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The week in preview: A bottom for the housing sector?

Earnings reports continue to dribble in as the quarter winds down. Much of the attention this week will be on homebuilders KB Home (NYSE: KBH) and Lennar Corp. (NYSE: LEN) as investors look for any sign that the housing sector has bottomed (home sales numbers are also due out this week; see below). Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial anticipate that both companies will report that they narrowed their losses in the most recent quarter.

KB Home's expected $1.25 per share loss, on revenue of $725.5 million, compares to the previous quarter loss of $3.30 and to a year-ago loss of $6.19. However, KB Home's losses in the past few quarters have been deeper than expected. The Los Angeles-based homebuilder's long-range earnings growth forecast is 10.5%, less than the S&P 500. Analysts continue to recommend holding KB Home, and have for at least 120 days. Shares, however, reached a new 52-week high of $31.69 on Friday, and they are up 10.5% year to date.

Lennar is expected to post a loss of 52 cents per share, on revenue of $1.1 billion. That compares to the previous quarter's per-share loss of 76 cents and to a year-ago loss of $3.25. While Lennar also has tended in the past few quarters to miss expectations, the Miami-based company managed a positive surprise in the first quarter of 2008. Lennar's long-range earnings growth forecast is 10.3%, about the same as KB Home's. Analysts also recommend holding Lennar. Friday, shares of Lennar also reached a 52-week high, $27.75, but they are down 6.4% year to date.

Continue reading The week in preview: A bottom for the housing sector?

Earnings highlights: RIM, Oracle, KB Home, Nike, Kroger, Walgreen and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: RIM, Oracle, KB Home, Nike, Kroger, Walgreen and others

The week in preview: Undercovered

It is going to be an interesting week. The Fed and oil will be at odds, and tempers are sure to flare on the trading floors. There are many earnings and eco reports we are looking at, and it is hard to choose which will be front and center. Traders and investors will be closely following every move by the Fed as they will be releasing a policy statement at 2:15 p.m. on Wednesday.

Also, stocks within the homebuilders group will be front and center as a few key players will share their earnings results. Have you seen the charts of these companies lately? Click for a good comparison. And after you take a peek, you may also wonder if they are actually stock charts or ski slopes. So with that as the backdrop, here are a few names that may actually be undercovered and worth a look.

Tuesday, June 24

Anything related to the automobile industry has been under siege of late, and I can't imagine how that will change anytime soon. HB Fuller Co. (NYSE: FUL) is involved in the manufacturing of the industrial performance/adhesive products for the assembly/packaging and automobile markets. The fact that the economy is lagging would lead one to the realization that, unless we see a quick turnaround of epic proportions, the reality of a lower share price will come with the next earnings release. Several down days of late have also had increasing volume, and that is not a good sign for a stock that is beginning to show signs of breaking down. Even so, First Call is showing a $0.45 per share quarterly estimate on $347 million of revenue.

Continue reading The week in preview: Undercovered

Earnings highlights: Adobe, ConAgra, Lennar, Oracle, Tiffany, Darden and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Also, auction-rate securities issues may hurt some tech company results. Analysts keep cutting earings estimates for the big banks, but some are eyeing Yum! Brands (NYSE: YUM) earnings prospects as it expands in China, as well as Archer Daniels Midland (NYSE: ADM) on soaring demand for commodities.

Upcoming results to watch for include Best Buy (NYSE: BBY), Monsanto (NYSE: MON), and Research in Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM).

Visit AOL Money & Finance for more earnings coverage.

Analyst downgrades: Jabil Circuit, Aircastle, Genesis Lease, P.F. Chang's

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Jabil Circuit, Aircastle, Genesis Lease and P.F. Chang's were today's noteworthy downgrades:

  • JP Morgan downgraded shares of Jabil Circuit (NYSE: JBL) to Underweight from Overweight following the lower-than-expected guidance, as they believe the company is seeing end market weakness in most of its markets. Shares were also downgraded at Thomas Weisel to Market Weight from Overweight and at Credit Suisse to Neutral from Outperform following the disappointing guidance.
  • JP Morgan also downgraded shares of Aircastle (NYSE: AYR) and Genesis Lease (GLS) to Neutral from Overweight to reflect the continued credit and equity market challenges faced by both companies.
  • Friedman Billings downgraded shares of P.F. Chang's (NASDAQ: PFCB) to Underperform from Market Perform as they believe 2008 will be a challenging year for all casual dining restaurant companies and that the valuation is expensive at current levels.

OTHER DOWNGRADES:

Jabil's earnings spark stock

Jabil Circuit Inc (NYSE: JBL) has been down in the dumps lately, down 17% over the last year, while competitor Flextronics International (NASDAQ: FLEX) has profited, up over 7%. But that may be about to change for Jabil -- after 3 consecutive bad quarters, it has given investors reason for optimism, posting better-than expected third quarter earnings results.

Wall Street certainly noticed, as Credit Suisse, RBC Capital Markets and BMO Capital all upgraded Jabil to Outperform this morning.

Still, technically speaking, the primary overhead resistance for Jabil to break out of this long-term downtrend is at $25.65, which is still a ways from the stock's current price of $23.42 -- which includes this morning's 10% move to the upside. So far so good for Jabil, but a long-term change in investor sentiment and momentum will only be seen if it breaks above the resistance. Keep and eye out and see if it keeps heading up.

Analyst upgrades 6-22-07: CAKE, CROX, DRI, KFT and MGM

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Cheesecake Factory (CAKE), Jabil Circuit (JBL), MGM Mirage (MGM), Darden Restaurants (DRI) and Crocs (CROX) were today's more noteworthy upgrades:
  • Robinson Humphries upgraded Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ: CAKE) to Neutral from Reduce citing limited downside risk.
  • Jabil Circuit (NYSE: JBL) was raised to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse and to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital based on its better-than-expected Q3 report.
  • CIBC upgraded MGM Mirage (NYSE: MGM) to Sector Outperform from Sector Perform and gives the odds of a takeout at 50/50 but said business remains healthy and that the value of Las Vegas Strip assets should continue to rise for the next several years. Susquehanna said Kerkorian's decision not to pursue the Bellagio and CityCenter assets is a strong vote of confidence in MGM's management to create shareholder value and upgraded shares to Positive from Neutral.
  • Darden Restaurants (NYSE: DRI) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Matrix based on management's positive steps to improve economic profit by selling off its under-performing units.
  • ThinkEquity upgraded Crocs (NASDAQ: CROX) to Buy from Accumulate on expectations that sales will continue to be strong driven by new product introductions, as well as retail doors and square footage growth...
OTHER UPGRADES:
  • Baird upgraded Pentair (NYSE: PNR) to Neutral from Underperform.
  • Citigroup upgraded AES Corp (NYSE: AES) to Buy from Hold.
  • Credit Suisse upgraded Sohu.com (NASDAQ: SOHU) to Outperform from Neutral.
  • Raymond James upgraded Pier 1 Imports (NYSE: PIR) to Outperform from Market Perform.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Analyst initiations: AEO, ANN, BEBE, CHS and FLEX

MOST NOTEWORTHY: The electronics manufacturing services sector was today's noteworthy initiation:
OTHER INITIATIONS:
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Analyst downgrades 3-23-07: Palm & Take-Two Interactive downgraded today

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Palm, Inc (PALM), Reliant Energy, Inc (RRI) and Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO) topped today's more notable downgrades:
  • UBS cut Palm, Inc (NASDAQ: PALM) to Reduce from Neutral citing valuation. Bank of America downgraded shares to Neutral from Buy with an $18 target and considers the risk/reward less favorable at these levels.
  • Bank of America also downgraded Reliant Energy (NYSE: RRI) to Sell from Neutral on valuation.
  • Hillard Lyons cut Take-Two Interactive Software (NASDAQ: TTWO) to Neutral from Outperform.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • CIBC downgraded Jabil Circuit, Inc (NYSE: JBL) to Sector Performer from Outperformer following the company's disappointing outlook. Bear Stearns cut Jabil to Peer Perform from Outperform. BMO cut the company to Market Perform from Outperform.
  • Friedman, Billings, Ramsey downgraded shares of FormFactor, Inc (NASDAQ: FORM) to Market Perform from Outperform to reflect increased risks in the logic market and long-term growth concerns.
  • Matrix USA downgraded Knight Transportation (NYSE: KNX) to Hold from Buy.
  • American Technology downgraded shares of Comverse Technology, Inc (NASDAQ: CMVT) to Neutral from Buy as the firm believes a retreat to the $17 range is likely given the company's disappointing margin trends.
  • CL King cut Claire's Stores, Inc (NYSE: CLE) to Neutral from Strong Buy following the buyout offer.
  • Goldman downgraded Atmos Energy Corp (NYSE: ATO) to Sell from Neutral and Liz Claiborne, Inc (NYSE: LIZ) to Neutral from Buy.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

PMC-Sierra misses and semis look weak

Another semiconductor company focused on the communications sector was light on revenue. PMC-Sierra Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PMCS) miss follows a trend we have been blogging about over the past month. National Semiconductor Corporation (NYSE:NSM), Texas Instruments Incorporated (NYSE:TXN), Fairchild Semiconductor International (NYSE:FCS) and a few others have come up short. Jabil Circuit, Inc. (NYSE:JBL) last night also guided to weaker revenue for the current quarter.

It will be interesting to see if we get a pre-announcement warning from any of the big handset manufacturers, such as Motorola, Inc. (NYSE:MOT) or Nokia Corporation (NYSE:NOK).

The big question, of course, is what this means for the sector and for the overall economy in the next few quarters. Is this a recession signal?

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 11, 2012: 04:17 AM

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