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Juniper Networks Launches New Networking System

Juniper Networks (JNPR) plans to unveil its new networking system on Wednesday called QFabric, The Wall Street Journal reports.

The increase in data from mobile devices and 'cloud' applications programs delivered over the Internet are creating demand for more computing and storage systems. Juniper's new network claims to be a better mousetrap. Its system is geared toward large data centers. It connects servers and storage devices more directly than traditional systems.

Continue reading Juniper Networks Launches New Networking System

Analyst Calls: AFL, DE, DOX, GD, GS, HSY, ITT, MS, NYX, TXN, UBS, WYNN ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • NYSE Euronex (NYX) to conviction buy from neutral at Goldman.
  • General Dynamics (GD) to buy from hold at Citigroup.
  • Deere (DE), Parker-Hannifin (PH) and ExlService (EXLS) to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan.
  • Aflac (AFL) to outperform from market perform at FBR Capital.
  • Wynn Resorts (WYNN) to buy from neutral at Janney Capital.
  • Amdocs (DOX) to buy from neutral at UBS.
  • Juniper (JNPR) to buy from hold at ThinkEquity.
  • Rudolph Tech (RTEC) and KLA-Tencor (KLAC) to perform from underperform at Oppenheimer.
  • Hershey (HSY) and Pinnacle Entertainment (PNK) to outperform from market perform at Wells Fargo.
  • Spirit AeroSystems (SPR) to equal weight from underweight at Morgan Stanley.
  • Micron (MU) to outperform from neutral at RW Baird.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: AFL, DE, DOX, GD, GS, HSY, ITT, MS, NYX, TXN, UBS, WYNN ...

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: ADTN, CAL, EXFO, JCI, LUV, VAR, CSCO, KMT, EZCH

Analyst upgrades:
  • Citigroup upgraded Adtran (NASDAQ: ADTN) to Buy from Hold on expectations the company will benefit from the broadband Stimulus funds.
  • Morgan Stanley upgraded Continental Airlines (NYSE: CAL) to Overweight from Equal Weight based on relative valuation and views the company as a "survivor." Additionally, the analyst lowered 2009 industry estimates but believes it is the last cut for the year and is incrementally more positive on the sector.
  • Morgan Stanley also upgraded EXFO Electro-Optical (NASDAQ: EXFO) to Overweight from Market Weight based on valuation.
  • Tata Motors (NYSE: TTM) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank.
  • Ascent Solar (NASDAQ: ASTI) was upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at JP Morgan.
  • Mechel Steel (NYSE: MTL) was upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Credit Suisse.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: ADTN, CAL, EXFO, JCI, LUV, VAR, CSCO, KMT, EZCH

The week in preview: More hope for techs, doubt about financials

Wall Street's optimism in last week's preview about the earnings of tech stocks wasn't misplaced, as there were many more positive surprises than negative ones among the stocks we looked at. This week will bring plenty more data for investors in and watchers of the sector to mull over. Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL), AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T), and Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT), for example, are expected by analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial to post modest earnings gains from a year ago, to $1.11 per share (on $8.1 billion in sales), $0.72 per share (on $31.3 billion in sales), and $0.47 per share (on $14.8 billion in sales) respectively. All three of these companies ended the week closer to their 52-week lows than highs, and analysts on average consider them each a buy.

Here's a look at some of the week's biggest expected earnings gainers and decliners in the sector:

Continue reading The week in preview: More hope for techs, doubt about financials

Tech sector at a glance

Minyanville contributor Sean Udall dares to share the kind of keen insight and actionable information you won't find in any prospectus. For more original thought, visit www.minyanville.com.

  • I've taken a leg in the Ultra QQQ ProShares (AMEX: QLD). The market has popped 2% off lows, the question is will it pop the full 7%?

  • I'm seeing a few positive divergences and the percentage of stocks below the 50 day moving average is well below the 2002 levels. I haven't looked at the percentage of stocks below the 200 day, but I'm sure the reading should be equally distressed.

  • I know people are pricing in earnings per share Armageddon in tech land -- so the question is, what happens to many of these stocks if it's really just sort of "punk" and not a total cataclysmic drop in revenue guidance.

Continue reading Tech sector at a glance

Option Update: Juniper volatility slightly elevated into CEO appointment & EPS

Juniper (NASDAQ: JNPR) is recently up 15 cents to $23.04 in pre-open trading.

JNPR named Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) veteran Kevin Johnson CEO. JNPR is scheduled to report Q1 EPS after the market close tonight. RBC Capital Markets has a $30 price target on JNPR.

JNPR August option implied volatility of 51 is above its 26-week average of 47 according to Track Data, suggesting slightly larger price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Analyst initiations: CSCO, NYX, NDAQ and COGI

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Cisco Systems, NYSE Euronext, Nasdaq and Cognicase were today's noteworthy initiations:
  • Friedman Billings believes Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO) is well-positioned to take advantage of "Business 2.0" applications and to gain share in a slower economic environment. The firm initiated shares with an Outperform rating and $31 target.
  • NYSE Euronext (NYSE: NYX) and Nasdaq (NASDAQ: NDAQ) were assumed with a Neutral rating and $72 target and $44 target, respectively, at UBS. The firm cited increasing competition and moderating volumes.
  • Deutsche Bank believes Cognicase (COGI) is one of the few carriers offering high-capacity commercial Internet access to enterprise customers at a discount to nearly all of its competitors. Shares were initiated with a Buy rating and $23 target.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
  • China Housing (OTCBB: CHLN) was initiated at Merriman with a Buy rating.
  • Goldman started Juniper (NASDAQ: JNPR) with a Market Perform rating and $27 target.
  • Suntrust initiated hhgregg (NYSE: HGG) with a Buy rating and $16 target.

Option update: JNPR & MOT's options suggest no surprises at investor meetings

Juniper Networks (NASDAQ: JNPR) option volatility Elevated at 43 into 9/6 investor meeting. JNPR, a provider of internet infrastructure solutions to internet service providers and other telecommunication services providers, is recently down .04 to $32.74. JNPR will host an investor gathering in Sunnyvale, CA. on 9/6. Bank of America-BAMO says, "We don't expect any update to JNPR's financial guidance, we do expect a positive tone highlighting new growth opportunities resulting from new products and carrier NGN builds." JNPR over all option implied volatility of 43 is above its 26-week average of 36, according to Track Data, suggesting larger price risks.

Motorola (NYSE: MOT) implied volatility Flat into 9/7 investor meeting. MOT is hosting an analyst day in New York on 9/7. BAMO says, "we expect management to discuss its business strategy and market trends, and to highlight a number of new handsets." MOT over all option implied volatility of 30 is near its 26-week average, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional risk.

Daily options update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Analyst upgrades 7-19-07: DSW, JNPR and PFE

MOST NOTEWORTHY: St. Jude Medical (STJ), Juniper Networks (JNPR), Satyam Computer (SAY), Clearwire (CLWR) and Citrix Systems (CTXS) were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • St. Jude Medical's (NYSE: STJ) upgrade to Outperform from Market Perform at Wachovia was based on signs of an ICD recovery and reasonable valuation.
  • Baird upgraded shares of Juniper (NASDAQ: JNPR) to Outperform from Neutral following better-than-expected guidance; Goldman upgraded Juniper to Buy from Neutral.
  • Satyam (NYSE: SAY) was upgraded to Positive from Neutral at Susquehanna citing better than expected growth.
  • Clearwire (NASDAQ: CLWR) was upgraded to Outperform from Peer Perform at Bear Stearns following the announcement that Sprint (S) and Clearwire will form a Nationwide 4G/Wimax Network.
  • Citrix (NASDAQ: CTXS) was upgraded at Jefferies to Buy from Hold as they believe the strong customer response to Presentation Server Platinum Edition and the pipeline buildup related to NetScaler 8.0 bode well for the second half of 2007...
OTHER UPGRADES:
  • Lehman raised DSW Inc (NYSE: DSW) to Overweight from Equal-Weight.
  • Goldman upgraded shares of Labor Ready (NYSE: LRW) to Neutral from Sell.
  • Raymond James upgraded Pfizer (NYSE: PFE) to Strong Buy from Market Perform.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

This week's rumor round-up: More bids for XM Satellite Radio?

It may be Independence Day week, but it appears that there are a number of companies willing to sell their independence to the highest bidder.
  • XM SATELLITE RADIO HOLDINGS INC (NASDAQ: XMSR)

  • Word is that there's more than one bid out for the satellite radio company. We know about the merger agreement with Sirius Satellite Radio Inc's (NASDAQ: SIRI), so who's the other party? Or, is there another party? Some are convinced it's just talk. No names are even floating around. But for XM to walk away from Sirius would cost them a $175M break-up fee. They'd have to really be serious about another offer to do that.

  • BUILDING MATERIALS HOLDING CORPORATION (NYSE: BLG)

  • In May, Robert L .Chapman of Chapman Capital, the "activist investor", said Building Materials Holding Corp. should consider selling all or parts of itself. Then he upped his stake to 8.1% in the residential construction services provider. Now comes word that the company may have hired, or be in the process of hiring, a strategic advisor.

Continue reading This week's rumor round-up: More bids for XM Satellite Radio?

Post Avaya, which high-tech company will private equity target next?

As I posted earlier, private equity has an appetite for chips, boxes, and wires. What will it buy next?

Before getting to that, it's worth pointing out that the notion of borrowing money to buy a high tech company is not that great. The reason is that high tech companies can quickly fall behind and lose market share if they don't come up with new products. And private equity does not usually like to invest in R&D. But if private equity buys a company with long-standing customer relationships, such concerns may be offset by the substantial cost reductions available.

Having said that, here's a list of potential candidates:

  • Nortel Networks Corp. (NYSE: NT). This network equipment supplier lost $103 million on $2.5 billion in sales in the first quarter of 2007. It also lost out on its bid to acquire Avaya, Inc. (NYSE: AV). With a market capitalization of $11.4 billion, a 30% premium would make this $14.8 billion deal the biggest network equipment LBO.
  • Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU). This network equipment supplier lost $590 million on $12.3 billion in sales in 2006. With a market capitalization of $30.9 billion, a 30% premium would make this the biggest deal of the lot at $40.1 billion. Given the integration challenges between a U.S. and French firm and the enormous legacy costs, an LBO of this firm might be quite profitable.
  • Juniper Networks Inc. (NASDAQ: JNPR). This network equipment supplier lost $1 billion on $2.3 billion in sales in 2006. With a market capitalization of $13.9 billion, a 30% premium would make this an $18 billion deal. Unlike NT, however, I think JNPR will resist the LBO route because it has not been around long enough to accumulate the kind of legacy problems NT has in spades.
What do you think of this list? What other candidates come to mind?

Peter Cohan is president of Peter S. Cohan & Associates, a management consulting and venture capital firm. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. He has no financial interest in the securities mentioned in this post.

Analyst downgrades 4-27-07: CVX, JNPR, SIRI, SYMC and WEN downgraded today

MOST NOTEWORTHY: AstraZeneca plc (AZN), Aeroflex Inc (ARXX), Symantec Corp (SYMC), Chevron Corp (CVX) and Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) were just some of today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • HSBC downgraded shares of AstraZeneca plc (NYSE: AZN) to Neutral from Overweight as the firm believes investors will have to wait until 2009 for the company to start benefiting from its strategy.
  • Aeroflexx Inc (NASDAQ: ARXX) was cut to Hold from Buy at Jefferies with a $14 target based on valuation.
  • Thomas Weisel downgraded shares of Symantec Corp (NASDAQ: SYMC) to Market Weight from Overweight citing a lack of near-term catalysts and increased risk from transitions in its business model.
  • Chevron Corp (NYSE: CVX) was removed from AG Edwards' Focus Portfolio. The firm believes Chevron offers less upside potential than other companies in the sector.
  • Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) was downgraded to Hold from Buy on valuation and its balanced risk/reward profile...
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • Piper Jaffray cut Juniper Networks, Inc (NASDAQ: JNPR) to Market Perform from Outperform with a $20 target.
  • Hecla Mining Co (NYSE: HL) was cut to Sector Underperformer from Sector Performer at CIBC based on valuation.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Analyst initiations 3-22-07: Take-Two Interactive, Sony Corp & Sun Micro initiated today

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc (TTWO), Sony Corp (SNE), Sun Microsystems, Inc (SUNW), PetSmart, Inc (PETM) and Constellation Energy Group, Inc (CEG) were today's more notable initiations:
  • Prudential started Take-Two Interactive Software (NASDAQ: TTWO) with a Neutral rating and $25 target, citing valuation and limited impact from GTA IV for the rating.
  • Prudential believes Sony Corp (NYSE: SNE) is well-positioned to benefit from digital media revolution in consumer electronics and that operating margins will continue to improve; Sony was initiated with an Overweight rating and $62 target.
  • Cowen views Sun Microsystems' (NASDAQ: SUNW) valuation full and initiated shares with a Neutral rating.
  • Pali Capital initiated PetSmart, Inc (NASDAQ: PETM) with a Buy rating and $37 target, room for price optimization as their recent checks suggest that consumers prefer PETM, regardless of price.
  • Credit Suisse initiated shares of Constellation Energy Group (NYSE: CEG) with an Outperform rating and $94 target.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
  • Stifel initiated several stocks in the network technology sector: Juniper Networks, Inc (NASDAQ: JNPR) was initiated with a Buy rating and $23 target, while Acme Packet, Inc (NASDAQ: APKT), Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO) and Polycom, Inc (NASDAQ: PLCM) were initiated with Hold ratings.
  • First Albany initiated NutriSystem (NASDAQ: NTRI) with a Buy rating and $57 target.
  • Piper Jaffray started OSI Pharmaceuticals, Inc (NASDAQ: OSIP) with an Outperform rating and $42 target.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Analyst downgrades 3-19-07: RadioShack cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley

MOST NOTEWORTHY: RadioShack Corp (RSH), Juniper Networks, Inc (JNPR), H.B. Fuller Co (FUL) and Sepracor Inc (SEPR) were today's more notable downgrades:
  • Morgan Stanley downgraded RadioShack (NYSE: RSH) to Underweight from Equal-Weight on concerns over the company's wireless fundamentals and top-line growth.
  • Juniper Networks (NASDAQ: JNPR) was downgraded to Strong Sell from Buy at Matrix USA. The firm sees downside to the intrinsic value calculation of $12 given the company's deteriorating fundamentals.
  • H.B. Fuller Co (NYSE: FUL) was cut to Sell from Hold at Gabelli following a meeting with management to reflect the recent management exists and the broker's expectation for a challenging first-half of 2007.
  • Sepracor (NASDAQ: SEPR) was cut to Underperform from Market Perform at Friedman Billings, as the firm believes generic availability of Ambien may be a bigger challenge to Seprecor's Lunesta than investors expect.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • Jackson Hewitt Tax Service Inc (NYSE: JTX) was cut to Underweight from Market Weight at Thomas Wiesel as they believe the potential near-term competitive trends coupled with potential issues with rising financial product contribution will weigh on valuation.
  • Bear Stearns cut Cerner Corp (NASDAQ: CERN) to Peer Perform from Outperform.
  • Matrix USA downgraded InfoSpace, Inc (NASDAQ: INSP) to Hold from Buy on valuation.
  • Prudential cut Unilever plc (NYSE: UL) to Neutral from Overweight.
  • Breen Murray downgraded Century Casinos, Inc (NASDAQ: CNTY) to Hold from Buy.
  • Cowen downgraded PeopleSupport, Inc (NASDAQ: PSPT) to Neutral from Outperform based on near-term visibility concerns.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Analyst downgrades 1-31-07: The Auto & Truck Suppliers broke an axle

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Kellogg Co (K) and the Auto & Truck Supplier Sector were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • JP Morgan downgraded Kellogg Co (NYSE: K) to Neutral from Outperform, citing reduced earnings growth.
  • Baird downgraded the Auto & Truck Supplier Sector to Market Underweight citing valuation and lower estimates; the firm downgraded American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings Inc (NYSE: AXL), Autoliv Inc (NYSE: ALV) and Modine Manufacturing Co (NYSE: MOD) to Underperform from Neutral.

OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • JP Morgan downgraded Juniper Networks Inc (NASDAQ: JNPR) to Market Perform from Outperform with a $22 target, explaining that although Juniper's December quarter showed improved revenue results, earnings guidance was disappointing given investment plans for 2007.
  • Sanders Morris downgraded Benihana Inc (NASDAQ: BNHNA) to Buy from Strong Buy with a $38 target, noting that they cannot find enough catalysts that would push shares another 20% in the next six months; however, the firm is still bullish on Benihana's short-term and long-term outlooks.
  • Credit Suisse downgraded Office Depot Inc (NYSE: ODP) to Neutral from Outperform, with a $41 target and believes that expectations to be overly optimistic.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

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