jeffrey immelt posts
FeedPosted Apr 23rd 2008 1:04PM by Peter Cohan (RSS feed)
Filed under: General Electric (GE)
AP reports that General Electric Company (NYSE: GE) CEO Jeff Immelt did quite a bit of whining at today's shareholder meeting in Erie, PA. But he did announce one piece of news that might help GE's stock: GE will increase its planned cost cutting from $2 billion to $3 billion. Yet I think he's still smarting from Jack Welch's threat to shoot Immelt on GE's CNBC last week.
Immelt whined on two fronts: the tough economy and how his buying and selling of GE business units is not appreciated. Here's what he said about the economy: "We are in the toughest economy since 2001 and the worst housing crisis since the Depression. Banks have written off more than $250 billion. . . . Days of easy credit have turned into months of no credit at all. While I am confident about the economy long term, we could see even more difficult times ahead."
And on the matter of GE's portfolio, Immelt exuded self-pity as he assailed his audience: "I would ask people to keep something in mind. In the last five or six years I've sold 50 or $60 billion of business. I've acquired 70 or $80 billion of business. This has probably been the most active portfolio change in the history of the company and it would be hard to find another industrial company that's done anything close to what we've done."
Continue reading GE's Immelt reduced to whining after homicidal rant from Jack Welch
Posted Apr 15th 2008 1:50PM by Michael Rainey (RSS feed)
Filed under: Bad News, General Electric (GE)
General Electric's (NYSE:
GE) CEO Jeffrey Immelt is facing increasing scrutiny after last week's unpleasant earnings surprise sent the stock down 13%. GE is now trading near its 52-week low of $31.55, and major investors are not pleased.
James Hardesty of Hardesty Capital Management, which owns shares in GE, was quoted on Bloomberg TV as saying, "Immelt now has to be put in the penalty box."
Peter Sorrentino, a senior portfolio manager at Huntington Asset Advisors in Cincinnati, which owns more than six million GE shares, argues that analysts and the GE board need to look at Immelt's plans very carefully."The time has come for greater scrutiny of Immelt," said Sorrentino on Bloomberg Radio. "It's really incumbent on the board to ask tougher questions now. The board needs to ask, 'Are we really headed in the right direction? Yes, the Infrastructure business is going very well; let's make sure that we're not blowing it on the other side'."
For his part, Immelt says he hates missing his numbers, and that he expects GE's strategy to pay off in the long run. The problem is that Immelt was claiming that all was well as recently as March. Immelt had forecast 10% growth in earnings, a forecast that has now been cut in half. Understandably, this makes investors nervous. If Immelt was that far off, is he really in control of the company? And what other surprises might erupt? Until we know the answers to those questions, Immelt can expect to face greater scrutiny and a rising tide of investor dissatisfaction.
Posted Apr 11th 2008 9:00AM by Peter Cohan (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, General Electric (GE)
CNNMoney reports that General Electric Company (NYSE: GE) missed earnings expectations by a mile. Its net income fell 12% to $4.4 billion, or 44 cents per share, seven cents less than what Thomson Financial's polling of analysts had estimated.
In February I analyzed GE's breakup value and concluded that the stock was probably a bit overvalued. The big problem with today's earnings announcement was GE's financial services unit. Like Wall Street banks, GE suffered from "extraordinary disruption in the capital markets in March [which] affected our ability to complete asset sales and resulted in higher mark-to-market losses and impairments."
But that's not all. GE missed on revenues and lowered its guidance. Sales rose 8% to $42.2 billion, $1.5 billion below analysts' forecast of $43.7 billion. GE lowered its full year guidance to between $2.20 and $2.30 per share, reflecting flat to 5% growth. GE is down 11% in pre-market.
Since its current CEO, Jeff Immelt took over in September 2001, GE stock has fallen 20% from $41 to $33. Remind me again of why the "great" Jack Welch chose Immelt to succeed him.
Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. He owns GE shares.
Posted Mar 14th 2008 9:43AM by Peter Cohan (RSS feed)
Filed under: Management, General Electric (GE), Market Matters, Stock Screen
The New York Times reports that General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE) sponsored a webcast yesterday with its CEO, Jeff Immelt, to answer questions submitted by the general public. Immelt denied that its NBC Universal unit was for sale while answering questions from Carl Quintanilla and a co-host of the Squawk Box program on CNBC, and Chrystia Freedland, the United States managing editor of The Financial Times.
A few disclosures are in order: GE invited me to participate in this webcast but I had a prior commitment. I met last July with GE's CFO -- where he said that NBC Universal was worth between $40 billion and $45 billion. I've appeared on CNBC with Quintanilla, most recently as guest host of Squawk Box. And I own GE stock and am not a happy camper since it's trading 13% below where it was on September 10, 2001 when Immelt took over. The S&P 500 has risen 21% since then.
Is Immelt right that GE is undervalued? I took a look at that question and concluded that it was slightly overvalued on February 27th. Specifically, I calculated a range of breakup values for GE which were between 11.1% and 1.5% less below GE's current market capitalization. I could be wrong about that analysis since I was compounding assumptions on assumptions and had no guidance on the analysis from GE.
Continue reading GE needs new message, not new medium
Posted Mar 14th 2008 9:00AM by Douglas McIntyre (RSS feed)
Filed under: Management, General Electric (GE), Marketing and Advertising
Several media outlets have reported that GE's (NYSE: GE) CEO Jeff Immelt used a webcast to try to reach the company's two million smaller shareholders. The project included Immelt being questioned by Carl Quintanilla of CNBC, and Chrystia Freedland of The Financial Times.
The webcast drew 6,000 questions over the internet, but Immelt could only answer a tiny fraction of those. According to The New York Times, Mr. Immelt had one message: "We ought to be trading at a premium to the S.& P."
GE is missing the boat. Whether it is through webcasts or meetings with large investors, Wall Street does not believe in the conglomerate's strategy. At this point, the growth at GE comes from its infrastructure and financial operations. Divisions like NBC Universal, the company's medical group, and its industrial operations are a drag on the company's overall results.
GE trades near a 52-week low. PR won't solve that problem. The company needs to restructure and dump the dogs.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
Posted Mar 11th 2008 8:00AM by Douglas McIntyre (RSS feed)
Filed under: SEC Filings, Bad News, Rumors, Management, General Electric (GE)
In GE's (NYSE: GE) annual report, CEO Jeff Immelt plans to state, once again, that the conglomerate will not sell NBC Universal, the company's entertainment arm. There have been rumors of a sale for the last two years.
"Should we sell NBCU? The answer is no!" Mr. Immelt writes in a message for investors in G.E.'s 2007 annual report, according to The New York Times.
The statement is likely to disappoint GE investors. According to the company's 10-K, NBC Universal revenue dropped last year to $15.4 billion from $16.2 billion the year before. Operating profit moved up about 7% to $3.1 billion. These results trailed the performance of GE's large infrastructure and finance businesses.
GE now trades near its 52-week low. With its balance sheet and international prospects, the stock should be doing much better. But the company has to auction off its under-performers if the shares are going to gain ground.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
Posted Dec 10th 2007 9:50AM by Paul Foster (RSS feed)
Filed under: General Electric (GE), Boeing Co (BA), Options
General Electric (NYSE: GE) CEO Jeffrey Immelt will host GE's annual performance review and business outlook meeting on December 11. GE overall option implied volatility of 26 is above its 26-week average of 24 according to Track Data, suggesting larger risk.
Boeing (NYSE: BA) will give a mid-quarter update on the 787 Dreamliner program on December 11th. Jeffries says, "We feel comfortable with our $122 price target." BA overall option implied volatility of 28 is near its 26-week average of 27 according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional risk.
Daily Options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Posted Nov 14th 2007 10:48AM by Jonathan Berr (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, General Electric (GE), Economic Data, Housing
General Electric Co. (NYSE:
GE) today gave a bullish outlook for 2007 helped by growth in energy, healthcare and infrastructure.
Revenue will be $175 billion this year, with a profit of $23 billion, according to a Dow Jones report. That's better than the $171.6 billion average consensus estimate expected by analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial. Chief Executive Jeffrey Immelt crowed on his company's CNBC network that "global growth is really substantial now." Like other CEOs, Immelt sees the housing market as "tough," which may hurt some GE businesses such as appliances.
Immelt dismissed talk on Wall Street calling for the conglomerate to dump its NBC Universal media and entertainment business, pointing to its improving performance. "I am all about running NBC Universal for the long-term," he said.
Continue reading GE's Immelt sees strong 2007, dismisses NBC sale talk
Posted Oct 30th 2007 10:48AM by Douglas McIntyre (RSS feed)
Filed under: Deals, Rumors, Industry, General Electric (GE), CBS Corp 'B' (CBS)
NBC Universal Chief Executive Jeff Zucker made it clear at a conference yesterday that GE (NYSE: GE) had no interest in selling the media business. Referring to GE CEO Jeff Immelt, Zucker said, "He has said numerous times that NBCU is not for sale. It is not for sale after the Olympics." Some press reports have indicated that GE would take the big money from the sports event and then dump the business on some sucker.
It is odd that the head of a GE division should have to make this kind of comment at all. The head of the locomotive division probably wouldn't make comments about the future of his business. Meanwhile, NBC Universal can go on operating as usual whether Wall Street thinks it is for sale or not.
The argument for selling NBC is that the unit does not fit with the conglomerate's industrial and financial operations. That is true, but owning a network does mean tickets to the Super Bowl and the Oscars.
NBC is a $15 billion business with operating income running about $2.5 billion, making it a modest part of GE's overall earnings. Still, the business is about the size of CBS (NYSE: CBS), which has a market cap of $21 billion and debt of $7 billion.
For the $28 billion enterprise value of CBS, GE would sell NBC tomorrow.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor of 247wallst.com.
Posted Oct 29th 2007 9:30AM by Douglas McIntyre (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Products and Services, Competitive Strategy, General Electric (GE), India, China, Economic Data
The plan makes sense, at least on paper. GE (NYSE: GE) believes that it can offset any slowdown in its US business by the acceleration of revenue in China and India. It is, perhaps, one of the benefits of being a multinational.
The FT writes that, "GE's chairman and chief executive (Jeffrey Immelt) said the company's sales in emerging markets such as China and India were expanding at 20 percent a year, and there were few signs of this growth slowing."
But, GE's view is based on two assumptions that may not be true. The first is that a slowdown in the US will not spread to Asia and the Indian subcontinent. Much of the export income from China and India depends on demand in the US and Europe. if that demand slackens, there is no guarantee that their own economies will be able to continue growing rapidly.
GE is also assuming that growth in these countries, particularly China, will not come without a cost. Trade tensions between the US and the world's most populous country still exist. The China toy debacle demonstrates that. It would not take so terribly much for China to shut its markets to certain US goods and services, if it feels that it has been provoked.
GE's plan to keep growing outside the US looks good, for now.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wall st.com.
Posted Jul 30th 2007 12:56PM by Peter Cohan (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, General Electric (GE), Columns, Define Investing, Stock Screen, S and P 500
General Electric Company's (NYSE: GE) Industrial segment is worth between $20.2 billion and $21.7 billion, according to my estimates.
GE Industrial, which constituted 20.5%, 22.1% and 22.9% of GE's revenues in 2006, 2005 and 2004, respectively produces and sells products including consumer appliances, industrial equipment and plastics, and related services. It also provides asset management services for the transportation industry.
GE Industrial strikes me as a hodgepodge of businesses that should either be fixed or sold. In the second quarter, this segment's revenues declined while its profits increased slightly. I was intrigued that Keith Sherin said that its appliances unit generated a return on total capital of 70%. On the other hand I wonder about how many of the other units within this segment earn such high returns.
Assuming that GE Industrial generates net income of $1.3 billion in 2007, here are the range of valuations based on the Price/Earnings ratios of the following peer companies:
Peter Cohan is president of Peter S. Cohan & Associates, a management consulting and venture capital firm. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. He owns General Electric shares and has no financial interest in the other securities mentioned in this post.
Posted Jul 30th 2007 9:45AM by Peter Cohan (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Products and Services, General Electric (GE), Define Investing
After my meeting with General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE) CFO Keith Sherin last week, I tried to figure out how much GE's NBC Universal might be worth in the open market. Such analysis is relevant now for two reasons:
- GE's stock price has fallen 2% under its current CEO. When Jeff Immelt took over as CEO on September 7, 2001, GE was trading, 2%, or 87 cents, above today's $38.79. During that same period, the S&P 500 rose 40%. In predecessor Jack Welch's first 5.9 years as CEO, GE's stock rose 221% from a split-adjusted $1.40 in April 1981 to $4.50 in March 1987.
- A respected analyst recently advocated a breakup to get GE stock moving. The New York Times [registration required] recently reported that Citigroup Inc.'s (NYSE: C) John Sprague issued a report titled "Partial Break-Up Could Break Deadlock on the Stock."
Is GE worth more broken up in pieces and sold or kept intact? To answer this, let me explain how a conglomerate like GE can raise its stock price. My theory is that GE management has two levers: the P/Es of the industries in which GE competes and the earnings growth rates of its businesses in those industries. To increase GE's market value, its management should prune GE's portfolio of businesses with the lowest P/Es and slow earnings growth -- replacing them with high P/E, fast earnings growth businesses which it can run successfully (if that can be done without overpaying). Nevertheless, as noted here, I am not sure whether a conglomerate is a good corporate strategy for GE because it may be leading the stock market to discount its earnings by 4%.
I address whether breaking up GE will increase its stock price in Breaking Down GE, a seven-post series.
Continue reading Why breaking up GE isn't worth the bother: A BloggingStocks seven-part series
Posted Jul 24th 2007 8:00AM by Hilary Kramer (RSS feed)
Filed under: General Electric (GE), Hilary On Stocks, Stocks to Buy

For years, General Electric (NYSE: GE) has suffered from perceptions of mediocrity, and its stock price has stayed relatively flat. But its revenues and margins have been growing steadily, and its second-quarter results showed revenues up 12% over the second quarter of 2006, 8% of which came organically, and investors are paying attention again. The stock is now trading at a long-time high of $40, and a Goldman Sachs analyst report this week predicted the stock would reach as high as $45.
GE's success has resulted in large part from a continuing boom in global infrastructure needs, and all its divisions have been doing well of late except NBC and its health-care sector. The company has benefited from global trends, but CEO Jeffrey Immelt continues to make improvements, from investing in a major buyback program of $14 billion to getting out of the plastics business to, most recently, announcing GE would exit the subprime mortgage industry. GE's subprime division, WMC Mortgage, was a tiny part of the company, but Immelt was smart to avoid losing any more money, and to avoid the kind of negative publicity that has hit firms, like Bear Stearns, that are deeply involved in that failing industry.
Continue reading General Electric: Bringing good things back to life
Posted Jul 20th 2007 11:00AM by Peter Cohan (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Management, Industry, General Electric (GE), Economic Data
Next Tuesday I am scheduled to meet with General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE) Chief Financial Officer Keith Sherin to discuss GE's performance and prospects. This meeting came at the company's initiation.
As a GE shareholder I have not been thrilled with the performance of the stock. Since September 7, 2001 when current CEO Jeff Immelt took over, the stock has risen 3% from $39.60, compared to a 40% increase in the S&P 500. Moreover, on the basis of its Price/Earnings to Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.5 -- based on a P/E of 19.5 and earnings forecast to grow 13% to $2.50 in 2008 -- GE looks somewhat overvalued to me.
So here are some questions I plan to ask:
-
Since the current GE CEO took over, GE stock is up 3%, compared to a 40% increase in the S&P 500. Why has GE stock underperformed this average?
-
GE stock has risen 23% in the last year, however, it trades at a PEG of 1.5 which makes it a bit expensive. Why should investors buy GE stock now?
- Since the Healthcare, Industrial and NBC Universal segments all saw revenues fall in the first half with relatively weak profit performance, why doesn't GE sell these businesses and invest the proceeds to increase its market share in the more financially successful Infrastructure and Commercial Finance units?
-
If GE chooses to stay in Healthcare how will it offset the negative impact of the federal government's decision to cut reimbursements to nonhospital imaging centers?
-
Under Jack Welch, GE's philosophy was to only be in businesses in which it could be #1 or #2. Recently NBC was ranked the 4th most watched network. Will GE sell NBC? If not, why is GE keeping NBC? How does NBC's coordination with other GE divisions increase GE's overall revenues or lower its costs?
-
How vulnerable is the GE Money unit to an increase in consumer loan defaults? Is GE Money likely to experience accelerated revenue and profit growth in 2008 or slower growth? Why?
-
What impact would a 10% decline in the dollar have on GE's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?
-
What other external factors -- such as an increase in interest rates or a rise in energy prices -- represent the biggest risks to GE's EPS? How do you quantify those risks?
Please let me know which ones you'd like to add to the list.
Peter Cohan is president of Peter S. Cohan & Associates, a management consulting and venture capital firm. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. He owns General Electric stock.
< Previous Page | Next Page >