Analyst Upgrades

• Marriott (MAR) to outperform from market perform at Wells Fargo.
• Quest Diagnostics (DGX) and Owens-Illinois (OI) to outperform from neutral at Credit Suisse.
• FirstMerit (FMER) to outperform from perform at Oppenheimer.
• Safeway (SWY) to hold from sell at Citigroup.
• Babcock & Wilcox (BWC) to buy from neutral, as well as Jacobs Engineering (JEC) and W. R. Berkley (WRB) to neutral from sell, at Goldman.
• Pioneer Natural (PXD) to overweight from equal weight at Barclays.
• Teekay Tankers (TNK) to buy from underperform at BofA/Merrill.

Jacobs Engineering Group (JEC - option chain) shares are rising today after the company announced it has agreed to acquire the Process and Construction operations of Aker Solutions ASA for $675 million in cash. The deal will significantly expand JEC's presence in the mining and metals market, and is expected to close in the second quarter of fiscal-2011. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on JEC.

JEC opened this morning at $44.36. So far today the stock has hit a low of $44.28 and a high of $47.97. As of 12:10, JEC is trading at $45.90 up $1.75 (3.9%). The chart for JEC looks bullish and S&P gives JEC a positive 5 STARS (out of 5) strong buy ranking.

Analyst Upgrades

• Macquarie upgraded Boeing (BA) to outperform from neutral based on increased delivery forecasts for next year. The firm has an $83 target on the stock.
• William Blair upgraded Polycom (PLCM) to outperform from market perform, citing strong industry demand and improving execution.
• Rodman & Renshaw upgraded Idera Pharmaceuticals (IDRA) to outperform from market perform to reflect the company's platform technologies and partnership potential.
• Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) was upgraded to buy from hold at Deutsche Bank.
• Jacobs Engineering (JEC) was raised to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan.
• Felcor Lodging (FCH) was upgraded at FBR Capital to outperform from market perform.

Analyst Upgrades

• Credit Suisse upgraded Blackrock (BLK) to outperform from neutral and added shares to its U.S. Focus List. The firm cites valuation for the upgrade. The firm raised its target to $280 from $270.
• Keefe Bruyette upgraded Greenhill & Co. (GHL) to outperform from market perform following the company's acquisition of Caliburn. The firm raised its price target for shares to $110 from $82.
• Deutsche Bank upgraded Athenahealth (ATHN) to buy from hold, citing the removal of the company's accounting overhang and a strong long-term outlook. The firm raised its price target for shares to $51 from $40.
• Ann Taylor (ANN) was upgraded to neutral from underperform at BofA/Merrill.
• Jacobs Engineering (JEC) was upgraded to sell from conviction sell at Goldman.
• Sterling Bancorp (STL) was upgraded to outperform from market perform at BMO Capital.

Analyst Upgrades

• Citigroup upgraded Freeport McMoRan (FCX) to buy from hold to reflect valuation, as well as its increased forecasts for copper and aluminum. The firm raised its price target on shares to $95 from $85.
• Citigroup also upgraded Alcoa (AA) to buy from hold and reiterated a buy rating on Cliffs Natural (CLF).
• William Blair upgraded WESCO International (WCC) to outperform from market perform. The upgrade reflects the firm's belief that WESCO's sales trends will become increasingly positive from easy comparisons over the next 12 months.
• RBC Capital upgraded Thomson Reuters (TRI) to top pick from outperform. The firm sees attractive returns over the next 12 to 18 months as the company's headwinds subside, and it raised its target price on shares to $43 from $41.
• Motorola (MOT) was upgraded to hold from sell at Societe Generale.
• American Express (AXP) was upgraded to buy from neutral at BofA/Merrill.
• Schnitzer Steel (SCHN) was upgraded to buy from neutral at UBS.

Here are some highlights from last week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

• Aetna Inc. (NYSE: AET) said its profit fell due to higher expenses and warned the trend may continue.
• Avon Products Inc. (NYSE: AVP) topped Q2 earnings expectations, which sent shares higher.
• ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) lower Q2 earnings topped expectations, but revenue was also down.
• DreamWorks Animation Inc. (NYSE: DWA) posted flat Q2 earnings as it waits for the next big DVD release.
• First Solar Inc. (NASDAQ: FSLR) posted a better-than-expected profit but guidance sent shares lower.
• Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. (NYSE: JEC) Q3 revenue missed estimates and it lowered its outlook.

Jacobs Engineering Group (NYSE: JEC - option chain) stock is falling today after the company reported third-quarter earnings last night of $94.90 million or 76 cents per share, on revenue of $2.71 billion. Analysts had expected a profit of 75 cents per share on revenue of $2.83 billion. JEC also reduced its fiscal-2009 EPS guidance to a range between $3.10 and $3.35, down from a previous range between $3.10 and $3.50. Analysts are looking for EPS of $3.29. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on JEC.

This morning, JEC opened at $40.10. So far today the stock has hit a low of $39.62 and a high of $40.86. As of 12:00, JEC is trading at $39.81, down $3.58 (-8.2%). The chart for JEC looks bullish and S&P gives JEC a positive 5 STARS (out of 5) strong buy ranking.

What's the next bubble? Perhaps it's the global spending on infrastructure.

No doubt, there will be some big-time winners, especially large engineering companies. One example: Siemens AG (NYSE: SI), which is the largest engineering operator in Europe.

Interestingly enough, the company said that – over the next three years – it will win about $21 billion in projects from the stimulus bonanza. Something else, roughly 40% of the projects will involve environmental technologies.

Analyst upgrades:

• Jefferies upgraded MDS Inc. (NYSE: MDZ) to Buy from Hold on valuation as it believes shares are pricing in a "worst case" scenario at current levels. The firm keeps a $6.50 target on the stock.
  
• JP Morgan upgraded Continental (NYSE: CAL) to Overweight from Neutral on valuation as it believes the recent sell-off is overdone. The firm keeps a $13 price target on the stock.
• Thomas Weisel is positive on Allergan's (NYSE: AGN) diverse product portfolio, global infrastructure, vertical integration, and deep pipeline. The firm upgraded shares to Overweight from Market Weight and has a $54 target on the stock.
• NetLogic (NASDAQ: NETL) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Piper.
  
• Dover (NYSE: DOV) was raised to Buy from Neutral at Banc of America/Merrill.
  
• Map Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: MAPP) was upgraded at Argus to Hold from Sell.

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says after seeing what was passed, forget the infra plays.

Is President Obama listening to all of those good businesspeople around him? Or is it all being done for show? Did they really get behind that stimulus package that couldn't stimulate a fraction of the jobs that have already been lost this month?

I couldn't help but feel that way after speaking to Dan Dimicco from Nucor (NYSE: NUE) (Cramer's Take) last night. Nucor's had about a 50% drop in production of steel -- the kind of steel that would be used in any real infrastructure package -- and he was simply aghast that anyone could check off on anything that small, that the amount of steel that would be used in that package was minuscule and wouldn't mean a thing.

It is very easy to make money in this market despite the headlines. Using options to capitalize on volatility combined with a long/short strategy can result in powerful returns.

For example, taking equal positions of my Top 10 Stocks for 2009 while at the same time selling equal amounts of my Top 10 Stocks to Avoid would generate a return of more than 10% year to date.

Given that trends once in place stay in place for some time, I am quite confident that these positions will be winners throughout the year. It is not too late to set up your trades using these suggestions as a guide.

Do not underestimate the power of a new administration in Washington. With the ability to spend a huge amount of dollars, team Obama can wield tremendous influence in the market.

Case in point is the stem cell space. It is widely expected that Obama will issue an executive order eliminating restrictions on stem cell research.

Stocks like StemCells Inc. (NASDAQ: STEM) and Geron Corp. (NASDAQ: GERN) have been moving higher since the inaugural.

Coincidentally, on Friday, GERN announced approval for human trials for its treatment of spinal chord injuries using stem cells. Both GERN and STEM were up big as a result.

Another space expected to do well under the Obama administration is construction. A massive stimulus plan is said to be coming in February. A key point of the plan will be to boost infrastructure spending.

The dollars will benefit companies like Fluor Corp. (NYSE: FLR) and Jacobs Engineering (NYSE: JEC). Unlike stem cells, the market has yet to move these stocks higher. FLR is down more than 10% and JEC is down nearly 18% so far this year.

"Infrastructure stocks have been laid low by the economic downturn; but once massive government stimulus programs get growth going again, these companies should be among the surest winners," says Stephen Leeb.

In The Complete Investor newsletter, the advisor explains, "We've found four top infrastructure stocks, now at bargain-basement levels, that we think will surge. All are all astonishingly cheap when you consider how vital their role is in worldwide economic growth."

"It would be difficult to find a group of stocks more leveraged to economic growth yet whose valuations imply there will be no growth.

"If you have any faith in the world's future, these stocks are for you, and we think they will be dramatic outperformers as stimulus spending starts to kick in.

"Most diverse among the four is Jacobs Engineering (NYSE: JEC), which serves the chemical, pharmaceutical, building/infrastructure, and oil and gas industries. Nearly 20% of its revenues come from government sources, domestic and foreign.

"The company has nominal debt and has been generating hefty free cash flow, which management has indicated it may use to acquire beaten-down compatible firms, adding to future growth.

Analyst upgrades:

• Standard Pacific(NYSE:SPF) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS on valuation. The firm lowered its target to $3 from $3.25.

Analyst downgrades:

• UBS downgraded FPL Group (NYSE:FPL) to Neutral from Buy on valuation and raised its target to $50 from $48.
  
• Citigroup downgraded Charter Comm (NASDAQ:CHTR) to Sell from Buy to reflect Charter's increasing probability of financial distress. The firm lowered its target to 5c from $1.
  
• B. Riley downgraded UCBH Holdings (NASDAQ:UCBH) to Neutral from Buy on valuation.
• Dow Chemical NYSE:DOW) was cut to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays.
  
• Honeywell (NYSE:HON) was lowered to Hold from Buy at Argus.
  
• Brean Murray downgraded California Water Service (NYSE:CWT) to Hold from Buy.

Analyst initiations:

• Standpoint Research believes Jacobs Engineering's (NYSE:JEC) relationship-based business model differentiates it from peers. The firm initiated shares with a Buy rating and has a 3-5 year price target of $70-$80.
• Pali thinks American Eagle's (NYSE:AEO) spring product line is improved and that shares already price in weak 2009 results. Shares were assumed with a Buy rating and $13 target.
  
• B. Riley started Watsco (NYSE:WSO) with a Neutral rating and $40 target and believes shares are close to fair valuation.

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says that we need to build up our reserves so the wild fluctuations can't happen again.

Memo to Barack Obama: Start building oil facilities right now -- tankers, tanks, whatever. Fill up every preserve you can. This is the time to buy oil for America even if you don't like carbon footprints.

The new president is being given a once-in-a-lifetime infrastructure opportunity to build enough tankers and tanks to sop up the supply. That's what is needed more than anything. We can't drill for these prices economically anymore, and oil is obviously overflowing everywhere. Right now, we are out of storage in this country. That's one reason the price has fallen so precipitously -- there is nowhere to put it. I don't think there is a soul who believes that oil will be down here two years from now. We should be filling and creating a strategic petroleum reserve that is big enough that this will never happen again. NEVER.

That ridiculous run-up that everyone says was caused by speculators must not occur again, as we see the disastrous results. We need to be able to bring oil down ourselves by buying reserves at these prices and making them available to beat the speculators next time this occurs. I think the low price is because of the big pension and endowments funds puking up their commodity exposure because they can't sell a lot of other investments they are locked into, including private equity.