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Top Picks for 2010: Aflac (AFL)

This post is part of a special report, Top Picks for 2010, the 27th annual survey in which TheStockAdvisors.com asks the nation's leading advisors for their single favorite stock for the new year. See all 80 stocks listed here.

"Aflac (AFL) is best known in the U.S. for its 'duck ads,' but actually earns over 75% of its money from Japan," says Dirk Van Dijk.

In selecting the stock as his top pick for 2010, the strategist for Zacks.com, recalls "Aflac happens to be an old favorite of mine, a stock that I first recommended back in 1991." Here's his current update.

Continue reading Top Picks for 2010: Aflac (AFL)

CNinsure (CISG): The 'king of China's insurance industry'

"The hands-down choice for growth in the insurance sector is in China, where the industry is just getting off the ground." says says growth stock expert Timothy Lutts.

In The Cabot Stock of the Month Report, he suggests, "CNinsure (CISG) is the king of the Chinese insurance industry. We believe the stock most attractive insurance industry investment in China today.

"When properly managed, a property and casualty insurance company is an excellent vehicle for participating in a region's growth. However, the average age of top insurance companies in the U.S. is 108 years and their assets of the U.S. are growing slowly.

Continue reading CNinsure (CISG): The 'king of China's insurance industry'

Hurricane plays: Winners and losers

"I have four Hurricane Season stock picks -- two bullish, two bearish -- to play this summer's potentially wild weather," says Sean Broderick in his Uncommon Wisdom advisory.

"Last year's stormy weather spawned 16 named storms, which was higher than the long-term average of about 10 tropical storms and six hurricanes per year in a typical Atlantic hurricane season.

"The major hurricane forecasters have now made their predictions, and it's for a 'moderate' hurricane season. That's good news for America's oil and gas industry.

Continue reading Hurricane plays: Winners and losers

Shareholder-focused managements: Markel (MKL) & Staples (SPLS)

Concerning the current debate over executive bonuses, value investor Charles Mizrahi contents, "As a shareholder, I have the choice of becoming partners with more than 7,000 businesses on the American stock exchanges."

In his Hidden Values Alert he states, "I've found two companies with managers who are aligned with shareholders. Their compensation packages put them in the same boat as shareholders, and as an owner that is exactly where you want them to be."

Here, the advisor looks at insurance firm Markel Corporation (NYSE: MKL) and business supplies retailer Staples (NYSE: SPLS).

Continue reading Shareholder-focused managements: Markel (MKL) & Staples (SPLS)

Top Stock Picks '09: HMS Holdings (HMSY)

This post is part of a special annual report -- Top Stock Picks '09 -- in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked 75 leading newsletter advisors to select their favorite investment for the new year.

"HMS Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ: HMSY), which makes its money by correcting errors in Medicaid payments and recovering misspent money, is my top pick for 2009," says growth stock specialist Dave Dyer.

In his Dave Dyer's Newsletter, he explains, "This is a company whose fundamentals appear to improve as the economy declines.

"If you think that the unemployment rate will rise in 2009, then you ought to love HMS Holdings. They recently raised their 2009 guidance because they expect higher unemployment.

"The company stated that the unemployment rate is the most important leading indicator of growth in the Medicaid program, which in turn, is one of the most important drivers of their revenue.

"Medicaid is funded by the federal government and administered by the individual states. With 40 of the 50 states under contract, HMSY essentially has a monopoly in this market.

Continue reading Top Stock Picks '09: HMS Holdings (HMSY)

AIG in ruins, huge quarterly loss

AIG (NYSE: AIG) may have a new CEO, but his track record is no better than that of the man he replaced. The firm said its second-quarter net loss was $5.36 billion, or $2.06 a share. AIG blamed the housing and credit markets, but, of course, the real trouble rests with its risk management. According to Reuters, "AIG said it recorded $5.56 billion in second quarter unrealized market valuation losses on credit default swaps, the same area that led to losses in the prior two quarters."

While the company's insurance and investing units are still profitable, AIG may have to post similar losses in the next two quarters if the US credit and housing markets get worse. It has already moved ahead with its plan to raise $20 billion. It may have to add substantially to that to offset big deficits .

With AIG's stock at about $25 and a market cap of $72 billion, another capital injection cold drive shares down to $20.

In other words, AIG's shares may be down over 50% this year, but that does not make them a good investment. The stock could actually still be one of the most risky among large-cap firms. AIG joins many other financial companies in finding that replacing CEOs does them no good.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Forbes expert 'quacks' for Aflac (AFL)

Aflac (NYSE: AFL) is a new addition to the "Borderless Portfolio" maintained by global expert John Christy. Here's the latest from his industry-leading Forbes International Investment Report.

"If you own a television, chances are you're quite familiar with the infamous squawking duck in Aflac's commercials. Aflac has also been in the news lately as the first American company to give shareholders a 'say on pay', or the ability to vote on executive compensation.

"Less well known, however, is Aflac's huge presence in the Japanese insurance market. In 2007, roughly
75% of the company's pre-tax operating earnings were generated in Japan.

"Alfac has been doing business in Japan for more than 30 years, and one in four Japanese households has an Aflac insurance policy. In Japan, Aflac sells healthcare policies for certain things that aren't covered by the national healthcare system, as well as life insurance. And, yes, they have a talking duck in their ads over there too.

"At a time when many financial companies are reporting massive write-offs, Aflac reiterated its target of 15% earnings growth this year, and double-digit growth in 2009. Aflac Japan is doing its part to help drive this growth with 19% operating earnings growth in the first quarter of 2008."

Each day, Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers the latest market commentary and favorite investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

Best Stocks for 2008: 'Insured' potential at Aflac (AFL)

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

"I like Aflac (NYSE: AFL) as a top conservative choice for 2008," says Chuck Carlson, editor of The DRIP Investor. "The stock is a true 'steady eddy' performer and represents a cornerstone holding for any dividend reinvestment-based portfolio.

"Aflac is the number one provider of "guaranteed-renewable" insurance in the U.S. and the number one insurance company in terms of individual insurance policies in force in Japan. The firm insures more than 40 million people worldwide.

"Aflac's products should see good demand going forward as copays and deductibles are likely to increase for US and Japanese workers over the next several years.

"From a dividend perspective, there's a lot to like. Dividends have increased for 25 consecutive years, and dividend growth has been impressive. Dividends have been increased twice in 2007. With the consensus earnings estimate of $3.80 per share in 2008, look for the firm to give shareholders a generous dividend boost next year.

"Overall, the company offers the stability and consistency investors crave during volatile markets and the stock should handily outperform the market in 2008. Investors should note that Aflac offers a direct-purchase plan whereby any investor may buy shares directly from the company, the first share and every share."

Best Stocks for 2008: Aegon (AEG) looks to insure Taiwan

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

"My favorite conservative stock for 2008 is Aegon (NYSE: AEG), a large diversified life insurance and pension services company headquartered in the Netherlands," says Sy Harding, editor of Street Smart Investing.

"Aegon conducts 73% of its business in the Americas, 14% in the United Kingdom, and 11% in the Netherlands. Value Line estimates the company's revenue will grow by 10% in 2007, with earnings per share rising 8%.

"The company has been on an impressive growth track since 2005, and its goal is to double the level of its 2005 business by the year 2010. With 2007 revenues running 48% higher than 2005, the company seems well on its way to achieving that goal.

"Demand for Aegon's products and services should continue in 2008 as longer life expectancies provide a growing demand for pensions and other retirement needs. And in December 2007, Aegon finalized a joint venture agreement with Taishin Financial Holdings Co., headquartered in Taiwan.

Continue reading Best Stocks for 2008: Aegon (AEG) looks to insure Taiwan

Top Picks 2007: Adamo banks on Lloyds TSB for total return

Each year Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, surveys the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is part of his 24th annual Top Picks Report.

Lloyds TSB Group PLC (NYSE: LYG) is a favorite conservative stock idea for 2007 from Jack Adamo, editor of Insiders Plus.

"While it is not the Lloyd's of London of specialty insurance fame," points out Adamo, "this London-based financial services powerhouse has roots dating back to 1765, and operates in three segments: U.K. retail banking; insurance and investments; and wholesale and international banking. It also provides brokerage, asset management, and pension services.

"It's not exactly exciting, but I think it will noticeably outpace the market in 2007. What it has going for it is financial clout, with a $60 billion market capitalization and a current dividend yield of 5.7%. Growth in earnings is expected to come in around 12.5% from 2006 to 2007.

"Lloyds currently trades for 11.25 times expected 2007 EPS of $3.86 per share. I look for total return to come in at around 18% in 2007. Lloyds' high yield provides cover in a down market, and may add extra price appreciation as investors go for yield in a falling market. That could push total return to the 25% range.

"Another significant factor in its favor to consider is the likely appreciation of the British pound sterling against the U.S. dollar, which will provide a boost to returns for U.S. investors."

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Last updated: May 28, 2012: 12:40 PM

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