index funds posts
FeedPosted Dec 14th 2008 12:10PM by Daniel Solin (RSS feed)
Filed under: Employees, Personal finance, Recession
I don't mean to pile on. I know looking at your 401(k) statement is so painful these days many employees don't bother to open it.
History tells us that markets recover over time. Your 401(k) will increase in value, but it will still be far short of what you will need to retire. Why?
Because of hidden costs that enrich 401(k) providers. These costs are totally unnecessary and could be easily eliminated if only your employer cared enough to do the right thing. Most don't.
There is no end of research indicating that index funds outperform funds that try to "beat the markets." I call these funds "hyperactively managed funds." Index funds are also far less expensive.
While "less expensive" is good for employees, it is bad for brokers and advisors to these plans because it deprives them of excessive fees. The porky pig fees in most 401(k) plans include undisclosed trading costs, the payment of excessive brokerage commissions, the practice of subsidizing record-keeping services with high fund management fees and the payment of marketing fees for selling the high-cost funds in the plan, among many others.
Continue reading You can add 30% to the value of your 401(k) plan regardless of the market
Posted Nov 26th 2008 2:20PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Other issues, Rants and raves, Google (GOOG), Indices, Market matters, Technical Analysis, S and P 500, Stocks to Buy, Recession

If you are a stock trader you might have made money using
Google (NASDAQ:
GOOG) as an instrument of the trade. If you were someone jumping on the band wagon at the wrong time, say GOOG at $750 -- I feel your pain.
But if you are a traditionalist and bought the stock early and simply held on, the interesting thing is you would not have done any better than if you had bought a Standard and Poors 500 index fund.
The chart below illustrates that buying either Google or the S&P three years ago would have resulted in nearly the same loss. Although their paths cross a dozen times, they end in the same place.

Continue reading Amazing but true: Google vs S&P 500
Posted Oct 18th 2008 1:42PM by Mitch Tuchman (RSS feed)
Filed under: Personal finance, Financial Crisis

If you are upset about what's happened to your portfolio, that's in the past and we must now look forward. Here are a few lessons to help you consider what to do next.
1. Get Your "Sleep-At-Night" Allocations Right. The most important investment decision we make is what percentage of our nest egg to put into cash and bonds.
Everyone today wishes they'd put 100% of their money in cash or bonds. But bond investors shouldn't sleep as well as they think -- the protection comes at a very high price. Bonds provide the lowest rate of return and over the years. Inflation eats away a lot of the value of the monthly income. From 1925 through 2003, U.S. bonds only appreciated 5.4% per year, or 61 times, while stocks appreciated nearly 10.4% per year, or 8,000 times.
Stocks are volatile, but over long periods you get paid for the sleepless nights. You just need the time to wait out these markets. Money you need for the next five years should be in bonds or cash. The panicked sellers didn't get these allocations right. If you're 50 years old and lamenting over the equity values in your 401K, remember, you're not allowed to touch it for 10 years anyway. That's a long time!
Continue reading Three main lessons from the Crash of '08
Posted Aug 7th 2008 1:30PM by Daniel Solin (RSS feed)
Filed under: Personal finance
This post is part of a series where personal finance expert Dan Solin looks at money moves that may seem smart in tough economic times, but are actually quite dumb. See all 12.
The financial pundits are in a feeding frenzy.
When oil was soaring, they told us to buy energy. When it dropped, they told us that energy stocks were "old news."
When financial stocks were tanking, they told us to dump them. Now they are telling us to buy them because this is a "buying opportunity."
Don't take the bait.
They have no idea whether a stock is poised to take off or about to plunge. Neither do I. That is the point. No one does.
Here is what we do know.
The stock market is random and efficient. Stocks are efficiently priced because all information about them is in the public domain, scrutinized by hundreds of thousands of amateur and professional investors every second of every day.
Continue reading Dumb Money Move No. 5: Buy some stocks that have fallen dramatically in price
Posted Jun 16th 2008 3:31PM by Daniel Solin (RSS feed)
Filed under: Columns, Money and Finance Today, Personal finance
This is the part of a new series of columns called "The Naked Truth," by retirement expert Dan Solin. Please
bring him your questions, in the comments box, and he will answer as many as he can.Question: What are your thoughts on deferred annuities?Answer: I think they are great...for insurance salesman (big commission items) and insurance companies (little risk; big reward).
For most investors they are an expensive and ill-suited product.
Let's disassemble the sales pitch and see what lies underneath these products:
The much-hyped "death benefit" really isn't much of a benefit. The guaranteed benefit is calculated as the value of your contributions, minus any withdrawals. You are funding your own "death benefit." There is little possibility of the guarantee coming into play. How likely is it that the value of your account at the time of death will be less than what you originally invested?
Continue reading Naked Truth Investing: Deferred annuities: Your best interests are deferred--forever!
Posted Feb 24th 2008 12:10PM by Zac Bissonnette (RSS feed)
Filed under: Books
Market gurus like Jim Cramer preach the benefits of broad diversification, something I think is good for investors too: if your goal is to produce returns approximately equal to the market averages. In other words, if you believe in diversification, buy an index fund. If you don't want to simply buy and hold index funds, broad diversification is unlikely to make sense for you.
I recently found a good summary of why combining diversification with stock-picking is a bad idea from an unlikely source: Michael Konik's The Smart Money, a book about an elite sports bettor who gambles hundreds of thousands a day on football -- and wins. Here, he explains why the elite gamblers don't bet on more than a few games each week:
I'm sober enough about the difficulty of betting sports to realize that gambling on seven pro games in one weekend is the sign of a sucker. The linemakers just don't make that many mistakes on NFL football, where all the information is widely known to everyone in the universe.
It would be impossible to sum up the problem with diversification in the stock market any better. Generating greater returns without taking greater risk requires the investor to spot instances of market inefficiency -- the stock market equivalent of the linemakers making a mistake. And even the best investors in the world can't find enough market inefficiency to earn exceptional returns while owning a lot of stocks.
Posted Feb 5th 2008 7:30AM by Zack Miller (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, Personal finance, S and P 500, DJIA, NASDAQ
Our stay-put behavior reflects our view that the stock market serves as a relocation center at which money is moved from the active to the patient.
--Warren Buffett
Here's an interesting blog post on SeekingAlpha written by Larry Swedroe. Swedroe, Director of Research of
BAM Advisor Services, focuses on results stemming from the last 11 recessions. Returns during these periods averaged out to 7%, a full 2% more than what Treasuries averaged during the same periods.
This means, even if investors could perfectly time selling their portfolios of stock at the market high, they still would have made out worse than holding through the recessionary periods.
Unfortunately, even most professional investors can't forsee market tops. What ends up occurring during tumultuous times like these is that investors overtrade and the market truly becomes Buffett's "relocation center from the active to the patient."
Continue reading Patient investing versus (over) active investing
Posted Oct 21st 2007 8:40AM by Zac Bissonnette (RSS feed)
Filed under: Mutual funds, Personal finance
A piece in The New York Times look at the increasing willingness of investors to get creative with their IRAs. Consider this amusing example:
BRIAN HARRIS makes a 30 percent annual return on his Roth individual retirement account, but his money is not invested in a soaring biotechnology stock or a hot currency fund.
Instead, Mr. Harris, a music teacher from Tucson, owns about 25 marimbas, xylophones and timpani. Using the money in his retirement account, Mr. Harris buys the instruments for less than $1,000 each. He then rents them to his students for up to $60 a month. The rental income flows straight back into the I.R.A.
Hmm .... While that sounds tempting, there are ample reasons for most investors to avoid these self-directed IRAs. For starters, you're unlikely to be able to achieve much diversification owning traditional real estate or similar assets in an IRA -- If you want real estate exposure, go with a portfolio of REITs. The idea of investing in racehorses through an IRA seems insane. This is supposed to be your retirement money!
The best bet for an IRA remains low-cost index mutual funds. There are plenty of places for more speculative and creative investments -- the IRA isn't one of them. In addition, unless you have a ton of money in your IRA, the transaction costs of alternative investment will probably be prohibitively high.
Posted Sep 30th 2007 11:10AM by Zac Bissonnette (RSS feed)
Filed under: Mutual funds, Books, Personal finance
In the most recent issue of Money, Walter Updegrave answers a reader's question about whether, given the prevalence of low-cost market-tracking index funds, a financial adviser is really necessary.
Good question! Updegrave explains the benefits that a financial advisor can provide: How much do you need to save? Which index funds should you buy? What about rebalancing?
He's not wrong about any of these ideas, but the reality is that, if your retirement savings are as paltry as most Americans, the benefits of paying a fee-only financial advisor (the only kind you should work with) are likely to be completely our of proportion with the benefits.
If you have $5,000 to invest and spend even $100 on a financial advisor, that's the equivalent of a 2% front-load. That can be pretty hard to overcome, and it's unlikely that a financial advisor will provide enough benefit to make it preferable to going it alone after doing your own research.
If you're a young worker just getting started on the whole idea of retirement planning, a financial advisor is probably a luxury that doesn't make any sense.
Here are some great books that you can get at the library that should make up for it: Yes, You Can Get a Financial Life!, The Only Investment Guide You'll Ever Need, and The Money Book for the Young, Fabulous, and Broke.
Posted Sep 22nd 2007 8:40AM by Brian White (RSS feed)
Filed under: Mutual funds, Personal finance
Few professional money managers have had the success Peter Lynch has had. The former Fidelity manager of the widely-held Magellan mutual fund racked up great returns year after year in his tenure at Fidelity. After he retired in the 1990s, Lynch wrote a few books (which are worthy reads, I might add), and aimed them at the "everyman" of investing: the normal American consumer (hopefully, investor).
Along with Vanguard founder John Bogle, Lynch is someone I've followed for some time, and following much of what he said has, well, done right by me. But, after having talked with many a business associate and family member in the past year -- as the market has swayed to and fro -- few of them follow Lynch's investing strategy. That is, if they have an investing strategy at all beyond pumping 0.5% into that 401k and putting 50% of their portfolios into their employer's stock. Yikes!
The average mutual fund is a dog and laggard, yet salespeople rope everyday people into these expensive funds by the boatload. Bogle would have said, "just buy index funds and be done with it." Lynch would have said, "check the price-to-earnings ratio, make an informed choice, and be done with it." Both are exemplary ways to examine and adjust your portfolio.
Does it take some self-education? Sure it does -- but hey, it's only your money, right? Why would anyone pay an underperforming fund manager when buying a no-cost index fund produces better returns? Yes, in many cases the situation is a bit more complex than that, and tax rules and holding periods (among other things) come into play. Still, do you invest like Peter Lynch did? If not, why?
Posted Sep 18th 2007 6:15PM by Zac Bissonnette (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newspapers, Mutual funds, Personal finance
This is the retirement disaster that won't get much media coverage: A study conducted by researchers at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and the Federal Reserve Board shows (subscription required) that employers are increasingly turning toward pricey actively-managed mutual funds for their 401(k) plans rather than lower cost, better-performing index funds.
Only 11% of U.S. stock funds added to 401(k) plans between 1998 and 2002 were index funds. This in spite of the fact that there are volumes and volumes and volumes of research showing that buying actively managed mutual funds is just not a very good idea. For more on this, please read A Random Walk Down Wall Street and The Little Book of Common-Sense Investing.
The problem isn't just the employers and managers/brokers, who should be beaten if they're not offering index funds. According to The Journal, "A recent survey by Vanguard of plans for which that firm provides record-keeping services found that, though nearly all participants were offered a U.S.-stock index fund, only half invested in it."
Yikes. This latest bit of news is evidence of two things: 1.) Many investors really don't know how to invest for their retirement and 2.) The people who are supposed to be helping aren't making it much easier.
Posted Sep 15th 2007 8:10AM by Brian White (RSS feed)
Filed under: Management, Rants and raves, Mutual funds
This post is part of our Money Face-Offs feature. Let us know who you think comes out ahead in this head-to-head match-up, and check out our other Money Face-Off posts.
If you're into no-cost investing, you've probably heard the name John Bogle before. The founder of the world's most populated mutual fund company, Vanguard Group, Inc., is completely synonymous with the premise of low- to no-cost investing. To the average joe, that means index funds that track whatever index suits your investment tolerance and pocketbook. Bogle has been a fierce critic of the mutual fund industry (along with me), which charges huge sales loads for minimal performance metrics if you were to average out the thousands of them.
Bogle loves to posit this: Who's getting rich from mutual funds? Those who manage them, but hardly anyone else. Bogle continues to burn the active mutual fund industry on the basis of costs alone. He's probably the largest proponent of investor performance there is, even though he is no longer at the helm of Vanguard. Suggested reading for starters: Bogle on Mutual Funds. There are many other fine selections as well.
Continue reading Money Face-Off: John Bogle vs. Peter Lynch
Posted Sep 13th 2007 5:02PM by Zac Bissonnette (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newspapers, Mutual funds, Personal finance
According to a
piece (subscription required) in
The Wall Street Journal, enhanced index funds are lagging the market.
These funds seek to combine active investing with indexing, and often attempt to enhance performance through derivatives trading, or weeding out stocks that the manager believes are particularly bad. The goal is to attempt to outperform the index by 1 or 2 percentage points with limited volatility.
This quote from The Journal pretty much sums up the problem:
"Typically, enhanced index funds have very reliable higher returns than the benchmark index they track," said Carl Hess, practice director for the Americas at Watson Wyatt Investment Consulting.But like the old efficient markets analogy about walking around in a parking lot looking for dollar bills, any investment that provides "very reliable higher returns" is destined to level off once its superiority becomes common knowledge. The whole basis for indexing is the acceptance that beating the market is close to impossible, and that the only things we as investors can really control are fees and diversification. The idea of enhanced index funds is a bit of a contradiction.
Investors should probably stay away from these funds, particularly those with high fees. If you want to try to achieve returns close to those of the indices, your best bet is traditional index funds.
Posted Aug 18th 2007 8:45AM by Peter Cohan (RSS feed)
Filed under: Television, Indices, Market matters, Personal finance, S and P 500, DJIA
"Fed Chair" James Cramer enjoyed taking credit for yesterday's announcement that the Fed had eased its Discount Rate. But today's Barron's takes him to task for trying to keep Mad Money viewers from measuring the extent to which his stock picks underperform the market indices.
Cramer has accomplished many things. He managed a hedge fund, started TheStreet.com (NASDAQ: TSCM) which survived the dot-com bust, he writes columns for New York magazine, and he provides a unique blend of entertainment and stock touting on CNBC.
But Barron's analysis of his stock picks over the last two years suggests that you would have been better off buying a low-cost stock index fund. Barron's cites an analysis by YourMoneyWatch.com that analyzed his stock picks between 7/28/05 and 8/17/07 -- finding that Cramer's picks lagged the general market averages. Specifically, his picks were up 12%, the Dow Jones Industrials Average rose 22%, the S&P 500 gained 16% and the NASDAQ was up 14%.
Continue reading Fed Chair Cramer's stock pix lag the market
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