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Intercontinental Exchange: Buy on a pull-back

In the past sixth months, IntercontinentalExchange, Inc. (NYSE: ICE) has gone from high-risk play to a model whose electronic trading and centrally-cleared products have become marketplace leaders, particularly for energy products.

Further, while FY2009 revenue and earnings will not overwhelm, look for electronic trading, energy products trading, and clearing house function revenue streams to resume solid growth by mid FY2010.

Continue reading Intercontinental Exchange: Buy on a pull-back

IntercontinentalExchange (ICE) jumps on Q1 earnings

ICE logoIntercontinentalExchange (NYSE: ICE - option chain) shares are rising today after the company reported its first-quarter profit fell 22% to $72.2 million, or 98 cents per share. ICE's adjusted profit of $1.09 per share beat analysts' estimates of $1.01 per share. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on ICE.

ICE opened this morning at $89.32. So far today the stock has hit a low of $89.32 and a high of $104.60. As of 10:50, ICE is trading at $101.90, up 11.47 (12.7%). The chart for ICE neutral and S&P gives ICE a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.

Continue reading IntercontinentalExchange (ICE) jumps on Q1 earnings

Analyst upgrades: PXD, GHDX and ATEC

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Pioneer Natural, Genomic Health and Alphatec were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • Citigroup upgraded shares of Pioneer Natural Resources Company (NYSE: PXD) to Buy from Hold on valuation following the recent weakness.
  • Genomic Health Inc (NASDAQ: GHDX) was raised to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital, as they believe momentum for the company's Oncotype Dx test is building based on inclusion in new clinical guidelines and expanded reimbursement.
  • Alphatec Holdings Inc (NASDAQ: ATEC) was upgraded to Buy from Source of Funds at Think Equity, citing the new CEO's efforts to overhaul the company, which has positioned it for growth.
OTHER UPGRADES:

Chicago Merc. bid gets support from CBOT management

Chicago Mercantile Exchange Holdings Inc. (NYSE: CME) opened at $533.30. So far today the stock has hit a low of $533.30 and a high of $539.45. As of 10:55, CME is trading at $535.87, up $2.47 (0.5%).

After hitting a one year high of $596.30 in January, the stock has trended slightly downward over the past six months, bouncing off support at $500 in May. Chicago Board of Trade (NYSE: BOT) management is urging shareholders to vote for a merger with CME rather than the competing offer from Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE: ICE). A vote will be held on July 9. Recent technical indicators for CME have been bullish but deteriorating, while S&P gives the stock a very positive 5 STARS (out of 5) strong buy rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a July bull-put credit spread below the $500 range.CME hasn't been below $500 for more than a day since November and has shown support around $508 recently. This trade could be risky if broader markets take a tumble, but CME is not scheduled to report earnings until the week after July expiration.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.
DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in CME, BOT, or ICE.

Analyst initiations 6-11-07: CAVM; TA and PCS

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Cavium Networks Inc (NASDAQ: CAVM), Travel Centers of America LLC (AMEX: TA) and MetroPCS Communications Inc (NYSE: PCS) were today's noteworthy initiations:
  • Cavium Networks was initiated with a Strong Buy rating and $25 target at JMP Securities. The firm's checks indicate significant momentum for Cavium's products and cites good visibility. Cavium was also initiated with a Market Weight rating at Thomas Weisel, which finds shares fairly-valued at current levels, with a Buy rating and $25 target at Needham, with an Equal Weight rating and $22 target at Lehman Brothers, with an Equal Weight rating at Morgan Stanley and with a Buy rating and $26 target at Deutsche Bank, which expects over 50% revenue growth from 2006-2009 due to the growth in the company's network processor product line.
  • TravelCenters of America was initiated with a Buy rating and $54 target at Ferris Baker Watts and with a Buy rating and $70 target at BWS Financial, as the firm is positive on TA's earnings power and valuation.
  • Citigroup initiated shares of MetroPCS with a Buy rating and $40 target. The firm believes the company's coupled with deepening penetration in its core markets should produce revenue and FCF growth that exceeds the maturing industry average.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
  • IntercontinentalExchange Inc (NYSE: ICE) was initiated with an Outperform rating at Credit Suisse.
  • Janco initiated shares of Foundry Networks Inc (NASDAQ: FDRY) with a Buy rating and $19.50 target, as the firm believes the company's new products put it in a position to gain market share.
  • CIBC World Markets initiated shares of Accuray Incorporated (NASDAQ: ARAY) with a Sector Underperformer rating and $19 target.

Newspaper wrap-up 5-30-07: Bush taps Robert Zoellick to head World Bank

MAJOR PAPERS:
OTHER PAPERS:

Analyst upgrades 5-03-07: CMVT, IFF, JBHT, RTN and SYMC

MOST NOTEWORTHY: J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc (JBHT), Nvidia Corp (NVDA), International Flavors & Fragrances Inc (IFF), RealNetworks, Inc (RNWK) and Marchex (MCHX) were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • Pacific Growth upgraded shares of Nvidia Corp (NASDAQ: NVDA) to Buy from Neutral citing valuation.
  • Susquehanna upgraded Marchex Inc (NASDAQ: MCHX) to Positive from Neutral. Susquehanna has increased confidence that Marchex will be able to increase monetization via Yahoo!'s (YHOO) Panama upgrade, improving 2008 TAC rates and increased value of owned sites following a major upgrade for 2H07.
OTHER UPGRADES:
  • Jefferies raised Symantec Corp (NASDAQ: SYMC) shares to Buy from Hold with a $21 target.
  • Raytheon Co (NYSE: RTN) was upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Lehman Brothers.
  • SPX Corp (NYSE: SPW) was raised to Neutral from Underperform at Needham.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

IntercontinentalExchange's $1 billion buyout to reduce energy reliance

ice

Usually, the buyer in an M&A transaction has a drop in its stock price. Well, that wasn't the case with Intercontinental Exchange's (ICE) $1 billion purchase of the New York Board of Trade (NYBOT). In fact, ICE's stock surged 10% on the announcement.

Basically, ICE is an electronic exchange for trading on energy products. Despite the recent fall-off in energy prices, the market has been particularly strong for ICE, as the stock has surged almost 80% this year.

So, why not use some of this increased shareholder value to do a deal?

The purchase of the NYBOT will be a move to diversify ICE away from energy. For the most part, NYBOT is an old-school exchange (there is a physical trading floor) that focuses in stuff like sugar, cocoa, and coffee trading.

Also, ICE believes the deal will result in cost synergies of $50 million or so. Something else: ICE is likely to leverage its technology infrastructure into the NYBOT.

Although, according to Wall Street's response, ICE may be too conservative on the benefits of the deal. After all, NYBOT was founded in 1870: there is probably lots of opportunity to modernize things at the exchange.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including the Complete M&A Handbook and operates InvestorOffering.com.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+30.6910,464.40
NASDAQ+6.872,176.05
S&P 500+4.981,110.63

Last updated: November 26, 2009: 09:16 PM

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