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Serious Money: The Cost of Pushing Chinese Yuan Higher

"Be careful what you wish for" goes the ancient Chinese proverb. The United States government, pushed and prodded by its industrial leaders to get the Chinese to raise the value of the Yuan, should heed these wise words.

The goal, of course, is to make U.S. goods and services cheaper, thereby improving the balance of trade. The problem is that it makes everything cheaper.

It is true that it would support the remaining manufacturing base, software companies, commodities and consulting services. However, this is but a portion of what we have to offer.

What happens if the Yuan increases by 20% against the dollar, and they decide to buy International Business Machines (IBM) the company, not just IBM mainframes? This is not so far fetched. Lenovo bought the ThinkPad notebook computer division from IBM and now it sells Lenovo ThinkPads to us. They would be able to buy IBM 20% cheaper than you or I could buy it.

Continue reading Serious Money: The Cost of Pushing Chinese Yuan Higher

IBM: Should This Stock Be in Your Portfolio?

Was Wall Street Disappointed with IBM? International Business Machines (IBM), whose colleagues include Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) and Microsoft (MSFT), did not disappoint with its first-quarter report, posted yesterday after the market close. However, Wall Street seemed disappointed. I'm not sure why; perhaps it's just a case of profit-taking.

In any case, the after-hours selling I saw on Monday wasn't too bad. At one point, shares were off by 2.8% -- not the worst post-earnings reaction I've ever seen. And I can tell you this: it doesn't dissuade me from feeling bullish on Big Blue.

Continue reading IBM: Should This Stock Be in Your Portfolio?

IBM's Shares Are Headed North

Understandably, the financial crisis and long recession have shaken investor confidence in Wall Street and in stock investments. Further, in uncertain times, it makes sense to prefer demonstrated business models, and International Business Machines (IBM), which I first wrote about in February 2009, at a price of $91.51, is one.

Look for IBM's 2010 revenue to increase 4% to 6% amid the U.S./global economic recoveries.

Continue reading IBM's Shares Are Headed North

Microsoft Q2 Earnings Jump, Aided by Windows 7

Microsoft (MSFT), the tech giant behind the Windows operating system, whose colleagues include Apple (AAPL), Google (GOOG), IBM (IBM), and Yahoo! (YHOO), issued Q2 numbers after the bell on Thursday. Revenues increased 14%, and diluted earnings per share went up well over 50% to 74 cents.

In terms of expectations, Earnings.com says 59 cents was the number to beat. Obviously, the company had no problem doing that. As the news outlets have been reporting, Windows 7 was the big driver of the quarter's success.

Continue reading Microsoft Q2 Earnings Jump, Aided by Windows 7

IBM's Q4 Was Superb

International Business Machines (IBM) nailed another quarter. Going into the report, it was difficult to believe that Big Blue's fundamentals were going to suddenly collapse. Although they didn't, yesterday's after-hours crowd wasn't kind to the company's shares, which slid by almost 2%.

Who cares? The stats from the Q4 release should dissuade anyone from feeling bearish. Earnings per share increased 10% to $3.59. Expectations were for $3.47 per share, so congratulations are in order for another solid beat. Furthermore, gross margin experienced a nice expansion.

Continue reading IBM's Q4 Was Superb

IBM's Q4 Report Should Be a Good One

I am looking forward to International Business Machine's (IBM) Q4 earnings report, which is scheduled to be released after the close of today's session. No, I don't have a trade going on with the shares, but I have a feeling the numbers are going to be pretty good for Big Blue. When I covered the company's Q3 data back in October, I found myself impressed. I firmly believe the fundamental strength is set to continue.

According to Earnings.com, IBM, whose colleagues include Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) and Microsoft (MSFT), is expected to deliver around $3.47 per share for the bottom line. Last year at this time, the company made $3.28 per share. So, investors might see an increase of around 6% in the metric.

Continue reading IBM's Q4 Report Should Be a Good One

Xyratex's Q4 Misses High Expectations

Computer storage concern Xyratex (XRTX) reported Q4 results Tuesday after the bell. The tech company had a lot of pressure on its back going into the release. As Trey Thoelcke observed in his earnings preview, there were high expectations in terms of the bottom line. The market was looking for 38 cents per share.

Unfortunately, management wasn't able to deliver on those expectations, posting instead an adjusted per-share profit of 26 cents. The top line also had a tough time, decreasing roughly 15%.

Continue reading Xyratex's Q4 Misses High Expectations

Tech Stock #4: IBM (IBM)

Formally International Business Machines, IBM (IBM) develops and manufactures information technology products and services worldwide. From PCs to servers to software to semiconductors, this stock is a true global tech player.

While many tech firms are chasing the next big personal gadgets, IBM is content to continue its dominance of the mainframe and server market. The bottom line is that other tech companies have ceded this part of the computer market to IBM -- and it is thriving as a result.

Continue reading Tech Stock #4: IBM (IBM)

Five Tech Stocks That Are Worth Every Penny

5 tech stocks that are worth every pennyWhen it comes to cutting edge technology, sometimes it's more important to focus on value than it is to focus on cost. Yeah, you can get a cell phone for $9.99, but don't expect it to play digital music or let you check your email. You can get a flat screen for under $500, but it will only be a tiny 32-incher.

Well, the same is true for tech stocks. There are some companies out there with shares trading for peanuts, but investors get what they pay for. On the other hand, stocks like Google (GOOG) are trading around $600 a share for a reason.

Continue reading Five Tech Stocks That Are Worth Every Penny

Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders, 18 remain

This is the third screening to find value among Fortune's 25 corporate world leaders that have demonstrated an ability to regenerate themselves from within. The list has been cut to 18 and will be cut further here.

The methodology of using basic stock data points to identify potential value investments only sets the stage for success -- it assures nothing. While it is true that paying less is better than paying more and getting a higher yield is better than less, this gives you a scant picture of what is in people's hearts and minds, and that is harder to judge. Like the weather, no matter the predictions, you may not find out it is raining until you are standing in it. Regardless, it should be advantageous to start with good stock (pun intended) before you take to whittlin', and that we have.

Continue reading Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders, 18 remain

Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders, now 20

Yesterday I started a review of 25 companies that Fortune deemed most successful according to their peers in developing quality leadership. Today I review the remaining 20, searching to find the ones that might be worth investing in.

Price-to-book (from 11/27/09) was used as the first value screen. The theory being from a value investor's perspective that buying for a price at or near the break-up value of the company provides downside protection. Of course that is easier said than done.

Continue reading Serious Money: Fortune's 25 leaders, now 20

Hewlett-Packard reports growth in profit and operating margin in Q4

Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), the famous maker of printers and PCs, and a colleague of entities such as Microsoft (MSFT), Dell (DELL), and International Business Machines (IBM), issued Q4 results on Monday after the end of the trading day. Revenues didn't impress me, as sales saw a decline of 8%. Net income, however, was better. On an adjusted basis, earnings per share increased 11% to $1.14.

Also doing well was the operating margin. The adjusted metric increased 170 basis points during the quarter. The annual statement of cash flows should look good to any long-term shareholder. Management still had cash left over from operations after share repurchases, dividend obligations, and capital spending.

Continue reading Hewlett-Packard reports growth in profit and operating margin in Q4

Cisco and EMC link up in the clouds

Neither company is saying a thing yet, but word is Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO) and EMC (NYSE: EMC) are joining up to sell a new collection of products designed to deliver cloud computing capabilities, Reuters reports. Called vBlock, the cloud solution is intended to help the companies compete more effectively with IBM (NYSE: IBM) and Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ).

The partnership, which no one is admitting to, involves a joint venture between Cisco and EMC that will sell vBlock. The former will supply the networking equipment and servers, with the latter kicking in the storage gear and virtualization technology through its VMWare (NYSE: VMW) subsidiary. The joint venture will put the systems together, integrate the components for clients, and make the whole pile of cables and silicon work. A formal announcement is expected next week.

Continue reading Cisco and EMC link up in the clouds

Yahoo! preview: Will stock see a bid after Q3 report?

Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO) will be reporting Q3 data after the bell today. Is the market excited over the Internet portal's prospects? Well, judging by the price action I'm seeing on my screen right now, I'd have to say the answer is a definite no. The stock is down 1.7% as I write this in early afternoon trading.

According to Earnings.com, Yahoo!, whose colleagues include Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) and Google (NASDAQ: GOOG), is expected to say it made 7 cents per share in the third quarter. That won't be so great, since it will represent an earnings decline compared to last year's income stat. Of course, we should remember that it won't be just about the earnings per share. We'll have to hear what management has to say about future prospects.

Continue reading Yahoo! preview: Will stock see a bid after Q3 report?

Billionaire hedge fund manager arrested on insider trading charges

Raj Rajaratnam's life has just changed profoundly. The 52-year-old founder, fund manager, and partner at the Galleon Group has been accused of insider trading, conspiring with others (now named as defendants with him) to trade shares of Google (NASDAQ: GOOG), Hilton (OTC: HLNQ), and Sun Microsystems (NASDAQ: JAVA), among others. Rajaratnam generated $25 million in profits on these trades, but that's moot now.

Rajaratnam, who is #559 on the list of the world's richest people, with a net worth of $1.3 billion, now faces fines of up to $250,000 and from 5 to 20 years in prison. I doubt he'll be in the same slot on next year's list of billionaires.

Continue reading Billionaire hedge fund manager arrested on insider trading charges

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