According to comScore, Google increased its dominance during August by attracting 63% of all search engine traffic, up from 61.9% during the month of July. comScore's data was based on 11.7 billion searches in the month, and shows that Yahoo and Microsoft are still unable to tap into the valuable search engine traffic that Google maintains.
Yahoo scored a very distant second place, with 19.6% of all search engine traffic. This was a drop of 0.9% from its July figures. Third place goes to Microsoft, who scored 8.3% of search engine traffic during the month, down 0.6% from the previous month.
According to TechCrunch, eBay has hired Deutsche Bank to help the company unload StumbleUpon, a website recommendation service that it acquired a little over a year ago, back in May 2007.
At the time that eBay purchased StumbleUpon, it paid $75 million for the company, and it is pretty doubtful that it is going to be able to sell it for that amount, probably far less due to the inability to grow its popularity over the past 16 months.
It has taken about ten months longer then we had planned, but CircleBuilder.com has finally closed its seed round of funding. The convertible debt has become equity priced at a dollar a share and it's gone up in value, at least on paper. However, that value is not liquid, so is not worth discussing.
Before I go further, I should disclose that I am on the Advisory Board of the company and was one of the early investors. Many of my posts are written as an "adventure in investorland" relating my own experiences. For those who feel this is too promotional, you can turn away. My purpose is to share the journey of an insider as this company builds.
There was little certainty that CircleBuilder would be a success when we started. Along the way, I have had some reservations about the financial and time commitment; I do not need one more thing to do, or a way to lose money.
When we started, MySpace was all the rage and Facebook was gaining momentum rapidly. The founders, Howard Brown and Brent Cohen, came to me with an idea to develop a social networking site catering to religious communities that were not well served by the free-for-all, anything-goes nature of existing alternatives.
PC and chip companies have been trying to get TV viewers to use internet functions on their home entertainment systems for years. The problem may be that people who watch television are old. Consumers who use PCs are young. That has not stopped repeated attempts to marry the two.
Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) and Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO) are making another run at putting the two technologies together and it will probably fail. According toThe Wall Street Journal, "The pair outlined software tools, based on Yahoo technology, to help companies deliver Web content alongside TV programming. The software complements a new chip from Intel designed to enable interactive features on TVs."
Under this new plan, web content will sit in a bar at the bottom of the screen.
TV viewers already see information at the bottom of their TV monitors. Most business news channels like CNBC use the space to run stock quotes. Sports programming often scrolls scores in that section of the screen. Those bits of information may be useful, but TV is still a passive experience.
People who sit in front of a television set want information and entertainment. They do not want to have to make any effort to get those things. The PC has hundreds of applications that involve a great deal of effort. The keyboard is an "active" feature. People sitting in lounge chairs to watch the tube want to fall asleep.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
There is a divide along age lines in terms of how people get their news. TV is still in the lead, but that may not last for long.
A Wall Street Journal story looks at the Pew Research Center's biannual survey on news-consumption habits. Pew's most important conclusion of the survey is that it "found that 46% of those polled have a "heavy reliance" on TV for news at all times of the day."
But the median age of the TV loving crowd was 52-years-old. Another group, with a median age of 35, relies primarily on the internet as its news source.
Just as newspapers have faltered as major providers of information, it looks like TV may be seeing its best days. The next generation of people who are moving into their forties and fifties are unlike to migrate to the Tube just because they are aging. Their "internet heavy" habits are likely to stay with them for the balance of their lives.
Over the next decade, major TV network and TV station stocks are likely to be damaged by the trend.
Sell CBS (NYSE: CBS) and buy Google (NYSE: GOOG). Google News taps 4,500 sources and that is going to grow.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor is an editor at 247wallst.com.
There's no question that, at this point, Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO) needs to partner up with some company. I didn't see the logic behind the Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) interest in Yahoo! I thought then -- and still think now -- that Microsoft didn't need a big brand in the Internet portal space. It's doing fine with its own MSN.com, its operating-system monopoly and current portfolio of investments.
However, I see the merit in a deal between Yahoo! and Time Warner (NYSE: TWX). The following article discusses the possibility that Time Warner and Yahoo! are talking about a combination. Since Time Warner owns AOL, and since AOL has been transforming its business model over the last few years to capture a more advertising revenue, Time Warner would be wise to at least consider the transaction. Leveraging both brands would generate a lot of clout when it comes to advertisers, who would look at the platform as a must-buy to reach the surfing eyeballs.
There would be many other areas of synergy between the two companies and, of course, the potential to cut redundant costs. Or course, the deal would have to make financial sense and who knows if Yahoo! CEO Jerry Yang will be reasonable.
I think we'll be hearing more about Time Warner and Yahoo! in the coming weeks. However, I don't think anyone should place trades in these stocks based on deal speculation. Buy them for other reasons, but not for purposes of gambling on potential headline news.
Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned; positions can change at any time.
This past holiday weekend my colleague Doug McIntyre gave support to a blog I wrote in May 2007 when he posted Google (GOOG): The Failure Of YouTube. In my rant I gave a detailed analysis outlining how Google had overpaid for YouTube by a fantastic amount.
In the story Doug quotes projections that 2008 revenue generated by Google might gross $200 million from YouTube. That's revenue, not profit. A 20% profit would be $40 million if that was possible. In the article I wrote: How can I say Google overpaid for YouTube? I stated the case in plain English why the YouTube investment would have to earn $300 million (net, not gross) minimum, in its first year not to be dillutive.
They missed the target by a mile. They will continue to miss the target and I do not expect it to ever justify the cost. Just because Google has lots of cash slushing around does not mean they have money to waste.
Readers of this space know that the investment bias is toward large-cap companies with demonstrated business models and who have a competitive advantage in established markets, preferably with a favorable global trend as a support. But every once in a while an exception is made, and with the aforementioned in mind France Telecom is worth a review.
France Telecom SA (ADR) (NYSE: FTE) is a major telecommunications provider in France and also operates broadband, IP protocol, and audio-visual content businesses.
Analysts really like FTE's 49% market share of France's broadband market. Analysts also expect France Telecom's broadband business to offset a decline in landline telephone revenue in FY 2008.
Back in January, e-commerce giant eBay (NASDAQ: EBAY) announced some very controversial changes to the site that led to an uproar and seller boycotts within the eBay community. One of the most controversial changes was the decision to remove sellers' ability to leave negative feedback on the buyers, and this change is slated to start this upcoming Monday.
The decision to remove the sellers feedback has led to many eBay sellers finding alternative e-commerce sites to sell their goods, and those who remained are very worried about the impact this decision will have on their business. Sellers insist that the feedback is crucial in sifting through the large amount of buyers that give sellers hassle during transactions, but eBay feels that the change will benefit everyone on the site and prevent sellers from leaving retaliatory ratings for buyers.
The two sides just cannot see eye to eye on this one. Sellers insist that the feedback system allows the site to have a better buying community, while eBay believes that the changes are "really to make sure that we've got buyer accountability and seller accountability."
When one travels in economists' circles, one tends to tap into the issues, controversies and policy ideas 'dismal science' practitioners are debating.
And one issue economists have rattled around concerns the speed of fiscal policy stimulus, or more accurately, the lack thereof. In the digital age, the internet has propelled a host of speed-enhancing changes, and it occurred to this group of economists that U.S. Government policy is decidedly behind the curve in this area.
Here's why: economist David H. Wang noted that the U.S., in an attempt to jump-start its economy stalled by the nation's worst housing slump in more than 15 years, has implemented a host of monetary policy changes to provide monetary stimulus quicker. The U.S. Federal Reserve cut key, short-term interests multiple times during a 10-week span (and later implemented additional rate cuts), and devised two, new, Fed-administered institutions to address the credit crisis, provide liquidity, and ensure the orderly operation of financial markets.
A simple 24 hour email outage for a system upgrade has turned into a 3 day technical nightmare for Hughes Communications Inc. (NASDAQ: HUGH). Initially, the company informed customers that email service would be suspended for a 24 hour period, from 6pm Saturday, April 26 through 6pm Sunday, April 27. As of this writing, HughesNet email service is still down.
I guess one can live without email for a few more days, even though some might have important data to transmit via email. It's data which could affect one's career advancement. I guess in my case I could hand it off to my ground based mail carrier. However, because I have become quite accustomed to lackluster performance from Hughes Communications, I'm glad I'm not invested in it.
[Note from the author: Hughes email service fully restored in original format as of 04-30-08]
Net income at Amazon rose to $143 million in the first quarter, or 34 cents per share, from $111 million, 26 cents, a year earlier. Sales increased 37% to $4.13 billion. The results beat the views of Wall Street analysts who had expected a profit of 32 cents on revenue of $4.08 billion.
Amazon expects second quarter sales to be between $3.875 billion and $4.075 billion on operating income of $120 million and $160 million. For the year, the Seattle-based e-tailer is forecasting net sales of $19.1 billion to $20 billion on operating income of between $740 million and $940 million. Earlier this year, the company had forecasted operating income of $985 million, according to Bloomberg News. The operating income guidance was wide enough to drive an 18-wheeler through.
Once again, Amazon has left investors up the creek -- or river -- without a paddle.
With the markets still in a choppy/consolidation mode (or perhaps worse), it's best to consider including a few defensive stocks in your portfolio, and with the above in mind AT&T is worth an evaluation.
Blue-chip giant AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T) is the industry-leading provider of voice, IP-voice, video, and data communications services, with operations in every major country and metropolitan area in the world.
Analysts expect AT&T's 2008 revenue to increase 4-6% in 2008, followed by 5-7% growth in 2009.
Further, AT&T's wireless division is expected to be a star performer, with 2008 revenue advancing 13-20% in 2008, on new subscribers and expanded services.
Readers of this space know that one of the preferred plays is a utility company with a demonstrated business model, solid balance sheet, ample cash, decent dividend, and with an extra revenue stream / business that could provide additional growth. Verizon is one such company.
Verizon is not your typical, former AT&T (NYSE: T) unit. Verizon Communications (NYSE: VZ) is a modern, diverse telecom provider for the early digital age.
Verizon has three impressive divisions: landline, wireless, and business services. And the numbers speak for themselves: the landline unit has an astounding 41.4 million subscribers in 28 states, Verizon Wireless is the U.S.'s second largest wireless provider, and business services is making inroads on medium/large enterprise customers and government agencies.
Further, the company's fiber optic broadband/video service, FiOS emerged as a competitor to comparable cable broadband/video services: look for VZ to continue to grab market share in key markets, as the service is rolled-out in the years ahead. The Reuters F2008/F2009 EPS consensus estimates for VZ are $2.65/$2.92.
Well that was fast -- in August 2004 Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) went public at $80 a share and the stock climbed as high as $742 in November 2007, an 828% rise. But since then it's lost 37% of its value and some executives have bailed. The New York Times reports that Google's VP of Engineering, Douglas Merrill, just bolted for a position as president digital at record company, EMI.
But this is not the first of its executive departures. Google has also lost the following:
In March, Sheryl Sandberg, who was VP for global sales and operations, left to become chief operating officer at Facebook
CFO George Reyes announced last August that he would retire. At the time, Google said it hoped to find a replacement for him by the end of the year but has yet to appoint a new CFO
Meanwhile, Sys-Con reports that Google's U.S. growth is slowing. In 2007 its click-through rate grew between 25% and 40% but in January 2008 click-through growth was flat and in February click-throughs grew a mere 3%. And it gets worse --plain old Google searches that have nothing to do with paid clicks are also down 5% or 6%. Google attributed the January slowdown to its attempts to improve the quality of clicks and tighten up on accidental clicks.