For the first half of 2010, almost two thirds of money managers are bullish, according to Barron's. In fact, 54% are bullish, and 5% are "very bullish." Responses suggest that the Dow Jones Industrial Average is expected to gain another 5% by the end of the year.

According to Barron's, "Today's bullish investors see the major stock indexes making steady progress through next June, amid signs the U.S. economy is on the mend after a searing recession."

Windows 7, the latest operating system from Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), is expected to help jumpstart some IT spending. Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) also sees this happening. A new operating system often means a chance to upgrade from dated equipment that isn't worth upgrading, especially with favorable pricing for technology right now. Everything's coming together for a strong 2010 for the high-tech sector, so it's also worth watching Hewlett Packard (NYSE: HPQ), Dell (NASDAQ: DELL) and EMC (NYSE: EMC).

Economic recovery starts on the ground. So, while it's nice to hear the likes of Stephen Schwarzman celebrate the return of IPOs and hefty exit strategies, the real indications that the economy is turning the corner will come when companies start to open their wallets and spend.

After dealing with only the have-to-haves for a while now, companies can start to make the improvements they've been putting off. Dell (NASDAQ: DELL) CEO Michael Dell sees this happening in the IT space, with companies expected to ramp up their hardware spending aggressively.

The canary in the coal mine for the economy is business capital spending.

IT spending? What IT spending?

According to ChangeWave Research surveys, spending is flat or falling.

There are no gee-whiz products to buy and install, the number of employees is shrinking, meaning there are lots of extra computers and spare server capacity lying about. The number of licensees for a software license is shrinking and so on.

What's worse, IT spending is contracting even faster overseas, and these markets account for more than 50% of the revenue for most big U.S. tech outfits.

Be sure to read all 7 reasons the stock market isn't going up any time soon.

Michael Shulman is a contributor to OptionsZone.com.