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Mark Skousen seeks "Wisdom" from Japan

Writing from Japan, while speaking at an economic conference, Mark Skousen looks to opportunities in Japan's stock market for his latest buy.

In his top notch trading service, The Hedge Fund Trader Alert, he says, "Surveying the landscape in Japan, two things are perfectly clear: the market and the currency here are both extremely cheap."

"The Nikkei 225 reached 40,000 back in 1989. Today, almost 20 years later, it is around 12,600 -- more than two-thirds lower.

"The yen also is cheap, due in part to ultra-low interest rates. Many international investors are playing a dangerous game, borrowing money in yen at low rates and lending it out in other currencies at higher rates in order to earn 'the spread.'

"This works fine until the yen begins to surge. Then there will be massive buying of the Japanese currency, as traders rush to cover their bets. That day is not here yet. But when it arrives, we may see one of the most dramatic currency surges ever witnessed in modern financial markets.

"A jump in the yen, however, would not be good for Japan's largest companies. Most of them -- such as Toyota, Honda, Sony, Canon and Mitsubishi -- are major exporters.

Continue reading Mark Skousen seeks "Wisdom" from Japan

Japan: 'High yields; bargain prices'

"Will the 'Land of the Rising Sun' ever rise again?" asks Mike Burnick in Global Market Investor. "From a valuation perspective, Japan is a real bargain; in fact, half its stocks trade below book value." Here is his review.

"First, let's cover the bad news; Japan's economy is slowing right now, just like the U.S. and Europe. Consumer spending is slumping worse than in the U.S. In other words, the domestic economy looks dismal. But at the same time, Japan's exports are booming, businesses are flush with cash, and industrial production is running strong.

"The reason is that Japan is an economy in transition, for years they counted on exports to the U.S. and Europe, but today China is becoming its most important trading partner. Exports to China jumped nearly 14% in November, as overall exports expanded 10%. That's why a slowdown in the U.S. and Europe may not hurt Japan as much as some people think.

"What was already one of the world's cheapest markets just went into deep-discount territory last year. In fact, half the stocks listed in Tokyo now trade below book value. In other words, the share price is less than the stock's per share net worth – that's unheard of in developed markets.

Continue reading Japan: 'High yields; bargain prices'

Best Stocks for 2008: Global expert goes with Japan ETF (EWJ)

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

"My favorite, and more conservative investment idea for 2008 is Japan -- specifically, the iShares MSCI Japan ETF (ASE: EWJ)," says Mike Burnick, editor of Global Market Investor.

"Japan has been one of the most out-of-favor major industrial stock markets over the past two years, yet corporate profits are growing at a fast pace, thanks to a robust export market. Japan's proximity to China certainly helps in this regard, as Japan has become a key exporter to China, as well as other emerging Asian nations.

"From a valuation perspective, Japan appears to be the most undervalued major market in the world right now. Many blue-chip Japanese banks and industrial firms sell at book value or even less then book.

"Meanwhile, bonds typically yield more than stocks, to compensate investors for the lack of appreciation potential in bonds. However, in Japan today the normal stock/bond risk/reward relationship is turned upside-down.

Continue reading Best Stocks for 2008: Global expert goes with Japan ETF (EWJ)

Global trio turns to Japan

The land of the rising sun may be the investor's best bet as a land of rising stock prices, according to a trio of leading advisors.

Japan's current economic expansion is now over 60 months and running, making it the longest expansion in that country in the postwar period according to global advisor expert Carl Delfeld. He says, "Investors should not underestimate Japan's potential - it may be the best growth story in Asia."

The editor of Chartwell Advisor explains, Japanese stocks took a breather in 2006 -- rising 5.5% -- after gaining 35% in 2003, 15% in 2004 and 25% in 2005.

Despite these gains, he notes that the Japanese market is still 60% below its 1989 peak. Is it time to catch up? He says, "Investors should not underestimate Japan's potential - it may be the best growth story in Asia."

Indeed, while many see Xhina as the more exciting growth play, he says, "Japanese companies have long tentacles in emerging Asia, with especially strong networks in Southeast Asia. Plus, in Japan, there is a mountain of cash sitting on the sidelines. Even if just a small amount moves into equities, it will ignite some handsome returns."

Among individual stocks, he likes Kyocera (NYSE:KYO), a large multinational with products and markets that span electronics, fiber optics, and wireless. For broad exposure to the Japanese market, he recommends the iShares Japan ETF (ASE:EWJ), which tracks the MSCI Japan index, which is made up of 350 companies.

Continue reading Global trio turns to Japan

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Last updated: November 10, 2009: 08:48 AM

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