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Cramer on BloggingStocks: Don't believe the latest doomsayer's housing hype

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer does not agree with one group's idea the housing market will be hit by a glut of foreclosed homes.

Until last night, when I thought of "Amherst" I thought of a school that my eldest daughter debated applying to. Not anymore. Nope. Now there's a new Amherst in town -- Amherst Securities. Last night this firm, which trades mortgage-backed securities, became the new expert on housing when it issued a report saying that we were going to have another leg down because the market is about to get hit by 7 million foreclosed homes.

Downbeat. Horrible. Sell the homebuilders. Sell the banks. Huge wave of foreclosures coming.

Yeah.

Got it.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Don't believe the latest doomsayer's housing hype

Contrary plays: US housing & Canadian trusts

Dan Frishberg, editor of The MoneyMan Newsletter and host of BizRadio 1320, is going out on the limb with some contrary positions in two out-of-favor sectors -- a U.S. housing play and a Canadian income trust.

To recall, last fall, the Canadian government changed laws regarding the way that Canadian income trusts would be taxed, which led to a marked fall-off in the entire sector. Frishberg now notes, "I've been watching the sector since prices fell dramatically in a short amount of time." And one stock in particular that he has watched is Canetic Resources Trust (NYSE: CNE), which he notes fell from $17 to around $12.

Since then, he says, it's bounced around $12 several times and it appears it's finally starting to get some traction. Indeed, he adds, "There are now rumors of private equity coming into this area as their next target. Many energy trusts might get taken public and their domiciles moved to another country, possibly the U.S."

He continues, "If that happens, many of these trusts will rocket higher." The advisor has added Canetic Resources to his income portfolio. The stock has a yield based on the current dividend of just under 15% per year and pays a monthly dividend.

In another move into an equally out of favor sector, the advisor is also going long in the housing sector. He explains, "Stocks move ahead of news -- and some of our forward looking indicators are showing that home prices may actually improve in the next few months."

Frishberg notes, "Once everyone agrees that housing is improving nationally, the stocks will have already run up in advance. From a technical perspective, we really like the homebuilders as a whole." To reduce risk, he is avoiding investing in any one particular housing stock and is buying a basket of holdings iSHARES Dow Jones U.S. Home Construction (ASE: ITB), an exchange-traded fund."

For more stock picks from the leading financial newsletter advisors, visit Steven Halpern's free daily website, TheStockAdvisors.com.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-20.1110,271.15
NASDAQ-1.792,165.11
S&P 500-3.121,095.39

Last updated: November 12, 2009: 09:49 AM

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