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U-6 unemployment number suggests recovery has not started

While this article is a few days old, I still found its message rather interesting. Jeff Cox's article takes a look at the U-6 number of unemployment. This number is the "broadest" measure of unemployment, and it shows that roughly 17.5% of Americans are either without a job or underemployed. This is the highest reading since the U-6 number became an official labor statistic in 1994. The U-3 rate (which is what most investors follow) came in at 10.2% in October, which was the highest reading since June 1983.

Continue reading U-6 unemployment number suggests recovery has not started

Jobless claims drop during the last week of October

Last week, the number of people filing initial claims for state unemployment dropped by 20,000. As a result, benefits dropped to a seasonally adjusted 512,000. This drop in filings was the first in the past two weeks, and it is the lowest level of initial claims seen since early January.

That said, initial jobless claims have come in atop 500,000 for the past 51 weeks. In addition, the four-week average of claims dropped 3,000 to 523,700. This total is the lowest since the beginning of the year. Expectations called for initial jobless claims to drop to 520,000 last week, so it may be time to sound the rally bell.

Continue reading Jobless claims drop during the last week of October

Unemployment up in 23 states, 15 set records

The unemployment rate increased in 23 states in September, with 43 reporting job losses for the month (though not at an accelerating rate). This does signal that we're (hopefully) in the early stages of an economic recovery ... though this can also mean that some job seekers have just given up (and are no longer counted).

Layoffs have slowed down a bit, but companies aren't crazy about taking on new bodies. So far, 600,000 people have dropped out of the hunt. Unemployment now sits at 9.8%.

Continue reading Unemployment up in 23 states, 15 set records

First-time jobless claims fall faster than expected

First-time claims for jobless benefits fell last week, hitting the lowest level we've seen since January. The U.S. Department of Labor pegged the number at 521,000. This is down from the previous week's 554,000 (which had been revised upward). Wall Street economists anticipated 540,000. Claims of this type have fallen four times in five weeks, and the four-week average reached 539,750 – its lowest level since January 17, 2009.

In general, first-time claims for unemployment benefits have been declining since the spring, though slowly. Unfortunately, they still remain well above the 325,000 that economists claim to be indicative of a healthy economy.

Continue reading First-time jobless claims fall faster than expected

Ten views of unemployment around the world

The United States is not alone. We just saw the unemployment rate creep higher to 9.8% for September, and the rest of the world is coming with us.

The worldwide recession is still circling the globe, it seems, leaving slashed jobs in its wake. While the rise in unemployment is essentially a fact of life, how countries are responding to it differs widely. Some are spending aggressively to protect jobs; for example, by chipping in some extra cash to pay for shorter work weeks.

In the 30 countries comprising the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), unemployment is as low as 3.2% in the Netherlands and as high as 17.6% in Spain, as of July 2009.

Continue reading Ten views of unemployment around the world

House may extend unemployment benefits

It appears that the House may be ready to extend unemployment benefits for another 13 weeks.

On Wednesday, September 23, Congress will consider legislation to add 13 weeks to unemployment benefits in what are termed "high-unemployment states." In order to be considered a high-unemployment state, the unemployment rate must be greater than 8.5%. With unemployment at record highs nationwide, this status includes 26 states and the District of Columbia. What about the other 24 states? The unemployed workers there could qualify if their state is expected to hit 8.5% unemployed or it meets other criteria.

Continue reading House may extend unemployment benefits

President Obama says that financial crisis is not over

President Obama was in Cincinnati yesterday, where he spoke to a group of union members at a picnic. While he was on his way here, the White House released a statement noting that "working Americans will help our nation emerge from this crisis." Nevertheless, the President believes that the country still faces a "vast and complex" economic crisis. Here is the problem, with a dwindling American workforce, President Obama says that it will be the working Americans that pull the nation out of the economic crisis. Last time we checked (and that was last week), the jobless rate was 9.7%.

Continue reading President Obama says that financial crisis is not over

Job market expected to recover in 2014

The rate at which jobs were cut slowed in August, but the gap to be filled will be with us for a while. With 14.9 million people looking for jobs according to Moody's Economy.com, the unemployment rate won't hit 5% -- considered "normal" -- until 2014. To put this in perspective, we still have one presidential election and two mid-term contests between now and a full employment recovery.

Data published by the Department of Labor Friday puts the unemployment rate at 9.7%. In December 2007, it was only 4.7%. And, as BloggingStocks reported on Friday, it could pass 10% by the end of 2009. For teenagers, the unemployment rate has reached 26%. The number of job-seekers who have given up completely is above 750,000 -- the highest level since the Department of Labor started keeping score in 1994.

Continue reading Job market expected to recover in 2014

2.9 million college kids unsure of career plans

Across the country, college classes are starting. In each of these classrooms, students are struggling with calculus, trudging through Candide, and wondering just what the hell they're going to do with their degrees upon graduation. The last of these is characteristic of every college student, especially those of us, with the foresight fortitude recklessness zeal to major in liberal arts fields (in my case, Philosophy).

The anxiety is a bit higher this year, given a high rate of unemployment, the likelihood of a "jobless recovery" and the fact that it could take years for destroyed value to be recovered.

Continue reading 2.9 million college kids unsure of career plans

Unemployment continues its rise in April

Jobless claimsThe employment data is in for April, and it is not a pretty picture, as all but 6 states in the country saw increases in the number of jobless claims.

We all hope that Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is right, and the economy is going to start to turn around in the latter part of this year, but even the most optimistic forecasters agree that unemployment is going to continue to rise, possibly above 10% before the worst is over.

Continue reading Unemployment continues its rise in April

Oil drops under $40 on employment data

oil prices dropWhile the markets may have been able to move higher today, despite a weak jobs report, oil was not so lucky, with traders pushing oil prices down below $40 a barrel.

By the end of the session, oil had inched back slightly higher, and closed the day at $40.17, after breaking through the psychological $40 barrier and hitting an intraday low of $38.60. Traders pushed oil prices lower on the news of deep job cuts in January.

Continue reading Oil drops under $40 on employment data

Sears Holdings (SHLD) slides on jobless data

Sears logoSears Holdings (NASDAQ: SHLD) -- as well as most other retail outlets -- is taking a dive this morning after the Labor Department reported the biggest increase in the number of jobless claims since February. Worries of a weak consumer environment going into the holiday season have weighed heavily on retail, with several stocks across the sector trading at new 52-week lows today. Sears is hit particularly hard by reports like these because the company does not report its interim data between earnings releases. All investors in SHLD have to go on in the quarterly report, similar companies' performances and broad economic data. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on SHLD.

After hitting a one-year high of $195.18 in April, the stock slipped to a 52-week low of $123.39 in September. This morning, SHLD opened at $134.66. So far today the stock has hit a low of $132.12 and a high of $134.75. As of 11:05, SHLD is trading at $132.61, down $2.61 (-1.9%). The chart for SHLD looks bullish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.


Continue reading Sears Holdings (SHLD) slides on jobless data

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-154.4810,309.92
NASDAQ-37.612,138.44
S&P 500-22.851,087.78

Last updated: November 27, 2009: 04:30 PM

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