merkel did an about-face, of sorts, Wednesday, vowing a quicker approval of aid to the deficit-plague euro-zone country. Not before, however, the chancellor's earlier remarks rattled bond, currency and stock markets around the globe.

Standing beside International Monetary Fund Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn, Merkel said, "It's completely clear that the negotiations between the Greek government, the European Commission and the IMF need to be sped up now," Bloomberg News reported Wednesday.

Continue reading Aid Package to Greece Now Priority After Contagion Fear Rises

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Last updated: February 10, 2012: 10:47 PM

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